Pablo Martinez

SS FCL Astros

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1121ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Astros Or…	221	.266/.404/.339	1	21	46	—	.168/.294/.195
2026	18	ROKHOU	81	.302/.436/.349	0	16	77	—	.254/.359/.299
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBHOU	191	.214/.289/.282	1	5	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBHOU	34	.221/.297/.302	0	1	70	0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	21	MLBHOU	98	.225/.301/.315	1	3	75	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%93

Whiff%88

Chase%87

Speed70

K%47

wRC+45

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 1.9, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 91%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .286 / .280

PA46

HR0

K%24

BB%8

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	221	177	47	6	2	1	29	30	12	21	4	266	404	339	743	73	309	14	13	346	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Astros	—	81	63	19	1	1	0	11	11	4	16	1	302	436	349	785	48	352	14	14	357	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	221	185	31	3	1	0	21	36	12	21	4	168	294	195	488	27	203	16	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	81	67	17	1	1	0	7	16	4	16	1	254	359	299	657	45	289	20	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	221	185	31	3	1	0	21	36	12	21	4	168	294	195	488	27	204	16	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	221	177	47	6	2	1	29	30	12	21	4	266	404	339	743	73	309	14	13	346	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	81	67	17	1	1	0	7	16	4	16	1	254	359	299	657	45	321	20	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	81	63	19	1	1	0	11	11	4	16	1	302	436	349	785	48	352	14	14	357	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	221	186	31	3	1	0	21	36	12	21	4	167	294	194	487	27	203	16	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	81	70	17	1	1	0	7	16	4	16	1	243	359	286	645	43	289	20	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	221	186	31	3	1	0	21	36	12	21	4	167	294	194	487	27	203	16	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	81	70	17	1	1	0	7	16	4	16	1	243	359	286	645	43	289	20	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	191	171	37	5	2	1	14	45	4	5	1	214	289	282	571	69	281	24	7	264	64	-8	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	102	91	20	3	1	1	8	24	2	3	0	218	295	298	592	80	283	24	8	272	70	-4	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	HOU	50%	196	175	39	6	2	2	15	46	4	5	1	222	299	311	610	89	284	23	8	279	75	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	307	274	61	9	2	4	24	71	6	8	1	225	302	322	624	96	285	23	8	284	79	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	HOU	61%	393	351	80	12	3	6	31	90	8	10	2	228	304	330	635	103	287	23	8	289	81	-9	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	HOU	63%	448	401	91	14	3	7	36	102	8	11	2	230	306	338	644	108	288	23	8	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2033	25	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	480	430	99	15	4	8	38	110	9	12	2	230	307	339	646	109	288	23	8	293	84	-9	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	498	446	104	16	4	9	40	114	9	12	2	230	307	340	647	110	288	23	8	293	85	-9	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	502	448	104	16	4	9	40	115	9	12	2	229	306	338	644	108	287	23	8	292	84	-10	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	501	447	102	15	4	8	40	116	9	11	2	228	304	333	637	105	286	23	8	289	82	-11	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	492	441	99	15	3	8	39	116	9	10	2	225	301	327	629	102	285	24	8	286	80	-12	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	480	431	95	14	3	7	38	114	8	9	2	223	298	320	618	97	284	24	8	281	77	-13	+1	-2	+5	+10	0.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	465	418	90	13	3	6	36	113	8	8	2	219	293	310	604	92	281	24	8	276	73	-15	+1	-3	+5	+10	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	34	30	6	1	0	0	3	8	1	1	0	221	297	302	598	81	286	24	9	275	70	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	HOU	50%	98	88	20	3	1	1	8	23	2	3	0	225	301	315	616	90	288	23	8	281	75	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	177	158	36	6	1	2	14	41	3	5	1	228	304	325	629	97	289	23	8	287	79	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	HOU	61%	242	216	51	8	2	4	19	56	5	6	1	230	307	334	640	103	291	23	8	291	81	-5	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	HOU	63%	283	253	59	9	2	5	23	65	5	7	1	232	309	341	650	108	292	23	8	294	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	312	278	64	10	2	5	25	71	6	8	1	233	309	343	652	110	292	23	8	295	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	324	289	67	11	2	5	26	74	6	8	1	233	309	343	652	110	292	23	8	295	85	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	326	291	67	11	2	5	26	75	6	8	2	232	308	341	649	109	291	23	8	294	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	326	291	67	11	2	5	26	76	6	7	1	230	306	336	643	106	290	23	8	292	82	-7	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	320	286	65	10	2	5	25	75	6	7	1	228	304	330	634	103	289	23	8	288	80	-8	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	312	279	62	10	2	4	25	74	5	6	1	225	300	323	623	98	288	24	8	284	77	-9	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	302	271	60	9	2	4	23	73	5	5	2	221	295	314	609	93	285	24	8	278	73	-10	+0	-2	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3056	2730	624	99	20	45	243	711	56	71	12	229	305	329	634	100	291	23	8	289	79	-71	+9	-5	+33	+66	3.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	133	21	4	10	52	151	12	15	3	229	306	330	636	102	290	23	8	289	79	-15	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5212	4647	1040	153	38	75	416	1194	106	149	25	224	302	321	624	98	283	23	8	285	79	-116	+14	-7	+53	+106	5.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	130	19	5	9	52	149	13	19	3	224	303	321	623	97	284	23	8	285	79	-15	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Astros · 81 PAwOBA .358 → .282 (−75)K% 13.6% → 19.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.58%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	19.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.58%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	8.61%
HBP% /PA	4.94%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	3.64%
Singles /BIP	32.69%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.990	×1.022	27.15%
Doubles /BIP	1.92%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.990	×1.022	1.40%
Triples /BIP	1.92%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.990	×1.022	1.40%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .358 → .282; ISO .048 → .037; BABIP .352 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Astros Orange · 221 PAwOBA .343 → .236 (−106)K% 13.6% → 16.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.57%	÷1.009	×1.220	—	—	16.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.12%	÷1.014	×0.700	—	×1.022	9.27%
HBP% /PA	5.43%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	3.89%
Singles /BIP	25.85%	÷0.985	×0.680	×0.963	×1.022	17.57%
Doubles /BIP	4.08%	÷1.091	×0.600	×0.963	×1.022	2.21%
Triples /BIP	1.36%	÷0.900	×0.600	×0.963	×1.022	0.89%
Home runs /BIP	0.68%	÷1.492	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.22%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 97, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 102, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .343 → .236; ISO .073 → .041; BABIP .309 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
	/162	664	8	16	227*	307*	330*	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	/162	664	4	15	240*	300*	338*	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	/162	664	3	5	233*	291*	316*	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.7	3,101	48	71	227	300	330	+33	+24	5.5	5.1
	/162	664	10	15	227	300	330	+7.1	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 5

Pablo Martinez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps