Ryan Pressly — OGILVIE

Ryan Pressly P Chicago Cubs

Age 37 RHP 6'2" / 207 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.25

FIP4.42

K%20.2%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%11.9%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3493.4

Whiff%

p1017.4%

p1015.4%

xwOBA vs

p180.350

SL+1.5 (21%)

SI (12%)

CU (25%)

FB-0.9 (49%)

CH-1.8 (6%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	38	160	37	17	1	0%	1.1	18.5%	9.2%	9.2%	0.0%	3.35	2.71	+0.8
2015	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	38	160	37	17	1	0%	1.1	23.1%	10.6%	12.5%	0.6%	3.35	2.83	+0.8
2016	27	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	72	0	75	328	67	21	8	0%	1.0	20.4%	6.4%	14.0%	2.4%	3.70	3.52	+0.9
2016	27	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	72	0	75	328	67	21	8	0%	1.0	20.4%	6.4%	14.0%	2.4%	3.70	3.54	+0.9
2017	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	64	0	71	292	76	19	10	0%	1.1	24.2%	5.6%	18.7%	3.9%	4.16	3.93	+0.5
2017	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	64	0	71	292	76	19	10	0%	1.1	26.0%	6.5%	19.5%	3.4%	4.16	3.59	+0.8
2018	29	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	77	0	71	292	101	21	6	0%	0.9	34.6%	7.2%	27.4%	2.1%	2.54	2.25	+2.0
2018	29	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	77	0	71	292	101	21	6	0%	0.9	34.6%	7.2%	27.4%	2.1%	2.54	2.24	+2.0
2019	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	1	55	214	74	12	6	2%	1.0	34.1%	5.7%	28.4%	2.9%	2.28	2.54	+1.3
2019	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	1	55	214	74	12	6	2%	1.0	34.6%	5.6%	29.0%	2.8%	2.28	2.49	+1.4
2020	31	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	23	0	21	91	29	6	2	0%	0.9	31.9%	6.6%	25.3%	2.3%	3.43	2.48	+0.5
2020	31	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	23	0	21	91	29	6	2	0%	0.9	31.9%	6.6%	25.3%	2.2%	3.43	2.43	+0.5
2021	32	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	64	0	64	250	81	12	4	0%	1.0	32.4%	4.8%	27.6%	1.6%	2.25	1.88	+2.1
2021	32	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	64	0	64	250	81	12	4	0%	1.0	32.4%	4.8%	27.6%	1.6%	2.25	1.94	+2.0
2022	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	49	185	65	13	4	0%	1.0	35.7%	7.1%	28.6%	2.3%	2.92	2.23	+1.4
2022	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	49	185	65	13	4	0%	1.0	35.1%	7.0%	28.1%	2.2%	2.92	2.31	+1.3
2023	34	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	65	0	65	268	74	16	8	0%	1.0	27.6%	6.0%	21.6%	3.1%	3.58	3.21	+1.0
2023	34	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	65	0	65	268	74	16	8	0%	1.0	27.6%	6.0%	21.6%	3.1%	3.58	3.21	+1.0
2023	34	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	65	0	65	268	74	16	8	0%	1.0	27.6%	6.0%	21.6%	3.0%	3.58	3.16	+1.1
2024	35	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	59	0	57	244	58	18	4	0%	1.0	23.8%	7.4%	16.4%	1.7%	3.49	2.95	+1.1
2024	35	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	59	0	57	244	58	18	4	0%	1.0	23.8%	7.4%	16.4%	1.7%	3.49	2.95	+1.1
2024	35	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	59	0	57	244	58	18	4	0%	1.0	23.8%	7.4%	16.4%	1.6%	3.49	2.92	+1.1
2025	36	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	44	0	41	182	28	17	6	0%	0.9	15.4%	9.3%	6.0%	3.4%	4.35	4.86	-0.2
2025	36	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	44	0	41	182	28	17	6	0%	0.9	15.4%	9.3%	6.0%	3.4%	4.35	4.86	-0.2
2025	36	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	44	0	41	182	28	17	6	0%	0.9	15.4%	9.3%	6.0%	3.3%	4.35	4.87	-0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			593	0	586	2419	658	161	58	0%	1.0	27.2%	6.7%	20.5%	2.4%	3.28	2.97	+11.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	37	MLB	CHC	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	20.2%	8.3%	11.9%	2.9%	4.25	4.42	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	38	MLB MLE	CHC	35	0	36	153	29	14	5	0%	1.0	19.0%	9.0%	10.0%	3.3%	4.61	4.85	-0.1
2027	38	MLB CTX	CHC	34	0	36	152	29	14	5	0%	1.1	19.0%	9.0%	10.0%	3.3%	4.61	4.85	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		628	0	623	2572	687	175	63	0%	1.0	26.7%	6.8%	19.9%	2.5%	3.36	3.05	+11.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		202	0	200	826	221	56	20	0%	1.0	26.7%	6.8%	19.9%	2.5%	3.36	3.05	+3.6
Career	—	MLE		609	1	608	2506	677	167	61	0%	1.0	27.0%	6.7%	20.3%	2.4%	3.25	3.00	+11.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		200	0	200	824	223	55	20	0%	1.0	27.0%	6.7%	20.3%	2.4%	3.25	3.00	+3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Pressly (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	20.2%	8.3%	2.9%	—	4.85	19.0%	10.0%	36	+0.43	—	—	—
Santiago Casilla R 2017 · 4.13 FIP	37	SU	4.13	22.0%	8.1%	3.4%	.289	4.14	16.8%	1.6%	44	+0.01	3.50	219	88
Ryan Madson R 2018 · 3.49 FIP	37	SU	3.49	23.4%	6.1%	2.9%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	1.42	240	79
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	79
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	79
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	79
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	76
Matt Belisle R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	37	SU	3.62	21.9%	6.5%	2.8%	.241	4.60	15.4%	9.2%	34	+0.98	2.51	174	75
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	73
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	72
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	71
Ramon E Ramirez R 2017 · 3.49 FIP	35	SU	3.49	14.0%	5.8%	1.5%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	140	70
Jason Motte R 2017 · 5.16 FIP	35	SU	5.16	16.3%	11.4%	3.6%	.193	—	—	—	—	—	3.18	113	70
Matt Bush R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	37	SU	3.83	25.8%	8.7%	3.3%	.225	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	249	69
Ronald Belisario R 2019 · 4.16 FIP	36	SU	4.16	12.7%	3.9%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	2.10	126	68
Logan Kensing R 2017 · 3.28 FIP	35	SU	3.28	16.5%	7.9%	1.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	2.73	172	67
Joe Blanton R 2017 · 4.94 FIP	36	SU	4.94	20.0%	5.6%	5.1%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	240	66
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	66
Peter Moylan R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	37	SU	3.59	17.7%	7.9%	1.8%	.263	4.00	18.5%	8.6%	88	+0.41	3.11	174	65
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	65
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	39	19.6%	8.7%	1.20	4.42
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97