Cesar Garcia

2B DSL Marlins

Age 19 L/R 5'9" / 164 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1898ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKMIA	105	.173/.362/.309	2	3	23	—	.114/.257/.182
2026	18	ROKMIA	69	.184/.412/.327	0	5	49	—	.111/.294/.185
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBMIA	179	.197/.287/.284	1	3	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBMIA	33	.196/.286/.285	0	1	70	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	21	MLBMIA	95	.200/.290/.298	1	2	74	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%97

Speed97

BB%93

ISO62

wOBA56

wRC+49

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .284 / .281

PA42

HR0

K%30

BB%10

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	105	81	14	1	2	2	21	33	3	3	3	173	362	309	671	136	261	31	20	321	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	69	49	9	3	2	0	17	16	2	5	0	184	412	327	738	143	265	23	25	348	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	105	88	10	1	1	1	14	41	3	3	3	114	257	182	439	68	180	39	13	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	69	54	6	2	1	0	12	20	2	5	0	111	294	185	479	74	168	29	17	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	105	88	10	1	1	1	14	41	3	3	3	114	257	182	439	68	196	39	13	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	105	81	14	1	2	2	21	33	3	3	3	173	362	309	671	136	261	31	20	321	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	69	54	6	2	1	0	12	20	2	5	0	111	294	185	479	74	171	29	17	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	69	49	9	3	2	0	17	16	2	5	0	184	412	327	738	143	265	23	25	348	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	105	87	10	1	1	1	14	41	3	3	3	115	257	184	441	69	180	39	13	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	69	55	6	2	1	0	12	20	2	5	0	109	294	182	476	73	168	29	17	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	105	87	10	1	1	1	14	41	3	3	3	115	257	184	441	69	180	39	13	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	69	55	6	2	1	0	12	20	2	5	0	109	294	182	476	73	168	29	17	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	179	158	30	5	2	1	17	54	2	3	1	197	287	284	571	87	287	30	9	264	64	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	97	87	17	3	1	1	9	29	1	2	0	202	292	298	590	96	289	30	9	271	70	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIA	50%	190	167	34	6	2	2	18	56	3	3	1	207	296	311	607	104	291	29	9	278	74	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIA	58%	301	265	56	9	4	4	29	87	4	5	2	211	299	322	622	112	292	29	10	283	78	-8	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIA	61%	390	343	72	12	4	6	38	111	6	7	2	214	302	332	634	118	293	28	10	288	81	-9	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIA	63%	446	394	85	14	5	8	43	125	6	8	2	217	304	340	644	123	294	28	10	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	479	423	91	15	5	9	46	134	7	8	2	218	305	343	648	125	294	28	10	293	85	-9	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	496	438	95	16	6	9	48	139	7	8	2	218	305	345	650	127	293	28	10	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	502	442	96	16	6	9	48	141	7	8	2	217	304	342	646	125	293	28	10	293	84	-9	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	500	441	95	16	5	9	48	142	7	6	2	215	302	337	639	122	292	28	10	290	82	-11	+0	-1	+2	+11	0.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	492	436	92	15	5	9	47	141	6	4	2	212	299	331	630	118	290	29	10	286	80	-12	+0	-1	+2	+11	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	33	30	5	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	196	286	285	572	90	280	30	9	264	70	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIA	50%	95	85	17	3	1	1	9	28	1	2	0	200	290	298	588	97	281	29	9	270	74	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIA	58%	174	152	31	5	2	2	17	50	3	3	1	204	293	308	601	104	282	29	10	275	78	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIA	61%	240	212	45	7	3	4	23	68	3	4	1	207	296	317	613	110	283	28	10	280	81	-5	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIA	63%	281	248	52	8	3	5	27	79	4	5	1	210	298	325	623	115	284	28	10	283	84	-5	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	311	274	57	9	3	5	30	87	4	5	2	211	298	328	626	117	284	28	10	285	85	-6	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	322	283	59	9	3	6	31	90	5	5	2	211	298	330	628	119	284	28	10	286	85	-6	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	326	288	61	10	3	6	31	92	4	5	2	210	298	327	624	117	283	28	10	284	84	-6	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	325	287	59	9	3	6	31	92	4	4	1	208	296	322	618	114	282	28	10	282	82	-7	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	320	282	57	9	3	5	31	92	4	3	1	205	293	316	609	111	281	29	10	278	80	-8	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2427	2141	443	70	24	40	233	688	32	37	11	207	294	318	612	111	283	28	10	281	80	-52	+3	-1	+9	+53	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	119	19	6	11	62	184	9	10	3	208	295	319	614	112	283	28	10	281	80	-14	+1	-0	+2	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4109	3615	756	126	46	67	404	1179	60	68	20	209	299	325	624	116	289	29	10	286	80	-86	+5	-2	+14	+85	1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	120	20	7	11	64	187	9	11	3	210	299	327	626	117	289	29	10	286	80	-14	+1	-0	+2	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Marlins · 69 PAwOBA .347 → .240 (−107)K% 23.2% → 28.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.19%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	28.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	24.64%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	17.16%
HBP% /PA	2.90%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	2.02%
Singles /BIP	12.12%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×0.995	8.20%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.995	5.43%
Triples /BIP	6.06%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.995	3.62%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .347 → .240; ISO .143 → .094; BABIP .265 → .168. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Marlins · 105 PAwOBA .314 → .202 (−112)K% 31.4% → 39.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.43%	÷0.973	×1.220	—	—	39.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.00%	÷1.029	×0.700	—	×1.008	13.71%
HBP% /PA	2.86%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.01%
Singles /BIP	18.75%	÷0.955	×0.680	×1.050	×1.008	14.13%
Doubles /BIP	2.08%	÷1.073	×0.600	×1.050	×1.008	1.23%
Triples /BIP	4.17%	÷1.097	×0.600	×1.050	×1.008	2.41%
Home runs /BIP	4.17%	÷1.383	×0.470	—	×1.008	1.43%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 177, 1B 91, 2B 115, 3B 119, K 95, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .314 → .202; ISO .136 → .060; BABIP .261 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	4.3	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
	/162	664	18	10	226	302	380	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Dale Berra'77-'87 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	49	32	232*	293*	371*	+24	+14	4.6	5.6
#3Dale Berra'77-'87 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,835 PA	/162	664	11	7	232*	293*	371*	+5.5	+3.2	1.1	pk7: 7
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.7	2,469	43	37	216	300	337	+9	+7	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	12	10	216	300	337	+2.4	+1.9	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Luis Rivera'86-'98 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,453 PA	3.7	2,453	28	20	232*	291*	357*	+24	+5	1.2	2.3
#5Luis Rivera'86-'98 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,453 PA	/162	664	8	5	232*	291*	357*	+6.4	+1.4	0.3	pk7: 3
#6Scott Leius'90-'99 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,727 PA	2.6	1,727	28	16	237*	306*	358*	+5	+5	1.5	2.1
#6Scott Leius'90-'99 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,727 PA	/162	664	11	6	237*	306*	358*	+2.0	+1.9	0.6	pk7: 3

Cesar Garcia

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps