Taylor Rogers
P
Minnesota Twins
Age 35
LHP
6'3" / 190 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 93102vR 111
ERA3.62
FIP3.92
K%22.3%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%13.2%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1291.8
Whiff%
p1018.0%
K%
p3219.5%
xwOBA vs
p380.326
CT+0.8 (14%)
SI (36%)
FB (36%)
SL-0.7 (50%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 28 | 27 | 174 | 732 | 126 | 42 | 9 | 96% | 6.2 | 15.1% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 1.5% | 3.98 | 3.40 | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 28 | 27 | 174 | 732 | 126 | 42 | 9 | 96% | 6.2 | 17.2% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 1.2% | 3.98 | 3.05 | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 2 | 79 | 349 | 79 | 19 | 8 | 3% | 1.2 | 22.1% | 5.5% | 16.6% | 2.3% | 4.08 | 3.21 | +1.6 |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 2 | 79 | 349 | 79 | 19 | 8 | 3% | 1.2 | 22.6% | 5.4% | 17.2% | 2.3% | 4.08 | 3.14 | +1.7 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 69 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 49 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 0.8 | 20.7% | 6.8% | 13.9% | 2.5% | 3.07 | 3.59 | +0.6 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 69 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 49 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 0.8 | 20.7% | 6.8% | 13.9% | 2.5% | 3.07 | 3.60 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 72 | 0 | 68 | 260 | 75 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.8% | 5.0% | 23.8% | 1.1% | 2.63 | 1.92 | +2.2 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 72 | 0 | 68 | 260 | 75 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.8% | 5.0% | 23.8% | 1.2% | 2.63 | 2.05 | +2.1 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 60 | 0 | 69 | 278 | 90 | 9 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 32.4% | 3.2% | 29.1% | 2.8% | 2.61 | 2.34 | +1.9 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 60 | 0 | 69 | 278 | 90 | 9 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 32.4% | 3.2% | 29.1% | 2.9% | 2.61 | 2.39 | +1.9 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 21 | 0 | 20 | 91 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.4% | 4.4% | 22.0% | 2.2% | 4.05 | 2.62 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 21 | 0 | 20 | 91 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.4% | 4.4% | 22.0% | 2.2% | 4.05 | 2.60 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 40 | 0 | 40 | 166 | 59 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.5% | 3.6% | 31.9% | 2.4% | 3.35 | 1.87 | +1.3 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 40 | 0 | 40 | 166 | 59 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.5% | 3.6% | 31.9% | 2.4% | 3.35 | 1.91 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 66 | 0 | 64 | 274 | 84 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.7% | 6.2% | 24.5% | 2.7% | 4.76 | 2.76 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 66 | 0 | 64 | 274 | 84 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.7% | 6.2% | 24.5% | 2.6% | 4.76 | 2.70 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 60 | 0 | 52 | 216 | 64 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.6% | 10.2% | 19.4% | 3.0% | 3.83 | 3.55 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 60 | 0 | 52 | 216 | 64 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.6% | 10.2% | 19.4% | 2.8% | 3.83 | 3.41 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 64 | 0 | 60 | 249 | 64 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.7% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 3.1% | 2.40 | 3.73 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 64 | 0 | 60 | 249 | 64 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.7% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 2.8% | 2.40 | 3.58 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 57 | 0 | 51 | 221 | 53 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 3.1% | 3.38 | 3.97 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 57 | 0 | 51 | 221 | 53 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 3.2% | 3.38 | 4.05 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 40 | 0 | 34 | 154 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 0.8 | 19.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 1.9% | 5.61 | 3.59 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | MIN | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 2.8% | 3.62 | 3.92 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | MIN | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 2.8% | 3.62 | 3.92 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 35 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 52 | 230 | 47 | 20 | 5 | — | — | 20.4% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 2.2% | 4.92 | 3.71 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 35 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 52 | 218 | 47 | 20 | 5 | — | — | 21.5% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 2.4% | 4.92 | 3.73 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | MIN | 44 | 0 | 46 | 193 | 42 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 4.35 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | MIN | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 35 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 4.75 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 38 | MLB | MIN | 33 | 0 | 34 | 145 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 5.17 | 5.46 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | MIN | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 42 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 4.35 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | MIN | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 35 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 4.75 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 38 | MLB | MIN | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 5.17 | 5.46 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 738 | 0 | 713 | 2994 | 778 | 215 | 80 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 7.2% | 18.8% | 2.7% | 3.69 | 3.29 | +17.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 207 | 0 | 200 | 839 | 218 | 60 | 22 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 7.2% | 18.8% | 2.7% | 3.69 | 3.29 | +4.9 | ||
| Career | — | 641 | 29 | 767 | 3227 | 780 | 206 | 73 | 5% | 1.2 | 24.2% | 6.4% | 17.8% | 2.3% | 3.61 | 3.11 | +20.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 167 | 8 | 200 | 841 | 203 | 54 | 19 | 5% | 1.2 | 24.2% | 6.4% | 17.8% | 2.3% | 3.61 | 3.11 | +5.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Taylor Rogers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.29 | 24.3% | 9.3% | 3.1% | — | 4.99 | 20.7% | 10.4% | 120 | +0.70 | — | — | — |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.28 | 20.7% | 8.2% | 1.6% | .255 | 3.47 | 26.7% | 18.4% | 22 | +0.19 | 2.56 | 109 | 76 |
| Neal Cotts L 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 74 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.56 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 1.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 117 | 73 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.24 | 17.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | .343 | 4.29 | 18.8% | 12.9% | 81 | +0.05 | 2.35 | 306 | 73 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.09 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 3.5% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 166 | 69 |
| Francisco Liriano L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.24 | 20.9% | 11.3% | 2.7% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 650 | 69 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2026 · 3.22 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.22 | 27.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | .311 | 2.22 | 28.0% | 23.3% | 105 | -1.00 | 1.56 | 219 | 68 |
| Manny Parra L 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.34 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 0.9% | .351 | 2.43 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 27 | -0.91 | 2.43 | 114 | 67 |
| Brandon Mann L 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 190 | 65 |
| Dan Runzler L 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 127 | 64 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.53 | 17.0% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .418 | 4.50 | 15.7% | 5.5% | 55 | -0.03 | 4.22 | 159 | 64 |
| Adam Loewen L 2024 · 4.13 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.13 | 23.4% | 17.4% | 1.5% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 176 | 63 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.17 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 225 | 60 |
| Rich Hill L 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.25 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .239 | 3.22 | 29.0% | 21.2% | 379 | -0.03 | 2.10 | 1,030 | 60 |
| David Price L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.96 | 17.8% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .301 | 3.85 | 22.2% | 18.0% | 40 | -0.11 | 2.65 | 922 | 56 |
| Dana Eveland L 2024 · 4.91 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.91 | 14.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.42 | 129 | 55 |
| Sam Freeman L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.02 | 18.5% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .212 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 299 | 53 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.34 | 20.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | .192 | 3.47 | 19.6% | 12.0% | 57 | -0.87 | 2.22 | 405 | 52 |
| Luke Westphal L 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 35 | SW | 5.42 | 16.1% | 19.2% | 2.3% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 294 | 42 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 39 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 43 | 21.8% | 10.0% | 1.32 | 4.50 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |