Kenley Jansen

P Detroit Tigers

Age 39 RHP 6'5" / 265 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	36	MLBBOS	54	55	3.29	2.77	28.4%	8.3%	1.2
2025	37	MLBLAA	62	59	2.59	3.79	24.4%	7.3%	0.5
2026	38	MIX2 levels	51	46	3.74	4.33	28.1%	12.4%	0.1	K 28.3% · BB 12.2% · FIP 4.48
2027PROJ	39	MLBDET	40	42	4.00	4.35	26.5%	10.0%	0.1
2028PROJ	40	MLBDET	18	19	4.47	4.78	25.3%	10.7%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.8 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

K%83

xwOBA vs70

FB Velo41

Form2.20 ERA (proj 4.00) · K 31.7% (proj 26.5%) · BB 8.3% (proj 10.0%) ▲▲ last 90d · 16 IP through Oct 27

CompsTakashi Saito (age 39) · Juan Sandoval (age 38) · Keiichi Yabu (age 39)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108100vR 91

ERA4.00

FIP4.35

K%26.5%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%16.5%

Proj IP42

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

Statcast · Contract

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4193.9

Whiff%

p5826.6%

p8328.3%

xwOBA vs

p700.293

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2010	22	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	25	0	27	109	41	14	0	0%	1.1	37.6%	12.8%	24.8%	0.0%	0.67	1.55	+1.0
2010	22	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	25	0	27	109	41	14	0	0%	1.1	37.6%	12.8%	24.8%	0.0%	0.67	1.62	+1.0
2011	23	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	51	0	54	218	96	26	3	0%	1.1	44.0%	11.9%	32.1%	1.3%	2.85	1.62	+1.9
2011	23	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	51	0	54	218	96	26	3	0%	1.1	44.0%	11.9%	32.1%	1.4%	2.85	1.70	+1.8
2012	24	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	65	0	65	252	99	21	6	0%	1.0	39.3%	8.3%	31.0%	2.3%	2.35	2.09	+1.9
2012	24	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	65	0	65	252	99	21	6	0%	1.0	39.3%	8.3%	31.0%	2.4%	2.35	2.22	+1.8
2013	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	75	0	77	292	111	17	6	0%	1.0	38.0%	5.8%	32.2%	2.0%	1.88	1.71	+2.6
2013	25	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	75	0	77	292	111	17	6	0%	1.0	38.0%	5.8%	32.2%	2.1%	1.88	1.89	+2.5
2014	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	68	0	65	268	101	17	5	0%	1.0	37.7%	6.3%	31.3%	1.8%	2.76	1.70	+2.2
2014	26	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	68	0	65	268	101	17	5	0%	1.0	37.7%	6.3%	31.3%	1.9%	2.76	1.78	+2.2
2015	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	60	5	58	221	88	9	7	8%	1.0	40.0%	4.0%	36.0%	2.9%	2.65	1.81	+1.9
2015	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	60	5	58	221	88	9	7	8%	1.0	39.8%	4.1%	35.7%	3.2%	2.65	2.09	+1.7
2016	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	71	0	69	251	104	9	4	0%	1.0	41.4%	3.6%	37.8%	1.5%	1.83	0.89	+3.0
2016	28	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	71	0	69	251	104	9	4	0%	1.0	41.4%	3.6%	37.8%	1.6%	1.83	1.22	+2.8
2017	29	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	65	0	68	258	109	7	5	0%	1.1	42.2%	2.7%	39.5%	1.9%	1.32	0.90	+3.0
2017	29	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	65	0	68	258	109	7	5	0%	1.1	42.2%	2.7%	39.5%	1.9%	1.32	1.17	+2.8
2018	30	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	69	0	72	289	82	16	13	0%	1.0	28.4%	5.5%	22.8%	4.3%	3.01	3.77	+0.7
2018	30	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	69	0	72	289	82	16	13	0%	1.0	28.4%	5.5%	22.8%	4.5%	3.01	3.84	+0.6
2019	31	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	62	0	63	263	80	16	9	0%	1.0	30.4%	6.1%	24.3%	3.3%	3.71	3.10	+1.1
2019	31	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	62	0	63	263	80	16	9	0%	1.0	30.4%	6.1%	24.3%	3.4%	3.71	3.18	+1.0
2020	32	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	27	0	24	102	33	9	2	0%	0.9	32.4%	8.8%	23.5%	1.9%	3.33	2.52	+0.6
2020	32	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	27	0	24	102	33	9	2	0%	0.9	32.4%	8.8%	23.5%	2.0%	3.33	2.57	+0.6
2021	33	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	69	0	69	278	86	32	4	0%	1.0	30.9%	11.5%	19.4%	1.4%	2.22	2.70	+1.5
2021	33	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	69	0	69	278	86	32	4	0%	1.0	30.9%	11.5%	19.4%	1.4%	2.22	2.75	+1.5
2022	34	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	65	0	64	260	85	19	8	0%	1.0	32.7%	7.3%	25.4%	3.1%	3.38	2.95	+1.2
2022	34	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	65	0	64	260	85	19	8	0%	1.0	32.7%	7.3%	25.4%	3.1%	3.38	2.96	+1.2
2023	35	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	51	0	45	188	52	16	5	0%	0.9	27.7%	8.5%	19.1%	2.7%	3.63	3.34	+0.6
2023	35	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	51	0	45	188	52	16	5	0%	0.9	27.7%	8.5%	19.1%	2.7%	3.63	3.30	+0.7
2024	36	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	54	0	55	218	62	18	4	0%	1.0	28.4%	8.3%	20.2%	1.9%	3.29	2.78	+1.2
2024	36	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	54	0	55	218	62	18	4	0%	1.0	28.4%	8.3%	20.2%	1.9%	3.29	2.78	+1.2
2024	36	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	54	0	55	218	62	18	4	0%	1.0	28.4%	8.3%	20.2%	1.8%	3.29	2.77	+1.2
2025	37	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	62	0	59	234	57	17	8	0%	1.0	24.4%	7.3%	17.1%	3.4%	2.59	3.80	+0.5
2025	37	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	62	0	59	234	57	17	8	0%	1.0	24.4%	7.3%	17.1%	3.4%	2.59	3.80	+0.5
2025	37	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	62	0	59	234	57	17	8	0%	1.0	24.4%	7.3%	17.1%	3.4%	2.59	3.79	+0.5
2026	38	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	46	185	52	23	7	0%	0.9	28.3%	12.2%	16.1%	4.1%	3.74	4.48	+0.0
2026	38	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	46	185	52	23	7	0%	0.9	28.3%	12.2%	16.1%	4.1%	3.74	4.48	+0.0
2026	38	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	46	185	52	23	7	0%	0.9	28.1%	12.4%	15.7%	3.8%	3.74	4.33	+0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			983	0	972	3860	1329	284	95	0%	1.0	34.4%	7.4%	27.1%	2.5%	2.60	2.51	+23.7
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	39	MLB	DET	40	0	42	177	47	18	6	0%	1.1	26.5%	10.0%	16.5%	3.3%	4.00	4.35	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	40	MLB MLE	DET	18	0	19	79	20	8	3	0%	1.0	25.3%	10.7%	14.6%	3.8%	4.47	4.78	-0.0
2028	40	MLB CTX	DET	18	0	19	80	20	9	3	0%	1.1	25.3%	10.7%	14.6%	3.8%	4.47	4.78	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1001	0	991	3939	1349	292	98	0%	1.0	34.2%	7.4%	26.8%	2.5%	2.64	2.51	+24.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		202	0	200	795	272	59	20	0%	1.0	34.2%	7.4%	26.8%	2.5%	2.64	2.51	+4.9
Career	—	MLE		990	5	978	3886	1339	285	94	1%	1.0	34.5%	7.3%	27.1%	2.4%	2.64	2.44	+23.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		202	1	200	794	274	58	19	1%	1.0	34.5%	7.3%	27.1%	2.4%	2.64	2.44	+4.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 5 IPFIP 3.10 → 4.95 (+1.85)K% 38.1% → 29.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	38.10%	—	×0.770	29.33%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	4.76%	—	×1.150	5.48%
HR / BF /BF	4.76%	÷0.898	×1.250	6.63%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 80).

Result: FIP 3.10 → 4.95, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

	Profile at Match Age	Next 3 Yrs	Career
Kenley Jansen (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	3.3%	—	4.78	25.3%	14.6%	19	+0.43	—	—	—
Takashi Saito R 2009 · 3.86 FIP	39	SU	3.86	21.7%	9.6%	2.5%	.277	3.07	26.7%	20.0%	93	-0.79	1.50	338	76
Juan Sandoval R 2019 · 5.41 FIP	38	SU	5.41	15.9%	7.2%	5.0%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	225	57
Keiichi Yabu R 2008 · 3.48 FIP	39	SU	3.48	15.9%	9.3%	1.0%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	126	56
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	51
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	38	SU	3.51	13.3%	2.5%	2.2%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	119	44
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	43
Hisanori Takahashi L 2012 · 4.04 FIP	37	SU	4.04	24.5%	6.1%	4.1%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	240	37
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	22

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.2	54	33.9%	8.0%	0.98	2.69
Billy Wagner ('10)	4.5	65	33.2%	8.3%	0.82	2.31
Tom Henke ('82-'95, 25 WAR*)	3.9	66	35.9%*	7.7%*	0.93*	2.72*
David Robertson ('25)	4.5	64	31.9%	9.9%	0.82	2.93
Lee Smith ('80-'97, 29 WAR*)	6.4	72	30.4%*	8.9%*	0.89*	3.24*
Francisco Rodríguez ('17)	4.9	65	28.5%	9.7%	0.90	2.86
Dan Plesac ('86-'03, 16 WAR*)	5.4	60	28.6%*	8.5%*	1.02*	3.65*

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kenley Jansen (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	3.3%	—	4.78	25.3%	14.6%	19	+0.43	—	—	—
Takashi Saito R 2009 · 3.86 FIP	39	SU	3.86	21.7%	9.6%	2.5%	.277	3.07	26.7%	20.0%	93	-0.79	1.50	338	76
Juan Sandoval R 2019 · 5.41 FIP	38	SU	5.41	15.9%	7.2%	5.0%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	225	57
Keiichi Yabu R 2008 · 3.48 FIP	39	SU	3.48	15.9%	9.3%	1.0%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	126	56
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	51
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	38	SU	3.51	13.3%	2.5%	2.2%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	119	44
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	43
Hisanori Takahashi L 2012 · 4.04 FIP	37	SU	4.04	24.5%	6.1%	4.1%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	240	37
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	22

Kenley Jansen

Contract

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Path Comps

Career Comps