Jefferson Vargas

SS DSL CLE Goryl

Age 19 L/R 5'9" / 148 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL CLE Mendo…	161	.211/.365/.258	0	5	22	—	.132/.258/.162
2026	18	ROKDSL CLE Goryl	55	.167/.364/.238	0	1	24	—	.133/.291/.200
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBPIT	165	.194/.277/.260	1	2	55	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPIT	31	.199/.282/.274	0	0	61	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%80

K%75

Chase%73

Z-Con%61

Whiff%57

Speed57

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .274 / .258

PA36

HR0

K%27

BB%9

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	161	128	27	4	1	0	29	36	2	5	1	211	365	258	623	47	290	22	18	300	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	55	42	7	1	1	0	11	9	2	1	1	167	364	238	602	71	212	16	20	301	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	161	136	18	2	1	0	21	45	2	5	1	132	258	162	420	29	185	28	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	55	45	6	1	1	0	8	11	2	1	1	133	291	200	491	67	139	20	15	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	161	136	18	2	1	0	21	45	2	5	1	132	258	162	420	29	196	28	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	161	128	27	4	1	0	29	36	2	5	1	211	365	258	623	47	290	22	18	300	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	55	45	6	1	1	0	8	11	2	1	1	133	291	200	491	67	176	20	15	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	55	42	7	1	1	0	11	9	2	1	1	167	364	238	602	71	212	16	20	301	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	161	137	18	2	1	0	21	45	2	5	1	131	258	161	418	29	185	28	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	55	45	6	1	1	0	8	11	2	1	1	133	291	200	491	67	139	20	15	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	161	137	18	2	1	0	21	45	2	5	1	131	258	161	418	29	185	28	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	55	45	6	1	1	0	8	11	2	1	1	133	291	200	491	67	139	20	15	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	165	147	28	4	1	1	15	44	2	2	1	194	277	260	537	67	267	27	9	250	55	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	92	83	17	3	1	1	8	24	1	1	0	199	282	275	557	77	270	26	9	258	61	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	31	28	5	1	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	199	282	274	557	76	270	26	10	258	61	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	31	28	5	1	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	179	258	214	472	36	250	26	10	258	36	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	105	21	0	0	63	168	0	0	0	179	258	215	473	36	251	26	10	258	36	-30	+0	+0	+7	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	344	297	47	7	3	1	40	90	5	8	2	158	269	212	481	54	222	26	12	222	36	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	561	89	13	6	2	76	170	9	15	4	159	269	214	483	55	223	26	12	222	36	-32	+2	+0	+7	+14	-0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL CLE Goryl · 55 PAwOBA .295 → .204 (−91)K% 16.4% → 20.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.36%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	19.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.00%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	13.93%
HBP% /PA	3.64%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	2.53%
Singles /BIP	15.15%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×0.995	10.25%
Doubles /BIP	3.03%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.995	1.81%
Triples /BIP	3.03%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.995	1.81%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .295 → .204; ISO .071 → .045; BABIP .212 → .139. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL CLE Mendoza · 161 PAwOBA .296 → .201 (−95)K% 22.4% → 27.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.36%	÷0.981	×1.220	—	—	27.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.01%	÷0.977	×0.700	—	×1.008	13.00%
HBP% /PA	1.24%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.88%
Singles /BIP	23.91%	÷1.003	×0.680	×0.950	×1.008	15.52%
Doubles /BIP	4.35%	÷0.970	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	2.57%
Triples /BIP	1.09%	÷0.991	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	0.63%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.940	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 98, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .296 → .201; ISO .047 → .028; BABIP .290 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).