Blaze O'Saben — OGILVIE

Blaze O'SabenOF Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 26 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .313 / .349

PA7

HR0

K%27

BB%7

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	164	142	32	7	0	1	14	24	7	16	2	225	325	296	621	70	263	15	9	291	83	-3	+2	—	—	+4	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	25	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	164	146	29	7	0	1	10	34	7	16	2	199	282	267	549	68	247	21	6	248	54	-9	+2	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	25	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	164	146	29	7	0	1	10	34	7	16	2	199	282	267	549	68	250	21	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	164	142	32	7	0	1	14	24	7	16	2	225	325	296	621	70	263	15	9	291	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	164	146	29	7	0	1	10	34	7	16	2	199	282	267	549	68	247	21	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	25	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	164	146	29	7	0	1	10	34	7	16	2	199	282	267	549	68	247	21	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	7	7	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	143	143	143	286		342	29	0	301	90	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIN	26%	119	108	27	5	1	2	8	32	2	3	1	250	314	370	684	120	337	27	7	303	91	-1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIN	39%	209	188	47	9	1	3	15	55	4	5	1	250	319	356	675	106	333	26	7	304	92	-2	+1	-1	-1	+5	0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIN	44%	265	240	59	11	2	4	19	70	4	6	1	246	312	358	670	113	328	26	7	302	90	-3	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.1
2030	30	MLB MLE	MIN	47%	303	273	67	13	2	4	22	80	5	7	1	245	313	352	665	106	325	26	7	298	88	-4	+1	-2	-2	+7	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIN	26%	31	28	6	1	0	0	2	8	1	1	0	214	290	250	540	36	337	26	6	291	91	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIN	39%	82	75	18	4	0	1	6	22	1	2	0	240	305	333	638	93	333	27	7	291	92	-1	+0	-0	-0	+2	0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIN	44%	118	106	27	5	1	2	9	31	2	3	0	255	325	377	702	123	329	26	8	290	90	-1	+1	-1	-1	+3	0.0
2030	30	MLB CTX	MIN	47%	143	130	31	6	1	2	10	38	2	3	0	238	303	346	649	108	325	27	7	286	88	-2	+1	-1	-1	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	374	339	82	16	2	5	27	99	6	9	0	242	309	345	654	103	325	26	7	289	84	-5	+2	-2	-2	+8	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	143	28	3	9	47	172	10	16	0	243	309	346	655	104	326	26	7	289	84	-8	+3	-3	-4	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	1067	962	230	45	6	14	74	273	22	37	6	239	308	342	650	103	317	26	7	293	84	-11	+3	-4	-5	+20	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	141	27	4	9	45	166	13	23	4	241	309	346	655	106	318	26	7	293	84	-8	+2	-3	-4	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	2.3	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
/162	664	9	8	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#2Leury Garcíalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,387 PA	3.6	2,387	34	63	253	293	351	+5	+10	3.1	4.3
/162	664	9	18	+1.4	+2.7	0.9	pk7: 6
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	0.7	455	6	11	248	311	356	-3	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	9	16	-4.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blaze O'Saben (OGILVIE)	26	40	25	60	35	250/313/349	100	342	1	2	27%	7%	90	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dairon Blanco 2019 · A	26	51	37→45	61→70	41	236/281/322	85	322	3	20	27%	5%	70	-0.9	217/266/326	109	313	8	27	31%	6%	66	-1.1	267/328/397	130	350	13	90	26%	6%	104	+0.8
✕Roy Morales 2021 · A	26	47	38→30	51→45	46	224/287/306	82	283	5	10	22%	7%	70	-0.9	262/323/334	72	312	5	8	16%	7%	89	+0.5	282/345/343	61	332	4	7	15%	7%	96	+0.5
✕Michael Gigliotti 2022 · A	26	45	42→40	54→55	44	216/292/329	113	304	9	20	30%	8%	78	-0.3	207/305/315	108	284	10	20	28%	10%	80	-0.2	194/303/291	97	263	9	24	27%	11%	73	-0.3
✕Travis Jones 2021 · AA	25	48→51	40	52→55	40	222/298/311	88	320	8	21	31%	6%	76	-0.4	211/297/316	105	310	10	12	32%	9%	77	-0.3	181/288/271	90	268	10	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Vinny Capra 2022 · AA	26	48	45	52→50	41	234/289/365	131	316	12	10	29%	6%	84	+0.2	243/308/349	106	305	9	11	22%	8%	88	+0.4	237/307/322	85	294	7	11	20%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Thomas Milone 2021 · AA	26	48→45	41→45	57→55	42	230/283/339	109	309	7	16	27%	6%	75	-0.5	226/293/343	117	337	10	16	33%	8%	80	-0.1	220/291/336	116	335	10	17	34%	8%	75	-0.3
✕D' Vontrey Richardson 2014 · A	26	54→39	37→40	48→50	39	250/290/330	80	343	4	15	27%	5%	76	-0.4	232/277/325	93	293	6	17	22%	5%	70	-0.9	228/270/326	98	273	7	21	18%	5%	65	-0.7
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	50→48	38→40	53→55	47	235/298/314	79	300	6	15	23%	7%	76	-0.4	222/305/297	75	290	6	18	23%	10%	75	-0.5	213/306/284	71	274	6	21	22%	10%	71	-0.6
✕Robbie Podorsky 2021 · A	26	52	38→40	56→60	46	246/297/330	83	294	5	21	18%	6%	78	-0.3	237/289/342	105	310	6	22	24%	6%	78	-0.3	238/285/348	110	304	5	45	23%	6%	75	-0.1
✕Hunter Stovall 2022 · A	25	52→49	39→45	54→50	46	243/301/332	89	319	6	19	25%	7%	80	-0.1	232/280/333	101	293	8	15	23%	6%	73	-0.6	227/272/322	96	275	8	14	20%	6%	64	-0.9
✕Daniel Figueroa 2009 · A	26	48→53	35→30	55	48	219/302/274	54	314	2	24	28%	9%	69	-0.9	233/321/297	64	311	3	17	23%	9%	81	-0.1	244/340/302	58	317	2	15	21%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Ripken Reyes 2022 · A	25	51→48	37→40	53→50	45	234/331/314	81	312	4	13	24%	7%	90	+0.6	218/322/296	78	265	5	15	18%	8%	83	+0.1	209/317/284	75	251	5	17	17%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Tyler Saladino 2015 · AAA	26	48→47	40→45	55	47	231/291/327	95	288	7	20	22%	7%	76	-0.4	236/286/339	103	288	9	22	21%	6%	77	-0.3	227/287/327	99	289	10	17	24%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Brian Finegan 2008 · A	26	48→54	38→40	50	44	228/292/312	85	301	5	13	25%	7%	74	-0.6	214/267/306	92	298	8	13	29%	6%	62	-1.4	200/239/285	85	274	10	16	30%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Anthony Prato 2023 · AA	25	49→50	41→45	53→55	46	227/307/334	107	324	7	15	30%	9%	84	+0.2	214/311/320	106	292	8	17	27%	10%	83	+0.1	204/313/300	97	274	7	21	25%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Chad Hinshaw 2017 · AA	26	45→43	42→45	55	41	214/289/322	108	308	9	26	32%	7%	75	-0.5	201/263/299	98	299	8	14	33%	6%	60	-1.6	177/235/262	85	266	6	11	34%	6%	38	-1.5
✕Ben DeLuzio 2021 · AAA	26	49→50	39→45	54→60	42	230/292/326	96	323	5	23	29%	6%	76	-0.4	220/278/328	108	308	7	25	29%	6%	72	-0.7	209/269/311	102	297	7	30	30%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Yancarlo Angulo 2013 · AAA	26	52→55	41→45	54→55	42	250/301/354	104	314	7	18	22%	5%	86	+0.3	249/302/362	113	312	10	10	22%	4%	88	+0.5	250/306/358	108	313	9	7	22%	4%	88	+0.3
✕Anthony Granato 2006 · A	25	50→51	39→40	53→55	50	232/309/319	87	314	6	17	26%	10%	81	-0.1	221/300/314	93	310	7	17	28%	9%	77	-0.3	179/288/250	72	261	5	31	30%	12%	58	-0.3
●David Hensley 2022 · AA	26	50→57	42→45	49→55	42	239/290/345	107	334	8	11	30%	7%	80	-0.2	229/314/352	123	335	10	16	31%	11%	91	+0.6	212/309/333	120	312	10	19	32%	12%	82	-0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps