Malvin FernandezSS FCL Braves
Age 17 S/R 5'9" / 155 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION115 act + 76 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†45
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .287 / .306
PA76
HR1
K%29
BB%9
BABIP285
ISO102
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -16.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-16BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +5.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.80-0.8WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.32627
Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT39
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE63
scouting grade only
SPEED53
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202516 ROKDSL Braves 141120 17300 16383 52 142259167426 25202 2711 210 19
202516 ROKDSL Braves 141113 22400 23273 52 195345230575 35250 1916 281 74
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD17 ROKATL 115102 14111 11390 31 137221196417 59203 3410 201 12 -11 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.7
YTD17 ROKATL 11595 19221 18270 31 200327295622 95261 2316 288 78 -3 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.2
ROS17 ROKATL 0% 7668 14211 7221 10 204287306593 102261 299 245 45 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
ROS17 MLBATL 0% 01 0000 000 00 261 239 41 +0 +0
FULL17 ROKATL 115103 14111 11390 31 136221194415 58200 3410 201 12 -11 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.7
TOT17 ROKATL 191170 28322 18611 41 164248240488 76237 329 218 25 -16 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202718 MLBATL 34% 240215 43723 21672 41 200277293570 93269 289 256 54 -12 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.3
202718 MLBATL 34% 8274 14211 7231 10 189268284552 95269 289 251 50 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 8275 14211 7231 10 187268280548 93255 289 251 50 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
/ 162G 650595 1111688 551828 80 187268281548 94254 288 251 50 -37 +2 +0 +7 +18 -1.0
Career 457403 741234 441276 103 183273258531 74254 2810 240 42 -30 +1 +0 +5 +13 -1.2
/ 162G 650573 1051746 621809 144 183273258531 75253 2810 240 42 -43 +1 +0 +7 +18 -1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202516 ROKDSL Braves 141113 22400 23273 52 195345230575 35250 1916 281 74 -4 +0 +4 -0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
121624201275285+2+3-0.2-0.1
/162664711+7.1+9.2-0.6pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Malvin Fernandez (OGILVIE) 17 34→39 30→35 48→53 63 164/248/240 76237 24 32% 9% 25 -0.8
Luis Alejandro Basabe
2014 · A
17 37→47 37→40 53→50 45 176/258/250 74276 310 34% 9% 40 -2.4 195/282/265 70303 313 33% 10% 54 -1.4 203/294/2827931151433%11%61-0.4
Luis Alexander Basabe
2014 · A
17 39→45 36→45 51→50 49 182/277/252 70274 314 31% 10% 50 -1.8 199/270/296 97287 513 30% 8% 56 -1.3 188/260/297109305111439%8%50-0.9
Ronald Hernandez
2022 · A
18 40→50 38→40 50 47 190/268/273 83265 56 28% 9% 50 -1.8 199/284/285 86297 76 32% 9% 60 -1.0 202/290/285823148535%10%61-0.5
Leandro Arias
2023 · A
18 40 38→30 51→45 43 188/262/268 80284 411 33% 8% 46 -2.0 199/267/280 81262 610 25% 7% 51 -1.7 199/277/263642676725%8%50-0.9
Yamal Encarnacion
2022 · A
18 44 37→40 51→60 47 207/271/285 78273 413 24% 8% 53 -1.5 203/264/264 61272 317 25% 7% 45 -2.1 209/272/2867627364524%8%51-0.8
Derwin Barreto
2019 · A
18 40 39→40 49→50 51 191/279/279 88254 610 26% 10% 57 -1.2 199/274/291 92289 710 31% 9% 57 -1.2 146/239/192462564940%10%14-0.8
Samuel Ortiz
2014 · A
17 43 36→30 53→50 47 200/271/266 66262 311 24% 8% 50 -1.8 193/271/247 54247 210 21% 9% 44 -2.1 178/254/223452383825%9%31-0.8
Yunior Figueroa
2008 · A
17 39 39→40 52→45 45 184/265/273 88288 57 35% 9% 49 -1.8 211/252/286 75262 56 21% 5% 45 -2.1 215/242/280652556418%3%35-1.0
Chris Torres
2016 · A
18 43→37 37→30 50→55 50 200/288/273 73290 415 30% 10% 59 -1.1 204/274/273 69318 313 33% 8% 52 -1.6 181/264/2395829821536%10%36-1.2
Jim Caceres
2019 · A
18 43 40→45 55 48 207/277/305 97255 614 21% 7% 61 -1.0 196/263/271 75271 410 27% 7% 47 -1.9 124/200/1391518701030%7%-14-1.1
Luis Barahona
2012 · A
18 46 36→30 53→50 48 216/284/286 70285 314 24% 8% 59 -1.1 206/260/268 62282 213 26% 6% 43 -2.2 200/252/2545427301625%6%33-1.0
Jonathan Araúz
2016 · A
17 41→39 38→45 51→45 42 197/241/279 82251 55 24% 5% 38 -2.6 195/250/274 79253 54 24% 6% 41 -2.3 190/258/29810723313324%8%50-1.0
Carlos Sanchez
2023 · A
18 41 41→40 51→30 43 201/256/296 95262 99 26% 7% 50 -1.7 189/256/262 73263 55 28% 8% 42 -2.3 168/252/27510624112234%9%42-0.6
Luis Arcendo
2018 · A
18 44 36→30 54→50 46 209/274/278 69274 313 24% 7% 53 -1.5 196/257/259 63280 313 29% 7% 40 -2.4 115/183/1362117001930%8%-22-1.3
Nicandro Aybar
2023 · A
18 46 36→30 50 51 212/292/286 74285 310 25% 10% 63 -0.8 209/274/282 73270 412 22% 8% 53 -1.5 204/265/2666225631420%7%43-0.7
Viandel Pena
2019 · A
18 42→43 36→40 49→55 50 198/282/274 76270 35 26% 9% 56 -1.3 205/273/280 75305 38 31% 8% 53 -1.5 203/267/2807730141931%8%46-1.0
Fidel Mejia
2016 · A
17 46 35→40 48→40 45 214/271/274 60289 29 25% 7% 50 -1.7 220/268/277 57299 28 25% 6% 50 -1.8 227/273/277503041724%5%49-0.5
Jean Carmona
2018 · A
18 43 37→40 49→50 43 199/270/284 85289 310 30% 7% 53 -1.5 198/252/293 95302 68 34% 6% 48 -1.9 177/224/274973059743%5%27-1.3
Emmanuel Morel
2015 · A
18 42 36→30 51→55 41 199/261/262 63278 39 28% 6% 43 -2.2 192/267/250 58298 216 33% 9% 43 -2.2 173/256/2194628002234%9%29-0.9
Daniel Mateo
2010 · A
18 42→44 38→40 50→45 44 200/258/289 89256 411 23% 6% 50 -1.8 207/246/296 89279 56 27% 5% 45 -2.1 212/248/303912816326%4%45-1.2