David Ortiz Jr. — OGILVIE

David Ortiz Jr.1B DSL Rangers Red

Age 19 L/L 5'10" / 210 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 77 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .273 / .235

PA77

HR0

K%30

BB%11

ISO63

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	155	113	14	5	0	0	39	46	3	0	0	124	361	168	529	44	209	30	25	284	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	86	60	13	3	0	0	21	23	5	1	0	217	453	267	720	50	351	27	24	363	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	155	125	9	3	0	0	27	59	3	0	0	72	252	96	348	24	142	38	17	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	86	66	9	2	0	0	15	28	5	1	0	136	337	167	504	30	231	33	17	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	155	125	9	3	0	0	27	59	3	0	0	72	252	96	348	24	136	38	17	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	155	113	14	5	0	0	39	46	3	0	0	124	361	168	529	44	209	30	25	284	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	86	66	9	2	0	0	15	28	5	1	0	136	337	167	504	30	237	33	17	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	—	86	60	13	3	0	0	21	23	5	1	0	217	453	267	720	50	351	27	24	363	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	155	124	9	3	0	0	27	59	3	0	0	73	252	97	348	24	142	38	17	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	86	66	9	2	0	0	15	28	5	1	0	136	337	167	504	30	231	33	17	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	155	124	9	3	0	0	27	59	3	0	0	73	252	97	348	24	142	38	17	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	86	66	9	2	0	0	15	28	5	1	0	136	337	167	504	30	231	33	17	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	196	170	30	6	1	1	21	60	3	2	1	174	275	238	513	63	258	31	11	243	51	-11	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	168	145	26	5	1	1	18	50	3	2	1	181	281	254	535	74	261	30	11	252	57	-9	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.8
2028	20	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	58	51	10	2	0	1	6	17	1	1	0	181	281	255	536	74	261	29	10	252	57	-3	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	58	51	10	2	0	1	6	17	1	1	0	196	293	294	587	98	273	29	10	252	42	-3	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	111	22	0	11	67	191	11	11	0	194	291	290	581	96	270	29	10	252	42	-33	+2	+0	-12	+14	-2.9
Career	—	MLE		—	486	404	55	12	1	1	68	160	12	4	1	136	279	178	457	42	221	33	14	231	42	-13	+0	+0	-4	+5	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	540	73	16	1	1	91	214	16	5	1	135	278	174	452	39	221	33	14	231	42	-35	+1	+0	-12	+14	-3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Ortiz Jr. (OGILVIE)	19	20	20	35	60	173/273/235	63	258	0	1	30%	11%	51	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryan Santos 2018 · A	19	36	35→30	36→40	46	172/250/232	61	247	1	4	29%	8%	40	-3.1	184/249/247	63	235	2	5	21%	7%	42	-2.9	170/234/224	54	205	1	3	17%	7%	30	-1.2
✕Herman Armas 2006 · A	19	36	35→40	41→50	47	172/248/230	58	235	3	7	27%	8%	39	-3.1	188/262/273	85	246	6	10	25%	7%	54	-2.0	179/258/266	87	227	7	12	23%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Steven Mateo 2012 · A	19	40	36→30	37→50	44	191/260/255	64	271	4	4	29%	8%	49	-2.4	189/280/256	67	271	3	8	28%	10%	57	-1.8	192/270/254	63	279	2	6	29%	9%	49	-0.9
✕Gilbert Marrero 2016 · A	19	35	37→40	44→40	43	169/242/238	68	258	4	4	34%	8%	38	-3.2	181/235/248	67	324	3	6	42%	6%	36	-3.3	128/165/165	37	265	0	3	49%	4%	-12	-1.2
✕Maurizo Buda 2011 · A	19	35	35→30	36→40	44	169/252/228	58	251	2	4	31%	8%	40	-3.1	182/265/245	63	247	3	4	25%	8%	49	-2.4	166/258/219	53	220	3	2	24%	9%	40	-1.2
✕Luis Montano 2019 · A	19	36	38→40	40	44	170/253/252	82	271	4	3	36%	9%	46	-2.6	171/234/254	83	313	4	4	43%	7%	38	-3.2	133/185/225	91	259	5	3	48%	5%	11	-1.3
✕Henry Pena 2009 · A	18	32	35→40	40→45	45	155/234/217	63	242	2	4	34%	9%	30	-3.8	189/269/280	91	294	6	6	34%	10%	58	-1.7	194/284/299	105	280	7	6	31%	11%	66	-0.3
✕Freddy De Jesus 2019 · A	19	37	38→40	38→30	47	177/276/259	81	264	5	2	32%	10%	57	-1.8	184/263/268	84	280	6	4	34%	8%	53	-2.1	122/197/191	69	183	9	0	37%	6%	11	-1.2
✕Josue Guzman 2015 · A	19	37	34→30	39→45	49	173/259/227	54	236	2	5	25%	9%	42	-2.9	181/265/242	61	248	3	6	26%	9%	48	-2.5	146/245/184	38	196	3	5	25%	10%	26	-1.7
✕David Medina 2008 · A	19	36→42	33→45	42→40	50	170/261/216	46	247	1	5	29%	10%	41	-3.0	183/250/265	82	287	6	4	36%	7%	47	-2.6	182/236/285	103	285	8	2	37%	6%	43	-1.3
✕Wilmer Oberto 2012 · A	19	36	37→45	41→45	49	175/253/242	67	233	4	8	25%	9%	43	-2.8	193/263/290	97	246	8	5	24%	7%	58	-1.7	186/253/292	106	236	10	3	25%	6%	53	-0.7
✕Derlin Figueroa 2022 · A	18	34→38	34→45	42→50	47	165/247/220	55	243	2	6	31%	9%	36	-3.4	190/262/294	104	257	10	9	29%	8%	59	-1.7	179/248/292	114	235	13	11	29%	8%	51	-1.0
✕Carlos Diaz 2016 · A	19	35	37→30	42→30	44	172/245/241	70	248	5	3	31%	8%	40	-3.1	188/242/269	81	276	8	4	33%	6%	45	-2.7	156/194/199	43	222	6	0	32%	4%	9	-1.2
✕Jeikol Contreras 2019 · A	19	30	37→30	36→40	48	150/239/220	69	224	4	5	32%	10%	34	-3.5	181/242/262	81	330	5	5	43%	7%	43	-2.8	141/184/223	82	337	6	0	57%	5%	9	-1.0
✕Mario Gonzalez 2011 · A	19	39	33→30	43→40	48	181/245/225	44	228	1	5	20%	7%	36	-3.4	194/288/262	68	235	4	5	17%	10%	62	-1.4	163/296/228	64	185	4	3	13%	14%	61	-0.6
✕Miguel Moreno 2009 · A	19	36	37→30	42→40	52	171/273/237	65	238	5	5	28%	11%	51	-2.2	189/277/252	63	258	4	5	25%	10%	55	-2.0	153/253/179	26	205	2	3	23%	11%	28	-1.2
✕Felix G. Santana 2014 · A	19	34	35→30	41→50	41	167/230/223	56	230	3	6	27%	6%	30	-3.8	205/263/280	75	265	4	8	23%	5%	55	-1.9	220/279/292	72	278	4	10	21%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Daniel Arribas 2012 · A	19	38→40	35→40	39→45	43	179/241/234	55	243	2	5	26%	6%	36	-3.4	206/268/265	59	271	3	7	23%	7%	53	-2.1	210/274/266	56	281	3	7	25%	7%	55	-0.7
✕Jhonny Gomez 2009 · A	19	38	35→30	41→40	52	177/262/228	51	231	2	7	23%	10%	44	-2.8	205/280/259	54	264	2	6	21%	8%	57	-1.8	214/286/257	43	274	2	4	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Jandel Paulino 2019 · A	18	37	35→30	41→45	43	177/257/230	54	251	3	8	28%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/270	72	273	5	6	27%	7%	59	-1.7	187/282/246	59	249	4	4	24%	8%	54	-1.0