Adam Plutko — OGILVIE

Adam Plutko P Louisville Bats

Age 34 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.30

FIP5.25

K%13.0%

BB%6.1%

K-BB%6.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL6060

CMD5555

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.6

Whiff%

p4224.2%

p1617.3%

xwOBA vs

p100.379

FB-3.5

CT-6.6

SL-7.5

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	166	646	137	28	12	100%	6.1	16.9%	4.8%	12.1%	2.5%	2.39	3.65	—
2015	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	166	646	137	28	12	100%	6.1	21.2%	4.3%	16.9%	1.9%	2.39	2.90	—
2016	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	28	165	681	133	47	14	93%	5.5	16.6%	7.2%	9.4%	2.1%	3.81	3.79	+2.2
2016	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	28	165	681	133	47	14	93%	5.5	19.5%	6.9%	12.6%	2.1%	3.81	3.44	+2.9
2017	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	24	22	136	585	103	51	24	92%	5.7	15.5%	9.2%	6.3%	3.7%	5.90	4.96	—
2017	25	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	24	22	136	585	103	51	24	92%	5.7	17.6%	8.7%	8.9%	4.1%	5.90	5.01	—
2018	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	26	161	641	141	38	26	84%	5.2	20.5%	6.1%	14.4%	4.0%	3.40	4.36	+1.0
2018	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	26	161	641	141	38	26	84%	5.2	22.0%	5.9%	16.1%	4.1%	3.40	4.15	+1.4
2019	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	125	533	94	28	23	96%	5.0	17.3%	5.3%	12.0%	4.3%	5.18	4.70	+0.3
2019	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	125	533	94	28	23	96%	5.0	17.6%	5.3%	12.4%	4.3%	5.18	4.66	+0.3
2020	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	10	4	28	116	15	7	5	40%	2.8	12.9%	6.0%	6.9%	4.3%	4.88	5.14	-0.2
2020	28	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	10	4	28	116	15	7	5	40%	2.8	12.9%	6.0%	6.9%	4.3%	4.88	5.12	-0.2
2021	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	1	68	312	57	31	22	2%	1.4	17.8%	10.0%	7.8%	6.7%	7.24	6.53	-1.6
2021	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	1	68	312	57	31	22	2%	1.4	18.3%	9.9%	8.3%	7.1%	7.24	6.98	-1.9
2024	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	13	61	249	50	14	8	93%	4.4	16.7%	5.2%	11.5%	3.5%	4.28	4.25	—
2024	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	13	61	249	50	14	8	93%	4.4	16.7%	5.2%	11.5%	3.5%	4.28	4.25	—
2024	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	13	61	249	50	14	8	93%	4.4	20.1%	5.6%	14.5%	3.2%	4.28	3.85	—
2025	33	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	21	20	99	419	61	30	17	95%	4.7	12.1%	6.4%	5.6%	5.0%	4.74	5.61	—
2025	33	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	21	20	99	419	61	30	17	95%	4.7	12.1%	6.4%	5.6%	5.0%	4.74	5.61	—
2025	33	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	21	20	99	419	61	30	17	95%	4.7	14.6%	7.2%	7.4%	4.1%	4.74	5.02	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			88	37	274	1177	200	81	66	42%	3.1	17.0%	6.9%	10.1%	5.6%	5.39	5.66	-3.5
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	34	MLB	CIN	1	1	5	21	3	1	1	100%	5.0	13.0%	6.1%	6.9%	3.8%	5.30	5.25	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	CIN	9	9	56	235	28	16	10	100%	6.2	12.0%	6.6%	5.4%	4.2%	5.47	5.58	-0.4
2028	36	MLB MLE	CIN	8	8	49	208	23	15	9	100%	6.2	11.0%	7.2%	3.8%	4.5%	5.76	5.95	-0.6
2029	37	MLB MLE	CIN	7	7	43	181	18	14	9	100%	6.1	10.0%	7.9%	2.1%	4.9%	6.11	6.35	-0.7
2027	35	MLB CTX	CIN	1	1	3	13	2	1	1	100%	3.0	12.0%	6.6%	5.4%	4.2%	5.47	5.58	-0.0
2028	36	MLB CTX	CIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	11.0%	7.2%	3.8%	4.5%	5.76	5.95	—
2029	37	MLB CTX	CIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	10.0%	7.9%	2.1%	4.9%	6.11	6.35	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		89	38	277	1190	202	82	67	43%	3.1	16.9%	6.9%	10.1%	5.6%	5.39	5.61	-3.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		64	27	200	860	146	59	48	42%	3.1	16.9%	6.9%	10.1%	5.6%	5.39	5.61	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		230	165	1009	4182	699	279	156	72%	4.4	16.7%	6.7%	10.0%	3.7%	4.34	4.59	-4.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	33	200	829	138	55	31	72%	4.4	16.7%	6.7%	10.0%	3.7%	4.34	4.59	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adam Plutko (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.25	13.0%	6.1%	3.8%	—	5.93	11.1%	3.9%	148	+0.68	—	—	—
Roberto Hernandez R 2015 · 4.38 FIP	34	SP-	4.38	11.8%	6.7%	2.6%	.287	4.38	13.8%	6.8%	86	+0.00	4.38	171	78
Sergio Valenzuela R 2017 · 5.66 FIP	32	SP	5.66	10.6%	6.5%	4.8%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	244	73
Guillermo Moscoso R 2018 · 5.07 FIP	34	SP-	5.07	18.2%	8.4%	4.5%	.318	4.35	12.6%	5.9%	104	-0.72	3.77	264	73
Alfredo Aceves R 2017 · 5.10 FIP	34	SP	5.10	8.9%	8.9%	3.0%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	4.78	160	71
Andres Ivan Meza R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	32	SP	4.33	11.7%	7.7%	2.3%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	275	70
Sergio Mitre R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	36	SP	4.76	9.7%	4.8%	3.4%	.282	4.54	11.8%	5.3%	103	-0.22	4.54	156	70
Juan Delgadillo R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	34	SP	4.47	10.9%	6.2%	2.7%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	143	68
Leo Medrano R 2016 · 4.34 FIP	33	SP	4.34	11.0%	7.3%	2.3%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	222	66
Rolando Valdez R 2019 · 5.36 FIP	33	SP-	5.36	11.7%	7.6%	4.2%	.360	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	258	66
Jarrett Grube R 2016 · 4.74 FIP	34	SP-	4.74	18.9%	7.2%	4.2%	.280	4.41	15.8%	7.7%	134	-0.33	3.75	393	66
Jeremy Guthrie R 2015 · 5.44 FIP	36	SP-	5.44	12.7%	6.5%	4.7%	.309	4.85	11.6%	3.0%	87	-0.59	4.85	235	65
Jason Berken R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	32	SW	4.54	11.5%	8.3%	2.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	4.34	219	65
Logan Ondrusek R 2019 · 6.18 FIP	34	SP-	6.18	16.6%	8.9%	6.1%	.326	4.34	19.2%	11.9%	43	-1.84	4.34	138	65
Kyle Lohse R 2015 · 4.77 FIP	36	SP-	4.77	16.2%	6.0%	4.2%	.309	4.97	14.8%	8.8%	59	+0.20	4.77	211	63
Thad Weber R 2017 · 5.25 FIP	32	SP-	5.25	13.2%	4.4%	4.9%	.398	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	363	63
Jerome Williams R 2016 · 5.81 FIP	34	SW	5.81	11.7%	6.1%	5.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.72	195	63
Rob Wooten R 2019 · 4.98 FIP	34	SP	4.98	16.1%	3.6%	5.1%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	191	62
Chris Young R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	36	SP-	4.69	16.6%	8.6%	3.5%	.209	6.33	21.1%	11.4%	119	+1.64	4.69	242	62
Jesse Estrada R 2017 · 5.39 FIP	33	SP	5.39	8.3%	5.6%	4.2%	.285	4.34	14.4%	7.8%	85	-1.05	3.80	257	62
Francisco Rodriguez R 2017 · 4.43 FIP	34	SP	4.43	11.4%	8.2%	2.3%	.305	5.18	10.7%	1.4%	83	+0.75	3.16	273	62

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	52	11.7%	6.9%	1.67	5.62
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Ty Blach ('24)	2.5	84	12.8%	6.9%	1.23	5.56
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43