Jacob Lojewski — OGILVIE

Jacob LojewskiSS Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 100 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .270 / .316

PA8

HR0

K%27

BB%6

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	22	22	3	1	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	136	136	182	318	45	167	18	0	141	-19	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2025	23	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	87	79	15	5	0	1	6	14	2	1	1	190	264	291	556	101	219	16	7	256	60	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	22	22	3	1	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	136	136	182	318	45	142	27	0	104	-43	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2025	23	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	87	81	12	4	0	1	4	21	2	1	1	148	207	235	441	86	189	24	5	196	19	-8	-0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	109	103	15	5	0	1	4	26	2	1	1	146	193	223	416	78	184	24	4	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	109	101	18	6	0	1	6	18	2	1	1	178	239	267	506	89	207	17	6	233	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	109	102	15	5	0	1	4	26	2	1	1	147	193	225	418	78	180	24	4	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	109	102	15	5	0	1	4	26	2	1	1	147	193	225	418	78	180	24	4	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	8	8	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	125	125	125	250		287	25	0	266	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TOR	30%	172	157	34	7	1	3	11	46	2	2	1	217	276	331	608	115	288	27	6	274	71	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	TOR	44%	266	244	53	11	1	5	17	71	3	4	1	217	277	332	608	115	288	27	6	278	75	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	TOR	49%	320	291	66	14	2	6	22	84	4	4	1	227	290	351	641	124	288	26	7	281	76	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	TOR	51%	354	323	72	15	2	7	24	94	4	5	1	223	285	347	632	124	288	27	7	281	76	-10	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	TOR	51%	368	336	74	15	2	7	25	98	4	4	1	220	282	339	621	119	288	27	7	279	75	-11	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.0
2032	30	MLB MLE	TOR	51%	376	343	76	16	2	7	26	101	4	4	1	222	284	341	625	120	287	27	7	277	73	-12	+0	-2	+4	+8	-0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	TOR	30%	52	48	10	2	0	1	3	14	1	1	0	208	269	312	582	104	290	27	6	266	71	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	TOR	44%	117	107	24	5	1	2	8	31	1	2	1	224	284	346	630	121	290	26	7	271	75	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	TOR	49%	157	143	33	7	1	3	11	41	2	2	1	231	295	357	652	126	290	26	7	273	76	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	TOR	51%	182	165	37	8	1	3	13	48	2	2	1	224	289	339	628	115	290	26	7	273	76	-5	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	TOR	51%	189	172	38	8	1	3	13	50	2	2	1	221	283	331	615	110	289	26	7	272	75	-6	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	TOR	51%	194	177	38	8	1	3	13	52	2	2	1	215	276	322	598	107	288	27	7	269	73	-6	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	891	812	180	38	5	15	61	236	10	11	5	222	284	336	620	115	292	26	7	271	71	-27	+0	-2	+10	+19	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	132	28	4	11	45	172	7	8	4	223	286	340	625	117	293	26	7	271	71	-19	+0	-2	+7	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1973	1805	391	83	10	36	129	522	23	24	7	217	277	334	611	117	282	26	7	273	71	-56	+2	-4	+20	+40	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	128	27	3	12	42	172	8	8	2	215	276	331	607	116	280	26	6	273	71	-20	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.5	991	17	12	221	280	337	+11	+12	0.8	0.8
/162	664	12	8	+7.1	+8.0	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Lojewski (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	213/270/316	103	287	1	1	27%	6%	66	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA	24	42	41→45	48→40	41	205/261/298	93	274	8	7	28%	6%	58	-1.7	216/265/299	83	272	6	5	22%	5%	59	-1.6	220/288/344	124	255	13	2	19%	7%	76	-0.1
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	36	42→50	52→40	39	184/231/287	103	246	10	7	29%	5%	44	-2.8	211/256/331	120	295	12	5	31%	5%	64	-1.3	193/238/303	110	272	11	1	33%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A	24	43	41→40	47→50	45	211/274/317	106	277	8	8	26%	7%	68	-1.0	216/305/312	96	290	6	10	25%	9%	79	-0.2	208/311/302	94	281	5	10	24%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	42→45	50→40	39	192/251/296	104	277	10	5	33%	6%	55	-2.0	208/265/332	124	274	13	5	28%	6%	68	-1.0	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Nick Fortes 2021 · A	24	40→44	39→45	46→45	46	196/260/283	87	248	6	5	23%	7%	55	-2.0	222/288/345	123	257	14	8	19%	6%	80	-0.2	219/286/341	122	248	15	8	18%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Ryan McCarthy 2007 · A	24	41	42→45	49→45	42	203/251/308	105	267	9	7	27%	6%	57	-1.8	214/272/314	100	289	9	6	27%	6%	66	-1.1	214/263/335	121	269	12	4	25%	6%	63	-0.5
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	41→45	48→30	43	190/254/280	91	265	9	6	31%	7%	52	-2.2	214/281/329	115	298	12	3	30%	8%	73	-0.6	208/278/322	114	287	13	1	30%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	38→35	43→50	49→55	37	193/242/301	107	263	10	9	30%	5%	52	-2.2	194/263/314	120	281	13	15	34%	7%	63	-1.3	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Larry Cobb 2009 · A	24	42→43	43→45	48→50	46	208/273/316	108	257	11	12	23%	7%	68	-1.0	215/275/332	117	288	12	10	28%	6%	72	-0.7	176/235/286	110	248	15	4	34%	4%	43	-0.5
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Cam Devanney 2022 · AA	25	36→41	40→50	44→45	40	179/245/262	83	256	8	7	32%	6%	45	-2.7	212/275/354	142	276	15	7	28%	7%	77	-0.3	214/279/364	149	276	16	7	27%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Steven Baron 2015 · AA	24	40	39→45	51→50	37	195/234/284	88	271	5	9	29%	4%	44	-2.8	228/283/306	78	309	5	8	26%	7%	68	-1.0	235/296/303	67	318	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	38	42→45	46→50	46	190/266/292	102	264	10	6	30%	9%	59	-1.6	192/262/308	116	277	12	11	33%	8%	61	-1.5	174/253/287	113	253	13	17	35%	9%	51	-0.9
✕T.J. Olesczuk 2016 · A	24	43	41→50	51→45	38	208/256/320	112	284	6	6	29%	5%	61	-1.5	208/258/305	97	295	7	7	30%	5%	59	-1.7	168/211/210	42	248	4	4	33%	4%	15	-0.9
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/278	87	253	5	11	26%	6%	51	-2.2	186/241/310	124	254	15	9	32%	5%	55	-2.0	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Danny Mendick 2018 · AA	24	43→48	40→45	46→50	44	210/264/303	93	260	7	9	22%	6%	60	-1.6	217/279/331	114	263	12	14	22%	7%	73	-0.6	238/297/343	105	299	11	4	23%	7%	80	-0.0
✕Jacob Amaya 2022 · AA	23	40→45	43→45	48→45	46	200/265/306	106	257	11	6	26%	8%	62	-1.4	212/281/326	114	273	12	7	25%	8%	73	-0.6	207/280/316	108	268	11	6	26%	9%	68	-0.9
✕Alika Williams 2023 · AAA	24	43→44	41→45	43→45	44	212/271/307	95	272	9	7	25%	7%	64	-1.3	223/279/323	100	286	9	7	24%	6%	70	-0.8	238/286/342	104	298	8	5	22%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Jay Brossman 2009 · A	24	42→36	43→45	46→45	40	209/258/320	111	270	10	9	27%	5%	63	-1.4	199/249/323	124	255	13	8	27%	5%	60	-1.6	181/229/310	129	221	16	7	26%	5%	48	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps