Ryan Pressly
P
Chicago Cubs
Age 37
RHP
6'2" / 207 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.21
FIP4.37
K%20.2%
BB%8.3%
K-BB%11.9%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3493.4
Whiff%
p1017.4%
K%
p1015.4%
xwOBA vs
p180.350
SL+1.5 (21%)
SI (12%)
CU (25%)
FB-0.9 (49%)
CH-1.8 (6%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 37 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% | 3.35 | 2.71 | +0.8 |
| 2015 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 37 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 0.6% | 3.35 | 2.83 | +0.8 |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 72 | 0 | 75 | 328 | 67 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 14.0% | 2.4% | 3.70 | 3.51 | +1.2 |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 72 | 0 | 75 | 328 | 67 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 14.0% | 2.4% | 3.70 | 3.54 | +1.2 |
| 2017 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 0 | 71 | 292 | 76 | 19 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 5.6% | 18.7% | 3.9% | 4.16 | 3.92 | +0.7 |
| 2017 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 64 | 0 | 71 | 292 | 76 | 19 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.0% | 6.5% | 19.5% | 3.4% | 4.16 | 3.59 | +1.0 |
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | Houston Astros | 77 | 0 | 71 | 292 | 101 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 34.6% | 7.2% | 27.4% | 1.9% | 2.54 | 2.15 | +2.2 |
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | Houston Astros | 77 | 0 | 71 | 292 | 101 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 34.6% | 7.2% | 27.4% | 2.1% | 2.54 | 2.24 | +2.1 |
| 2019 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 1 | 55 | 214 | 74 | 12 | 6 | 2% | 1.0 | 34.1% | 5.7% | 28.4% | 2.7% | 2.28 | 2.41 | +1.4 |
| 2019 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 1 | 55 | 214 | 74 | 12 | 6 | 2% | 1.0 | 34.6% | 5.6% | 29.0% | 2.8% | 2.28 | 2.49 | +1.3 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Houston Astros | 23 | 0 | 21 | 91 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 31.9% | 6.6% | 25.3% | 2.1% | 3.43 | 2.38 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Houston Astros | 23 | 0 | 21 | 91 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 31.9% | 6.6% | 25.3% | 2.2% | 3.43 | 2.43 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 32 | MLB | Houston Astros | 64 | 0 | 64 | 250 | 81 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.4% | 4.8% | 27.6% | 1.5% | 2.25 | 1.80 | +2.1 |
| 2021 | 32 | MLB | Houston Astros | 64 | 0 | 64 | 250 | 81 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.4% | 4.8% | 27.6% | 1.6% | 2.25 | 1.94 | +2.0 |
| 2022 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 49 | 185 | 65 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.7% | 7.1% | 28.6% | 2.1% | 2.92 | 2.13 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 49 | 185 | 65 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.1% | 7.0% | 28.1% | 2.2% | 2.92 | 2.31 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | Houston Astros | 65 | 0 | 65 | 268 | 74 | 16 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 6.0% | 21.6% | 2.8% | 3.58 | 3.07 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | Houston Astros | 65 | 0 | 65 | 268 | 74 | 16 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 6.0% | 21.6% | 3.0% | 3.58 | 3.16 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 35 | MLB | Houston Astros | 59 | 0 | 57 | 244 | 58 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 7.4% | 16.4% | 1.5% | 3.49 | 2.88 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 35 | MLB | Houston Astros | 59 | 0 | 57 | 244 | 58 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 7.4% | 16.4% | 1.6% | 3.49 | 2.92 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 36 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 44 | 0 | 41 | 182 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 15.4% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 4.35 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 36 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 44 | 0 | 41 | 182 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 15.4% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.35 | 4.87 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | CHC | 40 | 0 | 42 | 178 | 36 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 4.21 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | CHC | 35 | 0 | 36 | 153 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 39 | MLB | CHC | 30 | 0 | 31 | 132 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 4.96 | 5.23 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 40 | MLB | CHC | 26 | 0 | 27 | 113 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.38 | 5.66 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | CHC | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 39 | MLB | CHC | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 4.96 | 5.23 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 40 | MLB | CHC | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.38 | 5.66 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 683 | 0 | 681 | 2817 | 730 | 199 | 73 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.9% | 7.1% | 18.8% | 2.6% | 3.51 | 3.22 | +17.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 201 | 0 | 200 | 828 | 215 | 58 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.9% | 7.1% | 18.8% | 2.6% | 3.51 | 3.22 | +5.1 | ||
| Career | — | 609 | 1 | 608 | 2506 | 677 | 167 | 57 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.0% | 6.7% | 20.3% | 2.3% | 3.25 | 2.92 | +17.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 200 | 0 | 200 | 824 | 223 | 55 | 19 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.0% | 6.7% | 20.3% | 2.3% | 3.25 | 2.92 | +5.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Pressly (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 2.8% | — | 5.19 | 18.0% | 8.3% | 94 | +0.82 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 37 | SU | 4.04 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .289 | 4.08 | 16.8% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.04 | 3.51 | 219 | 80 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 79 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2025 · 3.53 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.53 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% | .298 | 5.49 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.96 | 3.17 | 225 | 77 |
| Jean Machi R 2024 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 75 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 73 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.65 | 23.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 240 | 73 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 73 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2027 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 72 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 71 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2024 · 3.63 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.63 | 14.0% | 5.8% | 1.8% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 140 | 71 |
| Matt Belisle R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.61 | 21.9% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .241 | 4.59 | 15.4% | 9.2% | 34 | +0.98 | 2.51 | 174 | 71 |
| Jason Motte R 2024 · 5.16 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.16 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 113 | 67 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.74 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 67 |
| Logan Kensing R 2024 · 3.26 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.26 | 16.5% | 7.9% | 1.0% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.77 | 172 | 66 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.58 | 17.7% | 7.9% | 1.8% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.5% | 8.6% | 88 | +0.40 | 3.10 | 174 | 66 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.36 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 1.9% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 144 | 65 |
| Matt Bush R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.83 | 26.6% | 9.3% | 3.3% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 249 | 65 |
| Hector Navarro R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.41 | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 126 | 64 |
| Salvador Valdez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.24 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .405 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 326 | 63 |
| Chien-Ming Wang R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.52 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 183 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 34 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 1.31 | 4.70 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |