Rainer Espinoza — OGILVIE

Rainer EspinozaOF DSL Giants Orange

Age 17 R/R 6'1" / 183 lbs ROK HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 110 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .296 / .303

PA110

HR1

K%29

BB%10

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+1.0	$3M	+$2M
Totals		$14M		$25M	+$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	132	107	14	2	1	2	20	47	5	5	0	131	295	224	520	93	207	36	15	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	132	96	19	3	1	3	31	31	5	5	0	198	417	344	760	146	258	23	23	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	17	MLB	SF	—	110	96	19	3	1	1	11	32	2	2	0	198	294	281	575	83	288	29	10	278	71	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	18	MLB	SF	34%	203	178	37	6	2	3	20	58	3	3	1	208	299	315	613	107	290	29	10	284	75	-6	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.1
2028	19	MLB	SF	48%	343	300	65	11	3	6	34	95	6	5	1	217	309	333	642	117	292	28	10	292	81	-7	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.1
2029	20	MLB	SF	54%	452	397	87	15	3	9	44	124	8	7	1	219	310	340	650	121	294	27	10	297	86	-7	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.4
2030	21	MLB	SF	57%	534	467	104	18	4	11	52	145	10	8	2	223	314	349	663	126	295	27	10	301	88	-7	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.6
2031	22	MLB	SF	58%	585	511	115	20	4	13	58	158	11	9	2	225	317	356	673	131	296	27	10	303	90	-6	+1	+0	-4	+17	0.8
2032	23	MLB	SF	58%	607	531	119	20	5	13	60	163	11	9	2	224	316	354	670	130	297	27	10	305	92	-6	+1	+0	-4	+17	0.9
2033	24	MLB	SF	57%	621	544	124	21	5	14	61	167	11	9	2	228	318	362	680	134	297	27	10	307	93	-5	+1	+0	-4	+18	1.0
2034	25	MLB	SF	57%	631	551	126	21	5	15	63	169	12	9	2	229	321	367	688	138	298	27	10	308	94	-4	+1	+0	-4	+18	1.1
2035	26	MLB	SF	57%	637	557	128	22	5	15	63	171	12	9	2	230	321	368	689	138	297	27	10	309	95	-4	+1	+0	-4	+18	1.2
2036	27	MLB	SF	56%	636	555	126	21	5	15	64	171	12	9	2	227	320	364	684	137	297	27	10	309	95	-4	+1	+0	-4	+18	1.2
2037	28	MLB	SF	55%	630	549	125	21	5	15	64	170	12	9	2	228	322	366	688	138	297	27	10	308	94	-4	+1	-1	-4	+18	1.0
2038	29	MLB	SF	53%	620	541	121	20	5	14	63	169	11	8	2	224	317	357	674	133	296	27	10	306	92	-5	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.8
2039	30	MLB	SF	53%	609	531	118	20	4	13	62	167	11	7	2	222	316	348	665	126	294	27	10	303	90	-7	+1	-2	-4	+17	0.5
2040	31	MLB	SF	52%	595	518	114	19	4	13	61	165	11	6	1	220	315	347	663	127	292	28	10	299	87	-9	+1	-3	-4	+17	0.3
2027	18	MLB	SF	34%	68	60	13	2	1	1	7	19	1	1	0	217	309	333	642	117	285	28	10	269	64	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	19	MLB	SF	48%	165	145	30	5	1	3	16	46	3	2	1	207	299	317	616	110	287	28	10	275	69	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	20	MLB	SF	54%	245	215	47	8	2	5	24	67	4	4	1	219	309	344	653	126	289	27	10	280	72	-8	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.2
2030	21	MLB	SF	57%	302	264	58	10	2	6	30	82	5	4	1	220	311	341	652	121	290	27	10	283	75	-9	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2031	22	MLB	SF	58%	337	295	65	11	3	7	33	91	6	5	1	220	311	349	661	129	291	27	10	286	77	-9	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.1
2032	23	MLB	SF	58%	352	308	69	12	3	7	35	95	6	5	1	224	315	351	666	127	291	27	10	287	78	-9	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.0
2033	24	MLB	SF	57%	355	311	70	12	3	8	35	95	6	5	1	225	315	360	675	135	292	27	10	289	79	-8	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.0
2034	25	MLB	SF	57%	358	313	70	12	3	8	35	96	7	5	1	224	315	358	673	134	292	27	10	290	80	-8	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.1
2035	26	MLB	SF	57%	361	315	71	12	3	8	36	97	7	5	1	225	318	359	677	133	292	27	10	291	81	-8	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.1
2036	27	MLB	SF	56%	353	309	70	12	3	8	35	95	6	5	1	227	317	362	680	136	292	27	10	291	81	-8	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.1
2037	28	MLB	SF	55%	346	302	67	11	3	8	35	93	6	5	1	222	315	358	672	136	291	27	10	290	80	-8	+1	-0	-2	+10	0.0
2038	29	MLB	SF	53%	332	289	63	11	2	7	34	90	6	4	1	218	313	343	656	125	290	27	10	288	78	-8	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
2039	30	MLB	SF	53%	321	279	61	10	2	7	33	88	6	4	1	219	314	344	659	125	289	27	10	285	76	-9	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.2
2040	31	MLB	SF	52%	310	269	58	10	2	6	32	86	6	3	1	216	313	335	647	119	287	28	10	281	73	-9	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4205	3674	812	138	33	89	420	1140	75	57	13	221	314	349	663	128	293	27	10	286	77	-108	+6	-4	-25	+119	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	125	21	5	14	65	176	12	9	2	220	314	349	662	129	291	27	10	286	77	-17	+1	-1	-4	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	7945	6933	1542	260	61	172	800	2171	148	114	24	222	316	352	668	130	296	27	10	303	90	-92	+13	-7	-48	+225	9.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	126	21	5	14	65	178	12	9	2	222	315	351	666	129	296	27	10	303	90	-8	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	132	96	19	3	1	3	31	31	5	5	0	198	417	344	760	146	258	23	23	363	136	+5	+1	—	—	+4	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,314	94	60	225	313	355	-26	+0	5.4	4.8
	/162	664	14	9	225	313	355	-4.0	+0.0	0.8	pk7: 4
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rainer Espinoza (OGILVIE)	17	—	—	—	—	204/296/303	99	288	1	2	29%	10%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	43→53	46→50	52→45	43	216/277/348	132	271	12	10	25%	6%	73	-0.1	235/292/359	124	285	14	8	22%	5%	82	+0.5	253/307/382	129	303	14	6	21%	5%	91	+0.9
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2010 · A	18	46→47	39→60	46→30	42	217/277/301	85	310	6	7	31%	7%	60	-1.0	217/253/369	152	263	19	3	26%	4%	69	-0.4	238/283/427	188	288	25	1	27%	4%	94	+0.9
●Moisés Sierra 2007 · A	18	42→52	39→50	52→50	42	203/266/292	89	271	6	13	26%	6%	54	-1.4	205/253/299	94	283	8	9	29%	4%	50	-1.8	248/314/378	130	302	14	15	22%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Jesus Vasquez 2010 · A	18	41	43→55	45→55	40	203/255/316	114	272	9	8	29%	5%	55	-1.4	209/267/336	127	280	13	13	29%	6%	66	-0.6	206/270/350	143	270	16	18	29%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→51	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	74	-0.1	209/280/297	88	296	5	4	29%	7%	61	-1.0	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	42→52	40→45	53→50	41	203/261/302	99	285	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	203/241/283	80	277	4	10	27%	4%	39	-2.5	261/302/366	105	316	7	13	19%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	41	43→50	47→40	43	202/274/320	118	277	9	6	29%	7%	65	-0.7	227/287/334	107	295	8	5	24%	7%	73	-0.1	248/308/368	120	321	11	2	25%	7%	88	+0.3
●Jorge Bonifacio 2011 · A	18	47→51	37→55	51→45	42	215/274/302	86	311	3	11	30%	7%	59	-1.1	218/262/327	109	298	8	6	28%	5%	60	-1.0	245/310/400	155	318	17	3	27%	8%	97	+1.1
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2022 · A	18	43	46→55	48→40	40	211/281/338	127	310	14	7	35%	7%	73	-0.1	195/273/317	122	300	13	5	37%	8%	64	-0.8	202/290/390	188	286	26	2	37%	9%	87	+0.6
✕Edwin Sanchez 2023 · A	18	41	44→45	43→50	46	200/288/314	114	285	12	6	32%	9%	70	-0.3	198/309/305	107	277	9	9	29%	11%	78	+0.2	174/315/284	109	237	10	11	27%	13%	75	+0.0
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→45	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	196/245/301	105	305	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Jefry Marte 2009 · A	18	48→47	43→55	52→50	41	231/288/352	121	301	9	5	26%	5%	79	+0.3	212/254/305	93	287	7	5	27%	4%	51	-1.7	222/284/396	174	250	22	8	21%	6%	86	+0.6
●Johnathan Rodríguez 2018 · A	18	45→51	36→55	46→45	48	207/282/279	71	296	2	5	29%	9%	56	-1.3	212/270/289	77	310	3	8	30%	7%	53	-1.5	244/310/416	172	346	23	4	34%	8%	101	+1.6
●José Fermín 2017 · A	18	42→50	37→45	48→55	44	201/258/285	84	274	3	8	27%	7%	48	-1.9	201/251/277	76	239	4	11	17%	4%	43	-2.2	256/343/399	143	276	14	28	13%	10%	110	+1.2
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1