Blaze O'Saben — OGILVIE

Blaze O'SabenOF Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 26 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .312 / .350

PA81

HR1

K%27

BB%6

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	164	146	28	6	0	1	10	34	7	16	2	192	276	253	529	62	241	21	6	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	164	142	32	7	0	1	14	24	7	16	2	225	325	296	621	70	263	15	9	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	MIN	—	81	75	20	4	1	1	5	22	1	2	0	267	321	387	708	120	342	27	6	301	88	-1	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	MIN	26%	119	108	27	5	1	2	8	32	2	3	1	250	314	370	684	120	337	27	7	303	90	-1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.2
2028	28	MLB	MIN	39%	209	188	47	9	1	3	15	55	4	5	1	250	319	356	675	106	333	26	7	304	91	-2	+1	-1	-1	+6	0.2
2029	29	MLB	MIN	44%	265	240	59	11	2	4	19	70	4	6	1	246	312	358	670	113	331	26	7	303	90	-3	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.2
2027	27	MLB	MIN	26%	31	28	6	1	0	0	2	8	1	1	0	214	290	250	540	36	337	26	6	290	80	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
2028	28	MLB	MIN	39%	82	75	18	4	0	1	6	22	1	2	0	240	305	333	638	93	334	27	7	291	81	-2	+0	-0	-0	+2	0.0
2029	29	MLB	MIN	44%	118	107	27	5	1	2	8	31	2	3	0	252	316	374	690	121	331	26	7	291	81	-3	+1	-1	-1	+3	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	231	210	51	10	1	3	16	61	4	6	0	243	309	343	652	100	327	26	7	291	81	-5	+1	-1	-1	+7	0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	143	28	3	8	45	172	11	17	0	242	308	340	648	98	326	26	7	291	81	-14	+3	-3	-4	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	838	757	181	35	5	11	57	213	18	32	5	239	308	342	650	103	317	25	7	291	81	-18	+4	-2	-5	+24	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	141	27	4	9	44	165	14	25	4	240	309	346	654	106	317	25	7	291	81	-14	+3	-2	-4	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	164	142	32	7	0	1	14	24	7	16	2	225	325	296	621	70	263	15	9	291	81	-4	+2	—	—	+5	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ramon Martinezlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,955 PA	8	1,955	24	8	264	323	367	+2	-16	2.8	3.2
	/162	664	8	3	264	323	367	+0.6	-5.4	0.9	pk7: 4
#2Jose Vizcainolast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,971 PA	7	1,971	15	15	269	315	355	+3	+2	2.8	2.8
	/162	664	5	5	269	315	355	+0.9	+0.6	0.9	pk7: 3
#3Chris Woodwardlast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,835 PA	9	1,835	33	9	242	299	370	+2	-0	2.2	2.7
	/162	664	12	3	242	299	370	+0.6	-0.0	0.8	pk7: 3
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#5Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Timo Perezlast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,790 PA	7	1,790	25	23	270	308	383	-15	-9	0.6	0.6
#6Timo Perezlast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,790 PA	/162	664	9	9	270	308	383	-5.7	-3.2	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	312	4	8	251	312	359	-2	+0	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	9	17	251	312	359	-4.0	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blaze O'Saben (OGILVIE)	26	40	25	60	35	250/312/350	101	342	1	2	27%	6%	88	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Roy Morales 2021 · A	26	47	38→30	51→45	46	224/287/306	82	283	5	10	22%	7%	66	-0.6	262/325/339	77	314	6	8	17%	8%	90	+1.0	282/346/349	67	333	5	7	16%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Thomas Milone 2021 · AA	26	49→44	42→45	58→55	42	234/287/350	115	313	7	16	27%	6%	76	+0.1	227/295/353	126	343	11	16	34%	8%	82	+0.5	221/292/345	124	340	12	17	36%	8%	75	+0.0
●Dairon Blanco 2019 · A	26	52→49	37→50	61→70	40	239/282/324	85	330	2	20	27%	5%	67	-0.5	211/260/324	113	313	9	27	34%	6%	59	-1.1	267/329/405	137	352	15	90	26%	6%	106	+1.1
✕D' Vontrey Richardson 2014 · A	26	54→36	37→40	48→50	39	250/291/331	81	344	4	15	28%	5%	72	-0.2	234/280/332	98	298	7	17	23%	5%	69	-0.4	236/279/342	106	284	8	21	19%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Michael Gigliotti 2022 · A	26	45	43→40	54→55	45	217/293/331	114	301	9	20	29%	8%	76	+0.0	209/307/325	116	287	11	20	28%	10%	81	+0.4	198/306/304	106	267	10	24	27%	11%	74	-0.0
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	50→47	39→40	54→55	47	236/300/319	83	304	6	15	23%	8%	74	-0.1	220/304/299	79	290	6	18	24%	10%	72	-0.2	210/305/287	77	272	7	21	23%	11%	68	-0.4
✕Robbie Podorsky 2021 · A	26	52	38→40	57→60	46	248/299/334	86	297	5	21	18%	6%	77	+0.1	235/287/339	104	311	6	22	25%	6%	74	-0.1	231/279/336	105	301	6	45	24%	6%	67	-0.1
✕Tyler Saladino 2015 · AAA	26	48→47	41→45	55	46	232/291/332	100	294	8	20	23%	7%	74	-0.1	237/286/339	102	291	9	22	21%	6%	73	-0.1	225/286/324	99	288	10	17	24%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Adalberto Santos 2014 · AA	26	53	41→45	53→55	48	255/315/360	106	317	8	21	22%	7%	92	+1.2	228/287/327	99	314	8	15	28%	7%	71	-0.3	170/225/214	44	270	0	10	34%	7%	14	-0.7
✕Travis Jones 2021 · AA	25	46→49	41→40	52→55	39	216/291/308	92	315	9	21	32%	6%	69	-0.4	210/297/321	111	310	11	12	33%	9%	75	-0.0	179/287/277	97	265	11	10	33%	11%	56	-0.5
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	48→53	41→45	53→55	40	231/281/330	100	302	7	20	26%	5%	69	-0.4	233/301/351	118	292	10	16	23%	6%	84	+0.6	231/305/357	125	285	11	18	22%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Daniel Figueroa 2009 · A	26	48→53	35→30	55	48	219/302/274	54	314	2	24	28%	9%	65	-0.7	231/318/297	66	312	3	17	24%	9%	78	+0.2	242/336/302	60	320	2	15	22%	9%	83	+0.3
✕Ripken Reyes 2022 · A	25	50→47	37→40	53→50	45	231/328/310	79	309	4	13	24%	7%	87	+0.8	218/325/303	85	266	6	15	19%	8%	84	+0.6	209/320/291	82	252	6	17	18%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Hunter Stovall 2022 · A	25	52→49	39→45	54→50	45	245/301/332	87	326	5	19	26%	7%	78	+0.2	229/276/328	99	293	8	15	24%	6%	66	-0.6	222/267/316	94	272	8	14	21%	6%	56	-0.9
✕Drew Ferguson 2019 · AAA	26	52→49	43→45	49→55	47	244/321/354	110	334	10	16	28%	8%	93	+1.3	230/312/341	111	322	10	22	29%	9%	86	+0.8	215/303/319	104	305	10	30	30%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Brian Finegan 2008 · A	26	48→54	38→40	50	44	228/292/312	85	301	5	13	25%	7%	70	-0.3	214/267/307	93	299	8	13	30%	6%	58	-1.2	200/239/288	88	275	11	16	31%	4%	38	-1.0
✕Chad Hinshaw 2017 · AA	26	45→44	44→45	55	41	215/290/330	115	310	11	26	32%	7%	75	-0.0	202/264/303	101	305	9	14	34%	6%	56	-1.3	177/236/268	91	271	7	11	35%	6%	32	-1.4
✕Joseph Bonadonna 2011 · A	25	49	40	51→50	44	230/292/327	97	317	6	13	28%	7%	73	-0.1	201/260/287	86	290	6	15	31%	6%	50	-1.8	143/200/190	47	210	4	22	32%	5%	-2	-1.7
✕Yancarlo Angulo 2013 · AAA	26	51	41→45	53→55	40	243/292/347	104	309	8	18	23%	4%	79	+0.3	237/289/346	109	300	10	10	24%	4%	77	+0.1	234/289/335	101	295	9	7	23%	4%	73	-0.1
✕Jason Donald 2011 · MLB	26	49→55	43→50	55→50	45	236/298/356	120	305	9	14	24%	7%	84	+0.6	239/295/340	101	318	7	13	25%	6%	78	+0.2	234/286/325	90	320	6	11	27%	5%	67	-0.3