Johanderson Tarazona

C DSL Brewers Blue

Age 19 S/R 5'9" / 174 lbs ROK HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1061ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Brewers B…	85	.262/.435/.415	1	5	61	—	.159/.318/.232
2026	18	ROKDSL Brewers B…	51	.265/.510/.382	1	0	83	—	.184/.392/.289
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBMIL	161	.203/.299/.286	1	2	70	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBMIL	31	.205/.301/.296	0	0	75	0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	21	MLBMIL	91	.209/.305/.308	1	1	79	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%99

wOBA93

wRC+92

Chase%84

ISO51

K%31

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .297 / .283

PA35

HR0

K%29

BB%10

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$31M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	85	65	17	5	1	1	14	23	6	5	1	262	435	415	851	154	390	27	16	392	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	51	34	9	1	0	1	15	13	2	0	0	265	510	382	892	118	400	25	29	424	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	85	69	11	3	1	0	10	27	6	5	1	159	318	232	550	72	246	32	12	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	51	38	7	1	0	1	11	16	2	0	0	184	392	289	682	105	263	31	22	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	85	69	11	3	1	0	10	27	6	5	1	159	318	232	550	72	262	32	12	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Blue	—	85	65	17	5	1	1	14	23	6	5	1	262	435	415	851	154	390	27	16	392	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	51	38	7	1	0	1	11	16	2	0	0	184	392	289	682	105	286	31	22	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Blue	—	51	34	9	1	0	1	15	13	2	0	0	265	510	382	892	118	400	25	29	424	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	85	69	11	3	1	0	10	27	6	5	1	159	318	232	550	72	246	32	12	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	51	38	7	1	0	1	11	16	2	0	0	184	392	289	682	105	263	31	22	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	85	69	11	3	1	0	10	27	6	5	1	159	318	232	550	72	246	32	12	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	51	38	7	1	0	1	11	16	2	0	0	184	392	289	682	105	263	31	22	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	161	141	28	5	1	1	16	47	3	2	1	203	299	286	585	83	289	29	10	272	70	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIL	34%	91	80	17	3	1	1	9	26	2	1	0	207	304	299	603	92	291	29	10	279	75	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIL	50%	182	158	33	6	1	2	18	51	4	3	1	211	307	311	618	99	292	28	10	285	79	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIL	58%	294	257	55	10	2	4	29	81	6	5	1	215	309	321	631	106	293	28	10	289	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIL	61%	383	335	73	13	3	6	37	105	8	6	2	218	311	330	641	112	294	27	10	293	85	-7	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.9
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIL	63%	443	388	85	15	3	8	43	120	9	7	2	221	313	338	651	117	295	27	10	297	87	-7	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	445	390	86	16	3	8	43	120	9	7	2	221	314	340	653	119	295	27	10	298	88	-7	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	445	390	86	16	3	8	43	120	9	7	2	221	314	341	655	120	294	27	10	298	88	-6	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	445	390	85	15	3	8	43	121	9	6	2	220	313	339	651	118	294	27	10	297	87	-7	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	445	390	85	15	3	8	43	122	9	5	2	218	311	334	644	116	293	27	10	294	85	-8	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	445	390	85	15	3	8	43	123	9	3	2	216	308	327	635	112	291	28	10	290	83	-9	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	445	390	83	15	3	7	43	125	9	2	1	212	304	319	623	107	289	28	10	285	79	-11	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.5
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	426	375	77	14	2	6	40	121	8	1	1	208	299	309	608	101	286	28	9	279	75	-13	-0	-3	+8	+9	0.1
2040	32	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	404	356	71	12	2	5	38	117	7	1	1	203	293	297	589	94	281	29	9	272	70	-14	-0	-4	+7	+9	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIL	34%	31	27	5	1	0	0	3	9	1	0	0	205	301	296	597	91	286	29	10	276	75	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIL	50%	91	80	17	3	1	1	9	26	2	1	0	209	305	308	612	99	287	29	10	282	79	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIL	58%	170	147	31	5	1	3	17	47	4	3	1	212	307	318	625	106	288	28	10	287	82	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIL	61%	235	205	45	8	2	4	23	64	5	4	1	215	309	327	636	112	289	27	10	291	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIL	63%	279	244	53	9	2	5	27	75	6	4	1	218	311	335	646	117	290	27	10	295	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	289	253	55	9	2	6	28	78	6	4	1	219	311	338	649	119	290	27	10	296	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	289	253	55	9	2	6	28	78	6	4	1	219	311	339	651	120	290	27	10	296	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	289	253	55	9	2	6	28	79	6	4	1	218	310	336	647	119	289	27	10	295	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	289	253	54	9	2	5	28	79	6	3	1	216	308	332	640	116	288	27	10	292	85	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	289	253	54	9	2	5	28	80	6	2	1	213	305	325	630	112	286	28	10	288	83	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	289	253	54	9	2	5	28	81	6	1	1	210	302	317	619	107	284	28	10	284	79	-7	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	277	244	50	8	2	4	26	79	5	1	1	206	297	306	603	101	281	29	9	278	75	-8	-0	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	263	231	47	8	1	4	25	76	5	1	0	200	291	294	585	93	277	29	10	270	70	-9	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3080	2696	575	96	21	54	298	851	64	32	10	213	306	325	631	111	289	28	10	288	82	-64	+2	-7	+55	+67	5.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	120	20	4	11	63	180	14	7	2	211	305	318	623	107	287	28	10	288	82	-14	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5064	4427	945	170	33	80	496	1405	107	60	20	213	308	321	629	108	292	28	10	289	82	-104	+3	-10	+88	+107	8.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	121	22	4	10	64	180	14	8	3	213	309	319	627	106	291	28	10	289	82	-14	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Brewers Blue · 51 PAwOBA .416 → .291 (−125)K% 25.5% → 31.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.49%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	31.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	29.41%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	20.74%
HBP% /PA	3.92%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.77%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.008	22.84%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.008	2.88%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	2.25%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .416 → .291; ISO .118 → .066; BABIP .400 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Brewers Blue · 85 PAwOBA .383 → .259 (−124)K% 27.1% → 31.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.06%	÷1.052	×1.220	—	—	31.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.47%	÷0.984	×0.700	—	×1.022	11.98%
HBP% /PA	7.06%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	5.05%
Singles /BIP	23.81%	÷1.051	×0.680	—	×1.022	15.75%
Doubles /BIP	11.90%	÷1.017	×0.600	—	×1.022	7.18%
Triples /BIP	2.38%	÷1.042	×0.600	—	×1.022	1.40%
Home runs /BIP	2.38%	÷1.042	×0.470	—	×1.022	1.10%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 110, 2B 103, 3B 108, K 110, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .383 → .259; ISO .154 → .090; BABIP .390 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
	/162	664	12	0	229	310	340	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	4.7	3,116	52	34	217	305	327	+56	+36	7.7	6.8
	/162	664	11	7	217	305	327	+11.9	+7.7	1.6	pk7: 6
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	/162	664	6	3	239*	294*	339*	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	/162	664	7	1	231*	283*	340*	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	/162	664	15	4	228*	295*	352*	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Johanderson Tarazona

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps