Jack Mathey — OGILVIE

Jack MatheyC ACL Padres

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION84 act + 56 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .286 / .224

PA56

HR0

K%32

BB%9

BABIP290

ISO41

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	ROK	ACL Padres	—	35	28	3	1	0	0	6	14	1	0	0	107	286	143	429	36	214	40	17	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	ACL Padres	—	35	25	4	1	0	0	9	10	1	0	0	160	400	200	600	40	267	29	26	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	ROK	SD	—	84	67	13	3	0	0	7	30	7	5	0	194	333	239	572	45	342	36	8	254	53	-5	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.0
YTD	23	ROK	SD	—	84	62	16	4	0	0	12	21	7	5	0	258	432	323	755	65	381	25	14	351	127	+3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.8
ROS	23	ROK	SD	0%	56	49	9	2	0	0	5	18	2	1	0	184	286	224	510	41	296	32	9	260	57	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	23	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		292	—	—	233	36	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	23	ROK	SD	—	84	68	13	3	0	0	7	30	7	5	0	191	333	235	569	44	333	36	8	254	53	-5	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.0
TOT	23	ROK	SD	—	140	116	22	5	0	0	12	48	9	6	0	190	314	233	547	43	319	34	9	256	54	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	SD	30%	121	106	21	4	1	1	11	38	3	2	0	198	292	283	575	85	295	31	9	266	62	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	25	MLB	SD	44%	233	205	42	8	1	3	20	72	6	4	1	205	294	298	592	93	295	31	9	272	67	-9	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2029	26	MLB	SD	51%	313	275	56	11	1	4	27	96	8	5	1	204	294	295	588	91	295	31	9	276	69	-11	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.4
2030	27	MLB	SD	52%	357	313	65	12	2	5	32	109	9	6	1	208	299	307	606	99	294	31	9	277	70	-12	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.5
2031	28	MLB	SD	53%	384	337	69	13	2	5	34	118	10	6	1	205	297	300	596	95	294	31	9	276	70	-13	+1	-1	+7	+11	0.5
2032	29	MLB	SD	53%	393	345	70	13	2	5	35	121	10	6	1	203	295	296	591	93	293	31	9	274	68	-14	+1	-1	+7	+11	0.3
2033	30	MLB	SD	52%	397	348	69	13	1	5	36	123	10	5	1	198	292	284	576	86	291	31	9	272	66	-15	+1	-2	+7	+11	0.2
2027	24	MLB	SD	30%	36	32	6	1	0	0	3	11	1	1	0	188	278	219	497	31	291	31	8	243	44	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	SD	44%	103	90	17	3	0	1	9	32	3	2	0	189	284	256	540	67	291	31	9	250	49	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	SD	51%	159	140	28	5	1	2	14	49	4	3	0	200	291	293	584	93	291	31	9	254	53	-9	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2030	27	MLB	SD	52%	187	163	34	6	1	3	17	57	5	3	1	209	303	313	616	104	291	30	9	256	54	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2031	28	MLB	SD	53%	205	180	37	7	1	3	18	63	5	3	1	206	296	306	601	100	290	31	9	255	53	-11	+0	-0	+4	+6	-0.2
2032	29	MLB	SD	53%	206	181	37	7	1	3	18	63	5	3	0	204	294	304	598	99	289	31	9	253	52	-11	+1	-1	+4	+6	-0.2
2033	30	MLB	SD	52%	207	181	37	7	1	3	19	64	5	3	0	204	298	304	601	99	288	31	9	250	50	-12	+1	-1	+4	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1103	968	196	36	5	15	98	339	28	18	2	202	295	296	591	94	292	31	9	253	52	-60	+3	-2	+20	+31	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	116	21	3	9	58	200	17	11	1	204	297	298	595	95	293	31	9	253	52	-36	+2	-1	+12	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	2289	2006	404	77	10	28	206	709	59	35	6	201	295	292	586	90	294	31	9	273	67	-85	+5	-4	+41	+65	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	115	22	3	8	58	201	17	10	2	202	295	293	588	91	294	31	9	273	67	-24	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	ROK	ACL Padres	—	35	25	4	1	0	0	9	10	1	0	0	160	400	200	600	40	267	29	26	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,150	15	18	205	293	298	+21	+16	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	9	11	205	293	298	+11.9	+9.2	0.8	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Mathey (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	190/314/233	43	319	0	6	34%	9%	54	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian Ruggiano 2009 · A	23	40→43	38→45	54→55	38	190/244/275	85	291	5	10	35%	6%	40	-2.4	214/269/323	109	304	8	14	31%	6%	63	-0.9	216/273/331	115	298	9	15	29%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Pedruin Bautista 2007 · A	23	38	35→40	48→60	40	180/243/239	60	276	2	11	34%	7%	30	-3.1	212/298/298	86	276	4	19	22%	9%	69	-0.4	222/328/325	103	266	4	33	16%	11%	88	+0.4
✕Gift Ngoepe 2013 · A	23	40	37→45	47→50	39	192/249/264	71	295	5	14	35%	6%	39	-2.5	194/253/292	98	314	8	14	38%	7%	48	-1.9	171/250/283	112	296	11	5	43%	9%	43	-0.9
✕Chris Hess 2018 · A	23	39→34	37→45	49→30	38	187/245/270	83	282	3	5	33%	6%	39	-2.5	194/251/308	114	284	11	4	34%	4%	52	-1.6	181/239/309	128	257	14	1	34%	4%	46	-1.6
✕Andy Yerzy 2021 · A	23	35	38→50	49→40	35	174/224/252	77	276	5	7	37%	5%	25	-3.5	182/265/327	145	260	18	6	36%	8%	64	-0.8	160/246/298	138	227	19	4	38%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Chris Mariscal 2016 · A	23	40→49	36→45	43→45	37	188/248/255	67	307	4	6	38%	6%	36	-2.7	226/284/322	96	337	7	6	32%	6%	69	-0.4	235/293/335	100	338	8	5	31%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Angel Morales 2013 · A	23	37→47	40→45	50	39	177/246/267	89	295	8	12	40%	8%	39	-2.5	188/242/309	121	311	12	11	41%	6%	48	-1.9	179/233/329	150	286	16	8	41%	5%	48	-1.3
✕J.C. Millan 2018 · A	22	40	37→45	45→30	36	194/235/268	74	277	4	8	31%	4%	33	-2.9	221/267/321	100	274	9	6	22%	6%	61	-1.0	227/273/327	101	266	11	4	19%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Alexis Bastardo 2017 · A	23	41	35→40	50→55	39	192/249/248	56	277	2	10	30%	6%	34	-2.8	199/246/273	74	279	5	13	29%	5%	40	-2.4	187/224/252	66	252	7	20	28%	3%	21	-1.4
✕Curtis Washington Jr. 2023 · A	23	42	37→45	51→60	41	196/255/271	75	299	4	15	34%	7%	43	-2.2	195/261/261	66	303	4	21	34%	7%	43	-2.2	183/242/293	110	265	12	30	34%	6%	41	-0.9
✕Joe Napoli 2006 · A	23	39→43	37→50	44→45	41	190/245/267	76	267	4	4	29%	6%	37	-2.6	208/266/312	104	303	8	6	32%	5%	59	-1.1	211/274/343	132	288	12	7	30%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Bryan Johns 2012 · A	23	40	36→30	47→45	36	191/239/257	67	290	4	7	34%	5%	32	-3.0	198/272/262	64	282	3	6	28%	8%	49	-1.8	186/268/238	52	263	2	5	28%	8%	39	-0.9
✕Chris Okey 2018 · A	23	34	38→45	48→40	36	169/228/242	73	279	6	5	40%	6%	24	-3.5	181/236/284	103	274	12	4	36%	6%	39	-2.5	203/255/307	104	286	10	2	31%	5%	49	-0.5
✕Chad Stevens 2022 · A	23	41→42	38→45	47→50	31	171/234/248	76	364	5	9	51%	7%	29	-3.2	178/243/286	108	308	11	14	43%	7%	43	-2.2	210/277/334	124	312	12	15	34%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Ariel Montesino 2019 · A	23	39	37→40	47→50	41	190/239/260	71	258	4	9	28%	6%	33	-2.9	188/239/271	83	286	6	10	34%	5%	37	-2.7	131/183/198	67	212	4	13	38%	4%	-6	-1.5
✕Henrry Pedra 2017 · A	23	39	35→40	46→50	43	187/258/247	61	262	3	14	28%	7%	40	-2.4	206/279/278	72	279	4	11	26%	6%	56	-1.3	185/257/253	68	253	4	16	27%	5%	38	-0.9
✕Drew Stankiewicz 2015 · A	22	39→49	37→45	51→45	38	192/239/261	70	279	5	9	32%	6%	33	-2.9	225/281/310	85	293	4	7	23%	7%	63	-0.8	230/290/321	91	297	5	5	23%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Brandon Barnes 2008 · A	22	38→48	38→55	46→50	37	184/235/263	80	274	5	7	34%	5%	33	-2.9	199/238/312	113	297	11	6	35%	4%	46	-2.0	236/281/354	118	320	11	16	29%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Matt Pita 2019 · A	22	40	36→50	50→55	39	191/246/261	70	278	3	8	31%	6%	37	-2.7	183/235/270	87	270	5	12	32%	4%	35	-2.8	163/217/273	111	235	8	19	33%	3%	25	-1.1