Alex Colomé prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Alex Colomé P Charlotte Knights

Age 37 RHP 6'2" / 240 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 126 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 109

ERA4.39

FIP4.36

K%22.4%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%13.3%

ROS IP126

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 126 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5094.5

Whiff%

p1320.1%

p1014.9%

xwOBA vs

p100.368

CT-1.0

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2013	24	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	3	3	16	71	12	9	2	100%	5.3	16.9%	12.7%	4.2%	2.9%	2.25	4.87	+0.0
2013	24	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	3	3	16	71	12	9	2	100%	5.3	16.9%	12.7%	4.2%	2.8%	2.25	4.91	-0.0
2014	25	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	5	3	24	97	13	10	1	60%	4.7	13.4%	10.3%	3.1%	1.1%	2.66	3.86	+0.3
2014	25	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	5	3	24	97	13	10	1	60%	4.7	13.4%	10.3%	3.1%	1.0%	2.66	3.82	+0.3
2015	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	47	17	125	522	105	30	12	36%	2.7	19.3%	5.9%	13.3%	2.0%	3.74	3.33	+1.8
2015	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	47	17	125	522	105	30	12	36%	2.7	20.1%	5.7%	14.4%	2.3%	3.74	3.39	+1.7
2016	27	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	57	0	57	226	71	14	6	0%	1.0	31.4%	6.2%	25.2%	2.7%	1.91	2.73	+1.2
2016	27	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	57	0	57	226	71	14	6	0%	1.0	31.4%	6.2%	25.2%	2.7%	1.91	2.71	+1.2
2017	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	65	0	67	281	58	16	4	0%	1.0	20.6%	5.7%	14.9%	1.5%	3.24	2.88	+1.3
2017	28	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	65	0	67	281	58	16	4	0%	1.0	20.6%	5.7%	14.9%	1.4%	3.24	2.86	+1.3
2018	29	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	70	0	68	282	72	19	7	0%	1.0	25.5%	6.7%	18.8%	2.5%	3.04	3.19	+1.1
2018	29	MLB RAW	Seattle Mariners	70	0	68	282	72	19	7	0%	1.0	25.5%	6.7%	18.8%	2.5%	3.04	3.16	+1.1
2019	30	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	62	0	61	249	55	21	7	0%	1.0	22.1%	8.4%	13.7%	2.8%	2.80	3.82	+0.5
2019	30	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	62	0	61	249	55	21	7	0%	1.0	22.1%	8.4%	13.7%	2.8%	2.80	3.82	+0.5
2020	31	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	21	0	22	90	16	8	0	0%	1.1	17.8%	8.9%	8.9%	0.0%	0.81	2.72	+0.5
2020	31	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	21	0	22	90	16	8	0	0%	1.1	17.8%	8.9%	8.9%	0.0%	0.81	2.74	+0.5
2021	32	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	67	0	65	290	58	22	8	0%	1.0	20.0%	7.6%	12.4%	2.7%	4.15	3.88	+0.5
2021	32	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	67	0	65	290	58	22	8	0%	1.0	20.0%	7.6%	12.4%	2.8%	4.15	3.93	+0.5
2022	33	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	53	0	47	215	32	20	5	0%	0.9	14.9%	9.3%	5.6%	2.1%	5.74	4.15	+0.2
2022	33	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	53	0	47	215	32	20	5	0%	0.9	14.9%	9.3%	5.6%	2.3%	5.74	4.40	+0.1
2023	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	36	171	28	18	3	0%	1.0	14.3%	8.7%	5.7%	1.2%	3.47	3.66	+0.4
2023	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	36	171	28	18	3	0%	1.0	14.3%	8.7%	5.7%	1.2%	3.47	3.66	+0.4
2023	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	36	171	28	18	3	0%	1.0	16.4%	10.5%	5.8%	1.8%	3.47	4.12	+0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			450	19	539	2273	477	169	50	4%	1.2	21.0%	7.4%	13.6%	2.2%	3.36	3.48	+6.9
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	37	MLB	CWS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.4%	9.1%	13.3%	2.9%	4.39	4.36	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	38	MLB MLE	CWS	119	0	125	527	112	52	18	0%	1.0	21.3%	9.8%	11.4%	3.4%	4.63	4.80	-0.4
2028	39	MLB MLE	CWS	102	0	107	453	91	48	17	0%	1.1	20.1%	10.5%	9.6%	3.8%	4.99	5.23	-0.8
2027	38	MLB CTX	CWS	119	0	125	528	112	52	18	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.8%	11.4%	3.4%	4.63	4.80	-0.4
2028	39	MLB CTX	CWS	102	0	107	452	91	48	17	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.5%	9.6%	3.8%	4.99	5.23	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		671	19	771	3252	680	269	85	3%	1.1	20.9%	8.3%	12.7%	2.6%	3.79	3.82	+6.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		174	5	200	844	176	70	22	3%	1.1	20.9%	8.3%	12.7%	2.6%	3.79	3.82	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		487	23	588	2494	512	185	52	5%	1.2	20.5%	7.4%	13.1%	2.1%	3.32	3.46	+5.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		166	8	200	849	174	63	18	5%	1.2	20.5%	7.4%	13.1%	2.1%	3.32	3.46	+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alex Colomé (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.36	22.4%	9.1%	2.9%	—	5.00	20.7%	10.6%	232	+0.64	—	—	—
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	65
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	64
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	58
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	3.93	194	55
Matt Bush R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	37	SU	3.79	26.2%	8.7%	3.3%	.225	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	249	53
Scott Atchison R 2013 · 3.80 FIP	37	SU	3.80	14.4%	6.2%	2.1%	.273	3.60	16.7%	12.9%	92	-0.20	2.52	340	51
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	51
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	51
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	50
Chris Nichting R 2002 · 4.67 FIP	36	SU	4.67	16.6%	3.3%	4.6%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	103	49
Pete Walker R 2006 · 4.45 FIP	37	SU	4.45	19.6%	8.0%	3.6%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	327	48
Brian Sweeney R 2010 · 4.63 FIP	36	SU	4.63	9.5%	3.4%	3.5%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	108	41
Tony Pena Jr. R 2017 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	10.9%	4.3%	1.3%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	128	37
Jonathan Castellanos R 2019 · 5.24 FIP	37	SW	5.24	11.0%	9.0%	3.5%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	394	35
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2020 · 5.02 FIP	36	SU	5.02	17.5%	12.7%	3.3%	.381	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	132	34
Heriberto Ruelas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	35	SU	3.42	17.2%	6.7%	1.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	117	31
Hisanori Takahashi L 2012 · 4.04 FIP	37	SU	4.04	24.5%	6.1%	4.1%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	240	28
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	25
Brian Shouse L 2006 · 4.19 FIP	37	SU	4.19	13.2%	7.5%	2.3%	.269	3.37	15.3%	11.0%	127	-0.82	2.32	339	24

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.6	76	21.1%	8.9%	1.04	3.88
Wade Davis ('21)	5.0	83	22.1%	9.3%	0.95	3.94
Brett Cecil ('18)	3.8	76	20.7%	8.3%	1.14	4.29
David Phelps ('22)	3.4	76	22.9%	9.4%	0.94	3.80
Daniel Hudson ('24)	4.3	71	22.8%	7.7%	1.01	3.74
Tim Worrell ('06)	4.9	81	17.9%	8.7%	0.99	3.97
Joe Kelly ('24)	4.2	70	21.1%	9.8%	0.78	3.98