Jord David Diaz

3B DSL Rangers Red

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Rangers R…	148	.258/.370/.290	0	13	35	—	.188/.288/.211
2027PROJMLE	19	MLB—	258	.214/.284/.276	2	8	61	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	26	.219/.289/.290	0	1	67	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Speed84

Z-Con%81

Whiff%65

K%63

wOBA44

Chase%38

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA

wRC+61

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .282 / .274

PA45

HR0

K%25

BB%7

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	148	124	32	2	1	0	13	28	9	13	2	258	370	290	660	32	330	19	9	312	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	148	128	24	1	1	0	9	34	9	13	2	188	288	211	499	23	236	23	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	148	128	24	1	1	0	9	34	9	13	2	188	288	211	499	23	253	23	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	—	148	124	32	2	1	0	13	28	9	13	2	258	370	290	660	32	330	19	9	312	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	148	129	24	1	1	0	9	34	9	13	2	186	288	209	497	23	236	23	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	148	129	24	1	1	0	9	34	9	13	2	186	288	209	497	23	236	23	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	258	233	51	6	2	2	17	65	6	8	1	214	284	276	560	62	288	25	7	259	61	-12	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	76	69	16	2	1	1	5	19	2	2	0	219	289	290	580	72	290	25	7	267	67	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	26	23	5	1	0	0	2	7	1	1	0	219	289	290	580	72	290	27	8	267	67	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	26	23	5	1	0	0	2	7	1	1	0	217	308	261	569	43	312	27	8	267	48	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	125	25	0	0	50	175	25	25	0	217	308	261	569	43	312	27	8	267	48	-26	+5	+0	+2	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	269	238	48	4	2	1	17	64	12	16	2	202	288	248	536	46	270	24	6	240	48	-5	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	116	10	5	2	41	155	29	39	5	202	288	247	535	45	271	24	6	240	48	-27	+3	+0	+2	+14	-0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Rangers Red · 148 PAwOBA .306 → .220 (−86)K% 18.9% → 23.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.92%	÷1.004	×1.220	—	—	22.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.78%	÷1.034	×0.700	—	×1.008	5.99%
HBP% /PA	6.08%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	4.29%
Singles /BIP	30.21%	÷0.993	×0.680	×1.050	×1.008	21.89%
Doubles /BIP	2.08%	÷1.108	×0.600	×1.050	×1.008	1.19%
Triples /BIP	1.04%	÷0.900	×0.600	×1.050	×1.008	0.73%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.259	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 99, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .306 → .220; ISO .032 → .021; BABIP .330 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).