Alvaro Matos — OGILVIE

Alvaro MatosIF DSL Mets Blue

Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 180 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .268 / .276

PA79

HR1

K%32

BB%7

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	26	21	2	0	0	0	2	16	3	7	0	95	269	95	364		400	62	8	196	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	26	20	5	1	0	0	3	10	3	7	0	250	423	300	723	50	500	38	12	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	88	77	10	1	2	0	5	29	6	7	0	130	239	195	433	65	208	33	6	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	88	73	15	3	3	0	9	20	6	7	0	205	341	329	670	123	283	23	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	NYM	—	79	72	14	2	1	1	5	25	2	2	0	194	266	292	557	97	289	32	6	252	51	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	NYM	34%	166	149	30	5	2	2	12	51	4	5	1	201	279	302	581	101	291	31	7	263	60	-8	+1	+0	+0	+5	-0.2
2027	21	MLB	NYM	34%	57	52	11	2	1	1	4	18	1	2	0	212	281	346	627	135	291	32	7	245	45	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	57	52	11	2	1	1	4	18	1	2	0	212	281	346	627	135	303	32	7	245	45	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	125	23	11	11	46	205	11	23	0	211	280	342	622	132	302	32	7	245	45	-40	+5	+0	+0	+18	-1.7
Career	—			—	359	319	56	8	5	3	24	121	15	21	1	176	265	260	526	85	270	34	7	242	44	-23	+4	+0	+0	+10	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	100	14	9	5	43	219	27	38	2	173	262	254	517	81	267	34	7	242	44	-41	+7	+0	+0	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	26	20	5	1	0	0	3	10	3	7	0	250	423	300	723	50	500	38	12	354	129	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	19	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	88	73	15	3	3	0	9	20	6	7	0	205	341	329	670	123	283	23	10	313	98	-0	+1	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alvaro Matos (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	193/268/276	83	289	1	2	32%	7%	51	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	38→37	41→45	56→50	41	186/249/288	102	279	8	15	35%	7%	45	-2.1	184/254/304	120	272	13	13	35%	8%	53	-1.5	166/230/262	96	226	11	13	31%	7%	28	-1.4
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	40	-2.4	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	49	-1.8	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	23	-0.9
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/234/268	91	293	8	13	40%	6%	33	-2.9	180/242/287	107	318	12	11	44%	6%	43	-2.2	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→38	38→50	54→55	43	198/270/278	80	278	6	20	29%	7%	53	-1.5	204/274/319	115	276	10	18	28%	7%	65	-0.7	194/270/326	132	268	13	19	31%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	39→35	40	52→50	40	193/252/284	91	274	7	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	201/271/278	77	305	4	8	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Eduardo Sosa 2011 · A	20	41→40	38→40	52→50	40	196/255/280	84	286	5	15	32%	6%	46	-2.0	205/245/272	67	306	3	11	32%	4%	38	-2.6	199/240/260	61	295	2	11	32%	4%	29	-1.6
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	41	41→45	50	40	196/269/296	100	293	8	11	34%	7%	56	-1.3	199/266/318	119	286	10	9	32%	7%	61	-1.0	149/220/307	158	194	15	9	31%	7%	36	-0.7
✕Kentrell Dewitt 2011 · A	20	39	39→45	50→45	37	186/251/272	87	310	7	13	40%	7%	43	-2.2	206/267/288	82	330	5	10	36%	7%	53	-1.5	224/279/336	112	327	7	9	32%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	41→42	39→45	53→50	42	196/255/285	89	270	5	13	28%	7%	46	-2.0	211/283/320	109	300	10	13	30%	9%	69	-0.4	209/285/321	112	292	12	14	30%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→29	37→50	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	37	-2.7	181/253/315	134	327	17	16	46%	7%	56	-1.3	164/239/293	129	288	17	19	46%	7%	40	-1.6
✕Shane Mardirosian 2016 · A	20	42→39	37→40	50→45	39	199/247/278	79	276	4	13	28%	5%	41	-2.3	196/245/264	68	276	4	8	29%	5%	37	-2.6	187/239/249	62	261	3	7	28%	5%	28	-1.7
✕Roberto Reyes 2010 · A	21	38	38→40	56→55	40	180/254/263	84	299	6	15	39%	8%	42	-2.3	194/253/277	83	300	5	8	35%	6%	43	-2.2	182/234/254	72	263	5	2	31%	5%	28	-1.1
✕Francisco Santana 2008 · A	20	37	38→50	52→55	39	182/227/269	87	246	5	7	28%	5%	30	-3.1	203/247/310	107	265	8	12	26%	5%	50	-1.8	192/231/308	116	248	9	14	26%	5%	40	-0.9
✕Kelvin Duran 2012 · A	21	42	38→45	53→55	42	201/253/285	83	276	5	15	28%	6%	45	-2.1	194/240/266	72	292	5	9	33%	5%	35	-2.8	146/176/183	36	218	4	12	34%	3%	-17	-1.3
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	45→42	39→40	54→50	49	212/301/304	92	297	6	15	28%	10%	72	-0.2	195/269/291	96	274	7	11	29%	9%	55	-1.4	181/270/264	83	253	5	13	28%	11%	47	-0.9
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→43	40→45	54→55	39	184/247/283	100	276	6	9	34%	6%	43	-2.2	200/271/309	109	281	9	13	30%	8%	60	-1.0	198/272/305	108	273	9	14	29%	9%	57	-1.0