Humberto Castellanos

P Reno Aces

Age 29 RHP 5'11" / 222 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2021	23	MIX2 levels	26	19	103	4.96	4.85	19.9%	6.3%	0.1	K 18.3% · BB 6.5% · FIP 5.29
2022	24	MLBARI	11	9	44	5.68	4.52	16.5%	6.2%	0.2
2024	26	MIX2 levels	28	20	114	3.94	4.71	22.9%	9.0%	0.3	K 20.5% · BB 8.2% · FIP 5.04
2027PROJ	29	MLBARI	68	0	71	4.74	4.93	17.8%	9.4%	-0.3
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBARI	24	0	25	4.98	5.14	17.1%	9.7%	-0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	31	MLBARI	32	0	34	5.21	5.37	16.3%	10.1%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.5 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff34Control54Command39FB velo33

CompsMike Bolsinger (age 29) · Ramon Delgado (age 29) · Jose Pina (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.74

FIP4.93

K%17.8%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%8.4%

Proj IP71

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 71 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5555

CMD4040

K†4040

CT (27%)

SI (32%)

CU (15%)

FB (46%)

CH (13%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	13	11	50	222	32	11	0	85%	3.9	9.8%	6.2%	3.6%	0.0%	4.29	3.06	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	13	11	50	222	32	11	0	85%	3.9	14.4%	5.0%	9.5%	0.0%	4.29	2.48	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	11	3	42	177	38	9	2	27%	3.8	14.6%	6.4%	8.2%	1.6%	2.55	3.54	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	Greeneville Astros	11	3	42	177	38	9	2	27%	3.8	21.5%	5.1%	16.4%	1.1%	2.55	2.56	—
2018	20	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	21	0	43	185	48	11	0	0%	2.0	19.2%	7.0%	12.2%	0.0%	2.09	2.37	—
2018	20	A RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	21	0	43	185	48	11	0	0%	2.0	25.9%	5.9%	20.0%	0.0%	2.09	1.63	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	0	75	306	83	14	6	0%	2.2	20.8%	5.3%	15.5%	2.5%	2.89	3.41	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	34	0	75	306	83	14	6	0%	2.2	27.1%	4.6%	22.5%	2.0%	2.89	2.48	—
2020	22	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	8	0	11	51	12	5	2	0%	1.3	23.5%	9.8%	13.7%	4.0%	6.75	4.57	-0.0
2020	22	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	8	0	11	51	12	5	2	0%	1.3	23.5%	9.8%	13.7%	3.9%	6.75	4.69	-0.0
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	19	103	443	88	28	21	73%	4.0	18.3%	6.5%	11.8%	5.3%	4.96	5.29	-0.5
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	19	103	443	88	28	21	73%	4.0	19.9%	6.3%	13.5%	4.7%	4.96	4.85	+0.1
2022	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	11	9	44	194	32	12	7	82%	4.0	16.5%	6.2%	10.3%	3.8%	5.68	4.59	+0.2
2022	24	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	11	9	44	194	32	12	7	82%	4.0	16.5%	6.2%	10.3%	3.6%	5.68	4.52	+0.2
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	20	114	476	109	43	21	71%	4.1	20.5%	8.2%	12.3%	4.8%	3.94	5.04	-0.2
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	20	114	476	109	43	21	71%	4.1	20.5%	8.2%	12.3%	4.8%	3.94	5.04	-0.2
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	20	114	476	109	43	21	71%	4.1	22.9%	9.0%	13.9%	4.4%	3.94	4.71	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			40	16	111	489	80	36	16	40%	2.8	16.4%	7.4%	9.0%	3.3%	5.43	4.51	+0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	ARI	68	0	71	300	53	28	10	0%	1.0	17.8%	9.4%	8.4%	3.2%	4.74	4.93	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	ARI	64	0	67	283	48	28	10	0%	1.0	17.1%	9.7%	7.4%	3.4%	4.98	5.14	-0.4
2029	31	MLB MLE	ARI	60	0	62	264	43	27	10	0%	1.0	16.3%	10.1%	6.3%	3.6%	5.21	5.37	-0.6
2028	30	MLB CTX	ARI	24	0	25	106	18	10	4	0%	1.0	17.1%	9.7%	7.4%	3.4%	4.98	5.14	-0.2
2029	31	MLB CTX	ARI	32	0	34	144	23	14	5	0%	1.1	16.3%	10.1%	6.3%	3.6%	5.21	5.37	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		96	16	170	738	122	61	25	17%	1.8	16.5%	8.2%	8.2%	3.4%	5.32	4.60	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		113	19	200	868	143	72	29	17%	1.8	16.5%	8.2%	8.2%	3.4%	5.32	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		152	62	483	2054	369	139	66	41%	3.2	18.0%	6.8%	11.2%	3.2%	3.97	4.21	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	26	200	851	153	58	27	41%	3.2	18.0%	6.8%	11.2%	3.2%	3.97	4.21	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Humberto Castellanos (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.93	17.8%	9.4%	3.2%	—	5.25	16.7%	6.8%	130	+0.32	—	—	—
Mike Bolsinger R 2017 · 4.26 FIP	29	SW	4.26	20.2%	9.4%	3.0%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	379	74
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	73
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	73
Hisashi Iwakuma R 2012 · 4.28 FIP	31	SP-	4.28	19.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.277	3.45	21.5%	17.8%	528	-0.83	3.19	884	73
Sugar Ray Marimon R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	26	SW	4.12	12.4%	9.1%	1.7%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	107	72
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	71
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	71
Steve Johnson R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	29	SW	4.53	20.3%	8.9%	3.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	206	71
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	70
Chris Jakubauskas R 2009 · 4.97 FIP	30	SW	4.97	12.1%	6.2%	3.9%	.250	4.42	15.7%	7.8%	72	-0.55	4.42	165	69
A.J. Morris R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	16.9%	6.9%	3.7%	.345	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	123	68
Ashton Goudeau R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	29	SW	4.84	14.0%	9.1%	3.2%	.245	5.83	13.9%	5.0%	145	+0.99	2.33	671	67
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	67
Odrisamer Despaigne R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	29	SW	3.97	15.3%	8.5%	2.0%	.316	3.74	17.1%	8.5%	348	-0.23	3.13	689	67
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	66
Fredy Quintero R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	29	SW	4.45	14.0%	8.7%	2.6%	.335	4.62	17.2%	3.5%	43	+0.17	4.29	241	66
Joel De La Cruz R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	27	SW	4.61	14.4%	8.6%	3.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	205	66
Mike Wright Jr. R 2019 · 3.76 FIP	29	SW	3.76	19.9%	7.2%	2.6%	.347	4.19	17.6%	7.3%	169	+0.43	3.76	725	66
Aaron Brooks R 2019 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.0%	7.1%	3.9%	.281	4.38	15.8%	8.8%	70	-0.34	3.71	879	66
Tyler Pill R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	28	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.2%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	460	66

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	62	16.8%	8.9%	1.30	5.13
Lance Painter ('03)	2.2	56	16.7%	9.0%	1.32	5.24
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Dennis Powell ('85-'93, -2 WAR*)	1.7	49	17.6%*	10.1%*	1.18*	5.31*
Steve Kealey ('68-'73, -1 WAR*)	1.1	54	18.5%*	7.2%*	1.32*	5.26*
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*