Player 836613 — OGILVIE

Player 8366131B DSL Red Sox Blue

Age — —/— ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 146 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .268 / .276

PA146

HR2

K%29

BB%7

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	210	173	45	6	1	5	25	45	7	2	1	260	374	393	767	133	315	21	12	344	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	210	182	30	4	1	2	17	55	7	2	1	165	262	231	493	66	203	26	8	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	210	182	30	4	1	2	17	55	7	2	1	165	262	231	493	66	217	26	8	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	210	173	45	6	1	5	25	45	7	2	1	260	374	393	767	133	315	21	12	344	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	210	184	30	4	1	2	17	55	7	2	1	163	262	228	490	65	203	26	8	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	210	184	30	4	1	2	17	55	7	2	1	163	262	228	490	65	203	26	8	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	260	235	47	7	2	3	19	77	4	3	1	199	271	279	549	80	279	30	7	252	57	-13	+0	+0	-5	+6	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	202	182	36	6	1	2	15	59	3	3	1	202	273	287	560	85	280	29	7	257	60	-10	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.9
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	207	278	294	571	87	288	—	—	261	60	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	558	496	93	14	3	6	43	157	12	7	3	188	269	264	533	77	257	28	8	244	51	-17	+0	+0	-6	+8	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	108	16	3	7	50	183	14	8	3	187	268	261	529	74	256	28	8	244	51	-32	+0	+0	-12	+14	-3.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.5	348	4	5	202	270	285	-5	+0	-1.1	-0.6
/162	664	8	9	-9.1	+0.0	-2.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 836613 (OGILVIE)	25	42	36	44	50	197/268/276	79	279	2	2	29%	7%	57	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brendt Citta 2021 · A	25	44	39→45	45→30	44	210/282/299	89	286	6	6	27%	7%	67	-1.1	218/272/315	97	311	7	3	31%	6%	66	-1.1	210/268/310	100	303	8	1	32%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	199/272/283	84	272	8	13	28%	8%	59	-1.6	209/279/316	107	283	11	11	28%	8%	70	-0.9	174/252/307	134	221	17	8	29%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Ryan McCarthy 2008 · A	25	43	39→45	48→45	43	204/266/287	83	283	6	6	29%	7%	57	-1.8	217/271/324	107	287	10	7	26%	6%	68	-1.0	207/256/325	118	260	11	4	25%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Grant Buckner 2013 · A	25	43→41	40	44→40	40	210/263/298	87	287	7	6	29%	5%	59	-1.7	212/261/315	103	270	9	5	24%	5%	62	-1.4	208/256/315	107	255	10	3	22%	4%	57	-1.1
✕Devin Ortiz 2024 · A	25	46→47	36→30	46→50	44	208/284/268	61	318	3	7	33%	8%	61	-1.5	210/275/278	68	277	6	10	25%	7%	59	-1.6	201/266/262	61	259	7	12	24%	7%	49	-1.6
✕Jason Morozowski 2018 · A	24	43	40	46→45	41	206/261/296	90	294	7	7	31%	6%	57	-1.8	209/258/310	101	306	9	7	33%	6%	59	-1.6	199/244/304	104	290	10	6	34%	5%	50	-1.6
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	43→38	39→40	47→45	45	207/262/298	91	262	6	8	23%	6%	58	-1.7	196/248/273	77	272	4	7	28%	6%	47	-2.5	176/222/238	61	248	2	5	28%	5%	26	-2.5
✕Marcus Knecht 2015 · A	25	39→42	42→45	48→50	40	194/255/300	106	273	8	7	31%	6%	57	-1.8	193/261/277	84	281	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	167/243/236	69	251	2	13	31%	7%	36	-2.6
✕Danny Oriente 2022 · A	24	45	37→30	43→50	44	211/277/280	69	294	4	7	28%	7%	60	-1.6	215/282/286	71	281	5	11	24%	7%	63	-1.3	208/280/246	37	263	3	16	20%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	195/257/291	96	267	8	6	29%	7%	55	-1.9	193/247/290	97	279	9	6	32%	6%	51	-2.2	149/199/236	88	209	10	0	34%	5%	17	-1.5
✕Josh Adams 2014 · A	25	40→41	41→40	44→45	41	198/247/290	92	260	9	4	27%	6%	51	-2.2	192/242/284	92	266	8	6	29%	6%	47	-2.5	116/157/182	65	162	4	0	31%	5%	-11	-1.3
✕Connor McVey 2019 · A	24	44	40→30	45→50	44	210/283/299	88	306	7	9	32%	8%	68	-1.0	201/297/276	75	292	6	9	30%	10%	68	-1.0	179/293/237	58	260	6	9	30%	11%	57	-1.2
✕Shea Vucinich 2014 · AA	25	42→45	39→40	46→50	44	198/275/285	87	285	6	10	30%	8%	61	-1.5	199/273/291	92	283	6	12	29%	8%	61	-1.5	172/252/261	89	243	4	14	29%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Wagner Lagrange 2021 · A	25	45	41→45	48→40	41	218/261/320	102	281	7	5	25%	5%	63	-1.4	224/267/334	110	287	11	7	25%	5%	68	-1.0	222/260/327	105	278	12	5	24%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Jordan Tarsovich 2016 · A	25	44	41→45	47→50	44	213/278/305	91	283	9	7	27%	7%	67	-1.1	195/266/292	97	256	9	11	26%	8%	59	-1.6	179/255/270	91	232	8	12	25%	8%	48	-1.4
✕Brian Ward 2011 · A	25	40	36→40	43→45	47	191/268/254	63	265	4	6	28%	8%	52	-2.2	215/279/298	83	267	6	8	20%	7%	65	-1.2	220/283/302	82	265	6	8	18%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Brhet Bewley 2021 · A	24	46	37→40	43→40	46	213/281/283	70	300	4	6	28%	8%	62	-1.4	211/266/321	110	287	12	4	29%	7%	65	-1.2	197/252/305	109	259	13	1	29%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Matt McLaughlin 2021 · A	25	45→43	36→30	44→45	44	209/273/276	67	289	3	10	27%	7%	57	-1.8	202/264/280	78	269	6	7	25%	6%	55	-1.9	180/243/240	60	234	4	3	24%	6%	36	-1.8
✕Maikis De La Cruz 2016 · A	25	44→49	37→40	48→50	39	208/251/282	74	290	4	11	29%	5%	50	-2.3	204/248/279	75	277	5	9	27%	6%	49	-2.4	194/233/256	62	251	5	8	24%	5%	34	-2.1
✕Tyler Chism 2013 · A	24	42	42→40	46→50	40	206/268/306	100	283	10	7	30%	6%	63	-1.3	214/273/311	97	293	9	11	29%	6%	65	-1.2	209/273/292	84	280	9	12	27%	7%	59	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps