Thyago Vieira

P Arizona Diamondbacks

Age 34 RHP 6'3" / 259 lbs MLB

Overview

MLBRP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2019	26	MIX2 levels	45	54	6.13	4.09	23.6%	10.8%	0.3	K 21.1% · BB 10.8% · FIP 4.33
2023	30	MIX2 levels	35	41	3.10	2.63	31.0%	9.4%	0.9	K 27.2% · BB 8.4% · FIP 3.10
2024	31	MLBARI	28	38	5.21	5.76	22.0%	14.1%	-0.5
2027PROJ	34	MLBARI	46	48	4.84	4.76	24.8%	12.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ95% MLB	35	MLBARI	39	41	4.95	5.05	23.7%	12.6%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.7 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

FB Velo90

K%49

Whiff%47

xwOBA vs19

CompsAustin Adams (age 32) · Diego Moreno (age 34) · Joe Nelson (age 34)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.84

FIP4.76

K%24.8%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%12.4%

Proj IP48

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL2020

CMD3535

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9097.7

Whiff%

p4724.8%

p4922.0%

xwOBA vs

p190.349

SI (40%)

FB-1.2 (63%)

SL-5.7 (36%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	22	0	31	152	22	20	2	0%	1.4	10.7%	15.5%	-4.8%	2.0%	6.97	5.27	—
2015	22	A RAW	Clinton LumberKings	22	0	31	152	22	20	2	0%	1.4	14.5%	13.2%	1.3%	1.3%	6.97	4.45	—
2016	23	A+ MLE	Bakersfield Blaze	34	0	44	189	53	18	1	0%	1.3	21.6%	11.0%	10.6%	0.7%	2.84	3.04	—
2016	23	A+ RAW	Bakersfield Blaze	34	0	44	189	53	18	1	0%	1.3	28.0%	9.5%	18.5%	0.5%	2.84	2.22	—
2017	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	55	232	47	22	2	0%	1.3	16.6%	10.4%	6.2%	1.0%	3.93	3.57	+0.6
2017	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	0	55	232	47	22	2	0%	1.3	20.3%	9.5%	10.8%	0.9%	3.93	3.06	+1.0
2018	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	59	274	65	33	6	0%	1.1	21.5%	12.5%	9.1%	2.0%	5.68	3.98	+0.4
2018	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	59	274	65	33	6	0%	1.1	23.7%	12.0%	11.7%	2.2%	5.68	3.90	+0.5
2019	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	54	250	59	27	7	0%	1.2	21.1%	10.8%	10.2%	3.0%	6.13	4.33	+0.1
2019	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	54	250	59	27	7	0%	1.2	23.6%	10.8%	12.8%	2.8%	6.13	4.09	+0.3
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	41	171	53	16	3	0%	1.2	27.2%	8.4%	18.9%	2.3%	3.10	3.10	+0.7
2023	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	41	171	53	16	3	0%	1.2	31.0%	9.4%	21.6%	1.8%	3.10	2.63	+0.9
2024	31	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	28	0	38	177	39	25	8	0%	1.4	22.0%	14.1%	7.9%	4.8%	5.21	5.65	-0.5
2024	31	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	28	0	38	177	39	25	8	0%	1.4	22.0%	14.1%	7.9%	4.8%	5.21	5.65	-0.5
2024	31	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	28	0	38	177	39	25	8	0%	1.4	22.0%	14.1%	7.9%	4.5%	5.21	5.76	-0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			53	0	67	312	65	40	12	0%	1.3	20.8%	12.8%	8.0%	3.8%	5.80	5.29	-0.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	34	MLB	ARI	46	0	48	203	50	25	7	0%	1.0	24.8%	12.3%	12.4%	3.3%	4.84	4.76	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	35	MLB MLE	ARI	41	0	43	181	43	23	7	0%	1.0	23.7%	12.6%	11.1%	3.6%	4.95	5.05	-0.2
2028	35	MLB CTX	ARI	39	0	41	173	41	22	6	0%	1.1	23.7%	12.6%	11.1%	3.6%	4.95	5.05	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		92	0	107	484	106	62	18	0%	1.2	21.8%	12.7%	9.1%	3.8%	5.48	4.93	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		171	0	200	901	198	116	34	0%	1.2	21.8%	12.7%	9.1%	3.8%	5.48	4.93	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		258	0	322	1445	293	169	32	0%	1.2	20.3%	11.7%	8.6%	2.2%	4.81	4.09	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		160	0	200	898	182	105	20	0%	1.2	20.3%	11.7%	8.6%	2.2%	4.81	4.09	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Thyago Vieira (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	24.8%	12.3%	3.3%	—	5.05	23.7%	11.1%	43	+0.29	—	—	—
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	73
Diego Moreno R 2021 · 4.75 FIP	34	SU	4.75	18.6%	9.4%	3.7%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	187	72
Joe Nelson R 2009 · 5.35 FIP	34	SU	5.35	19.8%	14.3%	3.9%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	139	69
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	69
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	68
Matt Miller R 2006 · 4.98 FIP	34	SU	4.98	18.5%	13.8%	3.1%	.214	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	101	66
Leo Rosales R 2015 · 3.99 FIP	34	SU	3.99	18.1%	10.8%	1.9%	.261	4.24	7.8%	-0.4%	22	+0.25	3.85	130	66
Matt Bush R 2018 · 4.72 FIP	32	SU	4.72	17.6%	13.0%	2.7%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	249	66
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	66
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	191	64
Jim Miller R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	34	SU	5.43	20.4%	14.1%	4.1%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	140	64
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2018 · 4.07 FIP	34	SW	4.07	23.7%	9.9%	3.1%	.253	5.11	25.0%	13.8%	32	+1.04	3.34	335	64
Jean Machi R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	34	SU	4.36	18.3%	6.6%	3.6%	.282	4.12	18.6%	12.0%	67	-0.24	2.16	306	64
Carlos Fisher R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	34	SU	3.91	18.1%	12.9%	1.3%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	63
Scott McGough R 2024 · 4.56 FIP	34	SU	4.56	18.6%	12.2%	2.7%	.289	3.82	20.3%	13.1%	57	-0.74	3.55	429	61
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	61
Brendan Donnelly R 2005 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	19.6%	5.9%	3.3%	.264	4.02	17.6%	8.5%	98	-0.00	2.23	385	60
Greg Burke R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	22.1%	7.3%	2.7%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	139	60
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	60
Rafael Dolis R 2022 · 3.61 FIP	34	SU	3.61	19.9%	11.9%	1.2%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	200	59

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	52	22.7%	12.8%	1.40	5.28
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*