Elerick GomezSS DSL Cubs Red
Age 18 R/R 5'9" / 155 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 87 proj PA
wRC+59
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .269 / .308
PA87
HR1
K%30
BB%7
ISO102
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.01.02.00.10.40.71.01.21.31.41.51.51.41.1+$76M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.3$7M+$6M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.4$7M+$6M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.5$7M+$6M
2035Arb-1$3M+1.5$6M+$5M
2036Arb-2$5M+1.4$5M+$4M
2037Arb-3$6M+1.1$4M+$2M
Totals $17M $35M +$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Cubs Red 10092 16312 6362 80 174240293533 120259 366 235 38
202517 ROKDSL Cubs Red 10087 22522 11232 80 253350425775 172323 2311 347 124
▸ 2026 Season
202618 MLB 8780 17311 6261 20 212276312588 100289 307 263 59 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLB 34% 179162 35623 13512 41 216282333616 117292 287 273 67 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.1
202820 MLB 48% 320290 631136 23904 71 217284338622 121293 287 281 73 -10 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.4
202921 MLB 54% 429389 871648 311196 91 224291347638 123294 287 286 77 -11 +1 +0 +5 +12 0.7
203022 MLB 57% 506457 10219410 371397 112 223291348639 125295 277 289 80 -12 +1 +0 +5 +14 1.0
203123 MLB 58% 558504 11521512 411538 122 228297361658 133296 277 291 81 -12 +2 +0 +6 +16 1.2
203224 MLB 57% 592534 12122513 441629 132 227296360656 133297 277 293 82 -12 +2 +0 +6 +17 1.3
203325 MLB 57% 612552 12523513 461679 132 226297357653 130297 278 294 83 -12 +2 +0 +7 +17 1.4
203426 MLB 57% 622562 12823514 461709 132 228297361658 133297 277 294 83 -12 +2 +0 +7 +18 1.5
203527 MLB 55% 623562 12723514 471709 132 226296359656 133297 278 294 84 -12 +2 +0 +7 +18 1.5
203628 MLB 55% 619558 12723514 471709 132 228298362660 134296 278 294 83 -12 +2 -1 +7 +18 1.4
203729 MLB 53% 610549 12322513 471699 112 224296353649 129296 288 292 82 -13 +1 -1 +7 +17 1.1
203830 MLB 53% 600540 11921512 461689 102 220292344637 124295 288 289 80 -14 +1 -2 +6 +17 0.9
202719 MLB 34% 6257 12211 4181 10 211274333608 123292 296 273 67 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202820 MLB 48% 155141 31613 11442 31 220286340626 121293 287 281 73 -5 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.2
202921 MLB 54% 233211 47825 17653 51 223290351641 128294 287 286 77 -6 +1 +0 +2 +7 0.4
203022 MLB 57% 286259 571026 21794 61 220289344632 124295 287 289 80 -7 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.5
203123 MLB 58% 321289 661237 24885 71 228299363662 135296 277 291 81 -7 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.7
203224 MLB 57% 337304 681237 25925 71 224293352645 128297 277 293 82 -7 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.8
203325 MLB 57% 347313 721338 26955 71 230299367667 137297 277 294 83 -7 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.8
203426 MLB 57% 352318 721338 26965 81 226295362657 135297 277 294 83 -7 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.9
203527 MLB 55% 346312 711338 26955 71 228297365663 138297 278 294 84 -6 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.8
203628 MLB 55% 340306 681237 26935 71 222294350643 127296 278 294 83 -7 +1 -0 +4 +10 0.7
203729 MLB 53% 326293 661237 25905 61 225297358656 133296 288 292 82 -7 +1 -1 +3 +9 0.6
203830 MLB 53% 316284 641137 24885 51 225297359656 134295 288 289 80 -7 +1 -1 +3 +9 0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career 34213087 6941243074 25594350 6911 225295356651 132297 287 291 81 -74 +9 -2 +37 +97 6.9
/ 162G 650587 13324614 4817910 132 227297359656 133299 287 291 81 -14 +2 -0 +7 +18 1.3
Career 64575831 130523655135 480179093 13921 224293353646 129297 287 290 80 -147 +19 -4 +69 +183 12.2
/ 162G 650587 13224614 481809 142 225293358651 133298 287 290 80 -15 +2 -0 +7 +18 1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Cubs Red 10087 22522 11232 80 253350425775 172323 2311 347 124 +3 +2 +3 0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Zack Cozartlast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA
83,3508521246300398+33+3814.214.8
/162664174+6.6+7.62.8pk7: 15
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
73,5087372225292354+38+217.06.1
/1626641414+7.1+4.01.3pk7: 5
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Elerick Gomez (OGILVIE) 18 207/269/308 101289 12 30% 7% 59 -0.2
Juan Villavicencio
2023 · A
18 43 40→50 55 41 205/263/297 92301 714 33% 7% 53 -1.5 187/262/281 94277 712 32% 8% 50 -1.8 192/266/303111286101834%8%55-0.5
Yordalin Peña
2023 · A
18 41→39 40→55 55 37 198/247/291 93283 610 31% 5% 45 -2.1 188/247/280 92276 612 32% 6% 42 -2.3 189/253/317128293111737%7%53-0.7
Yunior Garcia
2019 · A
18 37→47 43→45 52→30 40 187/247/297 110260 1010 31% 6% 47 -1.9 196/245/301 105305 107 37% 5% 46 -2.0 224/273/34011532712233%5%65-0.3
Ravel Santana
2010 · A
18 39 42→50 48→55 44 192/269/294 102269 109 31% 8% 56 -1.3 219/288/360 141283 1615 27% 8% 81 +0.4 220/291/383163271202026%8%85+0.3
Wendell Rijo
2015 · A
19 42→41 40→55 51→50 44 201/267/302 101282 712 30% 7% 56 -1.3 197/248/287 90281 711 31% 5% 44 -2.1 208/263/371163264201429%6%70-0.2
Ceddanne Rafaela
2019 · A
18 42→48 39→55 51→55 40 205/251/286 81270 616 26% 5% 45 -2.1 206/254/321 115262 1114 25% 5% 56 -1.3 247/287/396150298152022%4%88+0.7
Jorge Alcantara
2010 · A
18 44 38→45 51→50 41 207/269/289 82311 611 33% 7% 53 -1.5 209/275/309 100307 711 32% 7% 62 -0.9 189/260/29911027071730%8%52-0.5
Kelvin Hidalgo
2023 · A
18 42→39 40→45 50→55 44 204/266/298 94269 613 25% 6% 55 -1.4 206/263/306 100292 917 31% 6% 56 -1.3 196/248/2858929182334%5%42-1.3
Carlos Jimenez
2022 · A
19 38→43 42→55 53→50 44 188/268/290 102278 1011 34% 8% 55 -1.4 201/284/321 120321 1116 37% 9% 69 -0.4 229/308/399169310211831%9%95+0.9
Derek Hill
2015 · A
19 41→51 40→50 55→60 47 200/269/291 91259 713 25% 8% 55 -1.4 199/251/270 71293 325 31% 6% 40 -2.4 248/301/422175338222932%6%100+0.7
Ranfy Adon
2016 · A
18 40 41→45 51→50 42 196/265/297 102272 811 30% 7% 56 -1.3 188/244/281 93294 712 36% 6% 41 -2.3 158/218/2428427282243%6%19-0.9
Delino DeShields
2012 · A
19 40→50 40→45 50→65 41 196/253/282 87272 816 30% 6% 45 -2.1 225/290/327 102307 838 27% 7% 72 -0.2 242/320/3399732363425%10%85+0.6
Manuel Pena
2022 · A
18 41→43 40→50 50 41 202/257/292 90282 815 30% 7% 50 -1.8 197/245/281 84297 69 33% 6% 41 -2.3 216/250/34512928916631%4%58-0.9
Jean Selmo
2018 · A
18 39 39→45 53→45 38 185/246/275 89296 68 38% 7% 41 -2.3 197/260/287 90318 58 36% 7% 50 -1.8 215/289/3251103044828%9%69-0.2
Jason Lopez
2017 · A
19 40 38→55 49→45 43 195/258/270 75266 511 28% 7% 44 -2.1 205/253/318 113280 117 30% 5% 55 -1.4 189/235/31412426513833%5%43-0.9
Juan Lagares
2007 · A
18 42→52 40→45 53→50 41 203/261/302 99285 611 30% 6% 53 -1.5 203/241/283 80277 410 27% 4% 39 -2.5 261/302/36610531671319%4%83+0.3
Gilberto Celestino
2018 · A
19 42→52 39→45 53→55 42 202/258/287 85283 612 30% 7% 48 -1.9 215/267/306 91282 710 25% 6% 56 -1.3 240/311/3197931771425%9%75-0.0
Jose Paez
2012 · A
18 36 36→45 51→50 41 173/241/239 66265 416 34% 7% 30 -3.1 220/268/311 91310 512 29% 5% 58 -1.2 226/270/3199331941229%5%56-0.4
Eguy Rosario
2019 · A
19 40→50 41→50 47→55 38 197/248/296 99280 813 32% 5% 46 -2.0 223/270/347 124311 1116 30% 5% 69 -0.4 219/282/363144293152129%7%76+0.1
Angel Aponte
2018 · A
18 43 40→45 53→55 42 206/274/301 94284 613 28% 6% 59 -1.1 206/265/304 98285 819 29% 6% 56 -1.3 202/262/2929028672530%6%50-0.7