Madison Bumgarner
PosP
B/TR/L
Born1989-08-01
Age (2026)36
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 32 | 32 | 218 | 869 | 234 | 37 | 21 | 100% | 6.8 | 26.9% | 4.3% | 22.7% | 2.6% | 2.93 | 2.81 | +6.6 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 32 | 32 | 218 | 869 | 234 | 37 | 21 | 100% | 6.8 | 26.9% | 4.3% | 22.7% | 2.4% | 2.93 | 2.72 | +6.9 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 34 | 34 | 227 | 912 | 251 | 54 | 26 | 100% | 6.7 | 27.5% | 5.9% | 21.6% | 3.1% | 2.74 | 3.23 | +5.8 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 34 | 34 | 227 | 912 | 251 | 54 | 26 | 100% | 6.7 | 27.5% | 5.9% | 21.6% | 2.9% | 2.74 | 3.09 | +6.1 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 4 levels | 21 | 21 | 128 | 523 | 117 | 21 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.4% | 3.8% | 18.7% | 4.1% | 3.81 | 3.94 | +2.2 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 4 levels | 21 | 21 | 128 | 523 | 117 | 21 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.4% | 4.0% | 18.4% | 4.0% | 3.81 | 3.90 | +2.2 |
| 2018 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 23 | 138 | 579 | 124 | 41 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.8% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 3.13 | 3.86 | +2.5 |
| 2018 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 23 | 138 | 579 | 124 | 41 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.4% | 7.1% | 14.3% | 2.6% | 3.13 | 3.61 | +2.9 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 34 | 34 | 208 | 844 | 203 | 40 | 30 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.1% | 4.7% | 19.3% | 3.9% | 3.90 | 3.79 | +3.9 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 34 | 34 | 208 | 844 | 203 | 40 | 30 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.1% | 4.7% | 19.3% | 3.6% | 3.90 | 3.60 | +4.4 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 9 | 9 | 42 | 190 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 100% | 4.6 | 15.8% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 6.48 | 6.09 | -0.8 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 9 | 9 | 42 | 190 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 100% | 4.6 | 15.8% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 6.48 | 6.51 | -1.0 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 28 | 153 | 649 | 130 | 39 | 24 | 100% | 5.5 | 20.2% | 6.0% | 14.2% | 3.7% | 4.82 | 4.21 | +2.1 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 28 | 153 | 649 | 130 | 39 | 24 | 100% | 5.5 | 20.0% | 6.0% | 14.0% | 3.7% | 4.82 | 4.20 | +2.1 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 30 | 30 | 159 | 698 | 112 | 49 | 25 | 100% | 5.3 | 16.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 4.88 | 4.52 | +1.6 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 30 | 30 | 159 | 698 | 112 | 49 | 25 | 100% | 5.3 | 16.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 4.88 | 4.66 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 4 | 17 | 90 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 4.2 | 11.1% | 16.7% | -5.6% | 4.3% | 10.26 | 6.61 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 4 | 17 | 90 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 4.2 | 11.1% | 16.7% | -5.6% | 4.4% | 10.26 | 7.72 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | ARI | 1 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.9 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 3.1% | 4.65 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | ARI | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 19.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 4.89 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | ARI | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 19.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 4.93 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 210 | 210 | 1277 | 5301 | 1191 | 309 | 177 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.5% | 5.8% | 16.6% | 3.3% | 3.81 | 3.77 | +24.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 831 | 187 | 48 | 28 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.5% | 5.8% | 16.6% | 3.3% | 3.81 | 3.77 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 215 | 215 | 1288 | 5354 | 1203 | 307 | 186 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.5% | 5.7% | 16.7% | 3.5% | 3.84 | 3.83 | +23.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 831 | 187 | 48 | 29 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.5% | 5.7% | 16.7% | 3.5% | 3.84 | 3.83 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Madison Bumgarner (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.65 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 3.1% | — | 5.05 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 20 | +0.40 | — | — | — |
| Marlon Arias L 2024 · 5.09 FIP | 34 | SP | 5.09 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 4.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 154 | 70 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.65 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 109 | 69 |
| C.J. Wilson L 2024 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.0% | 2.4% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 132 | 69 |
| Jon Lester L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.80 | 15.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .272 | 5.08 | 14.5% | 6.5% | 141 | +0.28 | 2.74 | 1,144 | 68 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2024 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.68 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 119 | 66 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.60 | 11.7% | 8.4% | 2.6% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 138 | 64 |
| Mauricio Lara L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 36 | SP | 3.57 | 13.9% | 6.9% | 1.4% | .310 | 3.70 | 12.1% | 5.1% | 220 | +0.13 | 3.57 | 444 | 63 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 101 | 61 |
| Chris Narveson L 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.40 | 12.2% | 10.4% | 1.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 249 | 60 |
| Eric Stults L 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.25 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 138 | 59 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.22 | 12.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 445 | 59 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.63 | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .337 | 5.23 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 119 | +0.60 | 4.40 | 408 | 58 |
| Barry Zito L 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.80 | 13.6% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 138 | 57 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.36 | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 237 | 53 |
| Scott Kazmir L 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.59 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 395 | 53 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2027 · 4.15 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.15 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.7% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 149 | 53 |
| Andrew Albers L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.45 | 16.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 508 | 51 |
| J.A. Happ L 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.81 | 20.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | .276 | 4.79 | 19.0% | 11.7% | 202 | -0.02 | 3.28 | 1,053 | 50 |
| Jason Vargas L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.39 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 478 | 50 |
| CC Sabathia L 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 36 | SP | 3.95 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 2.7% | .283 | 4.28 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 409 | +0.33 | 3.75 | 756 | 49 |