Kenley Jansen — OGILVIE

Kenley Jansen P Detroit Tigers

Age 38 RHP 6'5" / 265 lbs MLB peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10193vR 85

ERA3.55

FIP3.72

K%26.7%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%17.4%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5555

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4193.9

Whiff%

p5626.2%

p8128.0%

xwOBA vs

p640.298

SL+1.2 (10%)

CT (84%)

SI (6%)

FB (6%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	60	5	58	221	88	9	7	8%	1.0	40.0%	4.0%	36.0%	2.9%	2.65	1.81	+1.9
2015	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	60	5	58	221	88	9	7	8%	1.0	39.8%	4.1%	35.7%	3.2%	2.65	2.09	+1.7
2016	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	71	0	69	251	104	9	4	0%	1.0	41.4%	3.6%	37.8%	1.5%	1.83	0.89	+3.0
2016	28	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	71	0	69	251	104	9	4	0%	1.0	41.4%	3.6%	37.8%	1.6%	1.83	1.22	+2.8
2017	29	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	65	0	68	258	109	7	5	0%	1.1	42.2%	2.7%	39.5%	1.9%	1.32	0.90	+3.0
2017	29	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	65	0	68	258	109	7	5	0%	1.1	42.2%	2.7%	39.5%	1.9%	1.32	1.17	+2.8
2018	30	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	69	0	72	289	82	16	13	0%	1.0	28.4%	5.5%	22.8%	4.3%	3.01	3.77	+0.7
2018	30	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	69	0	72	289	82	16	13	0%	1.0	28.4%	5.5%	22.8%	4.5%	3.01	3.84	+0.6
2019	31	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	62	0	63	263	80	16	9	0%	1.0	30.4%	6.1%	24.3%	3.3%	3.71	3.10	+1.1
2019	31	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	62	0	63	263	80	16	9	0%	1.0	30.4%	6.1%	24.3%	3.4%	3.71	3.18	+1.0
2020	32	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	27	0	24	102	33	9	2	0%	0.9	32.4%	8.8%	23.5%	1.9%	3.33	2.52	+0.6
2020	32	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	27	0	24	102	33	9	2	0%	0.9	32.4%	8.8%	23.5%	2.0%	3.33	2.57	+0.6
2021	33	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	69	0	69	278	86	32	4	0%	1.0	30.9%	11.5%	19.4%	1.4%	2.22	2.70	+1.5
2021	33	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	69	0	69	278	86	32	4	0%	1.0	30.9%	11.5%	19.4%	1.4%	2.22	2.75	+1.5
2022	34	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	65	0	64	260	85	19	8	0%	1.0	32.7%	7.3%	25.4%	3.1%	3.38	2.95	+1.2
2022	34	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	65	0	64	260	85	19	8	0%	1.0	32.7%	7.3%	25.4%	3.1%	3.38	2.96	+1.2
2023	35	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	51	0	45	188	52	16	5	0%	0.9	27.7%	8.5%	19.1%	2.7%	3.63	3.34	+0.6
2023	35	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	51	0	45	188	52	16	5	0%	0.9	27.7%	8.5%	19.1%	2.7%	3.63	3.34	+0.6
2023	35	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	51	0	45	188	52	16	5	0%	0.9	27.7%	8.5%	19.1%	2.7%	3.63	3.30	+0.7
2024	36	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	54	0	55	218	62	18	4	0%	1.0	28.4%	8.3%	20.2%	1.9%	3.29	2.78	+1.2
2024	36	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	54	0	55	218	62	18	4	0%	1.0	28.4%	8.3%	20.2%	1.9%	3.29	2.78	+1.2
2024	36	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	54	0	55	218	62	18	4	0%	1.0	28.4%	8.3%	20.2%	1.8%	3.29	2.77	+1.2
2025	37	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	62	0	59	234	57	17	8	0%	1.0	24.4%	7.3%	17.1%	3.4%	2.59	3.80	+0.5
2025	37	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	62	0	59	234	57	17	8	0%	1.0	24.4%	7.3%	17.1%	3.4%	2.59	3.80	+0.5
2025	37	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	62	0	59	234	57	17	8	0%	1.0	24.4%	7.3%	17.1%	3.4%	2.59	3.79	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			695	0	681	2709	877	188	75	0%	1.0	32.4%	6.9%	25.4%	2.8%	2.76	2.78	+14.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	38	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	47	0	42	173	48	22	7	0%	0.9	28.0%	12.5%	15.5%	4.4%	4.10	4.71	-0.1
YTD	38	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	47	0	42	173	48	22	7	0%	0.9	28.0%	12.5%	15.5%	4.4%	4.10	4.71	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	38	AAA RAW	DET	1	0	1	5	1	1	0	0%	0.7	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.0%	40.50	3.94	—
2026	38	MLB RAW	DET	46	0	41	168	47	21	7	0%	0.9	28.0%	12.5%	15.5%	4.2%	3.51	4.61	-0.0
SO FAR	38	MLB RAW	DET	46	0	41	168	47	21	7	0%	0.9	28.0%	12.5%	15.5%	4.2%	3.51	4.61	-0.0
ROS	38	MLB MLE	DET	4	0	5	19	5	2	1	0%	1.1	26.7%	9.3%	17.4%	3.1%	3.55	3.72	+0.0
ROS	38	MLB CTX	DET	5	0	5	21	6	2	1	0%	1.0	26.7%	9.3%	17.4%	3.1%	3.55	3.72	+0.1
2026 TOT	38	MLB MLE	DET	—	—	46	192	53	24	8	—	—	27.6%	12.4%	15.3%	3.9%	4.05	4.61	-0.0
FULL	38	MLB A+C	DET	—	—	46	192	53	24	8	—	—	27.6%	12.4%	15.3%	3.9%	4.11	4.50	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	39	MLB MLE	DET	41	0	43	181	46	18	7	0%	1.0	25.3%	10.0%	15.3%	3.7%	4.41	4.65	-0.0
2027	39	MLB CTX	DET	41	0	43	182	46	18	7	0%	1.0	25.3%	10.0%	15.3%	3.7%	4.41	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		740	0	728	2909	928	208	82	0%	1.0	31.9%	7.1%	24.8%	2.8%	2.87	2.86	+14.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		203	0	200	799	255	57	23	0%	1.0	31.9%	7.1%	24.8%	2.8%	2.87	2.86	+4.0
Career	—	MLE		702	5	687	2735	887	189	74	1%	1.0	32.4%	6.9%	25.5%	2.7%	2.82	2.73	+14.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		204	1	200	797	258	55	22	1%	1.0	32.4%	6.9%	25.5%	2.7%	2.82	2.73	+3.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kenley Jansen (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.93	25.6%	7.7%	3.0%	—	4.65	25.3%	15.3%	43	+0.72	—	—	—
Ryan Madson R 2018 · 3.49 FIP	37	SU	3.49	23.4%	6.1%	2.9%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	1.42	240	74
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	71
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	70
Peter Moylan R 2017 · 3.63 FIP	38	SU	3.63	18.9%	9.1%	1.8%	.211	4.77	17.8%	6.2%	28	+1.14	3.11	174	62
Ervin Santana R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	38	SU	4.40	18.8%	7.6%	3.5%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.67	720	62
Joe Blanton R 2017 · 4.94 FIP	36	SU	4.94	20.0%	5.6%	5.1%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	240	60
Manny Acosta R 2019 · 3.08 FIP	38	SU	3.08	23.2%	13.3%	0.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	102	60
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	54
Matt Belisle R 2018 · 4.60 FIP	38	SU	4.60	15.4%	6.2%	3.7%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	174	54
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	53
Daniel Bard R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	38	SU	4.95	20.3%	19.8%	1.9%	.224	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	200	51
Santiago Casilla R 2018 · 4.14 FIP	38	SU	4.14	16.8%	15.2%	1.0%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	219	49
Ronald Belisario R 2019 · 4.16 FIP	36	SU	4.16	12.7%	3.9%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	2.10	126	48
Brad Ziegler R 2018 · 4.03 FIP	38	SU	4.03	16.4%	6.2%	2.8%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	2.63	257	46
Chien-Ming Wang R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	36	SU	4.53	13.0%	7.8%	2.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.23	183	44
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	38	SU	3.51	13.3%	2.5%	2.2%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	119	44
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	43
Neal Cotts L 2017 · 3.21 FIP	37	SU	3.21	25.5%	8.0%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.21	156	38
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2020 · 5.02 FIP	36	SU	5.02	17.5%	12.7%	3.3%	.381	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	132	38
Luis Ayala R 2016 · 3.03 FIP	38	SU	3.03	10.9%	4.5%	0.5%	.320	4.00	15.9%	4.2%	14	+0.97	3.03	119	37

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	46	25.4%	8.8%	1.28	4.06
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Blake Parker ('21)	1.2	60	26.6%	7.3%	1.40	3.36
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Adbert Alzolay ('23)	1.1	70	26.1%	7.0%	1.32	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41