Ronald Terrero

SS DSL Orioles Black

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1567ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Orioles B…	93	.257/.409/.284	0	5	43	—	.165/.290/.177
2026	18	ROKDSL Orioles B…	104	.191/.301/.258	0	3	7	—	.129/.214/.172
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBBAL	214	.210/.282/.279	1	4	61	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBBAL	38	.218/.291/.300	0	1	67	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	21	MLBBAL	103	.222/.296/.315	1	2	72	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%72

K%70

Z-Con%59

Chase%56

Speed35

BB%24

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 56 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .280 / .277

PA56

HR0

K%26

BB%8

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	93	74	19	2	0	0	17	22	2	5	2	257	409	284	692	27	365	24	18	336	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	104	89	17	6	0	0	12	18	2	3	1	191	301	258	559	67	239	17	12	264	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	93	79	13	1	0	0	12	28	2	5	2	165	290	177	468	13	255	30	13	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	104	93	12	4	0	0	8	22	2	3	1	129	214	172	386	43	163	21	8	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	93	79	13	1	0	0	12	28	2	5	2	165	290	177	468	13	255	30	13	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	93	74	19	2	0	0	17	22	2	5	2	257	409	284	692	27	365	24	18	336	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	104	93	12	4	0	0	8	22	2	3	1	129	214	172	386	43	169	21	8	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	104	89	17	6	0	0	12	18	2	3	1	191	301	258	559	67	239	17	12	264	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	93	79	13	1	0	0	12	28	2	5	2	165	290	177	468	13	255	30	13	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	104	93	12	4	0	0	8	22	2	3	1	129	214	172	386	43	163	21	8	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	93	79	13	1	0	0	12	28	2	5	2	165	290	177	468	13	255	30	13	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	104	93	12	4	0	0	8	22	2	3	1	129	214	172	386	43	163	21	8	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	214	193	40	7	1	1	17	56	2	4	1	210	282	279	562	69	287	26	8	259	61	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	112	101	22	4	1	1	9	29	1	2	1	215	288	295	583	80	289	26	8	267	67	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	BAL	50%	207	185	40	7	1	2	17	53	3	4	1	219	293	308	601	90	290	26	8	275	72	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	BAL	58%	317	284	63	11	2	4	26	81	4	6	2	222	296	320	616	98	291	26	8	281	76	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	BAL	61%	401	360	80	14	2	6	33	101	5	8	2	225	299	330	629	105	292	25	8	286	79	-10	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	BAL	63%	454	407	93	16	3	8	38	114	6	9	3	228	302	339	641	111	293	25	8	290	82	-10	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	485	436	99	17	3	9	40	121	6	9	3	228	302	342	645	114	293	25	8	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2034	26	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	501	448	104	18	3	10	42	125	6	10	3	229	303	345	647	116	293	25	8	292	84	-10	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	506	453	103	18	3	9	42	127	6	10	3	228	302	342	644	114	293	25	8	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	504	451	103	18	3	9	42	128	6	9	3	226	300	338	638	112	292	25	8	288	81	-11	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.5
2037	29	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	494	444	100	17	3	9	41	127	6	9	3	224	297	332	629	108	291	26	8	285	79	-12	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	38	35	7	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	218	291	300	591	83	292	26	8	271	67	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	BAL	50%	103	93	21	4	1	1	8	26	1	2	1	222	296	315	610	93	294	25	8	278	72	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	BAL	58%	183	164	38	7	1	3	15	47	2	4	1	225	299	327	626	101	295	26	8	284	76	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	BAL	61%	247	222	50	9	1	4	20	62	3	5	1	229	302	337	640	109	296	25	8	290	79	-6	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	BAL	63%	286	256	60	11	2	5	24	72	4	6	2	231	305	346	651	115	297	25	8	294	82	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	315	282	66	12	2	6	26	79	4	6	2	232	306	350	655	118	297	25	8	296	83	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	326	292	68	12	2	6	27	82	4	6	2	232	306	352	658	120	297	25	8	297	84	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	329	295	68	12	2	6	27	83	4	6	2	231	305	350	655	118	297	25	8	295	83	-7	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	328	294	68	12	2	6	27	83	4	6	2	230	303	345	648	115	296	25	8	293	81	-7	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	321	287	67	12	2	6	27	82	4	6	2	227	300	339	639	112	295	26	8	289	79	-8	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2476	2220	513	92	15	43	204	626	30	48	15	231	304	344	649	113	300	25	8	292	78	-57	+4	-1	+27	+54	2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	134	24	4	11	54	164	8	13	4	230	304	341	646	111	299	25	8	292	78	-15	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4234	3792	842	147	24	67	354	1071	54	85	27	222	298	326	624	104	290	25	8	283	78	-95	+6	-2	+43	+87	4.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	130	23	4	10	54	164	8	13	4	223	298	328	626	105	292	25	8	283	78	-15	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 104 PAwOBA .258 → .178 (−80)K% 17.3% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.31%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	21.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.54%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	8.04%
HBP% /PA	1.92%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.34%
Singles /BIP	15.49%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.050	×0.995	11.01%
Doubles /BIP	8.45%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.050	×0.995	5.30%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.050	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .258 → .178; ISO .067 → .043; BABIP .239 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 93 PAwOBA .329 → .232 (−98)K% 23.7% → 29.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.66%	÷0.968	×1.220	—	—	29.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.28%	÷0.972	×0.700	—	×1.008	13.27%
HBP% /PA	2.15%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.52%
Singles /BIP	32.69%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.037	×1.008	23.24%
Doubles /BIP	3.85%	÷1.043	×0.600	×1.037	×1.008	2.31%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.964	×0.600	×1.037	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.823	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 100, 2B 109, 3B 93, K 94, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .329 → .232; ISO .027 → .016; BABIP .365 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
	/162	664	8	16	227*	307*	330*	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	/162	664	4	15	240*	300*	338*	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	/162	664	3	5	233*	291*	316*	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.8	2,531	43	48	227	297	335	+27	+21	4.4	4.2
	/162	664	11	13	227	297	335	+7.1	+5.5	1.1	pk7: 4

Ronald Terrero

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps