Silvino Bracho
P
Louisville Bats
Age 34
RHP
5'10" / 190 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.50
FIP4.54
K%23.4%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3293.2
Whiff%
p9031.6%
K%
p7326.4%
xwOBA vs
p700.293
FB+1.7
CH-0.6
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 56 | 0 | 63 | 247 | 90 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.5% | 5.2% | 23.3% | 2.2% | 1.57 | 2.54 | +1.5 |
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 56 | 0 | 63 | 247 | 90 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 36.4% | 4.9% | 31.6% | 2.0% | 1.57 | 1.85 | +2.0 |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 58 | 263 | 60 | 17 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.9% | 6.6% | 14.2% | 3.3% | 5.86 | 3.96 | +0.4 |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 58 | 263 | 60 | 17 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.8% | 6.5% | 16.3% | 3.4% | 5.86 | 3.92 | +0.4 |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 56 | 232 | 73 | 23 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.0% | 10.3% | 18.7% | 5.5% | 4.66 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 56 | 232 | 73 | 23 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.5% | 9.9% | 21.6% | 5.6% | 4.66 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 65 | 275 | 86 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.0% | 6.7% | 22.3% | 1.8% | 3.86 | 2.49 | +1.7 |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 65 | 275 | 86 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.3% | 6.5% | 24.7% | 1.8% | 3.86 | 2.29 | +1.8 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 18.00 | 12.39 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 18.00 | 14.10 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 49 | 0 | 50 | 224 | 65 | 16 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 18.0% | 5.0% | 4.14 | 4.62 | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 49 | 0 | 50 | 224 | 65 | 16 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.0% | 7.1% | 21.9% | 4.5% | 4.14 | 4.06 | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 5 | 62 | 248 | 74 | 11 | 6 | 12% | 1.5 | 26.8% | 4.6% | 22.2% | 2.0% | 2.92 | 2.51 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 5 | 62 | 248 | 74 | 11 | 6 | 12% | 1.5 | 29.8% | 4.4% | 25.4% | 2.4% | 2.92 | 2.50 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 1 | 58 | 248 | 58 | 26 | 18 | 2% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 5.28 | 7.07 | -1.7 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 1 | 58 | 248 | 58 | 26 | 18 | 2% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 5.28 | 6.48 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 59 | 0 | 62 | 261 | 61 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.4% | 4.50 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 53 | 0 | 56 | 235 | 53 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 3.7% | 4.73 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | CIN | 47 | 0 | 49 | 208 | 44 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 5.04 | 5.24 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | CIN | 41 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 37 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 5.40 | 5.65 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 3.7% | 4.73 | 4.88 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 5.04 | 5.24 | — |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 5.40 | 5.65 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 103 | 0 | 104 | 452 | 107 | 37 | 19 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 8.2% | 15.4% | 4.3% | 4.79 | 4.51 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 197 | 0 | 200 | 866 | 205 | 71 | 36 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 8.2% | 15.4% | 4.3% | 4.79 | 4.51 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 373 | 6 | 413 | 1742 | 449 | 125 | 69 | 2% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 7.2% | 18.6% | 4.0% | 4.03 | 4.01 | +6.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 180 | 3 | 200 | 843 | 217 | 60 | 33 | 2% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 7.2% | 18.6% | 4.0% | 4.03 | 4.01 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Silvino Bracho (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 3.4% | — | 5.22 | 21.4% | 11.0% | 148 | +0.68 | — | — | — |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .309 | 4.58 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.69 | 2.51 | 251 | 92 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 90 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.83 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.59 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.83 | 208 | 87 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 85 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.22 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | .282 | 3.92 | 18.6% | 12.0% | 67 | -0.30 | 3.92 | 186 | 83 |
| Francisco Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .248 | 7.10 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 25 | +3.26 | 2.85 | 141 | 83 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 82 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 82 |
| Bud Norris R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 316 | 81 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 80 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.41 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.36 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 144 | 80 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.49 | 18.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .262 | 3.63 | 14.0% | 8.2% | 40 | +0.14 | 2.35 | 140 | 79 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.67 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .304 | 3.59 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 113 | -1.08 | 2.78 | 326 | 79 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.74 | 25.5% | 8.6% | 4.9% | .258 | 4.22 | 24.9% | 15.4% | 87 | -0.52 | 2.61 | 339 | 79 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.93 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.3% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 277 | 78 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 78 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.77 | 26.8% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .380 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 268 | 76 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 76 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.82 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.22 | 187 | 76 |
| Brad Peacock R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.03 | 23.9% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 533 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 52 | 22.0% | 10.1% | 1.49 | 4.87 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Austin Voth ('24) | 6 | 58 | 22.2% | 8.2% | 1.50 | 4.63 |