Joel Payamps

P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 33 RHP 6'3" / 214 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2027

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	30	MLBMIL	68	0	59	3.05	3.35	25.1%	6.0%	0.8
2025	31	MIX2 levels	57	0	53	5.77	3.33	23.8%	6.2%	0.8	K 21.9% · BB 5.9% · FIP 3.44
2026	32	MIX2 levels	46	0	47	4.60	3.59	27.7%	9.4%	0.5	K 24.3% · BB 8.1% · FIP 3.53
2027PROJ	33	MLBATL	57	0	60	4.13	4.03	24.0%	7.2%	0.4
2028PROJ6% MLB	34	MLBATL	3	0	3	4.25	4.33	23.1%	7.7%	0.0
2029PROJ1% MLB	35	MLBATL	—	—	0	4.50	4.67	22.1%	8.3%	—

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.1 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff56Control50Command50FB velo60

CompsTony Barnette (age 33) · Arcenio Leon (age 32) · Jim Henderson (age 33)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110102vR 94

ERA4.13

FIP4.03

K%24.0%

BB%7.2%

K-BB%16.8%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†5555

FB (51%)

SI (11%)

CT-0.5 (1%)

CH-0.7 (3%)

SL-1.1 (46%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	19	133	546	128	36	8	68%	4.8	17.8%	7.6%	10.2%	1.7%	3.86	3.48	—
2016	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	19	133	546	128	36	8	68%	4.8	23.4%	6.6%	16.8%	1.5%	3.86	2.77	—
2017	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	27	151	639	96	36	15	100%	5.6	12.1%	6.3%	5.8%	2.9%	4.30	4.44	—
2017	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	27	151	639	96	36	15	100%	5.6	15.0%	5.6%	9.4%	2.3%	4.30	3.84	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	15	116	477	122	26	10	48%	3.8	21.1%	5.9%	15.2%	2.4%	3.87	3.39	—
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	15	116	477	122	26	10	48%	3.8	25.6%	5.5%	20.1%	2.1%	3.87	2.79	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	15	83	344	72	21	8	88%	4.9	17.7%	5.8%	11.9%	2.6%	3.92	3.78	+1.1
2019	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	15	83	344	72	21	8	88%	4.9	20.9%	6.1%	14.8%	2.3%	3.92	3.38	+1.5
2020	26	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	2	0	3	13	2	3	0	0%	1.5	15.4%	23.1%	-7.7%	0.0%	3.00	4.72	-0.0
2020	26	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	2	0	3	13	2	3	0	0%	1.5	15.4%	23.1%	-7.7%	0.0%	3.00	4.77	-0.0
2021	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	1	62	262	53	16	8	2%	1.3	19.5%	6.2%	13.4%	3.3%	3.75	4.04	+0.4
2021	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	1	62	262	53	16	8	2%	1.3	20.2%	6.1%	14.1%	3.1%	3.75	3.84	+0.5
2022	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	60	261	47	15	7	0%	1.4	17.0%	5.8%	11.2%	3.2%	3.45	4.15	+0.3
2022	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	60	261	47	15	7	0%	1.4	18.0%	5.7%	12.3%	2.7%	3.45	3.80	+0.5
2023	29	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	69	0	71	287	77	16	8	0%	1.0	26.8%	5.6%	21.3%	2.7%	2.55	3.00	+1.3
2023	29	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	69	0	71	287	77	16	8	0%	1.0	26.8%	5.6%	21.3%	2.8%	2.55	3.07	+1.2
2024	30	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	68	0	59	235	59	14	7	0%	0.9	25.1%	6.0%	19.1%	2.8%	3.05	3.29	+0.9
2024	30	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	68	0	59	235	59	14	7	0%	0.9	25.1%	6.0%	19.1%	2.8%	3.05	3.29	+0.9
2024	30	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	68	0	59	235	59	14	7	0%	0.9	25.1%	6.0%	19.1%	3.0%	3.05	3.35	+0.8
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	53	227	54	14	6	0%	0.9	21.9%	5.9%	16.0%	2.6%	5.77	3.44	+0.7
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	53	227	54	14	6	0%	0.9	21.9%	5.9%	16.0%	2.6%	5.77	3.44	+0.7
2025	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	0	53	227	54	14	6	0%	0.9	23.8%	6.2%	17.6%	2.6%	5.77	3.33	+0.8
2026	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	47	202	56	19	6	0%	1.0	24.3%	8.1%	16.2%	2.7%	4.60	3.53	+0.6
2026	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	47	202	56	19	6	0%	1.0	24.3%	8.1%	16.2%	2.7%	4.60	3.53	+0.6
