Scott Barlow

P Athletics

Age 34 RHP 6'3" / 210 lbs MLB

Overview

MLBRP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	31	MLBCLE	63	0	55	4.25	3.68	28.2%	12.4%	0.6
2025	32	MLBCIN	75	1	68	4.21	4.27	24.8%	13.9%	0.2
2026	33	MIX2 levels	47	0	48	6.23	6.58	19.6%	14.6%	-1.1	K 18.7% · BB 13.9% · FIP 6.46
2027PROJ	34	MLBOAK	44	0	46	4.97	5.29	21.7%	13.2%	-0.4
2028PROJ	35	MLBOAK	39	0	41	5.37	5.63	20.7%	13.8%	-0.5

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.3 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

Whiff%90

K%28

xwOBA vs11

FB Velo10

CompsBlake Parker (age 34) · Joe Nelson (age 34) · Scott McGough (age 34)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 118

ERA4.97

FIP5.29

K%21.7%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%8.4%

Proj IP46

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5050

CTRL3030

CMD4040

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.0

Whiff%

p9033.1%

p2819.0%

xwOBA vs

p110.358

SI (13%)

CU (34%)

SL (39%)

FB-2.7 (26%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	22	MIX MLE	4 levels	19	18	89	384	79	40	7	95%	4.7	16.4%	12.3%	4.2%	1.9%	3.35	4.29	—
2015	22	MIX RAW	4 levels	19	18	89	384	79	40	7	95%	4.7	20.6%	10.4%	10.2%	1.8%	3.35	3.70	—
2016	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	24	23	124	551	102	51	9	96%	5.2	15.0%	10.2%	4.8%	1.9%	3.98	4.18	—
2016	23	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	24	23	124	551	102	51	9	96%	5.2	18.5%	9.3%	9.3%	1.6%	3.98	3.63	—
2017	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	140	578	160	60	15	100%	5.4	22.9%	11.2%	11.6%	2.6%	3.29	4.02	—
2017	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	140	578	160	60	15	100%	5.4	27.7%	10.4%	17.3%	2.6%	3.29	3.49	—
2018	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	22	13	69	304	75	26	11	59%	3.1	21.6%	8.8%	12.8%	4.1%	4.98	4.63	+0.2
2018	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	22	13	69	304	75	26	11	59%	3.1	24.7%	8.6%	16.1%	3.6%	4.98	4.13	+0.6
2019	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	64	0	76	332	97	37	6	0%	1.2	29.7%	11.0%	18.7%	2.1%	3.89	3.13	+1.3
2019	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	64	0	76	332	97	37	6	0%	1.2	29.2%	11.1%	18.1%	1.8%	3.89	3.03	+1.4
2020	27	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	32	0	30	125	39	7	4	0%	0.9	31.2%	5.6%	25.6%	3.5%	4.20	3.07	+0.5
2020	27	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	32	0	30	125	39	7	4	0%	0.9	31.2%	5.6%	25.6%	3.2%	4.20	2.93	+0.6
2021	28	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	71	0	74	306	91	26	4	0%	1.0	29.7%	8.5%	21.2%	1.4%	2.42	2.44	+1.9
2021	28	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	71	0	74	306	91	26	4	0%	1.0	29.7%	8.5%	21.2%	1.3%	2.42	2.40	+1.9
2022	29	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	69	0	74	290	77	21	9	0%	1.1	26.6%	7.2%	19.3%	3.4%	2.18	3.62	+0.8
2022	29	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	69	0	74	290	77	21	9	0%	1.1	26.6%	7.2%	19.3%	3.1%	2.18	3.45	+1.0
2023	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	63	0	68	299	79	31	4	0%	1.1	26.4%	10.4%	16.1%	1.3%	4.37	2.90	+1.3
2023	30	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	63	0	68	299	79	31	4	0%	1.1	26.4%	10.4%	16.1%	1.3%	4.37	2.91	+1.3
2024	31	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	63	0	55	241	68	30	6	0%	0.9	28.2%	12.4%	15.8%	2.5%	4.25	3.66	+0.6
2024	31	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	63	0	55	241	68	30	6	0%	0.9	28.2%	12.4%	15.8%	2.5%	4.25	3.66	+0.6
2024	31	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	63	0	55	241	68	30	6	0%	0.9	28.2%	12.4%	15.8%	2.5%	4.25	3.68	+0.6
2025	32	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	75	1	68	303	75	42	8	1%	0.9	24.8%	13.9%	10.9%	2.4%	4.21	4.11	+0.4
2025	32	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	75	1	68	303	75	42	8	1%	0.9	24.8%	13.9%	10.9%	2.4%	4.21	4.11	+0.4
2025	32	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	75	1	68	303	75	42	8	1%	0.9	24.8%	13.9%	10.9%	2.6%	4.21	4.27	+0.2
2026	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	48	219	43	32	12	0%	1.0	18.7%	13.9%	4.8%	5.8%	6.23	6.46	-1.1
2026	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	48	219	43	32	12	0%	1.0	18.7%	13.9%	4.8%	5.8%	6.23	6.46	-1.1
2026	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	48	219	43	32	12	0%	1.0	19.6%	14.6%	5.0%	5.5%	6.23	6.58	-1.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			476	1	489	2091	565	211	50	0%	1.0	27.0%	10.1%	16.9%	2.4%	3.79	3.41	+6.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	34	MLB	OAK	44	0	46	194	42	26	7	0%	1.0	21.7%	13.2%	8.4%	3.6%	4.97	5.29	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	35	MLB MLE	OAK	39	0	41	174	36	24	7	0%	1.1	20.7%	13.8%	6.9%	3.9%	5.37	5.63	-0.5
2028	35	MLB CTX	OAK	39	0	41	173	36	24	7	0%	1.1	20.7%	13.8%	6.9%	3.9%	5.37	5.63	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		515	1	530	2265	601	235	57	0%	1.0	26.5%	10.4%	16.2%	2.5%	3.92	3.55	+6.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		194	0	200	855	227	89	22	0%	1.0	26.5%	10.4%	16.2%	2.5%	3.92	3.55	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		575	81	915	3932	912	419	100	14%	1.6	23.2%	10.6%	12.5%	2.6%	3.80	3.89	+6.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		126	18	200	859	199	91	22	14%	1.6	23.2%	10.6%	12.5%	2.6%	3.80	3.89	+2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Scott Barlow (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	21.7%	13.2%	3.6%	—	5.63	20.7%	6.9%	41	+0.34	—	—	—
Blake Parker R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	34	SU	4.65	25.5%	8.6%	4.8%	.258	4.26	24.9%	15.4%	87	-0.39	2.52	406	67
Joe Nelson R 2009 · 5.35 FIP	34	SU	5.35	19.8%	14.3%	3.9%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	139	66
Scott McGough R 2024 · 4.56 FIP	34	SU	4.56	18.6%	12.2%	2.7%	.289	3.82	20.3%	13.1%	57	-0.74	3.55	429	66
Matt Miller R 2006 · 4.98 FIP	34	SU	4.98	18.5%	13.8%	3.1%	.214	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	101	65
Jean Machi R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	34	SU	4.36	18.3%	6.6%	3.6%	.282	4.12	18.6%	12.0%	67	-0.24	2.16	306	62
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2019 · 6.14 FIP	34	SU	6.14	17.9%	14.2%	5.0%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	170	62
Diego Moreno R 2021 · 4.75 FIP	34	SU	4.75	18.6%	9.4%	3.7%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	187	61
Junior Guerra R 2019 · 4.13 FIP	34	SU	4.13	22.4%	9.9%	3.0%	.212	4.12	20.0%	5.9%	89	-0.01	3.18	646	60
Jim Miller R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	34	SU	5.43	20.4%	14.1%	4.1%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	140	60
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	60
Scott Proctor R 2011 · 6.33 FIP	34	SU	6.33	14.4%	12.9%	5.1%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.68	337	59
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	58
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	58
Dale Thayer R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	34	SU	4.34	15.8%	7.0%	3.1%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	2.75	239	57
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	57
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	56
Daniel Guerrero R 2019 · 5.59 FIP	34	SW	5.59	14.7%	11.1%	4.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	4.61	269	55
Scott Atchison R 2010 · 4.59 FIP	34	SU	4.59	16.2%	6.7%	3.6%	.263	2.98	15.7%	11.1%	127	-1.61	2.52	340	55
Giovanni Carrara R 2002 · 4.78 FIP	34	SU	4.78	14.5%	7.2%	3.6%	.239	3.83	17.1%	7.9%	158	-0.95	2.50	462	55
Matt Bush R 2018 · 4.72 FIP	32	SU	4.72	17.6%	13.0%	2.7%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	249	54

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.9	58	26.1%	11.3%	1.01	4.00
John Axford ('21)	2.6	58	25.6%	11.3%	0.86	3.90
Michael Wuertz ('11)	2.1	52	25.3%	11.3%	0.96	3.71
Brad Brach ('21)	2.8	61	25.1%	11.2%	0.93	3.55
Jeff Parrett ('86-'96, 6 WAR*)	3.6	72	24.8%*	11.0%*	1.02*	4.07*
Rob Murphy ('85-'95, 6 WAR*)	3.1	69	25.2%*	9.2%*	1.07*	3.94*
Alberto Reyes ('95-'08, 5 WAR*)	2.1	54	27.1%*	10.2%*	1.18*	3.66*