Luis Leon — OGILVIE

Luis LeonOF DSL Cubs Red

Age 18 R/R 5'10" / 134 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 72 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+62

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .278 / .303

PA72

HR1

K%25

BB%7

BABIP277

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.5M
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.1M
Totals		$10M		$10M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	137	126	23	5	0	4	7	34	4	12	4	183	248	317	566	135	216	25	5	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	137	121	30	8	0	4	12	22	4	12	4	248	336	413	749	165	274	16	9	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	42	40	7	1	0	0	2	10	0	3	2	175	214	200	414	25	233	24	5	212	20	-4	-0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
YTD	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	42	38	10	2	0	0	4	7	0	3	2	263	333	316	649	53	323	17	10	300	88	-1	-0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
ROS	18	ROK	—	0%	72	66	14	3	0	1	5	18	1	2	1	212	278	303	581	91	282	25	7	266	62	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
ROS	18	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		282	—	—	266	62	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	—	—	42	41	7	1	0	0	2	10	0	3	2	171	214	195	409	24	226	24	5	212	20	-4	-0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
TOT	18	ROK	—	—	114	106	21	4	0	1	7	28	1	5	3	198	254	264	519	66	260	25	6	246	46	-7	-0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	204	185	42	8	1	3	14	51	3	5	1	227	292	330	622	103	288	25	7	279	72	-6	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	341	309	72	13	2	7	24	84	5	8	2	233	299	356	655	123	290	25	7	287	78	-8	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	444	404	93	17	2	9	31	108	6	10	2	230	295	349	644	119	291	24	7	293	82	-9	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.2
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	517	468	109	20	3	11	37	125	7	12	3	233	299	359	658	126	292	24	7	296	85	-9	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.4
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	567	513	121	22	3	13	41	136	8	13	3	236	302	366	669	131	293	24	7	299	87	-8	+1	+0	-3	+16	0.6
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	599	543	129	24	3	14	43	144	8	13	3	238	303	370	673	133	294	24	7	301	88	-8	+1	+0	-4	+17	0.7
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	618	560	133	24	3	15	44	148	9	14	3	237	303	371	675	134	294	24	7	302	89	-7	+2	+0	-4	+18	0.8
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	627	568	135	25	3	15	45	150	9	14	3	238	304	371	675	134	294	24	7	303	90	-7	+2	+0	-4	+18	0.9
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	628	568	135	25	3	15	46	151	9	14	3	238	305	371	676	134	293	24	7	303	90	-7	+2	+0	-4	+18	0.9
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	624	564	133	24	3	15	46	151	9	13	3	236	304	369	673	133	293	24	7	302	89	-8	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.7
2037	29	MLB	—	53%	615	555	131	24	3	15	46	150	9	12	3	236	305	371	676	135	292	24	7	300	88	-9	+1	-1	-4	+17	0.5
2038	30	MLB	—	53%	604	546	127	23	3	14	45	148	8	11	3	233	301	363	663	130	291	25	7	297	85	-10	+1	-2	-4	+17	0.2
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	70	64	14	3	0	1	5	17	1	2	0	219	286	312	598	94	288	24	7	279	72	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	165	151	34	6	1	3	11	41	2	4	1	225	287	338	624	113	290	25	7	287	78	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	241	219	50	9	1	5	17	59	3	5	1	228	293	347	640	119	291	24	7	293	82	-5	+1	+0	-1	+7	0.1
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	293	266	62	11	2	6	21	71	4	7	2	233	299	357	656	124	292	24	7	296	85	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	326	295	70	13	2	7	23	78	5	7	2	237	303	366	670	129	293	24	7	299	87	-5	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.3
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	341	309	73	13	2	8	24	82	5	8	2	236	302	369	671	133	294	24	7	301	88	-4	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.4
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	351	318	75	14	2	8	25	84	5	8	2	236	302	368	670	132	294	24	7	302	89	-4	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.4
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	355	321	77	14	2	9	26	85	5	8	2	240	307	380	687	140	294	24	7	303	90	-4	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.5
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	348	314	75	14	2	8	26	84	5	8	2	239	307	373	680	134	293	24	7	303	90	-4	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.5
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	343	310	73	13	2	8	25	83	5	7	2	235	303	368	671	132	293	24	7	302	89	-4	+1	-0	-2	+10	0.4
2037	29	MLB	—	53%	329	296	71	13	2	8	25	80	5	7	2	240	310	378	688	139	292	24	8	300	88	-5	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.3
2038	30	MLB	—	53%	318	287	66	12	1	7	24	78	4	6	1	230	298	352	650	122	291	25	8	297	85	-5	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3480	3151	740	135	19	78	252	842	49	77	19	235	302	364	666	129	294	24	7	299	87	-52	+8	-2	-21	+99	3.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	139	25	4	15	47	157	9	14	4	236	303	368	671	132	295	24	7	299	87	-10	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	6597	5975	1397	257	32	151	474	1598	95	153	37	234	300	363	664	130	293	24	7	297	85	-108	+16	-4	-40	+187	5.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	137	25	3	15	47	157	9	15	4	233	299	362	661	129	290	24	7	297	85	-11	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	137	121	30	8	0	4	12	22	4	12	4	248	336	413	749	165	274	16	9	337	116	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,594	82	78	236	299	366	-22	+0	3.1	2.9
	/162	664	15	14	236	299	366	-4.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Leon (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	198/254/264	66	260	1	5	25%	6%	46	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	43→53	46→50	52→45	43	216/277/348	132	271	12	10	25%	6%	73	-0.1	235/292/359	124	285	14	8	22%	5%	82	+0.5	253/307/382	129	303	14	6	21%	5%	91	+0.9
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→45	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	196/245/301	105	305	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3
●Moisés Sierra 2007 · A	18	42→52	39→50	52→50	42	203/266/292	89	271	6	13	26%	6%	54	-1.4	205/253/299	94	283	8	9	29%	4%	50	-1.8	248/314/378	130	302	14	15	22%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→48	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	45	-2.1	206/254/321	115	262	11	14	25%	5%	56	-1.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	66	-0.6	230/295/375	145	298	17	16	27%	8%	88	+0.9	233/300/377	144	296	17	19	26%	8%	87	+0.7
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	42→52	40→45	53→50	41	203/261/302	99	285	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	203/241/283	80	277	4	10	27%	4%	39	-2.5	261/302/366	105	316	7	13	19%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Alexander Canario 2018 · A	18	44→34	42→60	48→50	47	215/278/323	108	267	8	14	22%	7%	66	-0.6	213/275/348	135	290	15	10	30%	7%	72	-0.2	205/276/414	209	281	28	13	37%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Jesus Vasquez 2010 · A	18	41	43→55	45→55	40	203/255/316	114	272	9	8	29%	5%	55	-1.4	209/267/336	127	280	13	13	29%	6%	66	-0.6	206/270/350	143	270	16	18	29%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	40→50	40→45	50→65	41	196/253/282	87	272	8	16	30%	6%	45	-2.1	225/290/327	102	307	8	38	27%	7%	72	-0.2	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2022 · A	18	43	46→55	48→40	40	211/281/338	127	310	14	7	35%	7%	73	-0.1	195/273/317	122	300	13	5	37%	8%	64	-0.8	202/290/390	188	286	26	2	37%	9%	87	+0.6
✕Dalton Pompey 2011 · A	18	41→51	42→45	50→55	40	205/258/306	101	279	10	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	199/268/292	93	283	7	18	30%	8%	55	-1.4	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
●Junior Lake 2008 · A	18	43→53	39→50	49→55	37	204/255/292	87	292	5	9	31%	5%	48	-1.9	204/245/292	88	307	6	10	34%	4%	43	-2.2	231/302/372	141	287	15	19	24%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3