Pablo Martinez — OGILVIE

Pablo MartinezSS DSL Astros Orange

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 4.2 · 2034

wRC+66

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .285 / .307

PA190

HR2

K%27

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

20→20

SPD

60→60

EYE

49↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.2peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.8	$36M	+$35M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+4.0	$39M	+$38M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+4.2	$43M	+$42M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+4.2	$44M	+$35M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+4.0	$43M	+$30M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$19M	+3.8	$42M	+$23M
Totals		$44M		$247M	+$204M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	221	189	38	4	2	0	17	42	12	21	4	.201	.307	.243	.551	.042	.253	19	8	.251	50	-12	+3	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	—	190	171	36	7	1	2	15	51	2	4	1	.211	.282	.298	.580	.088	.287	27	8	.272	66	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	—	271	241	56	10	2	5	24	69	4	7	2	.232	.312	.353	.665	.120	.300	25	9	.298	86	-4	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.7
2028	20	MLB 28%	—	393	347	83	14	3	8	37	97	6	11	3	.239	.323	.366	.689	.127	.305	25	9	.310	96	-2	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.5
2029	21	MLB 48%	—	484	426	103	18	3	11	47	116	8	14	3	.242	.328	.376	.704	.134	.306	24	10	.319	102	+1	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.2
2030	22	MLB 65%	—	548	478	118	20	4	14	56	128	9	15	3	.247	.337	.393	.730	.146	.306	23	10	.326	108	+5	+2	+0	+6	+16	2.9
2031	23	MLB 86%	—	591	514	129	22	4	16	62	136	10	16	3	.251	.343	.403	.746	.152	.306	23	10	.332	112	+8	+2	+0	+6	+17	3.4
2032	24	MLB	—	620	538	135	23	4	17	67	140	10	16	3	.251	.345	.403	.748	.152	.306	23	11	.336	115	+11	+2	+0	+7	+18	3.8
2033	25	MLB	—	636	550	139	24	4	18	70	143	11	16	3	.253	.349	.409	.758	.156	.307	22	11	.339	118	+13	+2	+0	+7	+18	4.0
2034	26	MLB	—	643	555	140	24	4	18	72	144	11	16	3	.252	.350	.407	.757	.155	.307	22	11	.341	119	+14	+2	+0	+7	+18	4.2
2035	27	MLB	—	643	555	140	24	4	18	72	145	11	16	3	.252	.350	.407	.757	.155	.307	23	11	.341	119	+14	+2	+0	+7	+18	4.2
2036	28	MLB	—	638	550	139	24	4	18	72	145	11	15	3	.253	.351	.409	.760	.156	.307	23	11	.340	118	+13	+2	-1	+7	+18	4.0
2037	29	MLB	—	628	541	136	23	4	18	71	145	11	15	2	.251	.350	.409	.758	.157	.306	23	11	.337	116	+12	+2	-1	+7	+18	3.8
2038	30	MLB	—	618	533	132	22	4	17	70	144	10	14	2	.248	.346	.400	.745	.152	.305	23	11	.334	114	+10	+2	-2	+7	+18	3.5
2039	31	MLB	—	604	520	127	21	4	16	69	144	10	13	1	.244	.344	.392	.736	.148	.304	24	11	.331	111	+8	+2	-3	+6	+17	3.1
2040	32	MLB	—	585	504	121	20	3	15	66	142	10	12	0	.240	.340	.381	.721	.141	.302	24	11	.326	108	+5	+2	-4	+6	+17	2.7
2041	33	MLB	—	555	478	113	19	3	13	63	139	9	11	0	.236	.336	.370	.707	.134	.301	25	11	.320	103	+2	+2	-4	+6	+16	2.2
2042	34	MLB	—	508	438	102	17	3	12	57	131	8	10	0	.233	.332	.368	.700	.135	.299	26	11	.314	98	-1	+2	-5	+5	+14	1.6
2043	35	MLB	—	451	391	89	14	3	10	50	121	7	10	0	.228	.326	.355	.681	.128	.297	27	11	.306	93	-4	+2	-6	+5	+13	1.0
2044	36	MLB	—	390	338	74	12	2	8	43	109	6	9	0	.219	.318	.337	.655	.118	.294	28	11	.298	86	-6	+2	-6	+4	+11	0.5
2045	37	MLB	—	325	282	60	9	2	6	35	94	5	7	0	.213	.311	.323	.633	.110	.291	29	11	.288	78	-8	+1	-7	+3	+9	-0.1
2046	38	MLB	—	255	222	45	7	1	4	27	76	4	6	0	.203	.300	.297	.598	.095	.286	30	11	.278	71	-8	+1	-8	+3	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10797	9361	2255	378	68	264	1162	2601	185	274	39	.241	.336	.380	.717	.140	.304	24	11	.322	105	+61	+39	-46	+116	+306	48.5
/ 162G	—			650	564	136	23	4	16	70	157	11	16	2	.241	.336	.381	.718	.140	.305	24	11	.322	105	+4	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	221	177	47	6	2	1	29	30	12	21	4	.266	.404	.339	.743	.073	.309	14	13	.346	123	+6	+3	—	—	+6	1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pablo Martinez (OGILVIE)	18	45	20	60	50	.212/.285/.307	.095	.287	2	4	27%	8%	66	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	.199/.262/.281	.083	.258	5	7	24%	6%	50	-1.8	.211/.287/.284	.073	.267	5	9	21%	9%	61	-1.0	.221/.317/.274	.053	.274	5	10	19%	11%	69	-0.2
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44	39→40	55→60	45	.209/.289/.294	.085	.284	5	12	27%	8%	65	-0.7	.190/.255/.255	.065	.317	4	19	38%	6%	40	-2.4	.181/.244/.237	.056	.315	4	29	41%	6%	28	-1.7
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	52→50	41	.218/.277/.333	.115	.291	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	.218/.286/.320	.102	.285	6	11	25%	6%	69	-0.4	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	47	39→45	51→50	42	.223/.278/.315	.092	.300	5	13	26%	6%	64	-0.8	.211/.257/.296	.085	.311	4	11	32%	5%	50	-1.8	.178/.220/.246	.068	.283	3	12	36%	4%	17	-1.1
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	44	37→40	52→50	45	.206/.258/.282	.075	.253	4	9	20%	6%	46	-2.0	.227/.280/.301	.074	.268	3	15	15%	6%	61	-1.0	.292/.336/.357	.066	.329	1	19	11%	5%	96	+0.4
●Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	45→54	37→40	51→65	44	.205/.292/.286	.080	.293	3	15	28%	7%	64	-0.8	.210/.299/.284	.074	.292	3	18	26%	10%	66	-0.6	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	49	35→30	50	51	.230/.308/.283	.054	.284	3	13	19%	8%	69	-0.4	.222/.281/.288	.066	.257	3	15	14%	6%	59	-1.1	.181/.232/.244	.063	.237	4	19	24%	4%	25	-1.1
✕Jose Monserrate 2023 · A	18	47	38→40	51→50	45	.222/.290/.310	.089	.289	5	13	24%	7%	69	-0.4	.216/.292/.285	.069	.299	3	20	26%	8%	63	-0.8	.185/.276/.221	.036	.292	0	39	33%	10%	37	-0.6
✕Dubal Baez 2011 · A	18	46	37→30	50→60	45	.214/.288/.286	.071	.302	4	7	28%	8%	61	-1.0	.214/.302/.265	.051	.298	2	17	26%	8%	63	-0.8	.217/.309/.247	.030	.304	0	28	25%	8%	58	-0.3
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	44	39→40	50→60	57	.208/.311/.297	.090	.266	5	12	22%	12%	75	-0.0	.220/.309/.303	.083	.307	6	23	27%	10%	76	+0.0	.224/.312/.299	.075	.311	7	32	27%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→52	39→45	54→50	48	.204/.274/.294	.090	.273	5	13	26%	8%	57	-1.2	.209/.262/.295	.086	.282	6	11	27%	6%	52	-1.6	.239/.310/.323	.084	.313	8	14	24%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Samuel Gil 2023 · A	18	43	39→30	52→45	45	.205/.270/.291	.087	.276	5	9	27%	7%	55	-1.4	.207/.283/.275	.068	.285	4	8	26%	9%	56	-1.3	.199/.288/.249	.050	.270	2	9	24%	10%	49	-0.9
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	49→37	40→45	54→55	45	.229/.303/.328	.098	.328	7	17	30%	8%	79	+0.3	.197/.323/.323	.126	.275	12	20	30%	11%	89	+1.0	.179/.324/.312	.133	.244	14	22	29%	12%	86	+0.5
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	45→47	38→40	55→60	46	.213/.282/.292	.079	.303	6	18	30%	8%	60	-1.0	.194/.253/.267	.073	.312	6	18	37%	7%	41	-2.3	.199/.264/.278	.079	.291	5	30	31%	7%	46	-1.6
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	43	38→45	48→60	37	.201/.274/.283	.082	.302	4	8	32%	5%	56	-1.3	.218/.294/.318	.100	.311	8	15	31%	6%	73	-0.1	.220/.298/.329	.109	.312	11	20	30%	6%	75	-0.0
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	50	36→40	54→45	56	.229/.328/.299	.070	.300	2	9	22%	12%	82	+0.5	.232/.326/.326	.094	.289	8	10	20%	11%	89	+0.9	.229/.326/.324	.095	.276	11	10	20%	12%	88	+0.3
✕Sterling Guzman 2016 · A	18	47	37→40	52→45	47	.220/.283/.300	.080	.285	4	8	23%	7%	62	-0.9	.207/.270/.298	.091	.289	7	7	29%	7%	57	-1.2	.155/.215/.251	.096	.213	12	2	33%	6%	18	-0.9
✕Mikey Edie 2015 · A	18	48	37→30	47→50	45	.226/.307/.301	.075	.283	5	12	21%	6%	75	-0.0	.215/.278/.270	.055	.302	2	14	28%	5%	53	-1.5	.190/.242/.234	.044	.278	2	12	30%	3%	25	-1.2
✕Robert Vasquez 2006 · A	19	48	40	52→50	47	.231/.288/.325	.094	.289	6	12	22%	7%	71	-0.3	.208/.275/.278	.070	.276	4	8	24%	8%	54	-1.4	.198/.271/.254	.056	.274	4	9	27%	8%	45	-0.6
✕Alvaro Montero 2018 · A	18	48	36→30	52→60	53	.219/.312/.284	.065	.295	3	15	24%	11%	72	-0.2	.217/.299/.270	.053	.305	2	19	27%	9%	63	-0.9	.232/.319/.263	.031	.312	0	30	23%	9%	67	-0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)