Jord David Diaz — OGILVIE

Jord David Diaz3B DSL Rangers Red

Age 18 R/R 5'10" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 123 proj PA

wRC+55

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .278 / .277

PA123

HR1

K%26

BB%6

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$12M		$22M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	148	129	27	1	1	0	8	40	9	13	2	209	301	233	534	23	300	27	5	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	148	124	32	2	1	0	13	28	9	13	2	258	370	290	660	32	330	19	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	—	—	123	111	24	3	1	1	8	33	3	3	0	216	287	288	575	72	289	27	7	257	55	-6	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	212	191	43	6	2	2	14	55	5	5	1	225	295	309	604	84	291	26	7	270	65	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	347	312	69	9	2	5	24	88	8	8	1	221	294	311	605	90	293	25	7	278	71	-11	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.1
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	449	405	92	13	3	7	31	113	10	10	2	227	298	326	624	99	294	25	7	284	76	-12	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.3
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	521	467	108	15	4	9	37	130	12	12	2	231	304	338	643	107	295	25	7	289	79	-12	+2	+0	+2	+15	0.6
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	569	511	117	16	4	10	40	142	13	13	2	229	301	335	636	106	296	25	7	291	81	-12	+2	+0	+2	+16	0.8
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	601	540	124	17	4	11	43	149	13	13	2	230	302	337	639	107	297	25	7	293	83	-12	+2	+0	+2	+17	0.9
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	620	557	129	18	4	12	44	154	14	14	2	232	304	343	647	111	297	25	7	295	84	-11	+2	+0	+2	+18	1.1
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	628	564	131	18	4	13	45	156	14	14	2	232	305	348	652	115	297	25	7	296	84	-11	+2	+0	+2	+18	1.1
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	629	564	131	18	4	13	46	156	14	14	2	232	306	348	654	115	296	25	7	296	84	-11	+2	+0	+2	+18	1.1
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	625	560	129	18	4	12	46	156	14	13	2	230	305	341	646	111	296	25	7	294	84	-12	+2	-1	+2	+18	1.0
2037	29	MLB	—	53%	616	551	127	17	4	12	46	155	14	12	2	230	306	341	647	111	295	25	7	292	82	-13	+2	-1	+2	+17	0.7
2038	30	MLB	—	53%	605	542	123	16	4	11	45	154	13	11	2	227	302	332	634	105	293	25	7	289	80	-14	+1	-2	+2	+17	0.5
2039	31	MLB	—	52%	591	529	120	16	4	11	44	152	13	9	1	227	302	335	637	108	291	26	7	285	76	-16	+1	-3	+2	+17	0.2
2040	32	MLB	—	52%	573	513	112	14	3	10	42	150	13	7	1	218	294	316	610	97	288	26	7	280	72	-18	+1	-4	+2	+16	-0.2
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	73	66	15	2	1	1	5	19	2	2	0	227	301	333	635	106	291	26	7	270	65	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	168	150	34	5	1	2	12	43	4	4	1	227	301	313	615	87	293	26	7	278	71	-5	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.0
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	244	220	50	7	2	4	17	61	5	5	1	227	298	332	629	105	294	25	7	284	76	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	295	265	60	8	2	5	21	74	7	7	1	226	300	328	629	102	295	25	7	289	79	-7	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.3
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	328	295	67	9	2	6	23	82	7	7	1	227	298	332	631	105	296	25	7	291	81	-7	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.4
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	343	308	72	10	2	7	24	85	8	8	1	234	306	347	653	114	297	25	7	293	83	-7	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.6
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	352	316	73	10	2	7	25	87	8	8	1	231	304	342	645	111	297	25	7	295	84	-6	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.6
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	355	319	74	10	2	7	25	88	8	8	1	232	304	342	646	110	297	25	7	296	84	-6	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.6
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	349	313	72	10	2	7	25	87	8	8	1	230	303	342	645	112	296	25	7	296	84	-6	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.6
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	343	307	71	10	2	7	25	86	8	7	1	231	306	345	651	114	296	25	7	294	84	-6	+1	-0	+1	+10	0.5
2037	29	MLB	—	53%	329	295	67	9	2	6	24	83	7	6	1	227	301	332	633	105	295	25	7	292	82	-7	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.4
2038	30	MLB	—	53%	318	284	65	9	2	6	24	81	7	6	1	229	305	338	643	109	293	25	8	289	80	-7	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.3
2039	31	MLB	—	52%	308	275	62	8	2	6	23	79	7	5	1	225	302	335	636	109	291	26	7	285	76	-8	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.1
2040	32	MLB	—	52%	297	266	58	7	2	5	22	78	7	4	1	218	295	316	611	98	288	26	7	280	72	-9	+0	-2	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4102	3679	840	114	26	76	295	1033	93	85	13	228	302	335	637	107	295	25	7	290	80	-93	+12	-6	+15	+116	4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	133	18	4	12	47	164	15	13	2	228	302	334	637	106	295	25	7	290	80	-15	+2	-1	+2	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	7857	7046	1606	215	52	139	563	1983	182	171	26	228	302	332	634	104	296	25	7	288	79	-190	+24	-10	+28	+223	7.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	132	18	4	11	47	164	15	14	2	226	301	328	628	101	294	25	7	288	79	-16	+2	-1	+2	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	148	124	32	2	1	0	13	28	9	13	2	258	370	290	660	32	330	19	9	312	97	-1	+2	—	—	+4	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,225	76	86	230	300	336	+15	+4	4.4	4.1
	/162	664	12	14	230	300	336	+2.4	+0.6	0.7	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jord David Diaz (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	211/278/277	66	289	1	3	26%	6%	55	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→48	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	45	-2.1	206/254/321	115	262	11	14	25%	5%	56	-1.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Diego Infante 2018 · A	18	42→52	35→45	54→50	41	199/244/266	67	276	2	12	28%	6%	36	-2.7	197/241/267	70	299	4	10	33%	5%	36	-2.7	234/285/359	124	358	14	14	36%	6%	76	+0.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→53	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	56	-1.3	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	52	-1.6	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	42→52	40→45	53→50	41	203/261/302	99	285	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	203/241/283	80	277	4	10	27%	4%	39	-2.5	261/302/366	105	316	7	13	19%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Adrián Sanchez 2009 · A	18	43→45	38→45	52→50	42	207/255/285	78	258	5	14	22%	5%	46	-2.0	223/254/298	75	271	5	11	19%	3%	49	-1.8	255/291/358	104	310	7	11	20%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Oswald Peraza 2018 · A	18	45→52	35→50	53→60	44	210/279/276	66	274	1	11	22%	6%	55	-1.4	207/267/272	65	282	4	15	26%	6%	49	-1.8	228/285/371	143	284	18	30	26%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Yairo Muñoz 2013 · A	18	41→51	37→50	48→55	41	195/247/274	79	274	2	8	29%	6%	40	-2.4	202/253/286	84	263	5	7	24%	6%	46	-2.0	262/304/399	137	319	15	17	22%	5%	91	+0.7
✕Eguy Rosario 2018 · A	18	44→52	36→50	53→55	41	205/261/283	77	291	2	20	29%	6%	48	-1.9	208/254/315	107	293	9	13	31%	5%	54	-1.4	219/282/363	144	293	15	21	29%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Anthony García 2010 · A	18	43→47	37→55	49→45	41	206/264/284	79	285	4	8	28%	6%	50	-1.7	226/294/369	143	280	14	5	24%	6%	86	+0.8	229/291/415	186	284	20	3	26%	5%	94	+0.6
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	40→50	40→45	50→65	41	196/253/282	87	272	8	16	30%	6%	45	-2.1	225/290/327	102	307	8	38	27%	7%	72	-0.2	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
✕Jose Paez 2012 · A	18	36	36→45	51→50	41	173/241/239	66	265	4	16	34%	7%	30	-3.1	220/268/311	91	310	5	12	29%	5%	58	-1.2	226/270/319	93	319	4	12	29%	5%	56	-0.4
●Moisés Sierra 2007 · A	18	42→52	39→50	52→50	42	203/266/292	89	271	6	13	26%	6%	54	-1.4	205/253/299	94	283	8	9	29%	4%	50	-1.8	248/314/378	130	302	14	15	22%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→30	52→50	46	204/257/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	46	-2.0	230/283/304	74	270	3	15	15%	6%	63	-0.9	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	44	38→45	51→50	41	207/269/289	82	311	6	11	33%	7%	53	-1.5	209/275/309	100	307	7	11	32%	7%	62	-0.9	189/260/299	110	270	7	17	30%	8%	52	-0.5