Adam Plutko
P
Louisville Bats
Age 34
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147137vR 128
ERA5.48
FIP5.42
K%13.7%
BB%7.0%
K-BB%6.6%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1091.6
Whiff%
p4224.2%
K%
p1617.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.379
FB-3.5
CT-6.6
SL-7.5
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 166 | 646 | 137 | 28 | 12 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.9% | 4.8% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 2.39 | 3.88 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 166 | 646 | 137 | 28 | 12 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.2% | 4.3% | 16.9% | 1.9% | 2.39 | 2.90 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 28 | 165 | 681 | 133 | 47 | 14 | 93% | 5.5 | 16.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 2.1% | 3.81 | 3.76 | +3.2 |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 28 | 165 | 681 | 133 | 47 | 14 | 93% | 5.5 | 19.5% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 2.1% | 3.81 | 3.44 | +3.8 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 24 | 22 | 136 | 585 | 103 | 51 | 24 | 92% | 5.7 | 15.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 5.90 | 4.64 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 24 | 22 | 136 | 585 | 103 | 51 | 24 | 92% | 5.7 | 17.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 5.90 | 5.01 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 26 | 161 | 641 | 141 | 38 | 26 | 84% | 5.2 | 20.5% | 6.1% | 14.4% | 4.0% | 3.40 | 4.32 | +2.0 |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 26 | 161 | 641 | 141 | 38 | 26 | 84% | 5.2 | 22.0% | 5.9% | 16.1% | 4.1% | 3.40 | 4.15 | +2.4 |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 125 | 533 | 94 | 28 | 23 | 96% | 5.0 | 17.3% | 5.3% | 12.0% | 4.4% | 5.18 | 4.71 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 125 | 533 | 94 | 28 | 23 | 96% | 5.0 | 17.6% | 5.3% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 5.18 | 4.66 | +1.1 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 10 | 4 | 28 | 116 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 40% | 2.8 | 12.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.88 | 5.15 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 10 | 4 | 28 | 116 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 40% | 2.8 | 12.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.88 | 5.12 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 1 | 68 | 312 | 57 | 31 | 22 | 2% | 1.4 | 17.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.24 | 6.60 | -1.5 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 1 | 68 | 312 | 57 | 31 | 22 | 2% | 1.4 | 18.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.24 | 6.98 | -1.8 |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 13 | 61 | 249 | 50 | 14 | 8 | 93% | 4.4 | 17.7% | 6.0% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.28 | 4.21 | — |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 13 | 61 | 249 | 50 | 14 | 8 | 93% | 4.4 | 20.1% | 5.6% | 14.5% | 3.2% | 4.28 | 3.85 | — |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 21 | 20 | 99 | 419 | 61 | 30 | 17 | 95% | 4.7 | 12.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.74 | 6.02 | — |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 21 | 20 | 99 | 419 | 61 | 30 | 17 | 95% | 4.7 | 14.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 4.74 | 5.02 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 10 | 62 | 261 | 36 | 18 | 11 | 100% | 6.2 | 13.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.48 | 5.42 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 9 | 9 | 56 | 235 | 30 | 18 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 12.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.65 | 5.76 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 8 | 49 | 208 | 24 | 17 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.94 | 6.13 | -0.9 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 7 | 43 | 181 | 19 | 16 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 10.6% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 5.1% | 6.29 | 6.53 | -1.0 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 100% | 3.0 | 12.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.65 | 5.76 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.94 | 6.13 | — |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.6% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 5.1% | 6.29 | 6.53 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 89 | 38 | 277 | 1190 | 202 | 82 | 67 | 43% | 3.1 | 16.9% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 5.40 | 5.61 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 27 | 200 | 860 | 146 | 59 | 48 | 42% | 3.1 | 16.9% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 5.40 | 5.61 | -0.5 | ||
| Career | — | 230 | 165 | 1009 | 4182 | 704 | 286 | 158 | 72% | 4.4 | 16.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 4.34 | 4.61 | +9.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 33 | 200 | 829 | 140 | 57 | 31 | 72% | 4.4 | 16.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 4.34 | 4.61 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Adam Plutko (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.42 | 13.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | — | 6.11 | 11.7% | 3.6% | 148 | +0.69 | — | — | — |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.26 | 11.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | .287 | 4.22 | 13.8% | 6.8% | 86 | -0.04 | 4.22 | 171 | 76 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 34 | SP- | 5.03 | 18.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | .318 | 4.19 | 12.6% | 5.9% | 104 | -0.84 | 3.79 | 264 | 75 |
| Sergio Valenzuela R 2024 · 5.47 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.47 | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 244 | 74 |
| Matt Garza R 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.74 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 365 | 71 |
| Alfredo Aceves R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.97 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.71 | 160 | 71 |
| Mike Pelfrey R 2025 · 5.65 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.65 | 14.5% | 10.6% | 4.4% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 404 | 70 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2024 · 4.37 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.37 | 11.7% | 7.7% | 2.4% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 275 | 70 |
| Sergio Mitre R 2028 · 5.02 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.02 | 9.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | .282 | 4.48 | 11.8% | 5.3% | 103 | -0.54 | 4.48 | 156 | 69 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.56 | 10.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.56 | 143 | 68 |
| Rolando Valdez R 2025 · 5.15 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.15 | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.8% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.98 | 258 | 67 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2026 · 6.32 FIP | 34 | SP- | 6.32 | 16.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | .326 | 4.35 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 43 | -1.97 | 4.35 | 138 | 67 |
| Jarrett Grube R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 34 | SP- | 5.05 | 18.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | .280 | 4.16 | 15.8% | 7.7% | 134 | -0.89 | 3.49 | 393 | 66 |
| Leo Medrano R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.34 | 11.0% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 222 | 66 |
| Clay Buchholz R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 34 | SP | 5.36 | 15.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 433 | 66 |
| Matt Cain R 2024 · 4.83 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.83 | 13.2% | 7.6% | 3.4% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.83 | 294 | 65 |
| Jeremy Guthrie R 2028 · 5.42 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.42 | 12.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | .309 | 5.00 | 11.6% | 3.0% | 87 | -0.42 | 5.00 | 235 | 65 |
| Jerome Williams R 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.94 | 11.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.79 | 195 | 65 |
| Jason Berken R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.31 | 11.5% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 219 | 64 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2028 · 4.98 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.98 | 16.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | .309 | 5.53 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 59 | +0.55 | 4.98 | 211 | 63 |
| Chris Young R 2028 · 4.67 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.6% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .209 | 6.29 | 21.1% | 11.4% | 119 | +1.62 | 4.67 | 242 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 52 | 12.3% | 7.8% | 1.74 | 5.80 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |