Luis Hernandez — OGILVIE

Luis HernandezC DSL Phillies White

Age 18 L/R 5'9" / 183 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+52

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%11

BABIP293

ISO78

MLB%20%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.3M
2034	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$6M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$8M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	131	108	11	2	0	0	19	44	4	0	0	102	260	120	380	19	172	34	15	205	25	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	131	116	7	1	0	0	11	67	4	0	0	60	168	69	237	9	143	51	8	126	-29	-20	+0	—	—	+3	-1.8
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	131	116	7	1	0	0	11	67	4	0	0	60	168	69	237	9	143	51	8	126	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	131	108	11	2	0	0	19	44	4	0	0	102	260	120	380	19	172	34	15	205	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	131	115	7	1	0	0	11	67	4	0	0	61	168	70	238	9	143	51	8	126	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	131	115	7	1	0	0	11	67	4	0	0	61	168	70	238	9	143	51	8	126	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	18	MLB MLE	—	20%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		293	33	11	245	52	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	18	MLB CTX	—	20%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						293	50	0	245	52	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	53%	200	179	36	6	1	3	16	67	3	3	1	201	278	296	574	95	295	34	8	259	61	-9	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.1
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	60%	337	302	62	11	2	5	27	109	5	5	2	205	281	305	586	99	296	32	8	268	68	-13	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	62%	441	395	83	14	3	8	36	140	7	7	3	210	288	322	609	111	297	32	8	275	72	-15	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	62%	514	459	98	17	3	10	42	161	8	8	3	214	291	329	620	115	298	31	8	280	75	-15	+0	+1	+9	+11	0.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	62%	520	464	100	17	3	11	42	162	9	8	3	216	293	336	629	121	299	31	8	282	77	-14	+0	+1	+9	+11	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	61%	520	464	100	17	3	11	42	162	9	8	3	216	293	336	629	121	300	31	8	285	79	-13	+0	+1	+9	+11	0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	61%	520	464	101	17	3	12	42	162	9	8	3	218	295	345	640	127	300	31	8	286	80	-12	+0	+1	+9	+11	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	61%	520	463	101	17	3	12	43	162	9	8	3	218	297	346	643	127	300	31	8	287	81	-12	+0	+1	+9	+11	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	60%	520	463	100	17	3	12	43	162	9	8	3	216	295	343	639	127	300	31	8	287	81	-12	+0	+1	+9	+11	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	59%	520	462	100	17	3	12	44	163	9	8	3	216	297	344	641	128	299	31	8	286	80	-12	+0	-0	+9	+11	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	58%	520	462	99	16	3	12	44	164	9	8	3	214	295	340	635	126	298	32	8	284	79	-13	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	462	98	16	3	11	44	165	9	8	3	212	293	331	624	119	297	32	8	282	77	-14	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.5
2039	31	MLB MLE	—	57%	504	448	93	15	3	10	43	162	8	7	3	208	289	321	610	114	295	32	9	278	74	-16	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.2
2040	32	MLB MLE	—	61%	489	437	88	14	2	10	41	159	8	7	3	201	282	311	593	110	291	33	8	272	70	-17	+0	-3	+9	+11	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	—	53%	107	96	19	3	1	1	8	36	2	2	1	198	274	281	555	83	295	34	7	259	61	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	60%	204	183	37	6	1	3	16	66	3	3	1	202	277	295	572	93	296	32	8	268	68	-8	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	62%	273	245	52	9	2	5	22	87	4	4	2	212	288	327	614	114	297	32	8	275	72	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	62%	320	286	60	10	2	6	26	100	5	5	2	210	287	322	609	112	298	31	8	280	75	-9	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	62%	324	290	62	10	2	7	26	101	5	5	2	214	290	334	624	121	299	31	8	282	77	-9	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	61%	319	285	61	10	2	7	26	99	5	5	2	214	291	337	628	123	300	31	8	285	79	-8	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	61%	317	283	61	10	2	7	26	99	5	5	2	216	293	339	632	124	300	31	8	286	80	-8	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	61%	317	283	61	10	2	7	26	99	5	5	2	216	293	339	632	124	300	31	8	287	81	-7	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	60%	311	277	60	10	2	7	26	97	5	5	2	217	295	343	638	126	300	31	8	287	81	-7	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	59%	308	274	59	10	2	7	26	97	5	5	2	215	295	343	638	128	299	31	8	286	80	-7	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	58%	301	268	57	9	2	7	25	95	5	5	2	213	292	340	631	127	298	32	8	284	79	-8	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	—	57%	297	265	56	9	2	6	25	94	5	4	2	211	292	328	620	117	297	32	8	282	77	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2039	31	MLB CTX	—	57%	287	256	53	9	1	6	24	92	5	4	2	207	288	320	608	113	295	32	8	278	74	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	—	61%	296	264	54	9	1	6	25	96	5	4	2	205	286	314	600	110	291	32	8	272	70	-10	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3981	3555	752	124	24	82	327	1258	64	61	26	212	290	329	619	118	300	32	8	281	74	-113	+2	-2	+71	+86	4.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	122	20	4	13	53	205	10	10	4	210	287	326	613	116	298	32	8	281	74	-18	+0	-0	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6785	6048	1267	212	38	139	561	2170	115	101	39	209	289	326	615	117	299	32	8	278	74	-189	+5	-4	+119	+144	7.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	121	20	4	13	54	208	11	10	4	209	289	325	614	116	298	32	8	278	74	-18	+0	-0	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	5.3	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.0	4,003	83	62	212	288	330	+71	-18	7.0	6.0
/162	664	14	10	+11.9	-3.0	1.2	pk7: 5
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Gerald Lairdlast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,690 PA	4.1	2,690	37	21	244	305	354	+48	-40	3.7	5.4
/162	664	9	5	+11.9	-9.8	0.9	pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Hernandez (OGILVIE)	18	55	55	45	—	188/262/265	77	293	1	1	35%	8%	52	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→49	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	57	-1.8	209/260/301	92	287	8	8	28%	6%	58	-1.7	234/295/378	144	313	15	11	29%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→48	36→50	49→40	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	49	-2.4	204/277/280	76	276	6	5	26%	8%	61	-1.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	44→46	38→45	46→50	45	204/279/282	78	313	6	9	34%	9%	61	-1.5	210/296/309	99	330	7	14	35%	9%	75	-0.5	218/296/333	115	311	9	18	31%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Brandon Valenzuela 2019 · A	18	42→52	35→45	47→40	45	192/272/253	61	303	3	4	35%	9%	53	-2.1	205/287/272	67	304	4	4	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/281/304	104	289	10	2	32%	9%	65	-0.8
✕Joe Rizzo 2017 · A	19	45→48	38→50	47→40	40	215/264/294	79	308	6	5	31%	6%	58	-1.7	214/268/294	80	306	7	3	30%	7%	59	-1.6	232/279/362	130	287	16	2	25%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Abrahan Ramirez 2023 · A	18	48→46	38→45	48→55	45	222/293/309	87	323	3	10	30%	8%	73	-0.6	230/318/307	77	318	3	13	25%	11%	82	-0.0	223/321/291	68	317	2	14	26%	12%	78	-0.1
✕Manuel Pena 2023 · A	19	42→47	39→45	47→50	41	201/255/284	84	294	7	10	33%	7%	53	-2.1	203/245/289	86	298	6	8	32%	5%	49	-2.4	225/259/347	121	301	14	5	30%	4%	66	-0.9
✕Jorge Burgos 2021 · A	18	43→51	36→50	51→45	43	201/265/280	79	293	2	10	30%	7%	55	-1.9	230/292/316	86	326	5	6	28%	8%	74	-0.6	227/293/314	87	317	6	4	28%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Rio Ruiz 2013 · A	19	43→52	38→50	52→40	41	203/259/295	92	291	4	6	30%	6%	56	-1.9	225/288/338	113	293	9	5	24%	8%	77	-0.3	218/284/357	138	259	16	3	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Hidekel Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	47→45	37	205/260/286	81	312	4	7	34%	5%	55	-2.0	227/275/314	87	287	6	8	22%	5%	67	-1.1	241/291/328	87	291	6	8	19%	4%	75	-0.2
✕Gabriel Arias 2019 · A	19	43→53	37→50	42→50	33	196/239/269	73	329	4	4	40%	5%	42	-2.9	229/267/349	120	335	12	6	34%	5%	72	-0.7	234/281/384	150	336	16	16	34%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Joe Mack 2022 · A	19	43	39→55	45	48	192/292/274	83	327	6	5	39%	12%	66	-1.1	197/275/294	97	295	11	2	34%	9%	63	-1.3	212/275/370	158	272	21	4	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Starlin Aguilar 2022 · A	18	41	38→50	42→45	45	195/267/273	78	268	5	3	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/250/267	67	295	3	4	31%	5%	47	-2.6	182/231/281	99	278	10	2	37%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	66	-1.1	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Colson Montgomery 2022 · A	20	47	36→55	44→45	43	215/285/286	71	311	3	5	30%	7%	65	-1.2	218/303/334	116	301	11	4	29%	9%	83	+0.1	200/293/321	121	279	13	4	30%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Carlos Cauro 2023 · A	18	42	36→45	45	41	193/263/257	64	306	3	5	35%	8%	50	-2.3	206/281/320	114	312	12	5	35%	8%	72	-0.7	198/283/308	110	288	14	4	34%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Derek Bernard 2023 · A	17	48→44	39→45	49→50	37	218/270/304	86	343	6	10	36%	6%	63	-1.4	220/277/330	110	336	9	15	35%	7%	72	-0.7	221/280/341	120	337	10	18	35%	7%	72	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps