Sebastian Casanova

SS DSL Blue Jays Blue
Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1329ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202617ROKDSL Blue Jays…144.390/.472/.43901978—.273/.345/.312
2027PROJMLE18MLBTOR254.220/.284/.27918610.0
2028PROJ34% MLB19MLBTOR45.225/.291/.2950167-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB20MLBTOR113.228/.296/.30714720.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Whiff%90
wOBA88
wRC+88
Z-Con%87
Speed78
K%69
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 97%
CompsAnderson Jimenez (age 18) · Cristian Recio (age 20) · Luis Grullon (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 74 proj PA
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .282 / .277
PA74
HR0
K%24
BB%7
ISO59
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.50.60.70.70.70.50.427282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$22M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.7$2M+$1M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.7$2M+$1M
2036Arb-1$3M+0.7$1M+$0.3M
2037Arb-2$4M+0.5$0.9M+$0.0M (cut)
2038Arb-3$5M+0.4$0.7M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $6M $8M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202617 ROKDSL Blue Jays Blue — 144123 48410 18251 193 390472439911 49485 1712 409 78 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202617 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays Blue — 144128 35310 13311 193 273345312658 39336 229 283 78 — — — — — —
202617 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays Blue — 144128 35310 13311 193 273345312658 39357 229 283 78 — — — — — —
202617 ROK RAWDSL Blue Jays Blue — 144123 48410 18251 193 390472439911 49485 1712 409 78 — — — — — —
202617 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays Blue — 144129 35310 13311 193 271345310655 39336 229 283 78 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202617 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays Blue — 144129 35310 13311 193 271345310655 39336 229 283 78 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202718 MLB MLETOR 0% 254231 51621 19622 81 220284279563 59290 247 259 61 -12 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202819 MLB MLETOR 34% 130118 26311 10311 41 224290293583 69292 248 267 67 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
202920 MLB MLETOR 48% 234212 48613 18562 81 227295306601 78294 248 274 72 -8 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.1
203021 MLB MLETOR 54% 356321 751025 28844 122 230299317616 87295 248 280 76 -10 +2 +0 +4 +8 0.3
203122 MLB MLETOR 57% 444401 941237 351045 143 233302327629 94295 238 285 79 -11 +2 +0 +5 +10 0.5
203223 MLB MLETOR 61% 501451 1061438 391176 163 235304335640 100296 238 290 82 -11 +2 +0 +5 +11 0.8
203324 MLB MLETOR 63% 541487 1151639 431266 183 236306339645 103297 238 292 84 -11 +2 +0 +6 +12 0.9
203425 MLB MLETOR 64% 564508 12016310 451316 184 237306342648 105297 238 293 84 -11 +2 +0 +6 +12 1.0
203526 MLB MLETOR 65% 578521 12517411 461356 194 237306343650 106297 238 294 85 -10 +2 +0 +6 +13 1.1
203627 MLB MLETOR 65% 580523 12216310 461366 194 236305341646 105297 238 292 84 -11 +2 +0 +6 +13 1.0
203728 MLB MLETOR 65% 573517 12116310 451366 184 234304336640 102296 248 290 82 -12 +2 -1 +6 +12 0.8
203829 MLB MLETOR 65% 560505 1161539 441346 174 232301330631 98295 248 286 80 -13 +2 -1 +6 +12 0.5
203930 MLB MLETOR 65% 546493 1141539 431335 164 229297323620 94293 248 282 77 -15 +2 -2 +6 +12 0.2
204031 MLB MLETOR 65% 528477 1091438 411305 154 225293314606 88291 258 276 73 -17 +1 -3 +6 +11 -0.1
202819 MLB CTXTOR 34% 4542 8100 3110 10 225291295586 70294 247 268 67 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202920 MLB CTXTOR 48% 113102 23311 9271 41 228296307604 79295 248 275 72 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
203021 MLB CTXTOR 54% 193174 40513 15462 61 231300319619 87296 248 281 76 -6 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.2
203122 MLB CTXTOR 57% 251226 54724 20593 82 234303328631 94297 248 286 79 -6 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.3
203223 MLB CTXTOR 61% 305275 65925 24713 102 236305337642 101298 238 291 82 -6 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.5
203324 MLB CTXTOR 63% 340306 731026 27794 112 237307340647 103298 238 293 84 -7 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.6
203425 MLB CTXTOR 64% 360325 761026 28844 122 238307343650 105299 238 294 84 -7 +2 +0 +4 +8 0.7
203526 MLB CTXTOR 65% 376339 811127 30884 122 238307345652 107298 238 295 85 -7 +2 +0 +4 +8 0.7
203627 MLB CTXTOR 65% 377340 811127 30884 122 237306342649 105298 238 293 84 -7 +2 +0 +4 +8 0.7
203728 MLB CTXTOR 65% 372336 781026 29884 122 235305338642 102297 248 291 82 -8 +2 -0 +4 +8 0.5
203829 MLB CTXTOR 65% 364328 761026 29874 112 233302332634 99296 248 287 80 -9 +1 -1 +4 +8 0.4
203930 MLB CTXTOR 65% 355320 751026 28864 112 230298324623 94295 248 283 77 -10 +1 -1 +4 +8 0.2
204031 MLB CTXTOR 65% 343311 71925 26853 103 226294315609 89292 258 277 73 -11 +1 -2 +4 +7 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 37943424 8011062262 29889940 12023 234303332635 98298 248 288 80 -89 +15 -5 +41 +82 4.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 13818411 511547 214 235304336640 101298 248 288 80 -15 +3 -1 +7 +14 0.8
Career— MLE — 63535729 134017536100 502150266 21544 234303329632 95298 248 286 80 -149 +23 -7 +67 +135 7.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650586 13718410 511547 225 234302329632 96299 248 286 80 -16 +2 -1 +7 +14 0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Blue Jays Blue · 144 PAwOBA .402 → .283 (−119)K% 17.4% → 21.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.36%÷1.000×1.220——21.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.50%÷1.000×0.700——8.75%
HBP% /PA0.69%—×0.700——0.49%
Singles /BIP43.88%÷1.000×0.680×1.033—30.81%
Doubles /BIP4.08%÷1.000×0.600×1.033—2.53%
Triples /BIP1.02%÷1.000×0.600×1.033—0.63%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age unknown — no age adjustment. Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .402 → .283; ISO .049 → .031; BABIP .485 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).