Rainer Espinoza

OF DSL Giants Black

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 183 lbs ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	16	ROKDSL Giants Or…	132	.198/.417/.344	3	5	51	—	.125/.311/.221
2026	17	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	29	.192/.250/.346	1	0	-10	—	.111/.143/.148
2027PROJMLE	18	MLBSF	139	.204/.295/.292	1	4	70	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBSF	28	.205/.297/.299	0	1	75	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

BB%96

Chase%93

Speed82

ISO76

wOBA75

wRC+72

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 27 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .293 / .289

PA27

HR0

K%29

BB%10

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	16	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	132	96	19	3	1	3	31	31	5	5	0	198	417	344	760	146	258	23	23	363	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	29	26	5	1	0	1	2	11	0	0	0	192	250	346	596	154	267	38	7	258	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	132	104	13	2	1	2	23	39	5	5	0	125	311	221	532	96	165	30	17	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	29	27	3	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	111	143	148	291	37	171	45	3	153	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	132	104	13	2	1	2	23	39	5	5	0	125	311	221	532	96	175	30	17	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	132	96	19	3	1	3	31	31	5	5	0	198	417	344	760	146	258	23	23	363	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	29	27	3	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	111	143	148	291	37	200	45	3	153	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	29	26	5	1	0	1	2	11	0	0	0	192	250	346	596	154	267	38	7	258	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	132	103	13	2	1	2	23	39	5	5	0	126	311	223	534	97	165	30	17	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	29	28	3	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	107	143	143	286	36	171	45	3	153	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	132	103	13	2	1	2	23	39	5	5	0	126	311	223	534	97	165	30	17	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	29	28	3	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	107	143	143	286	36	171	45	3	153	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	SF	0%	139	122	24	4	1	1	14	40	2	4	1	204	295	292	587	88	287	29	10	271	70	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	SF	34%	84	75	16	3	1	1	8	24	1	3	1	209	300	305	606	97	290	29	10	279	75	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	SF	34%	28	25	5	1	0	0	3	8	0	1	0	205	297	299	596	93	286	29	11	275	75	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	28	25	5	1	0	0	3	8	0	1	0	200	286	240	526	40	294	29	11	275	53	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	116	23	0	0	70	186	0	23	0	200	286	240	526	40	294	29	11	275	53	-20	+5	+0	-4	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	272	230	37	7	2	3	35	84	6	9	1	161	288	248	536	87	236	31	13	247	53	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	550	89	17	5	7	84	201	14	22	2	162	289	249	538	87	238	31	13	247	53	-20	+2	+0	-4	+14	-0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Giants Black · 29 PAwOBA .260 → .153 (−106)K% 37.9% → 46.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	37.93%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	46.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.90%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	4.86%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.008	13.70%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.008	4.03%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.67%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	3.16%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .260 → .153; ISO .154 → .074; BABIP .267 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Giants Orange · 132 PAwOBA .355 → .243 (−113)K% 23.5% → 29.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.48%	÷0.972	×1.220	—	—	29.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	23.48%	÷0.974	×0.700	—	×1.022	17.26%
HBP% /PA	3.79%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	2.71%
Singles /BIP	18.46%	÷0.995	×0.680	×0.950	×1.022	12.25%
Doubles /BIP	4.62%	÷0.933	×0.600	×0.950	×1.022	2.88%
Triples /BIP	1.54%	÷0.900	×0.600	×0.950	×1.022	1.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.62%	÷0.963	×0.470	—	×1.022	2.30%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .355 → .243; ISO .146 → .082; BABIP .258 → .165. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).