Kenley Jansen
P
Detroit Tigers
Age 38
RHP
6'5" / 265 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 26 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109100vR 90
ERA3.74
FIP3.92
K%25.5%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%16.5%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3893.7
Whiff%
p5125.5%
K%
p6725.3%
xwOBA vs
p580.304
SL+1.2 (10%)
CT (83%)
SI (8%)
FB (8%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 60 | 5 | 58 | 221 | 88 | 9 | 7 | 8% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 4.0% | 36.0% | 3.2% | 2.65 | 1.97 | +1.7 |
| 2015 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 60 | 5 | 58 | 221 | 88 | 9 | 7 | 8% | 1.0 | 39.8% | 4.1% | 35.7% | 3.2% | 2.65 | 2.09 | +1.7 |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 71 | 0 | 69 | 251 | 104 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 41.4% | 3.6% | 37.8% | 1.7% | 1.83 | 0.98 | +3.0 |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 71 | 0 | 69 | 251 | 104 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 41.4% | 3.6% | 37.8% | 1.6% | 1.83 | 1.22 | +2.8 |
| 2017 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 65 | 0 | 68 | 258 | 109 | 7 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 42.2% | 2.7% | 39.5% | 2.1% | 1.32 | 1.00 | +3.0 |
| 2017 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 65 | 0 | 68 | 258 | 109 | 7 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 42.2% | 2.7% | 39.5% | 1.9% | 1.32 | 1.17 | +2.8 |
| 2018 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 69 | 0 | 72 | 289 | 82 | 16 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.4% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 4.8% | 3.01 | 4.02 | +0.7 |
| 2018 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 69 | 0 | 72 | 289 | 82 | 16 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.4% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 4.5% | 3.01 | 3.84 | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 31 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 62 | 0 | 63 | 263 | 80 | 16 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.4% | 6.1% | 24.3% | 3.6% | 3.71 | 3.29 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 31 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 62 | 0 | 63 | 263 | 80 | 16 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.4% | 6.1% | 24.3% | 3.4% | 3.71 | 3.18 | +1.1 |
| 2020 | 32 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 27 | 0 | 24 | 102 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 32.4% | 8.8% | 23.5% | 2.1% | 3.33 | 2.62 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 32 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 27 | 0 | 24 | 102 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 32.4% | 8.8% | 23.5% | 2.0% | 3.33 | 2.57 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 33 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 69 | 0 | 69 | 278 | 86 | 32 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.9% | 11.5% | 19.4% | 1.5% | 2.22 | 2.78 | +1.6 |
| 2021 | 33 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 69 | 0 | 69 | 278 | 86 | 32 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.9% | 11.5% | 19.4% | 1.4% | 2.22 | 2.75 | +1.6 |
| 2022 | 34 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 65 | 0 | 64 | 260 | 85 | 19 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.7% | 7.3% | 25.4% | 3.1% | 3.38 | 2.95 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 34 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 65 | 0 | 64 | 260 | 85 | 19 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.7% | 7.3% | 25.4% | 3.1% | 3.38 | 2.96 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 35 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 51 | 0 | 45 | 188 | 52 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.7% | 8.5% | 19.1% | 2.6% | 3.63 | 3.29 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 35 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 51 | 0 | 45 | 188 | 52 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 27.7% | 8.5% | 19.1% | 2.7% | 3.63 | 3.30 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 36 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 54 | 0 | 55 | 218 | 62 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.4% | 8.3% | 20.2% | 1.8% | 3.29 | 2.74 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 36 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 54 | 0 | 55 | 218 | 62 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.4% | 8.3% | 20.2% | 1.8% | 3.29 | 2.77 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 37 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 62 | 0 | 59 | 234 | 57 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 7.3% | 17.1% | 3.5% | 2.59 | 3.91 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 37 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 62 | 0 | 59 | 234 | 57 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 7.3% | 17.1% | 3.4% | 2.59 | 3.79 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 28 | 0 | 24 | 104 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.3% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 5.1% | 5.55 | 5.40 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 38 | MLB | DET | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 28 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 3.4% | 3.74 | 3.92 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 38 | MLB | DET | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 28 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 3.4% | 3.74 | 3.92 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 38 | MLB | DET | — | — | 50 | 214 | 54 | 24 | 9 | — | — | 25.2% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 4.1% | 4.61 | 4.64 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 38 | MLB | DET | — | — | 50 | 210 | 54 | 24 | 9 | — | — | 25.7% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 4.1% | 4.68 | 4.64 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 39 | MLB | DET | 41 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 44 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 3.8% | 4.49 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 40 | MLB | DET | 35 | 0 | 37 | 155 | 36 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 4.3% | 4.90 | 5.17 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 41 | MLB | DET | 30 | 0 | 32 | 133 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 5.32 | 5.60 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 39 | MLB | DET | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 44 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 3.8% | 4.49 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 40 | MLB | DET | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 36 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 4.3% | 4.90 | 5.17 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 41 | MLB | DET | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 5.32 | 5.60 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 807 | 0 | 801 | 3220 | 992 | 238 | 96 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 7.4% | 23.4% | 3.0% | 3.10 | 3.08 | +21.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 202 | 0 | 200 | 804 | 248 | 59 | 24 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 7.4% | 23.4% | 3.0% | 3.10 | 3.08 | +5.4 | ||
| Career | — | 683 | 5 | 669 | 2666 | 865 | 181 | 77 | 1% | 1.0 | 32.4% | 6.8% | 25.6% | 2.9% | 2.84 | 2.80 | +20.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 204 | 1 | 200 | 797 | 258 | 54 | 23 | 1% | 1.0 | 32.4% | 6.8% | 25.6% | 2.9% | 2.84 | 2.80 | +6.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kenley Jansen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.96 | 25.6% | 7.7% | 3.0% | — | 5.12 | 23.3% | 13.0% | 111 | +1.16 | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 72 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 71 |
| Ryan Madson R 2025 · 3.65 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.65 | 23.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 240 | 71 |
| Ervin Santana R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.38 | 18.8% | 7.6% | 3.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 720 | 62 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.61 | 18.9% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .211 | 4.77 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 28 | +1.16 | 3.10 | 174 | 62 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.04 | 23.2% | 13.3% | 0.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 102 | 59 |
| Joe Blanton R 2024 · 4.94 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.94 | 20.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 240 | 59 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 57 |
| Zack Segovia R 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.36 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 1.9% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 144 | 54 |
| Matt Belisle R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.59 | 15.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 174 | 54 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2024 · 4.74 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.74 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 52 |
| Daniel Bard R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.81 | 20.3% | 19.8% | 1.7% | .224 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 200 | 48 |
| Erubiel Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.66 | 13.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | .388 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 119 | 48 |
| Chien-Ming Wang R 2024 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.52 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 183 | 48 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.08 | 16.8% | 15.2% | 0.9% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 219 | 47 |
| Hector Navarro R 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.41 | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 126 | 45 |
| Brad Ziegler R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.88 | 16.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.61 | 257 | 45 |
| Luis Ayala R 2026 · 2.99 FIP | 38 | SU | 2.99 | 10.9% | 4.5% | 0.4% | .320 | 3.94 | 15.9% | 4.2% | 14 | +0.95 | 2.99 | 119 | 40 |
| Tony Pena Jr. R 2024 · 3.54 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.54 | 10.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 128 | 40 |
| Yoshihisa Hirano R 2024 · 5.07 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.07 | 17.5% | 12.7% | 3.3% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 132 | 37 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 40 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 1.49 | 4.53 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Mike Mayers ('23) | 5 | 47 | 24.3% | 7.8% | 1.50 | 4.47 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Austin Voth ('24) | 6 | 58 | 22.2% | 8.2% | 1.50 | 4.63 |
| Heath Hembree ('22) | 7 | 45 | 25.6% | 9.4% | 1.58 | 4.22 |