Drew Rucinski projections, WAR, contract

Drew Rucinski P Oakland Athletics

Age 37 RHP 6'2" / 190 lbs MLB

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.91

FIP4.95

K%20.0%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%8.3%

ROS IP48

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 47 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD2525

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.0

Whiff%

p2521.8%

p106.3%

xwOBA vs

p100.404

FB-3.4

SL-5.1

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2014	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	3	0	7	34	8	2	0	0%	2.4	23.5%	5.9%	17.6%	0.0%	4.91	1.86	+0.2
2014	25	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	3	0	7	34	8	2	0	0%	2.4	23.5%	5.9%	17.6%	0.0%	4.91	1.74	+0.3
2015	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	23	119	544	91	50	22	88%	4.6	15.0%	9.1%	6.0%	4.6%	5.81	5.52	-0.8
2015	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	23	119	544	91	50	22	88%	4.6	16.7%	9.2%	7.5%	4.0%	5.81	5.23	-0.4
2016	27	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	28	28	155	682	116	42	16	100%	5.5	15.0%	6.5%	8.5%	2.9%	5.92	4.25	—
2016	27	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	28	28	155	682	116	42	16	100%	5.5	17.0%	6.2%	10.9%	2.3%	5.92	3.76	—
2017	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	2	67	269	62	12	5	5%	1.7	20.4%	4.3%	16.1%	1.4%	3.07	2.69	+1.5
2017	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	2	67	269	62	12	5	5%	1.7	23.0%	4.5%	18.6%	1.9%	3.07	2.76	+1.5
2018	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	0	63	267	50	15	2	0%	1.3	17.7%	6.0%	11.7%	0.8%	3.41	2.81	+1.3
2018	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	48	0	63	267	50	15	2	0%	1.3	18.7%	5.6%	13.1%	0.7%	3.41	2.64	+1.5
2023	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	7	28	142	14	19	5	100%	4.0	6.3%	14.7%	-8.4%	5.8%	8.13	7.61	-0.8
2023	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	7	28	142	14	19	5	100%	4.0	6.3%	14.7%	-8.4%	5.8%	8.13	7.61	-0.8
2023	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	7	28	142	14	19	5	100%	4.0	9.9%	13.4%	-3.5%	3.5%	8.13	6.50	-0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			45	5	72	341	50	33	10	11%	1.6	14.7%	9.7%	5.0%	2.9%	6.25	4.89	-0.3
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	37	MLB	OAK	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.0%	11.7%	8.3%	3.1%	4.91	4.95	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	38	MLB MLE	OAK	39	0	41	173	33	21	6	0%	1.1	19.2%	12.1%	7.0%	3.5%	5.13	5.32	-0.3
2027	38	MLB CTX	OAK	33	0	35	148	28	18	5	0%	1.1	19.2%	12.1%	7.0%	3.5%	5.13	5.32	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		79	5	107	490	79	51	15	6%	1.4	16.0%	10.4%	5.6%	3.1%	5.88	4.77	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		147	9	200	913	147	95	28	6%	1.4	16.0%	10.4%	5.6%	3.1%	5.88	4.77	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		151	60	440	1938	303	144	59	40%	2.9	15.6%	7.4%	8.2%	3.1%	5.22	4.39	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	27	200	881	138	65	27	40%	2.9	15.6%	7.4%	8.2%	3.1%	5.22	4.39	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Drew Rucinski (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	20.0%	11.7%	3.1%	—	5.32	19.2%	7.0%	41	+0.37	—	—	—
Jonathan Castellanos R 2019 · 5.24 FIP	37	SW	5.24	11.0%	9.0%	3.5%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	394	62
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	60
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	60
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	53
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	3.93	194	52
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	50
Matt Bush R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	37	SU	3.79	26.2%	8.7%	3.3%	.225	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	249	48
Pete Walker R 2006 · 4.45 FIP	37	SU	4.45	19.6%	8.0%	3.6%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	327	48
Scott Atchison R 2013 · 3.80 FIP	37	SU	3.80	14.4%	6.2%	2.1%	.273	3.60	16.7%	12.9%	92	-0.20	2.52	340	47
Brian Sweeney R 2010 · 4.63 FIP	36	SU	4.63	9.5%	3.4%	3.5%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	108	43
Chris Nichting R 2002 · 4.67 FIP	36	SU	4.67	16.6%	3.3%	4.6%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	103	43
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2020 · 5.02 FIP	36	SU	5.02	17.5%	12.7%	3.3%	.381	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	132	40
Seunghwan Oh R 2019 · 5.75 FIP	37	SU	5.75	18.2%	6.8%	6.0%	.383	—	—	—	—	—	1.87	226	37
Kenshin Kawakami R 2010 · 4.06 FIP	35	SP	4.06	15.1%	5.6%	2.8%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.97	244	37
Jose Oyervides R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	37	SP	5.66	16.3%	11.2%	4.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	407	33
Masato Yoshii R 2002 · 4.15 FIP	37	SP-	4.15	13.4%	5.4%	2.7%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.15	757	32
Walter Silva R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	38	SP	4.15	14.8%	7.4%	2.5%	.311	3.91	10.4%	3.7%	209	-0.24	3.67	453	32
Jon Leicester R 2015 · 3.76 FIP	36	SP	3.76	12.3%	5.9%	1.7%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	113	31
Jarrett Grube R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	35	SP	4.41	15.8%	8.1%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	393	29
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	28

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	17.3%	11.4%	1.20	5.57
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57