Player 842589 P Kannapolis Cannon Ballers
Age — —HP A peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 16 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINST109
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.1%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP
K: -2.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-2KBB: -0.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -1.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.15 (42 IP)-0.2WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career (MLE) + Projections

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
2026AKannapolis Cannon Ballers6526109129383%4.37.7%9.8%-2.1%2.7%4.215.18-0.2
ROSMLBCWS3316681662100%5.423.1%9.2%13.9%3.0%4.344.34+0.0
2026 TotalMLBCWS421772815515.6%8.6%7.0%2.8%4.264.86-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202725MLBCWS3320842083100%6.723.5%8.9%14.5%3.0%4.304.27+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career6526109811383%4.37.7%9.8%-2.1%2.7%4.215.18-0.2
/ 200 IP473920084962862383%4.37.7%9.8%-2.1%2.7%4.215.18+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Player 842589 (OGILVIE) 4.34 23.1%9.2%3.0%
Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 25.7%12.4%4.2%.296 3.43 18.7%10.3%40 -1.37 2.78 181 79
Brendan Beck R 2025 · 3.18 FIP 24 SP 3.18 22.5%6.7%2.1%.289 3.78 20.9%13.1%225 +0.60 3.18 256 77
Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 3.81 FIP 25 SP- 3.81 19.2%5.7%2.9%.311 6.73 17.6%-0.7%51 +2.92 3.81 106 77
Peter Van Loon R 2026 · 3.14 FIP 25 SP 3.14 25.5%11.9%1.2%.303 4.30 21.1%10.5%53 +1.16 2.47 256 75
Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.98 FIP 25 SP 3.98 26.8%8.1%3.9%.325 3.63 209 75
Antonio Guzman R 2028 · 3.60 FIP 27 SP 3.60 18.8%11.2%1.2%.328 3.63 20.6%11.3%170 +0.03 3.22 254 75
Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 25 SP 4.39 23.0%10.5%3.5%.335 4.65 21.4%11.7%382 +0.26 3.67 509 74
Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.55 FIP 25 SP 3.55 20.4%10.4%1.6%.286 5.51 25.3%9.1%58 +1.96 3.29 142 74
Jackson Nezuh R 2025 · 5.06 FIP 24 SP 5.06 23.6%10.4%4.8%.259 3.77 258 73
Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 73
Griffin Canning R 2026 · 5.37 FIP 25 SP 5.37 22.4%10.1%5.2%.295 4.67 21.1%13.3%299 -0.70 3.70 776 72
Will Sanders R 2025 · 4.48 FIP 24 SP- 4.48 24.1%9.0%4.1%.304 3.89 259 72
Jackson Finley R 2026 · 3.85 FIP 25 SP 3.85 20.7%9.3%2.4%.346 3.85 132 72
Burch Smith R 2028 · 3.94 FIP 27 SP 3.94 19.5%12.6%1.6%.234 4.41 22.2%10.5%192 +0.47 3.39 382 72
Aidan Foeller R 2025 · 4.45 FIP 24 SP 4.45 23.4%10.6%3.6%.218 4.45 149 71
Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 20.8%12.2%3.5%.450 4.58 17.9%4.8%170 -0.22 3.80 187 71
Logan Tabeling R 2025 · 3.16 FIP 24 SP 3.16 24.6%11.5%1.2%.263 3.16 113 71
Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 25 SP- 4.76 20.8%10.1%3.9%.380 4.51 19.3%7.9%101 -0.25 4.50 119 71
Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 25 SP- 3.37 20.3%8.8%1.6%.278 5.10 15.8%6.7%73 +1.73 3.37 119 71
David Griffin R 2026 · 4.52 FIP 25 SP 4.52 19.2%11.9%2.8%.279 5.47 15.6%5.5%168 +0.95 4.52 239 70