Andrew Vasquez P Salt Lake Bees
Age 32 LHP 6'6" / 235 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111121vR 130
ERA5.00
FIP5.59
K%13.0%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%2.2%
ROS IP58
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
K: -4.6 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-5KBB: -1.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -2.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-3CONTACTSTAM: +2.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.71 (58 IP)-0.7WAR
-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.6262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3535
CTRL4040
CMD4040
K†3030
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1089.1
Whiff%
p1017.5%
K%
p3219.6%
xwOBA vs
p550.307
SL+1.9
FB-1.8

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201521ROKGCL Twins1201265221400%1.023.0%26.9%-3.9%0.0%2.924.57
201521ROKGCL Twins1201265221400%1.033.8%21.5%12.3%0.0%2.922.94
201622MIX2 levels17038153511600%2.323.4%12.4%10.9%0.0%1.412.70
201622MIX2 levels17038153511600%2.333.3%10.5%22.9%0.0%1.411.69
201723MIX2 levels37058241852100%1.626.7%10.1%16.6%0.0%1.552.13
201723MIX2 levels37058241852100%1.635.3%8.7%26.6%0.0%1.551.26
201824MIX4 levels491743041152022%1.530.5%6.8%23.7%1.0%1.571.91+2.6
201824MIX4 levels491743041152022%1.537.8%6.6%31.2%0.7%1.571.16+3.2
201925MIX4 levels31137183513613%1.222.3%20.6%1.7%0.7%6.144.21+0.1
201925MIX4 levels31137183513613%1.227.9%19.7%8.2%0.5%6.143.62+0.4
202127MIX2 levels41050214822450%1.233.4%12.1%21.3%2.6%3.423.22+0.8
202127MIX2 levels41050214822450%1.238.3%11.2%27.1%2.3%3.422.56+1.2
202228MIX3 levels39041165541120%1.129.3%6.0%23.4%0.9%3.071.88+1.3
202228MIX3 levels39041165541120%1.132.7%6.7%26.1%1.2%3.071.90+1.3
202329MIX2 levels49055248522340%1.119.6%10.0%9.6%2.0%3.113.81+0.5
202329MIX2 levels49055248522340%1.121.0%9.3%11.7%1.6%3.113.41+0.7
202430AAAToledo Mud Hens48369324633186%1.417.1%10.0%7.1%4.6%5.115.48
202430AAAToledo Mud Hens48369324633186%1.419.4%9.6%9.9%2.5%5.114.13
202531MIX2 levels120157016630%1.314.2%8.5%5.7%5.4%5.285.96
202531MIX2 levels120157016630%1.322.9%8.6%14.3%4.3%5.284.73
▸ 2026 Season
202632MLBLAA55058245322680%1.113.0%10.8%2.2%3.3%5.005.59-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202733MLBLAA51053225302580%1.013.2%11.1%2.1%3.6%5.395.74-0.7
202834MLBLAA46048205272380%1.113.0%11.4%1.6%3.8%5.675.94-0.8
202935MLBLAA41044184232280%1.112.6%11.9%0.7%4.1%5.956.19-0.8
202733MLBLAA190208411930%1.113.2%11.1%2.1%3.6%5.395.74-0.3
202834MLBLAA15016689830%1.113.0%11.4%1.6%3.8%5.675.94-0.3
202935MLBLAA11012516620%1.112.6%11.9%0.7%4.1%5.956.19-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career10901114938953130%1.018.0%10.7%7.3%2.6%4.834.34+1.4
/ 200 IP197020088816095230%1.018.0%10.7%7.3%2.6%4.834.34+2.5
Career33554501967483219351%1.324.5%11.1%13.4%1.8%3.163.41+10.5
/ 200 IP149220087521597161%1.324.5%11.1%13.4%1.8%3.163.41+4.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Andrew Vasquez (OGILVIE) 5.59 13.0%10.8%3.3% 5.94 12.9%1.5%145 +0.35
Brian Duensing L 2026 · 4.46 FIP 32 SU 4.46 11.5%8.1%2.4%.252 3.70 20.2%11.8%137 -0.76 2.59 198 80
Tommy Layne L 2026 · 5.33 FIP 32 SU 5.33 13.3%14.4%2.8%.253 3.86 21.8%14.4%64 -1.47 1.32 182 75
Craig Breslow L 2028 · 4.86 FIP 34 SU 4.86 16.4%6.4%4.2%.279 4.51 16.2%6.5%94 -0.35 4.22 159 75
Brett Cecil L 2026 · 5.45 FIP 32 SU 5.45 12.1%12.7%3.2%.301 1.96 191 72
Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.45 FIP 32 SU 4.45 17.5%11.0%2.6%.325 4.79 16.0%3.0%27 +0.34 3.77 127 69
Marc Rzepczynski L 2026 · 5.79 FIP 32 SU 5.79 17.0%16.0%3.8%.403 5.24 14.8%1.6%45 -0.55 2.79 181 67
Robbie Ross Jr. L 2026 · 4.87 FIP 32 SU 4.87 15.2%7.0%4.0%.312 2.79 159 64
Neal Cotts L 2029 · 4.65 FIP 35 SU 4.65 21.6%7.4%4.4%.257 4.01 21.9%14.5%93 -0.64 3.24 156 63
Edgar Osuna L 2025 · 5.04 FIP 31 SW 5.04 10.0%7.2%3.4%.373 5.04 175 60
Sam Freeman L 2026 · 5.70 FIP 32 SU 5.70 16.8%11.3%4.7%.380 4.02 18.5%5.4%36 -1.68 3.03 299 59
Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 4.48 FIP 30 SU 4.48 23.7%11.1%3.6%.270 3.80 172 58
Travis Wood L 2024 · 5.72 FIP 30 SW 5.72 14.9%10.3%4.7%.322 3.16 256 58
Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 4.51 FIP 32 SW 4.51 20.1%7.0%4.0%.360 3.21 241 56
Cesár Ramos L 2026 · 5.30 FIP 32 SW 5.30 15.0%7.8%4.5%.324 4.17 16.7%8.4%92 -1.13 2.83 225 54
Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.63 FIP 32 SU 4.63 25.3%10.6%4.2%.286 5.07 22.9%9.7%32 +0.44 2.37 296 54
Chris Narveson L 2027 · 4.83 FIP 33 SW 4.83 23.6%8.0%4.9%.333 4.57 14.1%4.5%193 -0.26 4.40 249 54
Derek Holland L 2026 · 5.56 FIP 32 SU 5.56 21.8%11.4%5.2%.268 5.04 22.6%13.0%129 -0.52 3.76 686 53
Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.73 FIP 32 SU 4.73 19.4%5.6%4.7%.290 3.42 24.5%19.8%117 -1.31 1.52 350 53
Edwin Escobar L 2026 · 5.24 FIP 32 SU 5.24 20.1%16.3%3.2%.275 4.20 218 53
Jaime García L 2026 · 4.76 FIP 32 SW 4.76 19.8%11.4%3.4%.286 2.89 540 53

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45112.9%11.2%1.435.47
Eddie Butler ('18)46213.3%9.8%1.495.74
Ross Detwiler ('22)55117.3%9.5%1.766.03
Dylan Covey ('23)47315.4%9.9%1.536.14
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Mike Wright Jr. ('19)55217.7%8.4%1.536.00
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78