Elerick Gomez

SS DSL Cubs Red

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 155 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1490ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Cubs Red	100	.253/.350/.425	2	8	32	—	.156/.240/.244
2027PROJMLE	19	MLB—	210	.212/.280/.306	2	7	66	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	25	.215/.285/.316	0	1	71	0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	21	MLB—	83	.218/.289/.326	1	3	74	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Speed92

Chase%89

ISO86

Whiff%71

wOBA61

wRC+57

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj PA

wRC+66

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .277 / .303

PA37

HR0

K%27

BB%7

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	100	87	22	5	2	2	11	23	2	8	0	253	350	425	775	172	323	23	11	347	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	100	90	14	3	1	1	8	29	2	8	0	156	240	244	484	89	213	29	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	100	90	14	3	1	1	8	29	2	8	0	156	240	244	484	89	217	29	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	100	87	22	5	2	2	11	23	2	8	0	253	350	425	775	172	323	23	11	347	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	100	90	14	3	1	1	8	29	2	8	0	156	240	244	484	89	213	29	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	100	90	14	3	1	1	8	29	2	8	0	156	240	244	484	89	213	29	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	210	190	40	7	2	2	16	58	2	7	1	212	280	306	585	94	289	28	8	266	66	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	74	67	15	3	1	1	6	20	1	3	0	215	285	316	601	101	291	27	8	272	71	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	50%	167	150	33	6	2	2	13	45	2	6	1	218	289	326	615	107	292	27	8	278	74	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	58%	276	250	55	10	3	4	21	73	3	10	2	221	292	334	626	113	293	26	8	283	77	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	61%	372	335	76	14	4	6	29	97	5	14	3	224	295	341	636	117	293	26	8	287	80	-9	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	63%	436	394	89	16	4	8	34	113	5	16	3	226	297	348	645	122	294	26	8	290	82	-9	+2	+0	+5	+9	0.7
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	65%	472	426	97	17	5	9	37	122	6	17	3	227	297	349	647	123	294	26	8	291	83	-10	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	65%	493	445	101	18	5	9	39	128	6	18	3	227	298	351	648	124	294	26	8	291	83	-10	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	65%	500	451	101	18	5	9	39	130	6	18	3	226	297	348	645	122	294	26	8	290	82	-10	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	65%	500	451	101	18	5	9	39	131	6	17	3	224	295	344	638	120	293	26	8	287	81	-12	+2	-1	+5	+11	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	65%	492	445	98	18	4	8	38	131	6	17	3	222	292	338	630	116	292	27	8	284	78	-13	+2	-1	+5	+11	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	—	65%	481	436	95	17	4	8	37	129	5	16	3	219	289	330	619	112	290	27	8	280	75	-14	+2	-2	+5	+10	0.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	—	65%	466	422	91	16	4	7	36	127	5	15	4	215	284	321	605	106	287	27	8	274	71	-16	+1	-3	+5	+10	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	25	23	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	215	285	316	601	101	291	28	8	272	71	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	50%	83	76	16	3	1	1	6	22	1	3	1	218	289	326	615	107	292	27	7	278	74	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	58%	159	144	32	6	2	2	12	42	2	6	1	221	292	334	626	113	293	26	8	283	77	-4	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	61%	229	206	46	8	2	4	18	60	3	8	2	224	295	341	636	117	293	26	8	287	80	-5	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	63%	275	248	56	10	3	5	22	71	3	10	2	226	297	348	645	122	294	26	8	290	82	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	65%	307	276	63	11	3	6	24	80	4	11	2	227	297	349	647	123	294	26	8	291	83	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	65%	320	288	66	12	3	6	25	83	4	12	2	227	298	351	648	124	294	26	8	291	83	-6	+2	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	65%	325	292	66	12	3	6	26	85	4	12	2	226	297	348	645	122	294	26	8	290	82	-7	+2	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	65%	325	292	66	12	3	6	26	85	4	11	2	224	295	344	638	120	293	26	8	287	81	-7	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	65%	320	288	64	12	3	5	25	85	4	11	2	222	292	338	630	116	292	27	8	284	78	-8	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	—	65%	313	283	62	11	3	5	24	84	3	10	2	219	289	330	619	112	290	27	8	280	75	-9	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	—	65%	303	274	59	11	3	4	23	83	3	10	2	215	284	321	605	106	287	27	8	274	71	-10	+1	-2	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2984	2690	600	109	29	50	233	787	35	105	20	223	293	341	634	118	294	26	8	285	78	-74	+13	-5	+32	+65	3.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	131	24	6	11	51	171	8	23	4	224	295	341	636	118	294	26	8	285	78	-16	+3	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4866	4396	972	175	47	81	379	1285	58	176	31	221	292	338	629	116	292	26	8	284	78	-119	+21	-7	+51	+103	5.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	129	23	6	11	51	172	8	24	4	220	291	336	627	116	290	26	8	284	78	-16	+3	-1	+7	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Cubs Red · 100 PAwOBA .338 → .215 (−123)K% 23.0% → 29.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.00%	÷0.966	×1.220	—	—	29.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.00%	÷1.036	×0.700	—	×1.008	7.49%
HBP% /PA	2.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.41%
Singles /BIP	20.31%	÷0.981	×0.680	×1.022	×1.008	14.49%
Doubles /BIP	7.81%	÷1.012	×0.600	×1.022	×1.008	4.77%
Triples /BIP	3.12%	÷1.150	×0.600	×1.022	×1.008	1.68%
Home runs /BIP	3.12%	÷0.876	×0.470	—	×1.008	1.69%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 96, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 93, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .338 → .215; ISO .172 → .094; BABIP .323 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
	/162	664	8	16	227*	307*	330*	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
	/162	664	8	35	232*	309*	342*	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.5	3,021	51	106	224	291	341	+32	+24	5.4	4.9
	/162	664	11	23	224	291	341	+7.1	+5.3	1.2	pk7: 5
#6Pokey Reese'97-'04 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,138 PA	4.7	3,138	44	144	238*	292*	339*	+19	+41	4.0	4.7
#6Pokey Reese'97-'04 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,138 PA	/162	664	9	30	238*	292*	339*	+4.0	+8.7	0.8	pk7: 5

Elerick Gomez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps