Alvaro MatosIF
DSL Mets Blue
Age 20
L/R
5'11" / 180 lbs
ROK
H +5%HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 1.6 · 2032
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .268 / .295
PA79
HR1
K%31
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.6peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.6 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.6 | $16M | +$15M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.5 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.3 | $14M | +$11M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.1 | $12M | +$8M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +0.8 | $4M | +$0.5M |
| Totals | $13M | $76M | +$63M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets Blue | 26 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 0 | .095 | .269 | .095 | .364 | .000 | .333 | 58 | 8 | .199 | 11 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets Blue | 88 | 77 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .130 | .239 | .195 | .433 | .065 | .208 | 33 | 6 | .208 | 17 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | NYM | 79 | 72 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .208 | .278 | .319 | .598 | .111 | .290 | 32 | 8 | .259 | 56 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | NYM | 166 | 150 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .213 | .285 | .327 | .612 | .113 | .293 | 30 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | NYM | 300 | 267 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 84 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .221 | .300 | .352 | .652 | .131 | .294 | 28 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | NYM | 392 | 349 | 81 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 107 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .232 | .311 | .384 | .695 | .152 | .294 | 27 | 9 | .305 | 92 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | NYM | 455 | 404 | 93 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 123 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .230 | .312 | .381 | .693 | .151 | .295 | 27 | 9 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | NYM | 491 | 436 | 101 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 46 | 131 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .232 | .314 | .388 | .701 | .156 | .296 | 27 | 9 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB 94% | NYM | 512 | 452 | 106 | 18 | 4 | 15 | 49 | 137 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .235 | .318 | .392 | .709 | .157 | .296 | 27 | 10 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 520 | 459 | 108 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 50 | 140 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .235 | .318 | .397 | .715 | .161 | .296 | 27 | 10 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 521 | 459 | 106 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 51 | 141 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .231 | .316 | .388 | .704 | .157 | .296 | 27 | 10 | .315 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +0 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 515 | 454 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 50 | 141 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .229 | .314 | .381 | .695 | .152 | .295 | 27 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +0 | +15 | 1.3 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | NYM | 507 | 446 | 102 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 50 | 140 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .229 | .315 | .381 | .696 | .152 | .294 | 28 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +1 | -2 | +0 | +14 | 1.1 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | NYM | 494 | 437 | 98 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 48 | 139 | 6 | 5 | 0 | .224 | .310 | .371 | .680 | .146 | .292 | 28 | 10 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +1 | -3 | +0 | +14 | 0.8 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 476 | 422 | 93 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 136 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .220 | .304 | .363 | .667 | .142 | .291 | 29 | 10 | .301 | 88 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +0 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 447 | 396 | 85 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 131 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .215 | .300 | .348 | .648 | .134 | .289 | 29 | 10 | .295 | 84 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +0 | +13 | 0.1 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 402 | 356 | 75 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 121 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .211 | .296 | .340 | .636 | .129 | .287 | 30 | 10 | .289 | 79 | -9 | +0 | -5 | +0 | +11 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6391 | 5657 | 1270 | 213 | 43 | 175 | 601 | 1789 | 83 | 103 | 13 | .225 | .308 | .370 | .678 | .146 | .294 | 28 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -65 | +15 | -20 | +0 | +181 | 11.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 129 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 61 | 182 | 8 | 10 | 1 | .224 | .307 | .370 | .677 | .146 | .294 | 28 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -7 | +2 | -2 | +0 | +18 | 1.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets Blue | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | .250 | .423 | .300 | .723 | .050 | .500 | 38 | 12 | .354 | 129 | +1 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets Blue | 88 | 73 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .205 | .341 | .329 | .670 | .123 | .283 | 23 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -0 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Alvaro Matos (OGILVIE) | 20 | — | — | — | — | .202/.268/.295 | .094 | .290 | 1 | 1 | 31% | 7% | 56 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Mickey Moniak 2018 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 39→60 | 48→50 | 36 | .201/.238/.289 | .088 | .272 | 5 | 9 | 28% | 4% | 40 | -2.4 | .212/.248/.315 | .103 | .296 | 6 | 9 | 29% | 4% | 51 | -1.7 | .246/.285/.451 | .204 | .307 | 26 | 11 | 28% | 4% | 101 | +1.4 |
|
●Jack Suwinski 2018 · A |
20 | 40→41 | 39→60 | 44→50 | 40 | .192/.252/.274 | .082 | .280 | 7 | 6 | 32% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .192/.252/.298 | .106 | .277 | 10 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .210/.307/.421 | .211 | .281 | 28 | 10 | 34% | 11% | 102 | +1.6 |
|
●Oneil Cruz 2019 · A |
20 | 43→51 | 43→60 | 47→55 | 36 | .212/.251/.327 | .115 | .305 | 11 | 8 | 34% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .228/.271/.373 | .145 | .324 | 16 | 13 | 33% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | .241/.304/.442 | .201 | .317 | 25 | 22 | 31% | 8% | 103 | +1.7 |
|
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2019 · A |
20 | 38→46 | 43→60 | 50→45 | 45 | .191/.257/.305 | .115 | .247 | 9 | 7 | 26% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .193/.246/.310 | .117 | .260 | 12 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .224/.290/.404 | .180 | .268 | 24 | 8 | 26% | 8% | 90 | +0.8 |
|
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A |
20 | 42→51 | 43→55 | 56→55 | 48 | .206/.282/.325 | .120 | .283 | 9 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.283/.340 | .128 | .306 | 11 | 16 | 32% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .232/.314/.375 | .143 | .300 | 15 | 24 | 26% | 11% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A |
21 | 40→47 | 41→55 | 46→55 | 42 | .197/.253/.288 | .091 | .267 | 9 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .203/.263/.335 | .132 | .270 | 14 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .225/.292/.400 | .175 | .278 | 20 | 21 | 26% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 |
|
●Will Benson 2018 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 43→55 | 52→55 | 36 | .187/.255/.300 | .112 | .333 | 10 | 11 | 44% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .171/.257/.309 | .138 | .261 | 17 | 11 | 39% | 10% | 56 | -1.3 | .221/.322/.401 | .180 | .313 | 18 | 26 | 32% | 12% | 102 | +1.4 |
|
✕Iverson Leonardo 2022 · A |
20 | 42 | 44→50 | 47→50 | 42 | .203/.279/.327 | .124 | .304 | 10 | 9 | 34% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .188/.266/.293 | .105 | .307 | 9 | 8 | 39% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .155/.246/.249 | .095 | .261 | 8 | 8 | 40% | 9% | 34 | -0.7 |
|
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A |
19 | 39→41 | 42→50 | 53→55 | 44 | .191/.270/.293 | .102 | .283 | 10 | 11 | 34% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .199/.283/.318 | .119 | .317 | 11 | 15 | 37% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .216/.296/.349 | .133 | .314 | 15 | 19 | 33% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
●Josh Lowe 2018 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 40→55 | 48→60 | 39 | .208/.263/.300 | .092 | .328 | 8 | 11 | 37% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .201/.262/.317 | .116 | .307 | 12 | 17 | 36% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .255/.314/.435 | .180 | .350 | 20 | 31 | 31% | 8% | 108 | +1.9 |
|
●Michael Harris II 2021 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 39→55 | 52→55 | 41 | .212/.263/.298 | .086 | .291 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .258/.304/.406 | .148 | .329 | 14 | 21 | 25% | 5% | 99 | +1.7 | .278/.321/.456 | .177 | .328 | 21 | 21 | 21% | 5% | 116 | +2.7 |
|
✕Jordan Schafer 2007 · A |
20 | 38→48 | 42→50 | 50→65 | 36 | .190/.227/.295 | .105 | .263 | 9 | 12 | 31% | 4% | 37 | -2.7 | .229/.279/.367 | .138 | .318 | 12 | 13 | 30% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .236/.297/.385 | .148 | .329 | 13 | 14 | 30% | 8% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
✕Juan Silva 2011 · A |
20 | 40→47 | 39→45 | 52→55 | 40 | .191/.251/.286 | .095 | .298 | 5 | 8 | 36% | 7% | 45 | -2.1 | .212/.282/.311 | .099 | .309 | 8 | 13 | 31% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .231/.314/.336 | .105 | .311 | 8 | 29 | 26% | 10% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Jon Waltenbury 2008 · A |
20 | 42 | 40→55 | 46→40 | 43 | .203/.268/.295 | .092 | .290 | 8 | 5 | 31% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .220/.271/.329 | .109 | .287 | 10 | 3 | 25% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .219/.268/.324 | .105 | .280 | 9 | 1 | 25% | 6% | 58 | -0.7 |
|
●Rowdy Tellez 2014 · A |
19 | 41→50 | 39→60 | 51→45 | 43 | .199/.255/.290 | .091 | .270 | 6 | 5 | 28% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .229/.281/.344 | .115 | .286 | 12 | 4 | 23% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .249/.317/.464 | .215 | .286 | 29 | 1 | 24% | 8% | 114 | +1.6 |
|
✕Michaelangel Trinidad 2009 · A |
20 | 41 | 41→60 | 44→40 | 46 | .199/.286/.300 | .101 | .282 | 9 | 4 | 30% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .218/.276/.379 | .161 | .265 | 20 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .222/.283/.422 | .200 | .249 | 29 | 0 | 25% | 6% | 98 | +0.6 |
|
✕Tirso Ornelas 2021 · A |
21 | 40→50 | 37→50 | 51→45 | 44 | .192/.255/.266 | .074 | .272 | 5 | 6 | 30% | 8% | 42 | -2.3 | .219/.280/.322 | .103 | .296 | 8 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .245/.303/.373 | .128 | .302 | 14 | 7 | 23% | 7% | 87 | +0.8 |
|
●Domonic Brown 2008 · A |
20 | 42→52 | 37→55 | 51→55 | 40 | .199/.253/.269 | .071 | .295 | 5 | 14 | 33% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .245/.300/.372 | .127 | .305 | 12 | 16 | 23% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .254/.320/.417 | .163 | .315 | 18 | 20 | 24% | 8% | 107 | +1.6 |
|
●Alex Liddi 2009 · A |
20 | 42→52 | 40→60 | 49→50 | 38 | .202/.249/.300 | .098 | .290 | 7 | 9 | 32% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .240/.291/.399 | .159 | .335 | 16 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .241/.296/.424 | .182 | .336 | 20 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 99 | +1.7 |
|
●Gavin Lux 2018 · A |
20 | 46→56 | 39→50 | 53→50 | 46 | .218/.277/.306 | .088 | .285 | 6 | 12 | 25% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .245/.301/.388 | .143 | .311 | 15 | 11 | 25% | 7% | 93 | +1.3 | .260/.330/.404 | .144 | .327 | 14 | 8 | 23% | 9% | 106 | +1.8 |