Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 24 | 117 | 524 | 90 | 55 | 3 | 92% | 4.5 | 13.1% | 12.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 3.92 | 3.77 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 24 | 117 | 524 | 90 | 55 | 3 | 92% | 4.5 | 17.2% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 0.6% | 3.92 | 3.31 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 48 | 229 | 43 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 14.6% | 13.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 6.38 | 4.26 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 48 | 229 | 43 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.8% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 0.9% | 6.38 | 3.54 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | ROK | AZL Reds | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -1.97 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | ROK | AZL Reds | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -5.90 | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 35 | 158 | 46 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | 4.11 | 3.74 | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 35 | 158 | 46 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.1% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 1.9% | 4.11 | 3.30 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 47 | 217 | 72 | 40 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.1% | 19.7% | 8.3% | 1.1% | 4.79 | 3.82 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 47 | 217 | 72 | 40 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 33.2% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 0.9% | 4.79 | 3.14 | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 5 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.3% | 18.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 0.00 | 5.59 | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 5 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.3% | 18.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 0.00 | 6.10 | — |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 30 | 0 | 35 | 163 | 39 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.1% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.69 | 5.79 | — |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 30 | 0 | 35 | 163 | 39 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.9% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 6.69 | 5.36 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | BOS | 18 | 0 | 19 | 79 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 3.5% | 4.94 | 4.94 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 5.04 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 5.04 | 5.15 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 5.04 | 4.77 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 182 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 5.04 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 174 | 24 | 287 | 1318 | 245 | 185 | 19 | 14% | 1.6 | 18.6% | 14.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 4.77 | 4.12 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 121 | 17 | 200 | 918 | 171 | 129 | 13 | 14% | 1.6 | 18.6% | 14.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 4.77 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Adames (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.94 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.5% | — | 5.15 | 21.9% | 10.2% | 20 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 87 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 79 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 79 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 77 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 77 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 77 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 75 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.77 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | .286 | 3.18 | 23.7% | 17.9% | 150 | -1.59 | 2.27 | 426 | 75 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 74 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 74 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 176 | 74 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 73 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.77 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 1.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 272 | 73 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.22 | 17.0% | 8.4% | 2.7% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 227 | 72 |
| Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.06 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 6.10 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +2.04 | 2.54 | 157 | 72 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.54 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | .312 | 4.79 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 49 | -0.75 | 2.37 | 153 | 72 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.31 | 24.3% | 10.0% | 5.5% | .279 | 6.65 | 10.4% | -2.6% | 17 | +1.34 | 3.46 | 160 | 72 |
| Josh Lueke R 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 72 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2024 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 108 | 72 |