Juan Rujano

SS FCL Cardinals

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 185 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKSTL	148	.279/.405/.418	3	2	40	—	.156/.270/.219
2026	18	ROKSTL	77	.224/.325/.343	2	0	25	—	.143/.221/.200
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBSTL	187	.204/.275/.295	2	2	62	-0.1
2028PROJ24% MLB	20	MLBSTL	24	.210/.281/.309	0	0	69	-0.0
2029PROJ39% MLB	21	MLBSTL	76	.214/.286/.322	1	1	74	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%58

ISO51

K%22

Whiff%21

wRC+20

wOBA19

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .272 / .293

PA45

HR1

K%29

BB%7

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$7M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	148	122	34	8	0	3	19	34	7	2	1	279	405	418	823	139	365	23	13	377	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	77	67	15	2	0	2	7	22	3	0	0	224	325	343	668	119	302	29	9	309	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	148	128	20	5	0	1	13	43	7	2	1	156	270	219	489	62	223	29	9	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	77	70	10	1	0	1	4	32	3	0	0	143	221	200	421	57	244	42	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	148	128	20	5	0	1	13	43	7	2	1	156	270	219	489	62	226	29	9	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	148	122	34	8	0	3	19	34	7	2	1	279	405	418	823	139	365	23	13	377	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	77	70	10	1	0	1	4	32	3	0	0	143	221	200	421	57	243	42	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	77	67	15	2	0	2	7	22	3	0	0	224	325	343	668	119	302	29	9	309	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	148	127	20	5	0	1	13	43	7	2	1	157	270	220	491	63	223	29	9	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	77	70	10	1	0	1	4	32	3	0	0	143	221	200	421	57	244	42	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	148	127	20	5	0	1	13	43	7	2	1	157	270	220	491	63	223	29	9	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	77	70	10	1	0	1	4	32	3	0	0	143	221	200	421	57	244	42	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	STL	0%	187	169	34	6	1	2	13	55	3	2	1	204	275	295	570	91	283	29	7	260	62	-8	+0	-2	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	STL	24%	100	91	19	3	1	2	7	29	2	1	0	209	281	311	592	102	285	29	7	270	69	-4	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	STL	39%	194	175	37	6	1	4	14	55	3	2	1	214	286	325	611	111	286	28	7	277	74	-6	+0	-2	+2	+4	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	STL	49%	305	274	59	10	2	6	23	85	5	3	1	218	290	337	627	119	288	28	8	283	78	-8	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	STL	55%	392	353	78	13	2	9	29	108	7	3	1	221	294	347	641	126	289	28	7	289	82	-9	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	STL	58%	447	402	90	16	2	11	34	121	8	3	2	224	297	355	652	131	290	27	8	293	85	-8	-0	+1	+5	+10	0.7
2033	25	MLB MLE	STL	60%	480	433	98	17	3	12	36	130	8	4	2	225	298	359	657	134	290	27	8	295	86	-8	+0	+1	+5	+10	0.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	STL	62%	496	447	101	17	3	13	38	135	8	4	2	225	298	362	660	137	290	27	8	296	87	-8	+0	+1	+5	+11	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	STL	63%	502	451	102	17	3	13	38	137	8	3	2	224	297	359	657	135	290	27	8	295	86	-9	-0	+1	+5	+11	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	STL	63%	501	450	100	17	3	12	38	138	8	3	2	223	295	355	650	132	289	28	8	292	84	-10	-0	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	STL	64%	492	444	98	17	2	12	37	137	8	2	3	220	292	349	642	129	288	28	8	289	82	-11	-1	-1	+5	+11	0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	STL	24%	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	210	281	309	591	100	287	29	8	269	69	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	STL	39%	76	69	14	3	0	1	6	21	1	1	0	214	286	322	609	108	288	28	8	276	74	-2	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	STL	49%	148	133	29	5	1	3	11	41	3	1	1	218	290	334	624	116	289	28	7	282	78	-4	-0	-1	+2	+3	-0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	STL	55%	214	192	43	8	1	5	16	59	4	2	1	221	294	343	637	122	291	28	7	287	82	-5	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	STL	58%	259	233	52	9	1	6	20	70	4	2	1	224	297	351	648	127	292	27	8	292	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	STL	60%	289	260	59	10	2	7	22	78	5	2	1	225	297	355	652	130	292	27	8	293	86	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	STL	62%	306	275	62	11	2	7	23	83	5	2	1	225	298	357	655	132	292	27	8	294	87	-5	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	STL	63%	314	282	63	11	2	7	24	86	5	2	1	224	297	355	652	131	291	27	8	293	86	-5	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	STL	63%	317	285	63	11	2	7	24	87	5	2	1	222	295	351	646	128	290	27	8	291	84	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	STL	64%	313	281	62	11	2	7	24	87	5	2	2	220	292	345	637	125	289	28	8	287	82	-7	-0	-0	+3	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2260	2032	451	80	13	50	172	619	37	16	9	222	295	348	642	126	292	27	8	290	80	-45	-0	-1	+24	+49	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	130	23	4	14	49	178	11	5	3	223	295	348	642	125	294	27	8	290	80	-13	-0	-0	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4179	3759	820	140	22	97	314	1163	76	30	17	218	292	345	636	126	287	28	8	287	80	-82	-1	-4	+42	+86	4.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	127	22	3	15	49	181	12	5	3	217	291	342	633	125	286	28	8	287	80	-13	-0	-1	+7	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Cardinals · 77 PAwOBA .301 → .205 (−96)K% 28.6% → 41.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.57%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	41.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.09%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	5.68%
HBP% /PA	3.90%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.83%
Singles /BIP	24.44%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.005	×1.008	20.30%
Doubles /BIP	4.44%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.005	×1.008	3.24%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.005	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.44%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	3.49%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .301 → .205; ISO .119 → .079; BABIP .302 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Cardinals · 148 PAwOBA .367 → .228 (−139)K% 23.0% → 29.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.97%	÷0.961	×1.220	—	—	29.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.84%	÷1.022	×0.700	—	×1.008	8.86%
HBP% /PA	4.73%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	3.34%
Singles /BIP	26.14%	÷1.019	×0.680	×0.950	×1.008	16.70%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷0.990	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	5.27%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.41%	÷1.047	×0.470	—	×1.008	1.54%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .367 → .228; ISO .139 → .070; BABIP .365 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	4.3	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
	/162	664	18	10	226	302	380	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Kevin Elster'86-'00 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,225 PA	4.9	3,225	88	14	223*	294*	388*	+34	+9	7.9	8.1
#3Kevin Elster'86-'00 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,225 PA	/162	664	18	3	223*	294*	388*	+7.0	+1.9	1.6	pk7: 8
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.5	2,306	55	16	223	292	353	+25	+0	4.3	4.2
	/162	664	16	5	223	292	353	+7.1	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Luis Rivera'86-'98 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,453 PA	3.7	2,453	28	20	232*	291*	357*	+24	+5	1.2	2.3
#5Luis Rivera'86-'98 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,453 PA	/162	664	8	5	232*	291*	357*	+6.4	+1.4	0.3	pk7: 3
#6Frank Duffy'70-'79 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,924 PA	4.4	2,924	26	49	234*	283*	348*	+30	-2	0.9	2.1
#6Frank Duffy'70-'79 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,924 PA	/162	664	6	11	234*	283*	348*	+6.7	-0.5	0.2	pk7: 3

Juan Rujano

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps