Cristian Montilla

SS DSL Brewers Blue

Age 19 L/R 5'10" / 152 lbs ROK HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1630ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Brewers G…	167	.276/.360/.345	0	8	32	—	.187/.256/.233
2026	18	ROKDSL Brewers B…	126	.300/.431/.370	0	10	56	—	.189/.301/.226
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBMIL	236	.216/.282/.286	1	4	62	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBMIL	41	.217/.285/.296	0	1	68	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBMIL	105	.221/.289/.309	1	2	73	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%93

Whiff%93

Z-Con%93

Chase%76

wOBA66

wRC+65

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%

CompsLuis Grullon (age 19) · Dalton Blumenfeld (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .279 / .283

PA66

HR0

K%23

BB%7

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	167	145	40	8	1	0	17	25	2	8	7	276	360	345	705	69	325	15	10	319	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	126	100	30	7	0	0	19	14	4	10	4	300	431	370	801	70	337	11	15	365	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	167	150	28	5	1	0	12	32	2	8	7	187	256	233	489	47	219	19	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	126	106	20	4	0	0	13	17	4	10	4	189	301	226	527	38	214	13	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	167	150	28	5	1	0	12	32	2	8	7	187	256	233	489	47	231	19	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	—	167	145	40	8	1	0	17	25	2	8	7	276	360	345	705	69	325	15	10	319	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	126	106	20	4	0	0	13	17	4	10	4	189	301	226	527	38	217	13	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Blue	—	126	100	30	7	0	0	19	14	4	10	4	300	431	370	801	70	337	11	15	365	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	167	151	28	5	1	0	12	32	2	8	7	185	256	232	488	46	219	19	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	126	108	20	4	0	0	13	17	4	10	4	185	301	222	523	37	214	13	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	167	151	28	5	1	0	12	32	2	8	7	185	256	232	488	46	219	19	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	126	108	20	4	0	0	13	17	4	10	4	185	301	222	523	37	214	13	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	236	214	45	8	1	1	17	55	3	4	1	216	282	286	568	70	280	23	7	260	62	-11	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIL	34%	120	109	24	4	1	1	9	28	1	2	1	220	288	301	588	81	282	23	8	269	68	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIL	48%	217	196	43	8	1	2	16	49	3	4	1	223	292	313	605	90	284	23	7	275	73	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIL	54%	329	297	67	12	2	4	25	75	4	6	2	226	296	324	619	97	285	23	8	281	76	-9	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIL	60%	408	369	84	15	2	6	31	92	5	8	2	229	298	332	630	103	286	23	8	285	79	-10	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIL	62%	460	416	96	17	3	7	35	104	6	9	2	231	301	339	640	108	288	23	8	289	82	-10	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIL	63%	489	442	102	18	3	8	38	110	6	9	3	231	301	341	642	110	288	22	8	290	82	-10	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	505	455	105	19	3	8	39	114	6	9	3	232	301	342	643	110	287	23	8	290	83	-10	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	510	459	106	19	3	8	40	116	6	9	3	231	300	339	639	109	287	23	8	289	82	-11	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.6
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	507	457	105	19	3	8	39	116	6	8	3	229	298	335	633	106	286	23	8	286	80	-12	+0	-1	+5	+11	0.4
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	496	449	101	18	3	7	38	115	6	8	3	227	296	329	625	103	285	23	8	283	78	-13	+0	-1	+5	+11	0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIL	34%	41	37	7	1	0	0	3	9	1	1	0	217	285	296	581	79	278	22	7	266	68	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIL	48%	105	95	22	4	1	1	8	24	1	2	1	221	289	309	599	89	279	23	8	273	73	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIL	54%	178	161	35	6	1	2	13	40	2	3	1	224	293	320	613	96	281	22	7	278	76	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIL	60%	244	220	49	8	1	4	19	55	3	5	1	226	296	329	625	103	282	23	8	283	79	-6	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIL	62%	286	258	59	10	2	5	22	64	4	5	2	228	298	336	634	108	283	22	8	287	82	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIL	63%	310	279	64	11	2	5	24	70	4	6	2	229	298	338	637	109	283	23	8	288	82	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	328	296	68	11	2	6	25	74	4	6	2	229	299	339	638	110	283	23	8	288	83	-7	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	332	299	68	11	2	6	26	75	4	6	2	228	298	337	634	109	282	23	8	287	82	-7	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	330	297	68	11	2	6	26	75	4	6	2	226	296	332	628	106	282	23	8	284	80	-8	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	322	290	65	11	2	5	25	75	4	5	2	224	293	326	619	102	281	23	8	281	78	-9	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2476	2232	505	84	15	40	191	561	31	45	15	226	296	331	627	105	283	23	8	284	77	-59	+3	-1	+27	+54	2.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	133	22	4	11	50	147	8	12	4	227	297	334	631	108	282	23	8	284	77	-16	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4400	3965	893	160	25	59	340	983	56	91	34	225	296	323	618	98	283	22	8	282	77	-101	+5	-2	+44	+89	3.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	133	24	4	9	50	145	8	13	5	227	297	328	624	101	284	22	8	282	77	-16	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Brewers Blue · 126 PAwOBA .365 → .251 (−114)K% 11.1% → 13.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.11%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	13.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.08%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	10.63%
HBP% /PA	3.17%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.24%
Singles /BIP	26.74%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.950	×1.008	17.41%
Doubles /BIP	8.14%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	4.67%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .365 → .251; ISO .070 → .043; BABIP .337 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Brewers Gold · 167 PAwOBA .317 → .216 (−101)K% 15.0% → 19.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.97%	÷0.947	×1.220	—	—	19.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.18%	÷1.021	×0.700	—	×1.022	7.14%
HBP% /PA	1.20%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	0.86%
Singles /BIP	25.83%	÷1.006	×0.680	×0.993	×1.022	17.72%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷0.958	×0.600	×0.993	×1.022	4.24%
Triples /BIP	0.83%	÷1.121	×0.600	×0.993	×1.022	0.45%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.040	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 92, 3B 124, K 89, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .317 → .216; ISO .069 → .043; BABIP .325 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
	/162	664	8	16	227*	307*	330*	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	/162	664	4	15	240*	300*	338*	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	/162	664	3	5	233*	291*	316*	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.8	2,543	39	46	230	296	335	+27	+21	4.1	4.0
	/162	664	10	12	230	296	335	+7.1	+5.5	1.1	pk7: 4

Cristian Montilla

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cristian Montilla (OGILVIE)	19	45	20	50	35	214/279/283	70	280	0	1	23%	7%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Grullon 2007 · A	19	34	36→30	46→40	35	154/243/219	66	294	3	5	44%	7%	36	-3.4	174/255/249	75	304	5	4	41%	7%	47	-2.6	161/251/238	78	272	7	2	40%	8%	42	-0.7
✕Dalton Blumenfeld 2017 · A	20	43	36→30	49→40	29	185/231/252	67	361	4	6	48%	5%	36	-3.4	182/248/268	86	389	6	5	50%	7%	47	-2.5	94/183/179	85	239	8	0	59%	8%	2	-1.2