Pablo Martinez — OGILVIE

Pablo MartinezSS FCL Astros

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION81 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .273 / .200

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP289

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$41M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
2036	Arb-2	$7M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$9M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$18M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	221	177	47	6	2	1	29	30	12	21	4	266	404	339	743	73	309	14	13	346	120	+5	+3	—	—	+5	1.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	221	188	38	4	2	1	18	43	12	21	4	202	312	261	573	59	240	19	8	251	56	-12	+3	—	—	+5	-0.4
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	221	188	38	4	2	1	18	43	12	21	4	202	312	261	573	59	252	19	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	221	177	47	6	2	1	29	30	12	21	4	266	404	339	743	73	309	14	13	346	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	221	189	38	4	2	1	18	43	12	21	4	201	312	259	571	58	240	19	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	221	189	38	4	2	1	18	43	12	21	4	201	312	259	571	58	240	19	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	HOU	—	81	67	17	1	1	0	7	16	4	16	1	254	359	299	657	45	321	20	9	277	74	-3	+3	+0	+1	+2	0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	HOU	—	81	63	19	1	1	0	11	11	4	16	1	302	436	349	785	48	352	14	14	357	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	HOU	0%	11	10	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	200	273	200	473		287	27	9	271	70	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	HOU	—	92	77	19	1	1	0	8	19	4	17	1	247	348	286	634	39	317	21	9	276	73	-3	+3	+0	+1	+2	0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	271	242	55	8	2	3	21	61	6	8	1	227	305	314	619	87	287	23	8	280	76	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2028	20	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	393	350	81	12	3	5	31	87	9	11	1	231	310	326	636	94	289	22	8	289	82	-8	+2	+0	+4	+9	0.6
2029	21	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	484	431	101	15	4	7	39	106	11	13	2	234	314	336	650	102	290	22	8	295	86	-8	+2	+0	+5	+10	1.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	548	487	115	17	4	9	44	120	12	14	2	236	315	343	658	107	291	22	8	299	89	-7	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	591	525	123	18	4	10	48	128	13	15	2	234	314	341	655	107	292	22	8	301	90	-7	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	616	547	131	19	5	11	50	133	14	15	2	239	319	353	672	113	293	22	8	303	91	-6	+2	+0	+7	+13	1.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	627	557	134	20	5	12	51	135	14	16	2	241	320	359	679	118	293	22	8	304	92	-6	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.7
2034	26	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	634	563	135	20	5	12	52	137	14	16	2	240	320	357	677	117	293	22	8	305	93	-6	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	634	562	135	20	5	12	53	137	14	16	2	240	321	358	679	117	293	22	8	305	93	-6	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	629	557	133	19	5	12	53	137	14	15	2	239	321	355	676	117	293	22	8	304	92	-6	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	619	548	129	19	4	11	52	136	14	14	2	235	318	345	662	109	292	22	8	302	91	-7	+2	-1	+7	+13	1.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	609	538	126	18	4	11	52	135	14	14	2	234	318	344	662	110	291	22	9	300	89	-8	+2	-2	+7	+13	1.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	595	527	121	17	4	10	50	134	13	13	2	230	312	334	646	104	289	23	8	296	86	-10	+2	-3	+6	+13	0.9
2040	32	MLB MLE	HOU	59%	576	509	116	16	4	9	49	132	13	12	1	228	312	328	640	100	286	23	9	291	83	-12	+2	-4	+6	+12	0.6
2041	33	MLB MLE	HOU	61%	546	483	109	15	4	8	46	128	12	11	1	226	309	323	632	97	283	23	8	285	79	-14	+2	-4	+6	+12	0.2
2042	34	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	499	444	95	12	3	7	41	120	11	9	1	214	296	302	598	88	278	24	8	277	73	-16	+1	-5	+5	+11	-0.3
2027	19	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	93	84	19	3	1	1	7	21	2	3	0	226	301	321	623	95	289	23	8	265	76	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	190	169	39	6	1	2	15	42	4	5	1	231	309	314	622	83	291	22	8	273	82	-4	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2029	21	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	262	233	55	8	2	4	21	58	6	7	1	236	315	339	654	103	292	22	8	279	86	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2030	22	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	310	275	65	10	2	5	25	68	7	8	1	236	316	342	658	105	293	22	8	283	89	-4	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.7
2031	23	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	340	301	73	11	3	6	28	74	8	9	1	243	323	359	682	116	294	22	8	285	90	-4	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2032	24	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	351	311	75	11	3	6	29	76	8	9	1	241	322	354	676	113	295	22	8	287	91	-4	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2033	25	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	356	316	76	11	3	6	29	77	8	9	1	241	320	351	671	111	295	22	8	288	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2034	26	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	359	319	76	11	3	6	29	77	8	9	1	238	317	348	665	110	295	21	8	289	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2035	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	352	312	75	11	3	6	29	76	8	9	1	240	321	353	673	112	295	22	8	289	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	345	305	72	11	2	6	29	75	8	8	1	236	319	344	663	108	295	22	8	288	92	-3	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.9
