Eduardo Rodriguez

P Arizona Diamondbacks

Age 34 LHP 6'2" / 231 lbs MLB Svc 10.0 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 1.4 · 2027

Overview

MLBSP40-MANExtFA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	31	MLBARI	10	10	50	5.04	4.38	21.0%	8.0%	0.3
2025	32	MIX2 levels	30	30	159	5.04	4.59	21.3%	8.3%	0.6	K 20.6% · BB 8.4% · FIP 4.51
2026	33	MLBARI	32	32	190	2.89	3.88	18.1%	7.9%	2.3
2027PROJ	34	MLBARI	24	24	147	4.35	4.58	18.4%	8.0%	0.5
2028PROJ	35	MLBARI	22	22	132	4.59	4.82	17.4%	8.6%	-0.0
2029PROJ	36	MLBARI	20	20	117	4.94	5.18	16.4%	9.2%	-0.5

Last 3 seasons WAR 3.2 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2028Service10.407First FA2028

2027Ext$19M2028Ext$17M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

xwOBA vs44

Whiff%26

K%22

FB Velo16

CompsTsuyoshi Wada (age 34) · Daniel Rodriguez (age 34) · Mauricio Lara (age 36)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100108vR 116

ERA4.35

FIP4.58

K%18.4%

BB%8.0%

K-BB%10.3%

Proj IP147

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 147 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$32M ctrl surplus

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—55

STUF5050

CTRL5555

CMD5555

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1692.1

Whiff%

p2621.9%

p2218.1%

xwOBA vs

p440.318

CH+2.4 (26%)

FB (48%)

SI (8%)

CU (12%)

CT-2.0 (13%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2015

Service 10.407 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Ext	$19M	+0.5	$2M	-$17M
2028	Ext	$17M	—	—	—
Totals		$36M		$2M	-$32M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	29	170	712	142	43	15	100%	5.9	19.2%	6.1%	13.1%	2.2%	3.60	3.45	+3.0
2015	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	29	170	712	142	43	15	100%	5.9	19.9%	6.0%	13.9%	2.1%	3.60	3.34	+3.3
2016	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	145	612	124	46	22	100%	5.4	19.8%	7.6%	12.2%	3.8%	4.28	4.46	+0.8
2016	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	145	612	124	46	22	100%	5.4	20.3%	7.5%	12.7%	3.6%	4.28	4.31	+1.0
2017	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	27	151	644	165	54	20	96%	5.4	25.8%	8.4%	17.4%	3.3%	4.42	3.83	+1.9
2017	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	27	151	644	165	54	20	96%	5.4	25.6%	8.4%	17.2%	3.1%	4.42	3.71	+2.2
2018	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	25	138	584	160	48	16	86%	4.7	26.4%	8.0%	18.4%	3.0%	3.60	3.51	+2.3
2018	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	25	138	584	160	48	16	86%	4.7	27.4%	8.2%	19.2%	2.7%	3.60	3.33	+2.6
2019	26	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	34	34	203	859	213	73	24	100%	6.0	24.8%	8.5%	16.3%	2.9%	3.81	3.66	+3.1
2019	26	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	34	34	203	859	213	73	24	100%	6.0	24.8%	8.5%	16.3%	2.8%	3.81	3.62	+3.2
2021	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	32	31	158	675	185	47	19	97%	4.9	27.4%	7.0%	20.4%	2.9%	4.74	3.25	+3.2
2021	28	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	32	31	158	675	185	47	19	97%	4.9	27.4%	7.0%	20.4%	2.8%	4.74	3.21	+3.3
2022	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	21	109	459	103	37	12	100%	5.2	21.3%	8.1%	13.2%	2.8%	3.55	3.87	+1.3
2022	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	21	109	459	103	37	12	100%	5.2	22.4%	8.1%	14.4%	2.6%	3.55	3.66	+1.6
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	157	637	147	49	15	100%	5.8	23.0%	7.7%	15.3%	2.5%	3.21	3.52	+2.6
2023	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	157	637	147	49	15	100%	5.8	23.1%	7.7%	15.4%	2.4%	3.21	3.41	+2.9
2024	31	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	10	10	50	224	47	18	8	100%	5.0	21.0%	8.0%	12.9%	3.8%	5.04	4.42	+0.3
2024	31	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	10	10	50	224	47	18	8	100%	5.0	21.0%	8.0%	12.9%	3.8%	5.04	4.42	+0.3
2024	31	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	10	10	50	224	47	18	8	100%	5.0	21.0%	8.0%	12.9%	3.6%	5.04	4.38	+0.3
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	30	159	712	152	59	28	100%	5.3	20.6%	8.4%	12.2%	3.8%	5.04	4.51	+0.7
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	30	159	712	152	59	28	100%	5.3	20.6%	8.4%	12.2%	3.8%	5.04	4.51	+0.7
2025	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	30	159	712	152	59	28	100%	5.3	21.3%	8.3%	13.1%	3.9%	5.04	4.59	+0.6
2026	33	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	32	32	190	788	143	62	19	100%	5.9	18.1%	7.9%	10.3%	2.6%	2.89	3.96	+2.1
2026	33	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	32	32	190	788	143	62	19	100%	5.9	18.1%	7.9%	10.3%	2.6%	2.89	3.96	+2.1
2026	33	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	32	32	190	788	143	62	19	100%	5.9	18.1%	7.9%	10.3%	2.4%	2.89	3.88	+2.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			273	267	1494	6367	1440	508	186	98%	5.5	22.6%	8.0%	14.6%	2.9%	4.02	3.81	+19.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	34	MLB	ARI	24	24	147	621	114	50	19	100%	6.1	18.4%	8.0%	10.3%	3.0%	4.35	4.58	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	35	MLB MLE	ARI	22	22	132	556	97	48	18	100%	6.0	17.4%	8.6%	8.8%	3.3%	4.69	4.92	-0.0
2029	36	MLB MLE	ARI	19	19	117	492	81	45	18	100%	6.1	16.4%	9.2%	7.2%	3.7%	5.05	5.29	-0.5
2028	35	MLB CTX	ARI	22	22	132	557	97	48	17	100%	6.0	17.4%	8.6%	8.8%	3.1%	4.59	4.82	-0.0
2029	36	MLB CTX	ARI	20	20	117	494	81	45	17	100%	5.8	16.4%	9.2%	7.2%	3.5%	4.94	5.18	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		314	308	1743	7416	1617	601	221	98%	5.6	21.8%	8.1%	13.7%	3.0%	4.13	3.92	+20.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	35	200	851	186	69	25	98%	5.5	21.8%	8.1%	13.7%	3.0%	4.13	3.92	+2.3
Career	—	MLE		299	293	1629	6906	1557	536	206	98%	5.4	22.5%	7.8%	14.8%	3.0%	3.93	3.82	+18.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		37	36	200	848	191	66	25	98%	5.4	22.5%	7.8%	14.8%	3.0%	3.93	3.82	+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eduardo Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	18.4%	8.0%	3.0%	—	5.09	16.9%	8.0%	248	+0.51	—	—	—
Tsuyoshi Wada L 2015 · 3.66 FIP	34	SP	3.66	16.8%	7.1%	2.0%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	188	50
Daniel Rodriguez L 2019 · 4.77 FIP	34	SP	4.77	20.8%	7.8%	4.5%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	391	48
Mauricio Lara L 2015 · 3.62 FIP	36	SP	3.62	13.9%	6.9%	1.5%	.310	3.69	12.1%	5.1%	220	+0.07	3.62	444	47
Oscar Rivera L 2015 · 3.68 FIP	34	SP	3.68	14.2%	6.9%	1.7%	.298	4.66	10.4%	3.0%	129	+0.98	3.68	237	47
Orlando Lara L 2019 · 4.09 FIP	34	SP	4.09	22.0%	7.8%	3.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	426	46
Jorge Castillo L 2016 · 4.94 FIP	34	SP	4.94	13.0%	4.6%	4.3%	.246	4.93	16.8%	9.2%	179	-0.01	4.50	408	44
Arturo Lopez L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	34	SP	4.34	10.3%	5.4%	2.6%	.342	5.46	12.2%	5.4%	117	+1.12	4.34	445	43
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	33	SP-	4.21	17.7%	8.2%	2.9%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	146	40
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	39
Jose Contreras R 2006 · 3.83 FIP	34	SP	3.83	16.1%	6.1%	2.4%	.277	4.08	14.7%	7.3%	442	+0.25	2.43	1,279	39
Masato Yoshii R 2000 · 5.32 FIP	35	SP	5.32	12.1%	6.5%	4.4%	.302	4.38	13.1%	8.0%	244	-0.94	4.15	757	38
Merrill Kelly R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	34	SP	3.73	25.9%	9.6%	2.9%	.276	4.36	19.7%	12.0%	420	+0.63	3.60	1,170	37
Chris Narveson L 2016 · 4.59 FIP	34	SP-	4.59	16.2%	8.5%	3.2%	.253	4.59	12.2%	1.8%	103	+0.00	4.00	625	36
Marlon Arias L 2019 · 4.83 FIP	34	SP	4.83	19.8%	11.2%	3.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	154	35
Hiroki Kuroda R 2009 · 3.54 FIP	34	SP	3.54	17.9%	4.7%	2.5%	.270	3.43	19.1%	14.2%	618	-0.11	2.96	1,319	28
Francisley Bueno L 2015 · 3.77 FIP	34	SP	3.77	14.8%	7.1%	1.9%	.315	3.99	13.3%	6.6%	110	+0.22	2.43	188	27
Kenshin Kawakami R 2009 · 3.97 FIP	34	SP-	3.97	15.7%	7.6%	2.2%	.277	4.06	15.1%	9.5%	87	+0.09	3.97	244	26
Hisashi Iwakuma R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	34	SP	3.74	21.5%	3.9%	3.6%	.270	4.44	16.9%	11.2%	230	+0.70	3.19	884	25
Tomas Solis L 2017 · 5.48 FIP	34	SP	5.48	11.3%	7.9%	4.2%	.322	6.44	8.9%	1.4%	57	+0.96	4.20	327	25
Manuel Flores R 2019 · 4.32 FIP	33	SP	4.32	17.1%	7.4%	3.1%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	515	25

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	9.4	135	21.5%	8.2%	1.16	4.16
Aníbal Sánchez ('22)	10.1	126	20.6%	8.0%	1.06	4.06
J.A. Happ ('21)	9.5	135	20.6%	8.3%	1.24	4.13
Jake Arrieta ('21)	8.1	134	21.2%	8.5%	1.01	3.98
John Montefusco ('74-'86, 20 WAR*)	8.3	150	22.5%*	7.3%*	1.20*	4.16*
Bob Ojeda ('80-'94, 22 WAR*)	9.4	135	19.1%*	8.5%*	0.97*	4.08*
Todd Stottlemyre ('88-'02, 24 WAR*)	11.0	157	20.9%*	8.1%*	1.18*	4.26*