Brandon Leibrandt

Brandon Leibrandt P Louisville Bats

Age 33 LHP 6'4" / 190 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION85 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98107vR 115

ERA4.29

FIP4.29

K%18.0%

BB%6.5%

K-BB%11.5%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5555

CMD5050

K†4545

CH+1.8 (32%)

SI (6%)

CU (8%)

SL-2.7 (27%)

FB-3.0 (32%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	18	108	418	75	21	6	95%	5.7	13.1%	6.1%	7.0%	1.7%	2.91	3.71	—
2015	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	18	108	418	75	21	6	95%	5.7	17.9%	5.0%	12.9%	1.4%	2.91	3.02	—
2016	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	10	44	171	34	14	2	100%	4.4	14.6%	9.6%	5.0%	1.6%	2.27	3.95	—
2016	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	10	44	171	34	14	2	100%	4.4	19.9%	8.2%	11.7%	1.2%	2.27	3.10	—
2017	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	137	566	105	46	12	100%	5.5	15.7%	8.7%	7.0%	2.2%	3.62	4.08	—
2017	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	137	566	105	46	12	100%	5.5	18.6%	8.1%	10.4%	2.1%	3.62	3.71	—
2018	25	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	20	6	51	189	32	10	1	30%	2.5	14.9%	5.6%	9.3%	0.6%	1.42	2.88	—
2018	25	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	20	6	51	189	32	10	1	30%	2.5	16.9%	5.3%	11.6%	0.5%	1.42	2.69	—
2020	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	5	0	9	36	3	6	0	0%	1.8	8.3%	16.7%	-8.3%	0.0%	2.00	4.51	+0.0
2020	27	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	5	0	9	36	3	6	0	0%	1.8	8.3%	16.7%	-8.3%	0.0%	2.00	4.43	+0.0
2021	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	18	89	387	74	33	16	86%	4.2	16.4%	9.1%	7.3%	5.1%	5.68	5.65	—
2021	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	18	89	387	74	33	16	86%	4.2	19.1%	8.5%	10.6%	4.1%	5.68	4.89	—
2022	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	8	69	289	68	16	14	38%	3.3	19.6%	5.9%	13.7%	5.5%	4.67	5.20	—
2022	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	8	69	289	68	16	14	38%	3.3	23.5%	5.5%	18.0%	4.8%	4.67	4.46	—
2024	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	17	90	384	85	23	18	89%	4.7	18.9%	5.4%	13.5%	4.2%	4.80	4.50	+0.4
2024	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	17	90	384	85	23	18	89%	4.7	18.9%	5.4%	13.5%	4.2%	4.80	4.50	+0.4
2024	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	17	90	384	85	23	18	89%	4.7	22.1%	6.0%	16.1%	4.7%	4.80	4.58	+0.3
2025	32	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	10	9	41	163	37	14	6	90%	4.1	18.8%	7.7%	11.1%	3.8%	2.85	4.57	—
2025	32	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	10	9	41	163	37	14	6	90%	4.1	18.8%	7.7%	11.1%	3.8%	2.85	4.57	—
2025	32	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	10	9	41	163	37	14	6	90%	4.1	22.7%	8.6%	14.1%	3.7%	2.85	4.22	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			8	0	21	98	11	10	5	0%	2.7	11.2%	10.2%	1.0%	5.1%	5.91	6.52	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	33	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	18	17	85	368	62	25	19	94%	4.7	14.5%	6.1%	8.4%	5.5%	4.98	5.69	—
YTD	33	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	18	17	85	368	62	25	19	94%	4.7	14.5%	6.1%	8.4%	5.5%	4.98	5.69	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	33	AAA RAW	CIN	17	17	79	338	59	23	17	100%	4.6	17.5%	6.8%	10.7%	5.0%	4.78	5.25	—
2026	33	MLB RAW	CIN	1	0	6	30	3	2	2	0%	6.0	10.0%	6.7%	3.3%	6.7%	7.50	6.76	—
SO FAR	33	MLB RAW	CIN	1	0	6	30	3	2	2	0%	6.0	10.0%	6.7%	3.3%	6.7%	7.50	6.76	—
ROS	33	MLB MLE	CIN	1	1	5	20	4	1	1	100%	4.9	18.0%	6.5%	11.5%	3.4%	4.29	4.29	+0.0
ROS	33	MLB CTX	CIN	1	1	5	21	4	1	1	100%	5.0	18.0%	6.5%	11.5%	3.4%	4.29	4.29	+0.0
