Madison Bumgarner

PosP

B/TR/L

Born1989-08-01

Age (2026)36

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	25	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	32	32	218	869	234	37	21	100%	6.8	26.9%	4.3%	22.7%	2.6%	2.93	2.80	+5.9
2015	25	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	32	32	218	869	234	37	21	100%	6.8	26.9%	4.3%	22.7%	2.4%	2.93	2.72	+6.2
2016	26	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	34	34	227	912	251	54	26	100%	6.7	27.5%	5.9%	21.6%	3.1%	2.74	3.22	+4.8
2016	26	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	34	34	227	912	251	54	26	100%	6.7	27.5%	5.9%	21.6%	2.9%	2.74	3.09	+5.2
2017	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	21	21	128	523	117	21	21	100%	6.1	22.4%	3.8%	18.7%	4.1%	3.81	3.92	+1.5
2017	27	MIX RAW	4 levels	21	21	128	523	117	21	21	100%	6.1	22.4%	4.0%	18.4%	4.0%	3.81	3.90	+1.5
2018	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	23	138	579	124	41	15	100%	6.0	19.8%	7.3%	12.5%	2.7%	3.13	3.86	+1.7
2018	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	23	138	579	124	41	15	100%	6.0	21.4%	7.1%	14.3%	2.6%	3.13	3.61	+2.2
2019	29	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	34	34	208	844	203	40	30	100%	6.1	24.1%	4.7%	19.3%	3.8%	3.90	3.78	+2.8
2019	29	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	34	34	208	844	203	40	30	100%	6.1	24.1%	4.7%	19.3%	3.6%	3.90	3.60	+3.3
2020	30	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	9	9	42	190	30	11	13	100%	4.6	15.8%	5.8%	10.0%	7.2%	6.48	6.47	-0.7
2020	30	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	9	9	42	190	30	11	13	100%	4.6	15.8%	5.8%	10.0%	6.8%	6.48	6.51	-0.7
2021	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	28	153	649	130	39	24	100%	5.5	20.2%	6.0%	14.2%	4.1%	4.82	4.43	+0.8
2021	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	28	153	649	130	39	24	100%	5.5	20.0%	6.0%	14.0%	3.7%	4.82	4.20	+1.3
2022	32	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	30	30	159	698	112	49	25	100%	5.3	16.0%	7.0%	9.0%	3.8%	4.88	4.71	+0.3
2022	32	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	30	30	159	698	112	49	25	100%	5.3	16.0%	7.0%	9.0%	3.6%	4.88	4.66	+0.4
2023	33	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	4	4	17	90	10	15	4	100%	4.2	11.1%	16.7%	-5.6%	4.7%	10.26	6.85	-0.4
2023	33	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	4	4	17	90	10	15	4	100%	4.2	11.1%	16.7%	-5.6%	4.7%	10.26	6.85	-0.4
2023	33	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	4	4	17	90	10	15	4	100%	4.2	11.1%	16.7%	-5.6%	4.4%	10.26	7.72	-0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			207	207	1257	5217	1174	300	174	100%	6.1	22.5%	5.8%	16.8%	3.3%	3.79	3.75	+17.5
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	36	MLB	ARI	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	21.0%	9.9%	11.0%	3.1%	4.66	4.66	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	ARI	3	3	20	84	17	9	3	100%	6.7	19.9%	10.6%	9.3%	3.5%	4.90	5.06	-0.0
2027	37	MLB CTX	ARI	3	3	20	84	17	9	3	100%	6.7	19.9%	10.6%	9.3%	3.3%	4.79	4.95	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		210	210	1277	5301	1191	309	177	100%	6.1	22.5%	5.8%	16.6%	3.3%	3.80	3.77	+17.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	831	187	48	28	100%	6.1	22.5%	5.8%	16.6%	3.3%	3.80	3.77	+2.7
Career	—	MLE		215	215	1288	5354	1203	307	192	100%	6.0	22.5%	5.7%	16.7%	3.6%	3.84	3.90	+17.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		33	33	200	831	187	48	30	100%	6.0	22.5%	5.7%	16.7%	3.6%	3.84	3.90	+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Madison Bumgarner (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	21.0%	9.9%	3.1%	—	5.06	19.9%	9.3%	20	+0.40	—	—	—
Marlon Arias L 2019 · 4.83 FIP	34	SP	4.83	19.8%	11.2%	3.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	154	70
Jonathan Sánchez L 2019 · 4.73 FIP	36	SP	4.73	18.1%	8.3%	3.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	109	69
C.J. Wilson L 2015 · 3.69 FIP	34	SP	3.69	19.9%	8.0%	2.3%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	132	68
Tsuyoshi Wada L 2015 · 3.66 FIP	34	SP	3.66	16.8%	7.1%	2.0%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	119	66
Francisley Bueno L 2017 · 4.44 FIP	36	SP	4.44	11.7%	8.4%	2.3%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	138	63
Mauricio Lara L 2015 · 3.62 FIP	36	SP	3.62	13.9%	6.9%	1.5%	.310	3.69	12.1%	5.1%	220	+0.07	3.62	444	63
Wandy Rodriguez L 2015 · 3.83 FIP	36	SP-	3.83	19.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	101	61
Chris Narveson L 2017 · 4.59 FIP	35	SP	4.59	12.2%	10.4%	2.2%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.59	249	61
Eric Stults L 2015 · 4.27 FIP	35	SP	4.27	14.5%	5.9%	3.0%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	138	59
Arturo Lopez L 2019 · 5.46 FIP	36	SP	5.46	12.2%	6.8%	4.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	4.34	445	59
Jorge Castillo L 2017 · 4.97 FIP	35	SP	4.97	11.2%	6.7%	3.6%	.337	4.91	19.6%	11.5%	119	-0.06	4.50	408	58
Barry Zito L 2015 · 4.52 FIP	37	SP	4.52	13.6%	10.7%	2.2%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	4.52	138	57
Scott Kazmir L 2021 · 4.58 FIP	37	SP	4.58	19.2%	8.8%	3.6%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	395	53
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	53
Oscar Rivera L 2017 · 5.80 FIP	36	SP	5.80	9.8%	7.8%	4.6%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.68	237	52
Andrew Albers L 2021 · 4.60 FIP	35	SP	4.60	16.9%	3.7%	4.5%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	508	51
CC Sabathia L 2016 · 3.96 FIP	36	SP	3.96	19.8%	8.3%	2.7%	.283	4.30	20.9%	13.0%	409	+0.34	3.76	756	47
Jason Vargas L 2019 · 4.33 FIP	36	SP	4.33	19.1%	9.4%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	478	43
Jason Lane L 2015 · 5.56 FIP	38	SP	5.56	8.4%	6.2%	4.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	5.56	164	42
Roberto Hernandez R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	35	SP	4.38	13.8%	7.0%	2.8%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.38	171	37