2026	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	47	202	56	19	6	0%	1.0	27.7%	9.4%	18.3%	3.0%	4.60	3.59	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			261	1	277	1151	253	74	34	0%	1.1	22.0%	6.4%	15.6%	3.0%	3.55	3.67	+2.9
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	ATL	57	0	60	253	61	18	8	0%	1.1	24.0%	7.2%	16.8%	3.0%	4.13	4.03	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	ATL	52	0	55	231	53	18	8	0%	1.1	23.1%	7.7%	15.4%	3.3%	4.25	4.33	+0.1
2029	35	MLB MLE	ATL	47	0	49	208	46	17	8	0%	1.0	22.1%	8.3%	13.9%	3.7%	4.50	4.67	-0.1
2030	36	MLB MLE	ATL	41	0	44	184	39	16	7	0%	1.1	21.1%	8.9%	12.2%	4.0%	4.82	5.04	-0.2
2028	34	MLB CTX	ATL	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	23.1%	7.7%	15.4%	3.3%	4.25	4.33	+0.0
2029	35	MLB CTX	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.1%	8.3%	13.9%	3.7%	4.50	4.67	—
2030	36	MLB CTX	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.1%	8.9%	12.2%	4.0%	4.82	5.04	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		264	1	280	1166	256	75	34	0%	1.1	22.0%	6.4%	15.5%	3.0%	3.56	3.68	+2.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		189	1	200	832	183	54	24	0%	1.1	22.0%	6.4%	15.5%	3.0%	3.56	3.68	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		438	77	838	3493	669	224	90	18%	1.9	19.1%	6.4%	12.7%	2.6%	3.90	3.72	+2.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		105	18	200	834	160	54	22	18%	1.9	19.1%	6.4%	12.7%	2.6%	3.90	3.72	+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joel Payamps (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.03	24.0%	7.2%	3.0%	—	4.65	22.2%	13.9%	148	+0.62	—	—	—
Tony Barnette R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	22.6%	7.1%	2.7%	.335	2.61	25.0%	20.2%	26	-0.95	2.61	144	73
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	73
Jim Henderson R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	33	SU	4.55	25.8%	9.0%	4.5%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	1.86	167	72
Zack Segovia R 2016 · 3.33 FIP	33	SU	3.33	20.2%	5.9%	2.2%	.312	4.55	17.6%	4.0%	57	+1.22	3.33	144	72
Joe Nelson R 2008 · 3.08 FIP	33	SU	3.08	26.1%	7.8%	2.2%	.252	5.35	19.8%	5.5%	40	+2.27	3.08	139	71
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	70
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	69
Tyler Walker R 2009 · 3.72 FIP	33	SU	3.72	18.0%	5.3%	2.7%	.243	3.77	20.7%	16.6%	35	+0.05	2.38	289	68
Neil Wagner R 2017 · 3.11 FIP	33	SU	3.11	20.7%	8.6%	1.2%	.257	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	135	68
Ryan Brasier R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	33	SU	4.85	18.0%	8.0%	4.1%	.286	3.16	23.7%	17.9%	150	-1.69	2.31	426	67
Tim Dillard R 2016 · 3.13 FIP	33	SU	3.13	22.6%	8.2%	1.7%	.358	4.14	13.7%	6.9%	250	+1.01	2.92	432	67
Blake Parker R 2018 · 4.12 FIP	33	SU	4.12	25.4%	6.5%	4.3%	.290	4.12	24.9%	16.5%	121	+0.00	2.52	406	67
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	66
Dale Thayer R 2014 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	23.4%	4.9%	3.3%	.243	4.34	15.8%	8.8%	38	+0.78	2.75	239	66
Akinori Otsuka R 2005 · 3.05 FIP	33	SU	3.05	21.7%	9.4%	1.1%	.278	2.59	19.4%	14.2%	92	-0.46	2.39	232	65
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	64
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.54	21.9%	11.8%	195	+0.02	3.08	370	64
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2018 · 3.45 FIP	34	SU	3.45	22.5%	7.3%	2.4%	.242	3.97	24.6%	15.2%	65	+0.52	3.45	132	64
Jumbo Diaz R 2017 · 4.17 FIP	33	SU	4.17	20.0%	9.7%	2.8%	.302	2.90	24.2%	15.4%	98	-1.27	2.80	319	64
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	63

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	54	22.3%	7.6%	1.23	3.91
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Fernando Salas ('19)	2.4	54	23.1%	7.3%	1.05	3.91
Junichi Tazawa ('18)	2.0	49	22.2%	6.5%	1.12	4.12
Joe Hoerner ('63-'77, 8 WAR*)	2.8	51	23.2%*	7.9%*	1.21*	3.52*
Tony Castillo ('88-'98, 4 WAR*)	2.6	59	18.5%*	7.3%*	0.98*	3.76*
Tom Niedenfuer ('81-'90, 8 WAR*)	3.3	65	23.1%*	8.1%*	1.19*	3.80*