2026 TOT	33	MLB MLE	CIN	—	—	90	388	66	26	20	—	—	16.9%	6.8%	10.1%	5.1%	4.94	5.61	-0.8
FULL	33	MLB A+C	CIN	—	—	11	46	66	26	20	—	—	143.3%	57.5%	85.9%	43.0%	40.89	21.87	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	CIN	8	8	49	206	36	15	8	100%	6.1	17.7%	7.3%	10.4%	3.8%	4.91	5.02	-0.1
2028	35	MLB MLE	CIN	7	7	44	185	32	15	8	100%	6.2	17.5%	8.0%	9.5%	4.1%	5.10	5.27	-0.2
2027	34	MLB CTX	CIN	8	8	46	194	34	14	7	100%	5.8	17.7%	7.3%	10.4%	3.8%	4.91	5.02	-0.1
2028	35	MLB CTX	CIN	7	7	40	169	30	14	7	100%	5.7	17.5%	8.0%	9.5%	4.1%	5.10	5.27	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		23	15	112	482	79	39	20	65%	4.9	16.4%	8.1%	8.2%	4.2%	5.14	5.04	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		42	27	200	859	141	70	36	66%	4.8	16.4%	8.1%	8.2%	4.2%	5.14	5.04	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		168	128	722	2971	477	216	102	76%	4.3	16.0%	7.3%	8.8%	3.4%	3.87	4.54	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		47	35	200	823	132	60	28	76%	4.3	16.0%	7.3%	8.8%	3.4%	3.87	4.54	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brandon Leibrandt (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.62	18.5%	6.6%	3.4%	—	5.14	17.7%	10.0%	92	+0.52	—	—	—
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	78
Jonathan Sánchez L 2019 · 4.73 FIP	36	SP	4.73	18.1%	8.3%	3.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	109	74
Franklin Morales L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	31	SP-	4.02	15.0%	8.0%	2.2%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	101	74
Jorge Castillo L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	33	SP	4.50	16.8%	9.2%	3.0%	.292	4.95	12.4%	7.2%	186	+0.45	4.50	408	73
Orlando Lara L 2017 · 4.39 FIP	32	SP	4.39	14.7%	6.5%	3.1%	.346	4.09	22.0%	14.2%	104	-0.30	3.85	426	70
Francisley Bueno L 2015 · 3.77 FIP	34	SP	3.77	14.8%	7.1%	1.9%	.315	3.99	13.3%	6.6%	110	+0.22	3.48	138	70
Wandy Rodriguez L 2015 · 3.83 FIP	36	SP-	3.83	19.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	101	70
Tomas Solis L 2016 · 4.86 FIP	33	SP	4.86	12.4%	8.5%	3.1%	.273	5.95	10.1%	2.4%	117	+1.09	4.20	327	69
Oscar Rivera L 2015 · 3.68 FIP	34	SP	3.68	14.2%	6.9%	1.7%	.298	4.66	10.4%	3.0%	129	+0.98	3.68	237	66
Arturo Lopez L 2016 · 5.26 FIP	33	SP	5.26	11.5%	7.9%	3.9%	.341	4.92	11.3%	5.2%	224	-0.34	4.34	445	66
Enrique Lechuga L 2017 · 3.78 FIP	31	SP	3.78	10.5%	6.1%	1.5%	.390	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	137	65
Tsuyoshi Wada L 2015 · 3.66 FIP	34	SP	3.66	16.8%	7.1%	2.0%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	119	64
Mauricio Lara L 2015 · 3.62 FIP	36	SP	3.62	13.9%	6.9%	1.5%	.310	3.69	12.1%	5.1%	220	+0.07	3.62	444	64
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	33	SP-	4.21	17.7%	8.2%	2.9%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	146	64
James Russell L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	33	SP	4.28	16.2%	3.2%	3.9%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	2.66	233	62
Roy Merritt L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	31	SP	3.95	16.2%	5.8%	2.7%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	129	62
Josh Outman L 2017 · 5.08 FIP	32	SP-	5.08	12.7%	10.7%	3.1%	.322	6.73	12.9%	-5.6%	34	+1.65	4.53	106	61
Matt Dermody L 2023 · 3.93 FIP	33	SP	3.93	20.0%	4.6%	3.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	348	60
Eric Stults L 2015 · 4.27 FIP	35	SP	4.27	14.5%	5.9%	3.0%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	138	59
Jonathon Niese L 2019 · 5.67 FIP	32	SP	5.67	10.9%	8.2%	4.5%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	368	57

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	49	18.0%	7.3%	1.46	4.86
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21