2037	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	331	293	69	10	2	6	28	73	7	8	1	235	317	345	662	109	294	22	8	286	91	-4	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.8
2038	30	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	321	284	66	10	2	5	27	71	7	7	1	232	314	335	649	102	293	22	8	284	89	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.6
2039	31	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	336	297	68	10	2	5	28	76	8	7	1	229	312	327	639	98	291	23	8	280	86	-5	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.5
2040	32	MLB CTX	HOU	59%	341	301	69	10	2	5	29	78	8	7	1	229	314	326	639	96	288	23	9	275	83	-7	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.3
2041	33	MLB CTX	HOU	61%	333	295	66	9	2	5	28	78	7	7	1	224	306	319	625	95	285	23	8	269	79	-8	+1	-3	+4	+7	0.1
2042	34	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	282	251	55	7	2	4	23	68	6	5	1	219	300	311	611	92	280	24	8	262	73	-9	+1	-3	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4902	4346	1018	149	35	78	404	1088	110	117	15	234	315	338	654	104	293	22	8	281	87	-73	+17	-11	+53	+106	9.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	135	20	5	10	54	144	15	16	2	234	317	339	655	104	293	22	8	281	87	-10	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	9103	8068	1879	269	67	150	751	2012	210	234	31	233	315	339	653	106	290	22	8	296	87	-134	+32	-20	+95	+192	16.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	134	19	5	11	54	144	15	17	2	233	315	340	655	108	290	22	8	296	87	-10	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	7.7	5,093	83	122	234	311	339	+53	+30	12.9	10.5
/162	664	11	16	+6.9	+3.9	1.7	pk7: 8
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pablo Martinez (OGILVIE)	18	45	20	60	50	219/297/286	67	287	1	10	23%	8%	70	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andruw Monasterio 2015 · A	18	46→54	35→45	55	46	215/270/274	59	269	2	16	20%	6%	55	-1.9	205/258/265	60	261	2	11	21%	6%	49	-2.4	240/320/337	97	310	8	23	24%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	46	34→30	52→60	47	210/307/262	52	296	2	16	27%	8%	69	-0.9	218/295/268	50	299	1	19	25%	7%	65	-1.2	222/294/257	35	301	0	26	24%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	50	35→30	50	51	231/310/281	51	284	3	13	19%	8%	74	-0.6	221/279/288	67	257	4	15	15%	6%	63	-1.4	183/236/245	62	242	4	19	25%	4%	36	-1.1
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	68	-1.0	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	74	-0.2
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→45	54→55	47	208/265/283	75	252	3	14	19%	6%	56	-1.9	245/295/319	74	283	3	14	14%	5%	75	-0.5	286/329/371	85	315	6	22	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Luis Barahona 2012 · A	18	46	36→30	53→50	48	216/284/286	70	285	3	14	24%	8%	64	-1.3	206/260/268	62	282	2	13	26%	6%	50	-2.3	200/252/254	54	273	0	16	25%	6%	41	-1.1
✕Victor Tademo 2017 · A	18	47	37→40	54→55	47	222/279/304	82	268	3	19	18%	6%	66	-1.1	189/236/252	63	280	3	10	32%	5%	38	-3.2	154/194/192	38	243	2	6	36%	4%	7	-1.5
✕Jefferson Rojas 2023 · A	18	48→45	37→45	56→50	46	225/283/305	80	271	4	16	18%	6%	68	-1.0	212/272/309	97	268	9	15	23%	6%	65	-1.2	211/272/336	125	248	14	18	21%	7%	69	-0.7
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Luis Arcendo 2018 · A	18	44	36→30	54→50	46	209/274/278	69	274	3	13	24%	7%	58	-1.7	196/257/259	63	280	3	13	29%	7%	47	-2.5	115/183/136	21	170	0	19	30%	8%	-8	-1.2
✕Delvin Pérez 2017 · A	18	46→47	36→30	56→55	41	214/259/285	71	281	2	13	24%	5%	53	-2.1	201/257/261	60	278	2	11	26%	6%	47	-2.5	207/255/253	47	295	2	18	29%	4%	41	-1.7
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→52	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	61	-1.5	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	234/311/308	74	302	5	10	22%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Marvin Alcantara 2023 · A	18	47→46	37→30	52→50	49	219/291/291	72	283	3	13	22%	8%	68	-1.0	199/253/254	55	286	3	11	30%	6%	45	-2.7	206/248/267	60	274	5	12	26%	5%	43	-2.0
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	65	-1.2	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Alejandro Hodge 2008 · A	18	47	34→30	52→55	49	214/312/265	51	305	2	19	27%	9%	72	-0.7	190/277/251	61	297	3	19	34%	8%	55	-2.0	161/249/222	61	238	4	27	31%	8%	34	-1.3
✕Yhostin Chirinos 2019 · A	18	43	38→40	54→50	47	202/276/290	88	258	3	12	22%	7%	63	-1.4	201/265/273	72	279	4	8	27%	7%	54	-2.0	194/244/237	43	249	5	4	23%	6%	35	-1.0
✕Oswald Peraza 2018 · A	18	45→52	35→45	53→60	44	210/279/276	66	274	1	11	22%	6%	60	-1.6	208/269/272	64	283	4	15	26%	6%	55	-1.9	225/284/355	130	284	16	30	26%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Abiatal Avelino 2013 · A	18	48→52	36→45	54→55	46	225/292/289	64	281	3	16	20%	6%	68	-1.0	228/281/304	76	284	3	23	20%	6%	66	-1.1	241/281/343	102	297	8	19	21%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Jodaneli Carvajal 2010 · A	18	43	38→30	62→55	43	207/259/290	83	274	4	20	25%	6%	55	-1.9	213/265/278	65	273	2	17	21%	6%	54	-2.0	213/263/269	56	268	2	18	20%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	39→40	55→60	46	209/291/296	87	283	6	13	26%	8%	70	-0.8	190/254/255	65	320	4	20	39%	6%	47	-2.6	197/269/273	76	310	7	32	36%	7%	54	-1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps