Malvin Fernandez

SS FCL Braves

Age 18 S/R 5'9" / 155 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1695ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	16	ROKATL	141	.195/.345/.230	0	5	22	—	.134/.259/.160
2026	17	ROKATL	129	.211/.323/.339	2	3	29	—	.147/.220/.216
2027PROJMLE	18	MLBATL	239	.202/.275/.286	2	4	60	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBATL	41	.207/.282/.300	1	1	66	-0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	20	MLBATL	112	.211/.287/.312	2	2	71	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed61

ISO56

Z-Con%51

BB%40

Whiff%35

K%34

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .273 / .283

PA67

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	16	ROK	DSL Braves	—	141	113	22	4	0	0	23	27	3	5	2	195	345	230	575	35	250	19	16	281	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK	FCL Braves	—	129	109	23	4	2	2	18	32	0	3	1	211	323	339	662	128	273	25	14	300	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	141	119	16	3	0	0	17	33	3	5	2	134	259	160	419	25	167	23	12	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	129	116	17	3	1	1	11	46	0	3	1	147	220	216	436	69	220	36	9	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	141	119	16	3	0	0	17	33	3	5	2	134	259	160	419	25	182	23	12	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	141	113	22	4	0	0	23	27	3	5	2	195	345	230	575	35	250	19	16	281	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	129	116	17	3	1	1	11	46	0	3	1	147	220	216	436	69	225	36	9	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	129	109	23	4	2	2	18	32	0	3	1	211	323	339	662	128	273	25	14	300	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	141	120	16	3	0	0	17	33	3	5	2	133	259	158	417	25	167	23	12	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	129	117	17	3	1	1	11	46	0	3	1	145	220	214	434	68	220	36	9	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	141	120	16	3	0	0	17	33	3	5	2	133	259	158	417	25	167	23	12	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	129	117	17	3	1	1	11	46	0	3	1	145	220	214	434	68	220	36	9	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	239	215	43	7	2	2	20	67	2	4	1	202	275	286	561	84	277	28	8	257	60	-11	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	123	111	24	4	1	2	10	34	1	2	1	207	282	300	582	93	280	28	8	266	66	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	ATL	50%	225	201	42	7	2	3	19	61	3	5	2	211	287	312	599	101	282	27	8	273	71	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2030	21	MLB MLE	ATL	58%	348	312	67	11	3	6	29	92	4	7	3	215	292	322	614	107	283	26	8	279	75	-10	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2031	22	MLB MLE	ATL	61%	438	393	86	15	3	8	37	115	5	9	4	218	295	331	625	113	285	26	8	283	78	-11	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.3
2032	23	MLB MLE	ATL	63%	496	445	98	17	4	9	42	128	6	10	4	221	297	337	635	117	286	26	8	287	80	-12	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	536	479	106	18	4	10	46	139	6	11	4	222	298	339	638	118	287	26	9	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	560	500	111	19	4	11	48	145	7	12	5	222	298	340	639	118	287	26	9	289	82	-12	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2035	26	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	575	514	114	20	4	11	49	149	7	12	5	222	298	340	638	119	286	26	9	289	81	-13	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2036	27	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	576	514	113	19	4	11	50	150	7	11	5	221	297	338	635	117	286	26	9	287	81	-13	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2037	28	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	569	508	111	19	4	10	49	149	7	10	5	219	296	333	629	114	285	26	9	285	79	-14	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.3
2038	29	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	556	497	108	18	4	10	48	147	6	10	5	217	293	327	620	111	284	26	9	281	76	-16	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	41	38	8	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	207	282	300	582	93	280	27	7	266	66	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	ATL	50%	112	101	22	4	1	2	9	30	1	2	1	211	287	312	599	101	282	27	8	273	71	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2030	21	MLB CTX	ATL	58%	201	180	38	7	1	3	17	53	2	4	2	215	292	322	614	107	283	26	8	279	75	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2031	22	MLB CTX	ATL	61%	269	241	53	9	2	5	23	70	3	6	2	218	295	331	625	113	285	26	9	283	78	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	ATL	63%	314	280	62	11	2	6	27	81	4	7	3	221	297	337	635	117	286	26	9	287	80	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2033	24	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	348	311	69	12	2	7	30	90	4	7	3	222	298	339	638	118	287	26	9	288	81	-8	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2034	25	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	364	326	72	12	3	7	31	94	4	7	3	222	298	340	639	118	287	26	9	289	82	-8	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2035	26	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	374	335	75	13	3	7	32	97	4	8	3	222	298	340	638	119	286	26	9	289	81	-8	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2036	27	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	374	335	74	13	3	7	32	97	4	7	3	221	297	338	635	117	286	26	9	287	81	-9	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2037	28	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	370	331	73	12	3	7	32	97	4	7	3	219	296	333	629	114	285	26	9	285	79	-9	+0	-0	+4	+8	0.2
2038	29	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	361	323	69	12	2	6	31	96	4	6	3	217	293	327	620	111	284	27	9	281	76	-10	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3128	2801	615	106	22	58	267	816	34	62	26	220	295	335	631	116	287	26	9	285	76	-78	+2	-1	+34	+68	2.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	128	22	5	12	55	170	7	13	5	220	295	337	632	117	287	26	8	285	76	-16	+0	-0	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5339	4769	1026	175	39	93	461	1407	63	108	46	215	293	327	620	112	283	26	9	280	76	-130	+3	-2	+54	+110	3.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	125	21	5	11	56	171	8	13	6	215	293	325	619	110	283	26	9	280	76	-17	+0	-0	+7	+14	0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Braves · 129 PAwOBA .297 → .211 (−86)K% 24.8% → 35.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.81%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	35.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.95%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	8.85%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.48%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.006	×1.022	16.43%
Doubles /BIP	5.19%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.006	×1.022	3.85%
Triples /BIP	2.60%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.006	×1.022	1.92%
Home runs /BIP	2.60%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	2.07%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .297 → .211; ISO .128 → .091; BABIP .273 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Braves · 141 PAwOBA .280 → .200 (−79)K% 19.1% → 23.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.15%	÷1.009	×1.220	—	—	23.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.31%	÷0.947	×0.700	—	×1.022	12.34%
HBP% /PA	2.13%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	1.52%
Singles /BIP	20.93%	÷0.978	×0.680	×0.950	×1.022	14.13%
Doubles /BIP	4.65%	÷0.932	×0.600	×0.950	×1.022	2.91%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.045	×0.600	×0.950	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.878	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 96, 2B 86, 3B 109, K 102, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .280 → .200; ISO .035 → .023; BABIP .250 → .167. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
	/162	664	8	16	227*	307*	330*	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	/162	664	4	15	240*	300*	338*	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	/162	664	3	5	233*	291*	316*	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.8	3,196	58	63	220	293	334	+34	+24	4.6	4.3
	/162	664	12	13	220	293	334	+7.1	+5.0	1.0	pk7: 4

Malvin Fernandez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps