Rafael Oropeza

SS DSL Phillies White

Age 19 L/R 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Phillies …	129	.209/.326/.273	0	7	11	—	.130/.225/.165
2027PROJMLE	19	MLB—	239	.203/.273/.275	1	5	57	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	26	.207/.279/.289	0	1	62	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%58

Z-Con%52

Speed50

BB%41

K%37

Whiff%30

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj PA

wRC+57

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .271 / .273

PA42

HR0

K%29

BB%8

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	129	110	23	7	0	0	16	31	3	7	0	209	326	273	598	64	291	24	12	286	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	129	115	15	4	0	0	11	40	3	7	0	130	225	165	390	35	198	31	9	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	129	115	15	4	0	0	11	40	3	7	0	130	225	165	390	35	200	31	9	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	129	110	23	7	0	0	16	31	3	7	0	209	326	273	598	64	291	24	12	286	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	129	114	15	4	0	0	11	40	3	7	0	132	225	167	391	35	198	31	9	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	129	114	15	4	0	0	11	40	3	7	0	132	225	167	391	35	198	31	9	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	239	216	43	9	1	1	18	69	3	5	1	203	273	275	548	72	288	29	8	252	57	-12	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	76	69	14	3	0	1	6	22	1	2	0	207	279	289	568	81	290	29	8	260	62	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	26	24	5	1	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	207	279	289	568	81	290	27	8	260	62	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	26	24	5	1	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	208	269	250	519	42	294	27	8	260	35	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	125	25	0	0	50	175	0	25	0	208	269	250	519	42	294	27	8	260	35	-29	+5	+0	+7	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	247	222	37	9	0	1	20	74	5	10	0	167	251	221	472	54	245	30	8	220	35	-6	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	98	24	0	3	53	195	13	26	0	168	252	224	477	57	246	30	8	220	35	-31	+3	+0	+7	+14	-0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Phillies White · 129 PAwOBA .279 → .185 (−94)K% 24.0% → 31.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.03%	÷0.946	×1.220	—	—	30.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.40%	÷1.043	×0.700	—	×1.022	8.51%
HBP% /PA	2.33%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	1.66%
Singles /BIP	20.25%	÷0.960	×0.680	×0.975	×1.022	14.29%
Doubles /BIP	8.86%	÷0.958	×0.600	×0.975	×1.022	5.53%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.600	×0.975	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.844	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 92, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 89, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .279 → .185; ISO .064 → .038; BABIP .291 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).