Silvino Bracho — OGILVIE

Silvino Bracho P Louisville Bats

Age 34 RHP 5'10" / 190 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.50

FIP4.54

K%23.2%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%14.1%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3293.2

Whiff%

p9031.6%

p7326.4%

xwOBA vs

p700.293

FB+1.7

CH-0.6

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	56	0	63	247	90	12	5	0%	1.1	28.5%	5.2%	23.3%	2.3%	1.57	2.62	+1.5
2015	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	56	0	63	247	90	12	5	0%	1.1	36.4%	4.9%	31.6%	2.0%	1.57	1.85	+2.1
2016	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	0	58	263	60	17	9	0%	0.9	20.9%	6.6%	14.2%	3.4%	5.86	4.04	+0.3
2016	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	62	0	58	263	60	17	9	0%	0.9	22.8%	6.5%	16.3%	3.4%	5.86	3.92	+0.4
2017	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	56	232	73	23	13	0%	1.0	29.0%	10.3%	18.7%	5.8%	4.66	5.12	-0.4
2017	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	56	232	73	23	13	0%	1.0	31.5%	9.9%	21.6%	5.6%	4.66	4.74	-0.1
2018	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	65	275	86	18	5	0%	1.1	29.0%	6.7%	22.3%	1.9%	3.86	2.55	+1.6
2018	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	65	275	86	18	5	0%	1.1	31.3%	6.5%	24.7%	1.8%	3.86	2.29	+1.8
2020	28	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	1	0	1	5	1	0	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	0.0%	20.0%	20.0%	18.00	12.39	-0.1
2020	28	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	1	0	1	5	1	0	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	0.0%	20.0%	20.0%	18.00	14.10	-0.1
2021	29	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	49	0	50	224	65	16	10	0%	1.0	25.5%	7.5%	18.0%	4.9%	4.14	4.60	—
2021	29	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	49	0	50	224	65	16	10	0%	1.0	29.0%	7.1%	21.9%	4.5%	4.14	4.06	—
2022	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	5	62	248	74	11	6	12%	1.5	26.8%	4.6%	22.2%	2.0%	2.92	2.49	+1.5
2022	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	5	62	248	74	11	6	12%	1.5	29.8%	4.4%	25.4%	2.4%	2.92	2.50	+1.5
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	1	58	248	58	26	18	2%	1.1	19.9%	8.3%	11.6%	8.7%	5.28	7.22	-1.8
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	1	58	248	58	26	18	2%	1.1	19.9%	8.3%	11.6%	8.7%	5.28	7.22	-1.8
2023	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	1	58	248	58	26	18	2%	1.1	23.4%	10.5%	12.9%	7.3%	5.28	6.48	-1.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			100	0	101	439	104	36	19	0%	1.0	23.7%	8.2%	15.5%	4.3%	4.80	4.55	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	34	MLB	CIN	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	9.1%	14.1%	3.4%	4.50	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	CIN	53	0	56	235	52	23	9	0%	1.0	22.2%	9.7%	12.6%	3.7%	4.72	4.87	-0.2
2028	36	MLB MLE	CIN	47	0	49	208	44	21	9	0%	1.0	21.2%	10.3%	10.9%	4.1%	5.03	5.24	-0.4
2029	37	MLB MLE	CIN	41	0	43	181	36	20	8	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.9%	9.2%	4.5%	5.40	5.64	-0.5
2027	35	MLB CTX	CIN	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	22.2%	9.7%	12.6%	3.7%	4.72	4.87	-0.0
2028	36	MLB CTX	CIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.2%	10.3%	10.9%	4.1%	5.03	5.24	—
2029	37	MLB CTX	CIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.1%	10.9%	9.2%	4.5%	5.40	5.64	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		103	0	104	452	107	37	19	0%	1.0	23.6%	8.2%	15.4%	4.3%	4.79	4.51	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		197	0	200	866	205	71	36	0%	1.0	23.6%	8.2%	15.4%	4.3%	4.79	4.51	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		373	6	413	1742	446	121	72	2%	1.1	25.6%	7.0%	18.7%	4.1%	4.03	4.08	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		180	3	200	843	216	59	35	2%	1.1	25.6%	7.0%	18.7%	4.1%	4.03	4.08	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Silvino Bracho (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.54	23.2%	9.1%	3.4%	—	5.22	21.3%	11.0%	148	+0.68	—	—	—
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	90
Dustin McGowan R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	22.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.230	4.58	19.4%	12.7%	78	+0.76	3.82	208	87
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	85
Jim Johnson R 2017 · 3.89 FIP	34	SU	3.89	23.8%	8.6%	3.1%	.309	4.48	16.8%	9.0%	63	+0.59	2.56	251	85
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	84
Jean Machi R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	34	SU	4.36	18.3%	6.6%	3.6%	.282	4.12	18.6%	12.0%	67	-0.24	4.12	186	83
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	83
Francisco Rodríguez R 2016 · 3.77 FIP	34	SU	3.77	22.1%	8.5%	2.7%	.248	6.90	19.5%	11.0%	25	+3.13	2.71	141	82
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	82
Ramon E Ramirez R 2016 · 3.60 FIP	34	SU	3.60	18.4%	6.0%	2.4%	.262	3.49	14.0%	8.2%	40	-0.11	2.37	140	81
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	77
Diego Moreno R 2021 · 4.75 FIP	34	SU	4.75	18.6%	9.4%	3.7%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	187	76
Carlos Torres R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	34	SU	4.51	17.4%	9.9%	3.0%	.304	3.66	19.8%	11.6%	113	-0.85	2.89	326	75
Blake Parker R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	34	SU	4.65	25.5%	8.6%	4.8%	.258	4.26	24.9%	15.4%	87	-0.39	2.52	339	75
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	75
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	75
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	74
Brad Peacock R 2022 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	23.9%	10.6%	2.5%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	533	74
Rafael Martín R 2017 · 3.40 FIP	33	SU	3.40	20.4%	5.1%	2.5%	.305	4.71	22.5%	16.5%	47	+1.31	2.94	227	73
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	52	21.9%	9.9%	1.50	4.87
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58