José Peña

SS DSL Orioles Black
Age 18 R/R 6'2" / 150 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1429ETA2030MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202516ROKDSL Orioles B…206.240/.365/.34121436—.154/.260/.211
2027PROJMLE18MLBBAL316.208/.283/.29037640.0
2028PROJ24% MLB19MLBBAL19.216/.292/.3100070-0.0
2029PROJ39% MLB20MLBBAL70.220/.297/.32212740.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Chase%79
BB%57
K%55
ISO53
Whiff%50
wOBA47
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj PA
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .280 / .287
PA55
HR0
K%26
BB%8
ISO82
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.40.60.70.70.70.50.427282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.7$2M+$1M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.7$2M+$1M
2036Arb-1$3M+0.7$1M+$0.3M
2037Arb-2$4M+0.5$0.9M+$0.0M (cut)
2038Arb-3$5M+0.4$0.7M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $6M $8M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202516 ROKDSL Orioles Black — 206167 401102 30423 146 240365341706 102297 2015 320 36 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202516 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 206175 27701 22533 146 154260211471 57197 2611 222 36 — — — — — —
202516 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 206175 27701 22533 146 154260211471 57206 2611 222 36 — — — — — —
202516 ROK RAWDSL Orioles Black — 206167 401102 30423 146 240365341706 102297 2015 320 36 — — — — — —
202516 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 206179 27701 22533 146 151260207467 56197 2611 222 36 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202516 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Black — 206179 27701 22533 146 151260207467 56197 2611 222 36 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202718 MLB MLEBAL 0% 316283 591123 27833 71 208283290573 82280 269 263 64 -14 +1 -1 +3 +7 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202819 MLB MLEBAL 24% 8173 15301 7211 20 212289304593 91283 269 271 70 -3 +0 -0 +1 +2 -0.0
202920 MLB MLEBAL 39% 179160 35712 15462 41 216294316610 99285 268 278 74 -5 +0 -1 +2 +4 0.0
203021 MLB MLEBAL 49% 306273 601125 26784 72 220298326624 106286 258 284 78 -8 +1 -1 +3 +7 0.2
203122 MLB MLEBAL 55% 414370 821527 361045 103 223301335636 112287 259 288 81 -9 +1 -1 +4 +9 0.4
203223 MLB MLEBAL 58% 486435 981839 421216 123 225303343646 117288 259 292 84 -9 +1 +0 +5 +11 0.8
203324 MLB MLEBAL 61% 533475 10820310 461337 134 227304346650 119289 259 294 85 -10 +1 +1 +6 +12 1.0
203425 MLB MLEBAL 62% 557497 11321311 481387 134 227305347652 120289 259 294 85 -10 +1 +1 +6 +12 1.0
203526 MLB MLEBAL 63% 575513 11622311 501437 144 227305348653 121289 259 295 86 -10 +1 +1 +6 +12 1.1
203627 MLB MLEBAL 63% 580517 11722311 511457 144 226304346650 120289 259 294 85 -10 +1 +1 +6 +13 1.1
203728 MLB MLEBAL 65% 576514 11521311 501457 134 224302341643 117288 259 291 83 -12 +1 +0 +6 +12 0.8
203829 MLB MLEBAL 65% 562501 11221310 491437 124 222299336635 113287 259 287 81 -13 +1 -1 +6 +12 0.6
203930 MLB MLEBAL 65% 550492 1082039 471426 114 219296328624 109285 269 283 78 -15 +1 -1 +6 +12 0.3
202819 MLB CTXBAL 24% 1917 4100 250 00 216292310602 94287 2611 275 70 -1 +0 -0 +0 +0 -0.0
202920 MLB CTXBAL 39% 7063 14301 6181 20 220297322619 102289 269 282 74 -2 +0 -0 +1 +2 0.0
203021 MLB CTXBAL 49% 149133 30612 13382 41 223301333634 110290 269 288 78 -4 +0 -0 +2 +3 0.1
203122 MLB CTXBAL 55% 226201 46914 20573 62 226304342646 116291 259 292 81 -5 +0 -0 +2 +5 0.2
203223 MLB CTXBAL 58% 284253 591126 25714 72 229306350656 121293 259 296 84 -5 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.4
203324 MLB CTXBAL 61% 323288 671326 28804 82 230307353661 123294 259 298 85 -6 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.6
203425 MLB CTXBAL 62% 345308 711327 30864 82 231308355663 125294 259 299 85 -6 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.7
203526 MLB CTXBAL 63% 362323 751428 31905 93 231308356664 126293 259 299 86 -6 +1 +1 +4 +8 0.7
203627 MLB CTXBAL 63% 368328 761428 32925 93 230307354661 124293 259 298 85 -7 +1 +1 +4 +8 0.7
203728 MLB CTXBAL 65% 374333 751427 33945 83 228305349654 121292 259 295 83 -8 +0 +0 +4 +8 0.5
203829 MLB CTXBAL 65% 365326 741427 32934 83 226302343645 117291 259 292 81 -8 +0 -0 +4 +8 0.4
203930 MLB CTXBAL 65% 358320 711326 31924 73 223299335634 113289 269 287 78 -9 +0 -1 +4 +8 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 32432893 6621251862 28381641 7624 229306349655 120295 259 295 80 -67 +6 -0 +35 +70 4.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650580 13325412 571648 155 229307348655 119297 259 295 80 -13 +1 -0 +7 +14 0.9
Career— MLE — 56605044 11152102998 494142770 14043 221299332632 111286 259 287 80 -116 +10 -1 +58 +118 7.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 12724311 571648 165 219298328626 109284 259 287 80 -14 +1 -0 +7 +14 0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 206 PAwOBA .320 → .222 (−98)K% 20.4% → 25.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.39%÷0.968×1.220——25.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.56%÷0.972×0.700—×1.02210.73%
HBP% /PA1.46%—×0.700—×1.0221.04%
Singles /BIP21.60%÷1.000×0.680×1.002×1.02215.06%
Doubles /BIP8.80%÷1.043×0.600×1.002×1.0225.19%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.964×0.600×1.002×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP1.60%÷0.823×0.470—×1.0220.93%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 100, 2B 109, 3B 93, K 94, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .320 → .222; ISO .102 → .062; BABIP .297 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).