Roiner Cespede — OGILVIE

Roiner CespedeSS DSL Phillies White

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 161 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 100 proj PA

wRC+49

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .273 / .263

PA100

HR1

K%28

BB%7

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.6M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$8M		$17M	+$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	119	108	20	0	0	0	10	35	1	4	2	185	261	185	446		274	29	8	212	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	119	101	24	0	0	0	17	22	1	4	2	238	353	238	591		304	18	14	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	—	—	100	92	20	2	1	1	7	28	1	1	0	217	280	293	573	76	289	28	7	249	49	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	192	173	37	4	1	2	15	52	2	3	1	214	284	283	567	69	292	27	8	262	59	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	331	298	66	8	2	4	26	87	4	5	1	221	293	302	595	81	293	26	8	271	66	-13	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	436	394	88	11	2	7	34	113	5	6	1	223	293	315	608	91	294	26	8	277	70	-15	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.3
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	511	460	104	13	3	8	40	132	6	7	2	226	296	320	616	93	295	26	8	281	73	-15	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.5
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	561	505	116	15	3	10	44	144	7	8	2	230	300	331	631	101	296	26	8	283	75	-16	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.7
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	595	536	123	16	3	11	47	153	7	8	2	229	300	332	632	103	297	26	8	285	77	-16	+1	+0	+6	+17	0.8
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	614	552	126	16	3	11	49	157	8	9	2	228	300	328	628	100	297	26	8	287	78	-16	+1	+0	+7	+17	1.0
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	623	560	129	16	3	12	50	160	8	9	2	230	303	334	637	104	297	26	8	288	78	-15	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.0
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	625	561	129	16	3	12	51	161	8	9	2	230	303	333	637	103	297	26	8	288	78	-15	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.0
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	621	557	128	16	3	12	51	160	8	8	2	230	304	334	638	104	296	26	8	287	78	-16	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.9
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	66	60	13	2	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	217	288	300	588	83	292	27	8	262	59	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	160	145	32	4	1	2	12	42	2	2	1	221	289	303	593	83	293	26	8	271	66	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	236	213	48	6	1	4	18	61	3	3	1	225	295	319	614	94	294	26	8	277	70	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	289	260	58	7	1	5	23	75	4	4	1	223	296	315	612	92	295	26	8	281	73	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	323	290	67	8	2	6	26	83	4	4	1	231	303	334	638	103	296	26	8	283	75	-9	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	339	305	70	9	2	6	27	87	4	5	1	230	301	331	632	102	297	26	8	285	77	-9	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	348	313	72	9	2	6	28	89	4	5	1	230	301	329	631	99	297	26	8	287	78	-9	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	353	318	73	9	2	7	28	90	4	5	1	230	300	336	636	107	297	25	8	288	78	-9	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	347	312	72	9	2	7	28	89	4	5	1	231	302	340	642	109	297	26	8	288	78	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	341	306	70	9	2	6	28	88	4	4	1	229	302	330	632	101	296	26	8	287	78	-9	+0	-0	+4	+10	0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2802	2522	575	72	15	50	223	722	34	38	9	228	299	328	627	100	297	26	8	284	75	-79	+4	-0	+30	+79	3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	134	17	3	12	52	167	8	9	2	229	301	330	631	101	298	26	8	284	75	-18	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	5328	4796	1086	133	27	90	424	1382	65	77	19	226	298	322	620	95	297	26	8	281	73	-162	+8	-1	+57	+151	5.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	132	16	3	11	52	169	8	9	2	226	298	320	617	94	297	26	8	281	73	-20	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	119	101	24	0	0	0	17	22	1	4	2	238	353	238	591		304	18	14	288	79	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,903	49	40	228	296	325	+31	+18	3.2	3.3
	/162	664	11	9	228	296	325	+7.1	+4.1	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roiner Cespede (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	208/273/263	56	289	1	1	28%	7%	49	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Bryan Andrade 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	49→45	44	191/257/246	55	259	2	5	26%	7%	38	-2.6	187/247/239	52	258	3	4	27%	6%	31	-3.0	187/256/263	76	248	7	5	26%	8%	40	-0.9
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Jesus Galiz 2022 · A	18	40	36→45	51→40	40	190/241/256	66	253	3	7	25%	5%	33	-2.9	200/258/308	108	293	10	4	33%	6%	55	-1.4	189/250/287	98	295	8	2	37%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	37	-2.6	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	44	-2.1	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	33	-0.8
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	39	36→55	45→40	37	189/231/257	68	267	3	6	30%	5%	29	-3.2	211/250/329	118	282	13	5	29%	5%	56	-1.3	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Jason Lopez 2016 · A	18	41	36→55	49→45	47	196/260/260	65	259	4	13	25%	8%	43	-2.2	203/259/301	98	276	9	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→40	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	53	-1.5	195/240/313	118	278	11	5	32%	5%	47	-1.9	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Hidekel Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	47→45	37	205/260/286	81	312	4	7	34%	5%	49	-1.8	227/275/314	87	287	6	8	22%	5%	63	-0.9	241/291/328	87	291	6	8	19%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→55	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	241/286/357	116	275	12	5	17%	5%	79	+0.3	241/284/373	131	274	16	5	18%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2018 · A	18	45	37→55	51→40	37	209/263/281	71	306	3	8	31%	5%	49	-1.8	197/253/262	65	271	2	5	27%	5%	40	-2.4	183/253/290	107	242	12	2	29%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2011 · A	18	38	36→45	48→40	39	186/240/247	61	267	4	5	31%	5%	30	-3.1	192/249/275	83	281	7	4	32%	5%	42	-2.3	187/245/279	93	270	8	2	33%	5%	39	-0.7
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	41	38→45	46→30	41	199/261/275	76	260	5	5	25%	5%	47	-1.9	210/260/302	92	278	8	4	26%	4%	53	-1.5	184/227/264	80	254	7	0	30%	3%	27	-1.0