Joe Wieland prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Joe Wieland P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 36 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 103

ERA4.55

FIP4.55

K%22.4%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%12.7%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2012	22	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	5	5	28	119	24	7	5	100%	5.5	20.2%	5.9%	14.3%	4.1%	4.55	4.39	+0.2
2012	22	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	5	5	28	119	24	7	5	100%	5.5	20.2%	5.9%	14.3%	4.2%	4.55	4.47	+0.1
2014	24	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	4	2	11	54	8	5	3	50%	2.8	14.8%	9.3%	5.6%	5.4%	7.15	6.00	-0.1
2014	24	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	4	2	11	54	8	5	3	50%	2.8	14.8%	9.3%	5.6%	5.6%	7.15	6.45	-0.2
2015	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	122	528	96	29	9	96%	5.1	16.6%	5.4%	11.2%	1.8%	4.86	3.38	+2.3
2015	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	122	528	96	29	9	96%	5.1	18.2%	5.5%	12.7%	1.7%	4.86	3.20	+2.6
2016	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	25	129	582	121	39	16	93%	4.8	18.6%	7.3%	11.3%	3.3%	5.64	4.27	+1.0
2016	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	25	129	582	121	39	16	93%	4.8	20.8%	6.7%	14.1%	2.7%	5.64	3.74	+1.8
2022	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	3	19	72	15	4	2	38%	2.3	20.8%	5.6%	15.3%	2.8%	1.93	3.57	—
2022	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	3	19	72	15	4	2	38%	2.3	20.8%	5.6%	15.3%	2.8%	1.93	3.53	—
2023	33	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	23	1	32	160	27	24	9	4%	1.4	14.5%	13.5%	1.0%	6.2%	8.16	7.00	—
2023	33	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	23	1	32	160	27	24	9	4%	1.4	14.5%	13.5%	1.0%	6.2%	8.16	7.00	—
2023	33	AAA RAW	Las Vegas Aviators	23	1	32	160	27	24	9	4%	1.4	16.9%	15.0%	1.9%	5.6%	8.16	7.32	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			12	10	53	236	39	16	11	83%	4.4	16.5%	6.8%	9.7%	4.7%	6.32	5.25	-0.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	36	MLB	OAK	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.4%	9.7%	12.7%	3.2%	4.55	4.55	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	OAK	3	3	20	84	18	9	3	100%	6.7	21.8%	10.3%	11.5%	3.6%	4.75	4.90	0.0
2027	37	MLB CTX	OAK	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.8%	10.3%	11.5%	3.6%	4.75	4.90	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	10	53	237	39	16	11	83%	4.4	16.5%	6.8%	9.8%	4.7%	6.32	5.12	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		46	38	200	896	148	61	42	83%	4.4	16.5%	6.8%	9.8%	4.7%	6.32	5.12	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		91	59	341	1515	266	109	49	65%	3.8	17.6%	7.2%	10.4%	3.2%	5.35	4.28	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	35	200	888	156	64	28	65%	3.8	17.6%	7.2%	10.4%	3.2%	5.35	4.28	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joe Wieland (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.55	22.4%	9.7%	3.2%	—	4.90	21.8%	11.5%	20	+0.35	—	—	—
Jesse Estrada R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	35	SP-	4.34	14.4%	6.6%	2.9%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	257	66
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	62
Juan Delgadillo R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	34	SP	4.47	10.9%	6.2%	2.7%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	143	53
Jose Oyervides R 2017 · 5.38 FIP	35	SP	5.38	18.0%	6.3%	5.5%	.254	5.66	16.3%	5.1%	115	+0.28	3.01	407	52
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	36	SP-	4.20	15.8%	5.6%	3.1%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.97	567	51
Kenshin Kawakami R 2010 · 4.06 FIP	35	SP	4.06	15.1%	5.6%	2.8%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.97	244	51
Jon Leicester R 2015 · 3.76 FIP	36	SP	3.76	12.3%	5.9%	1.7%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	113	49
Frankie De La Cruz R 2019 · 4.38 FIP	35	SP-	4.38	16.2%	8.0%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	262	47
Walter Silva R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	38	SP	4.15	14.8%	7.4%	2.5%	.311	3.91	10.4%	3.7%	209	-0.24	3.67	453	47
Jorge Martinez R 2019 · 3.71 FIP	34	SP	3.71	16.3%	5.7%	2.3%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	214	44
Francisco Rodriguez R 2019 · 5.18 FIP	36	SP	5.18	10.7%	9.3%	3.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	334	42
Jarrett Grube R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	35	SP	4.41	15.8%	8.1%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	393	41
Chris Smith R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	36	SP-	5.08	15.6%	7.5%	4.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	477	39
Jonathan Castellanos R 2017 · 4.91 FIP	35	SP	4.91	8.4%	9.2%	2.5%	.314	5.24	11.0%	2.0%	67	+0.33	3.40	394	35
Ivan Maldonado R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	36	SP	5.41	6.4%	9.7%	3.0%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.60	172	33
Yasutomo Kubo R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	38	SP	3.98	20.4%	4.7%	3.6%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	152	33
Pablo Ortega R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	38	SP	4.52	8.6%	7.3%	2.2%	.291	4.24	11.5%	6.0%	236	-0.28	4.01	375	32
Yoanner Negrin R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	35	SP	3.87	17.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	485	31
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	29
Francisley Bueno L 2017 · 4.44 FIP	36	SP	4.44	11.7%	8.4%	2.3%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	2.43	188	27

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	30	18.7%	8.8%	1.61	5.64
Collin Balester ('15)	1.0	50	17.4%	10.1%	1.75	5.47
Mike Wright Jr. ('21)	1.4	55	17.4%	8.8%	1.47	5.97
Buddy Carlyle ('15)	1.5	58	18.5%	8.5%	1.32	5.14
A.J. Cole ('21)	1.0	41	23.0%	9.1%	1.71	4.51
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Nelson Cruz ('03)	1.7	58	18.2%	7.2%	1.52	5.04