Silvino Bracho
P
Louisville Bats
+0.2
WAR
Age 34
RHP
5'10" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.57
FIP4.57
xFIP6.33
SIERA6.20
K%23.1%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.8%
IP45
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL5050
CMD5050
K†5555
FB Velo
p3293.2
Whiff%
p9031.6%
K%
p7326.4%
xwOBA vs
p700.293
FB+1.7
CH-0.6
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 56 | 0 | 63 | 247 | 90 | 12 | 5 | 28.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.57 | 2.69 | +1.6 |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 62 | 0 | 58 | 263 | 60 | 17 | 9 | 20.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 5.86 | 3.94 | +0.7 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 54 | 0 | 56 | 232 | 73 | 23 | 13 | 29.0% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 4.66 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 58 | 0 | 65 | 275 | 86 | 18 | 5 | 29.0% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 3.86 | 2.56 | +1.8 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | — | — | — | 18.00 | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 49 | 0 | 50 | 224 | 65 | 16 | 10 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.14 | 4.60 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 41 | 5 | 62 | 248 | 74 | 11 | 6 | 26.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 2.92 | 2.48 | +1.7 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 52 | 1 | 58 | 248 | 58 | 26 | 18 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.28 | 7.37 | -1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 44 | 18 | 6 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 4.52 | 4.58 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 42 | — | 42 | 178 | 40 | 17 | 6 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 4.64 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | CIN | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 36 | 16 | 6 | 21.6% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 4.79 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 373 | 6 | 413 | 1742 | 449 | 125 | 72 | 25.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.03 | 4.08 | +5.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 180 | 3 | 200 | 843 | 217 | 60 | 35 | 25.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.03 | 4.08 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Silvino Bracho (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 3.4% | — | 4.81 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 82 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.96 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .309 | 4.52 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.56 | 2.57 | 251 | 86 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 84 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 84 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 83 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.81 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.64 | 3.81 | 208 | 82 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 80 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.39 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | .282 | 4.11 | 18.6% | 12.0% | 67 | -0.28 | 4.11 | 186 | 80 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 79 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.10 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 277 | 79 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.75 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.7% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.31 | 187 | 79 |
| Francisco Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.72 | 22.1% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .248 | 6.54 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 25 | +2.82 | 2.87 | 141 | 79 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.63 | 18.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .262 | 3.50 | 14.0% | 8.2% | 40 | -0.13 | 2.37 | 140 | 78 |
| Bud Norris R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.63 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 316 | 78 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 77 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.42 | 25.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% | .258 | 4.20 | 24.9% | 15.4% | 87 | -0.22 | 2.41 | 339 | 77 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.18 | 23.7% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .253 | 5.14 | 25.0% | 13.8% | 32 | +0.96 | 3.38 | 212 | 77 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.85 | 26.8% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .380 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 268 | 77 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.51 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.0% | .304 | 3.66 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 113 | -0.85 | 2.89 | 326 | 76 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.06 | 18.2% | 8.4% | 4.5% | .318 | 4.34 | 12.6% | 5.9% | 104 | -0.72 | 3.77 | 264 | 75 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.