Taylor Rogers
P
Minnesota Twins
+0.3
WAR
Age 35
LHP
6'3" / 190 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA3.83
FIP4.28
xFIP5.14
SIERA4.95
K%24.7%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%15.4%
IP47
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL4545
CMD5050
K†5555
FB Velo
p2592.7
Whiff%
p3523.2%
K%
p6024.0%
xwOBA vs
p470.315
CT+0.8 (19%)
SI (35%)
FB (36%)
SL-0.7 (45%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 28 | 27 | 174 | 732 | 126 | 42 | 9 | 15.1% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 3.98 | 3.35 | +3.8 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 64 | 2 | 79 | 349 | 79 | 19 | 8 | 22.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 4.08 | 3.27 | +1.7 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 69 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 49 | 16 | 6 | 20.7% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 3.07 | 3.49 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 72 | 0 | 68 | 260 | 75 | 13 | 3 | 28.8% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 2.63 | 1.84 | +2.5 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 60 | 0 | 69 | 278 | 90 | 9 | 8 | 32.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.61 | 2.42 | +2.0 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 21 | 0 | 20 | 91 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 26.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 4.05 | 2.71 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 40 | 0 | 40 | 166 | 59 | 6 | 4 | 35.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.35 | 1.95 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 66 | 0 | 64 | 274 | 84 | 17 | 7 | 30.7% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 4.76 | 2.55 | +1.8 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 60 | 0 | 52 | 216 | 64 | 22 | 6 | 29.6% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 3.83 | 3.37 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 64 | 0 | 60 | 249 | 64 | 22 | 7 | 25.7% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 2.40 | 3.77 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 57 | 0 | 51 | 221 | 53 | 21 | 7 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 3.38 | 4.08 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 8 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.68 | — | — |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | MIN | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 39 | 15 | 5 | 23.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 3.78 | 4.38 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 35 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 47 | 199 | 46 | 18 | 5 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 3.76 | 3.69 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | MIN | 44 | — | 44 | 184 | 42 | 18 | 6 | 22.6% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.15 | 4.46 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | MIN | 40 | — | 40 | 171 | 37 | 17 | 5 | 21.8% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.44 | 4.63 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 609 | 29 | 741 | 3106 | 757 | 196 | 69 | 24.4% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 3.52 | 3.06 | +18.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 164 | 8 | 200 | 839 | 204 | 53 | 19 | 24.4% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 3.52 | 3.06 | +5.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Taylor Rogers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 23.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | — | 4.54 | 22.2% | 12.6% | 84 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.28 | 20.7% | 8.2% | 1.6% | .255 | 3.38 | 26.7% | 18.4% | 22 | +0.10 | 2.57 | 109 | 76 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.23 | 17.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | .343 | 4.25 | 18.8% | 12.9% | 81 | +0.02 | 2.38 | 306 | 75 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.42 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 1.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 117 | 75 |
| Neal Cotts L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.64 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 3.78 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.86 | 3.21 | 156 | 71 |
| Dan Runzler L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.83 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 2.6% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 127 | 68 |
| Francisco Liriano L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.34 | 20.9% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 650 | 67 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.98 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 3.4% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.66 | 166 | 67 |
| Manny Parra L 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.33 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 0.9% | .351 | 2.43 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 27 | -0.90 | 2.43 | 114 | 66 |
| Marlon Arias L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.86 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 154 | 66 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.28 | 17.0% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .418 | 4.63 | 15.7% | 5.5% | 55 | +0.35 | 4.28 | 159 | 66 |
| Brandon Mann L 2025 · 3.59 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.59 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.59 | 190 | 65 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.25 | 27.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% | .311 | 2.23 | 28.0% | 23.3% | 105 | -1.02 | 1.56 | 219 | 64 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.51 | 15.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | .312 | 4.42 | 11.7% | 3.3% | 58 | +0.91 | 3.51 | 138 | 63 |
| Adam Loewen L 2024 · 4.20 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.20 | 23.4% | 17.4% | 1.6% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 176 | 62 |
| David Price L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.65 | 17.8% | 7.4% | 2.0% | .301 | 3.67 | 22.2% | 18.0% | 40 | +0.02 | 2.58 | 922 | 60 |
| Dana Eveland L 2024 · 4.68 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.68 | 14.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.42 | 129 | 60 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.79 | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.3% | .337 | 4.94 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 119 | +0.15 | 4.49 | 408 | 58 |
| Tomas Solis L 2025 · 5.52 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.52 | 11.3% | 7.9% | 4.3% | .322 | 6.33 | 8.9% | 1.4% | 57 | +0.81 | 4.17 | 327 | 57 |
| Sam Freeman L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.00 | 18.5% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .212 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 299 | 55 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.86 | 20.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | .192 | 3.44 | 19.6% | 12.0% | 57 | -0.42 | 2.22 | 405 | 53 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.