Mike Clevinger

P Indianapolis Indians

Age 36 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AAA peak 0.5 · 2027

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	33	MIX2 levels	10	10	38	5.97	5.20	19.8%	8.5%	-0.1	K 18.2% · BB 8.1% · FIP 5.15
2025	34	MIX2 levels	30	22	106	4.40	4.61	21.1%	9.6%	0.4	K 18.8% · BB 7.6% · FIP 4.31
2026	35	MIX3 levels	22	3	30	4.15	3.07	23.4%	8.6%	—	K 19.7% · BB 7.7% · FIP 3.57
2027PROJ	36	MLBPIT	26	26	154	4.50	4.52	19.5%	7.9%	0.7
2028PROJ	37	MLBPIT	22	22	134	4.75	4.92	18.4%	8.6%	-0.0
2029PROJ	38	MLBPIT	19	19	115	5.11	5.35	17.2%	9.3%	-0.6

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.2 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff52Control51Command46FB velo55

CompsJarrett Grube (age 35) · Jesse Estrada (age 35) · Yasutomo Kubo (age 38)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.50

FIP4.52

K%19.5%

BB%7.9%

K-BB%11.6%

Proj IP154

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 154 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4545

SL+0.5 (19%)

CH (15%)

SI (3%)

CT (22%)

FB-2.1 (43%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	27	26	158	639	145	40	8	96%	5.9	18.4%	6.9%	11.5%	1.8%	2.73	3.40	—
2015	24	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	27	26	158	639	145	40	8	96%	5.9	22.7%	6.3%	16.4%	1.3%	2.73	2.68	—
2016	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	27	146	613	147	64	16	79%	4.3	22.1%	10.7%	11.4%	2.6%	3.82	4.02	+1.5
2016	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	27	146	613	147	64	16	79%	4.3	24.0%	10.4%	13.5%	2.6%	3.82	3.83	+1.9
2017	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	28	156	642	175	72	16	82%	4.6	26.5%	11.3%	15.2%	2.4%	3.01	3.64	+2.4
2017	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	28	156	642	175	72	16	82%	4.6	27.3%	11.2%	16.0%	2.5%	3.01	3.58	+2.5
2018	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	32	32	200	810	207	67	21	100%	6.2	25.6%	8.3%	17.3%	2.6%	3.02	3.42	+3.7
2018	27	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	32	32	200	810	207	67	21	100%	6.2	25.6%	8.3%	17.3%	2.6%	3.02	3.40	+3.7
2019	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	23	133	529	178	39	11	100%	5.8	33.9%	7.4%	26.5%	2.0%	2.83	2.28	+4.6
2019	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	23	133	529	178	39	11	100%	5.8	33.6%	7.4%	26.3%	2.1%	2.83	2.38	+4.4
2020	29	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	8	8	42	162	40	14	6	100%	5.2	24.7%	8.6%	16.0%	3.6%	3.02	4.09	+0.4
2020	29	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	8	8	42	162	40	14	6	100%	5.2	24.7%	8.6%	16.0%	3.7%	3.02	4.06	+0.4
2022	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	25	123	520	106	37	21	96%	4.7	18.8%	7.2%	11.5%	4.0%	4.17	4.64	+0.4
2022	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	25	123	520	106	37	21	96%	4.7	20.4%	7.1%	13.3%	4.0%	4.17	4.50	+0.6
2023	32	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	24	24	131	549	110	40	16	100%	5.5	20.0%	7.3%	12.8%	2.9%	3.77	3.90	+1.6
2023	32	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	24	24	131	549	110	40	16	100%	5.5	20.0%	7.3%	12.8%	2.9%	3.77	3.92	+1.5
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	10	38	177	35	15	8	100%	3.8	18.2%	8.1%	10.1%	4.7%	5.97	5.15	-0.1
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	10	38	177	35	15	8	100%	3.8	18.2%	8.1%	10.1%	4.7%	5.97	5.15	-0.1
2024	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	10	38	177	35	15	8	100%	3.8	19.8%	8.5%	11.3%	4.5%	5.97	5.20	-0.1
2025	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	22	106	456	96	44	17	73%	3.5	18.8%	7.6%	11.2%	3.3%	4.40	4.31	+0.7
2025	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	22	106	456	96	44	17	73%	3.5	18.8%	7.6%	11.2%	3.3%	4.40	4.31	+0.7
2025	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	22	106	456	96	44	17	73%	3.5	21.1%	9.6%	11.4%	3.7%	4.40	4.61	+0.4
2026	35	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	3	30	128	30	11	2	14%	1.4	19.7%	7.7%	11.9%	2.1%	4.15	3.57	—
2026	35	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	3	30	128	30	11	2	14%	1.4	19.7%	7.7%	11.9%	2.1%	4.15	3.57	—
2026	35	MIX RAW	3 levels	22	3	30	128	30	11	2	14%	1.4	23.4%	8.6%	14.8%	1.6%	4.15	3.07	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			164	142	810	3349	822	296	98	87%	4.9	24.5%	8.8%	15.7%	2.9%	3.55	3.74	+11.3
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	36	MLB	PIT	26	26	154	650	127	51	20	100%	5.9	19.5%	7.9%	11.6%	3.1%	4.50	4.52	+0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	37	MLB MLE	PIT	22	22	134	565	104	48	20	100%	6.1	18.4%	8.6%	9.8%	3.5%	4.75	4.92	-0.0
2029	38	MLB MLE	PIT	19	19	115	486	84	45	19	100%	6.1	17.2%	9.3%	8.0%	3.9%	5.11	5.35	-0.6
2028	37	MLB CTX	PIT	22	22	134	566	104	48	20	100%	6.1	18.4%	8.6%	9.8%	3.5%	4.75	4.92	-0.0
2029	38	MLB CTX	PIT	19	19	115	486	84	45	19	100%	6.1	17.2%	9.3%	8.0%	3.9%	5.11	5.35	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		206	184	1059	4401	1010	389	137	89%	5.1	22.9%	8.8%	14.1%	3.1%	3.87	3.99	+11.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	35	200	831	191	73	26	89%	5.2	22.9%	8.8%	14.1%	3.1%	3.87	3.99	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		270	228	1263	5225	1200	439	143	84%	4.7	23.0%	8.4%	14.6%	2.7%	3.48	3.73	+10.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		43	36	200	827	190	70	23	84%	4.7	23.0%	8.4%	14.6%	2.7%	3.48	3.73	+2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mike Clevinger (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	19.5%	7.9%	3.1%	—	5.12	17.9%	9.0%	249	+0.60	—	—	—
Jarrett Grube R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	35	SP	4.41	15.8%	8.1%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	393	71
Jesse Estrada R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	35	SP-	4.34	14.4%	6.6%	2.9%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	257	67
Yasutomo Kubo R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	38	SP	3.98	20.4%	4.7%	3.6%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	152	66
Jorge Martinez R 2019 · 3.71 FIP	34	SP	3.71	16.3%	5.7%	2.3%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	214	65
Frankie De La Cruz R 2019 · 4.38 FIP	35	SP-	4.38	16.2%	8.0%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	262	64
Yoanner Negrin R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	35	SP	3.87	17.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	485	64
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	36	SP-	4.20	15.8%	5.6%	3.1%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.97	567	62
Walter Silva R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	38	SP	4.15	14.8%	7.4%	2.5%	.311	3.91	10.4%	3.7%	209	-0.24	3.67	453	62
Kenshin Kawakami R 2010 · 4.06 FIP	35	SP	4.06	15.1%	5.6%	2.8%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.97	244	60
Jose Oyervides R 2017 · 5.38 FIP	35	SP	5.38	18.0%	6.3%	5.5%	.254	5.66	16.3%	5.1%	115	+0.28	3.01	407	58
Pablo Ortega R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	38	SP	4.52	8.6%	7.3%	2.2%	.291	4.24	11.5%	6.0%	236	-0.28	4.01	375	58
David Buchanan R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	35	SP-	4.26	14.7%	6.5%	2.9%	.337	5.56	12.2%	4.1%	29	+1.30	3.88	560	57
Chris Smith R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	36	SP-	5.08	15.6%	7.5%	4.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	477	55
Jonathan Castellanos R 2017 · 4.91 FIP	35	SP	4.91	8.4%	9.2%	2.5%	.314	5.24	11.0%	2.0%	67	+0.33	3.40	394	54
Angel Castro R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	34	SP	3.51	14.5%	7.4%	1.3%	.332	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	292	54
Francisco Rodriguez R 2019 · 5.18 FIP	36	SP	5.18	10.7%	9.3%	3.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	334	52
Ivan Maldonado R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	36	SP	5.41	6.4%	9.7%	3.0%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.60	172	49
Juan Delgadillo R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	34	SP	4.47	10.9%	6.2%	2.7%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	143	45
Jon Leicester R 2015 · 3.76 FIP	36	SP	3.76	12.3%	5.9%	1.7%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	113	44
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	38

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	6.1	121	22.5%	8.8%	1.20	3.95
Danny Duffy ('21)	5.9	107	21.1%	8.7%	1.11	3.95
Carmen Hill ('15-'30, 11 WAR*)	3.9	112	20.8%*	9.0%*	1.14*	3.66*
Don Gullett ('70-'78, 21 WAR*)	7.0	154	22.8%*	8.5%*	1.16*	3.77*
Jake Odorizzi ('22)	6.3	139	22.2%	8.1%	1.23	3.99
James Paxton ('24)	4.8	95	25.3%	7.9%	1.05	3.77
Tom Hughes ('06-'18, 12 WAR*)	4.3	144	25.9%*	8.3%*	1.10*	4.14*