Player 836607 — OGILVIE

Player 8366071B DSL Blue Jays Blue

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 142 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .262 / .282

PA142

HR1

K%29

BB%8

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 31

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER31

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	206	176	48	20	0	2	25	43	0	2	0	273	363	420	784	148	338	21	12	344	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	206	183	33	13	0	1	18	53	0	2	0	180	254	268	521	87	228	26	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	206	183	33	13	0	1	18	53	0	2	0	180	254	268	521	87	239	26	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	206	176	48	20	0	2	25	43	0	2	0	273	363	420	784	148	338	21	12	344	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	206	186	33	13	0	1	18	53	0	2	0	177	254	263	517	86	228	26	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	206	186	33	13	0	1	18	53	0	2	0	177	254	263	517	86	228	26	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	256	234	47	12	1	2	19	75	1	3	1	199	264	285	549	86	281	29	7	250	56	-14	+0	+0	-5	+6	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	200	182	37	9	1	2	15	58	1	3	1	201	267	293	561	92	281	29	8	255	59	-10	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.9
2028	25	MLB CTX	TOR	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	202	268	294	562	92	282	—	—	256	59	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	548	494	95	28	2	4	44	153	2	7	2	192	261	281	542	89	265	28	8	246	52	-17	+0	+0	-6	+7	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	112	33	2	5	52	181	2	8	2	191	259	280	539	89	262	28	8	246	52	-33	+0	+0	-12	+14	-3.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.5	342	3	4	201	264	291	-5	+0	-1.1	-0.6
/162	664	6	9	-9.1	+0.0	-2.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 836607 (OGILVIE)	25	43	31	44	51	197/262/282	85	281	1	2	29%	8%	56	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Devin Ortiz 2024 · A	25	46→47	36→30	46→50	44	208/284/268	61	318	3	7	33%	8%	61	-1.5	210/275/278	68	277	6	10	25%	7%	59	-1.6	201/266/262	61	259	7	12	24%	7%	49	-1.6
✕Danny Oriente 2022 · A	24	45	37→30	43→50	44	211/277/280	69	294	4	7	28%	7%	60	-1.6	215/282/286	71	281	5	11	24%	7%	63	-1.3	208/280/246	37	263	3	16	20%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Matt McLaughlin 2021 · A	25	45→43	36→30	44→45	44	209/273/276	67	289	3	10	27%	7%	57	-1.8	202/264/280	78	269	6	7	25%	6%	55	-1.9	180/243/240	60	234	4	3	24%	6%	36	-1.8
✕Tanner Vavra 2014 · A	25	44	35→30	44→45	43	201/270/256	55	301	2	5	32%	8%	52	-2.2	211/275/264	53	302	2	7	29%	6%	56	-1.9	210/275/254	44	300	1	7	28%	5%	50	-1.2
✕Maikis De La Cruz 2016 · A	25	44→49	37→40	48→50	39	208/251/282	74	290	4	11	29%	5%	50	-2.3	204/248/279	75	277	5	9	27%	6%	49	-2.4	194/233/256	62	251	5	8	24%	5%	34	-2.1
✕Brendt Citta 2021 · A	25	44	39→45	45→30	44	210/282/299	89	286	6	6	27%	7%	67	-1.1	218/272/315	97	311	7	3	31%	6%	66	-1.1	210/268/310	100	303	8	1	32%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Brhet Bewley 2021 · A	24	46	37→40	43→40	46	213/281/283	70	300	4	6	28%	8%	62	-1.4	211/266/321	110	287	12	4	29%	7%	65	-1.2	197/252/305	109	259	13	1	29%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Grant Little 2021 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	46	208/267/277	69	268	3	8	23%	7%	55	-1.9	216/296/292	76	302	5	18	28%	8%	71	-0.8	204/300/252	48	293	2	28	28%	9%	61	-0.6
✕Connor McVey 2019 · A	24	44	40→30	45→50	44	210/283/299	88	306	7	9	32%	8%	68	-1.0	201/297/276	75	292	6	9	30%	10%	68	-1.0	179/293/237	58	260	6	9	30%	11%	57	-1.2
✕Kyle Knudson 2013 · A	25	44	36→30	41→30	43	207/272/271	64	290	3	3	28%	7%	56	-1.9	220/277/289	69	295	3	3	25%	6%	62	-1.4	223/273/281	58	296	2	0	24%	4%	56	-0.7
✕Bryan Johns 2013 · A	24	43	35→30	43→45	48	200/278/263	63	277	2	7	26%	9%	57	-1.8	199/267/281	82	284	6	8	30%	7%	57	-1.8	148/213/206	57	214	6	5	32%	5%	19	-1.2
✕J.J. Franco 2018 · A	26	45	35→30	41→45	48	210/273/266	56	279	2	6	24%	8%	55	-1.9	213/282/281	68	302	4	7	28%	8%	62	-1.4	190/274/224	34	282	0	2	29%	10%	47	-0.7
✕Sean Nicol 2012 · A	25	47	37→40	45	46	221/275/299	78	279	4	7	22%	7%	63	-1.4	228/276/306	78	292	5	8	22%	6%	65	-1.2	230/279/300	70	292	4	8	21%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Yoandy Barroso 2013 · A	24	46	37→40	47→40	44	215/281/291	76	300	4	4	28%	7%	64	-1.3	206/276/285	79	313	4	7	33%	7%	61	-1.5	176/258/246	70	284	2	8	35%	7%	44	-0.8
✕Bubba Hollins 2021 · A	25	43	37→30	42→45	42	206/257/279	73	265	4	4	23%	5%	52	-2.2	207/274/299	92	281	7	6	27%	6%	64	-1.3	191/265/273	82	263	6	5	28%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Joe Bonfe 2013 · AA	25	46	37→30	46→45	41	219/273/291	72	299	5	8	27%	6%	61	-1.5	226/280/310	84	319	7	9	30%	5%	68	-1.0	237/283/287	51	340	4	7	30%	3%	63	-0.3
✕Jhon Goncalves 2013 · A	24	45→48	35→40	45→50	47	211/284/276	65	288	2	10	26%	8%	62	-1.4	209/273/295	86	293	5	13	28%	7%	62	-1.4	193/257/280	88	278	4	15	30%	6%	51	-1.7
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	199/272/283	84	272	8	13	28%	8%	59	-1.6	209/279/316	107	283	11	11	28%	8%	70	-0.9	174/252/307	134	221	17	8	29%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Ryan McCarthy 2008 · A	25	43	39→45	48→45	43	204/266/287	83	283	6	6	29%	7%	57	-1.8	217/271/324	107	287	10	7	26%	6%	68	-1.0	207/256/325	118	260	11	4	25%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Brett Pirtle 2016 · A	25	43→49	38→30	49→45	41	204/263/281	77	287	5	8	29%	6%	55	-1.9	222/272/289	67	278	3	9	20%	6%	60	-1.6	228/275/282	54	280	1	8	18%	5%	57	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps