Ryan Pressly
P
Chicago Cubs
+0.2
WAR
Age 37
RHP
6'2" / 207 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.12
FIP4.37
xFIP4.54
SIERA4.50
K%20.7%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%12.2%
IP34
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL5050
CMD4545
K†5050
FB Velo
p3493.4
Whiff%
p1017.4%
K%
p1015.4%
xwOBA vs
p180.350
SL+1.5 (21%)
SI (12%)
CU (25%)
FB-0.9 (49%)
CH-1.8 (6%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 34 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 37 | 17 | 1 | 18.5% | 9.2% | 0.0% | 3.35 | 2.71 | +1.0 |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 72 | 0 | 75 | 328 | 67 | 21 | 8 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 3.70 | 3.60 | +1.3 |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 64 | 0 | 71 | 292 | 76 | 19 | 10 | 24.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.16 | 3.77 | +1.0 |
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | Houston Astros | 77 | 0 | 71 | 292 | 101 | 21 | 6 | 34.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 2.54 | 2.17 | +2.3 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Houston Astros | 56 | 1 | 55 | 214 | 74 | 12 | 6 | 34.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.28 | 2.45 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Houston Astros | 23 | 0 | 21 | 91 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 31.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 3.43 | 2.47 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 32 | MLB | Houston Astros | 64 | 0 | 64 | 250 | 81 | 12 | 4 | 32.4% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 2.25 | 1.82 | +2.3 |
| 2022 | 33 | MLB | Houston Astros | 51 | 0 | 49 | 185 | 65 | 13 | 4 | 35.7% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 2.92 | 2.16 | +1.6 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | Houston Astros | 65 | 0 | 65 | 268 | 74 | 16 | 8 | 27.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.58 | 3.28 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 35 | MLB | Houston Astros | 59 | 0 | 57 | 244 | 58 | 18 | 4 | 23.8% | 7.4% | 1.6% | 3.49 | 2.90 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 36 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 44 | 0 | 41 | 182 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 15.4% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 4.35 | 4.86 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | CHC | 34 | — | 34 | 146 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 20.9% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.13 | 4.37 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | CHC | 32 | — | 32 | 134 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 20.1% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.56 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 609 | 1 | 608 | 2506 | 677 | 167 | 59 | 27.0% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 3.25 | 2.96 | +16.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 200 | 0 | 200 | 824 | 223 | 55 | 19 | 27.0% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 3.25 | 2.96 | +5.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Pressly (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 20.9% | 8.5% | 2.9% | — | 4.56 | 20.1% | 11.3% | 32 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.87 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .289 | 4.16 | 16.8% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.29 | 3.50 | 219 | 77 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 77 |
| Jean Machi R 2024 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 75 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2025 · 3.46 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.46 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.6% | .298 | 5.44 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.98 | 3.21 | 225 | 73 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2024 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 72 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.47 | 23.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.43 | 240 | 72 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 71 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 71 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.65 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 70 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.34 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 138 | 70 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2024 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.50 | 14.0% | 5.8% | 1.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 140 | 69 |
| Matt Belisle R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.51 | 21.9% | 6.5% | 2.6% | .241 | 4.33 | 15.4% | 9.2% | 34 | +0.82 | 2.49 | 174 | 69 |
| Matt Bush R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.83 | 26.6% | 9.3% | 3.3% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 249 | 67 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.18 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 67 |
| Jason Motte R 2024 · 5.24 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.24 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 113 | 66 |
| Salvador Valdez R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.30 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .405 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 326 | 66 |
| Logan Kensing R 2024 · 3.28 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.28 | 16.5% | 7.9% | 1.0% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 172 | 64 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.52 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 2.2% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 144 | 63 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.61 | 17.7% | 7.9% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.02 | 18.5% | 8.6% | 88 | +0.41 | 3.11 | 174 | 63 |
| Hector Navarro R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.47 | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.1% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 126 | 63 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.