Juan Garcia

C FCL Orioles

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKDSL Orioles B…	77	.083/.257/.117	0	2	-22	—	.048/.189/.063
2025	18	ROKBAL	27	.100/.333/.100	0	0	-6	—	.087/.222/.087
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBBAL	137	.182/.264/.248	1	2	48	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBBAL	24	.189/.271/.267	0	0	53	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .262 / .246

PA24

HR0

K%35

BB%8

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	77	60	5	2	0	0	10	30	4	2	0	83	257	117	373	33	156	39	13	197	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	27	20	2	0	0	0	7	8	0	0	1	100	333	100	433		167	30	26	248	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	77	63	3	1	0	0	7	37	4	2	0	48	189	63	253	16	98	48	9	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	27	23	2	0	0	0	4	12	0	0	1	87	222	87	309		138	44	15	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	77	63	3	1	0	0	7	37	4	2	0	48	189	63	253	16	107	48	9	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	77	60	5	2	0	0	10	30	4	2	0	83	257	117	373	33	156	39	13	197	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	27	23	2	0	0	0	4	12	0	0	1	87	222	87	309		182	44	15	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	27	20	2	0	0	0	7	8	0	0	1	100	333	100	433		167	30	26	248	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	77	66	3	1	0	0	7	37	4	2	0	45	189	61	250	15	98	48	9	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	27	23	2	0	0	0	4	12	0	0	1	87	222	87	309		138	44	15	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	77	66	3	1	0	0	7	37	4	2	0	45	189	61	250	15	98	48	9	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	27	23	2	0	0	0	4	12	0	0	1	87	222	87	309		138	44	15	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	137	123	23	4	1	1	11	49	2	2	0	182	264	248	512	66	289	36	8	239	48	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	71	64	12	2	0	1	6	25	1	1	0	187	269	262	531	75	290	35	8	247	53	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	189	271	267	538	77	294	33	8	250	53	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	182	250	227	477	45	286	33	8	250	15	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	108	27	0	0	54	217	0	0	0	181	249	227	476	45	285	33	8	250	15	-36	+0	+0	+12	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	199	172	21	4	0	1	19	83	5	3	1	122	230	163	392	41	222	42	10	191	15	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	562	68	13	0	3	62	271	16	10	3	121	228	160	388	39	220	42	10	191	15	-37	+1	+0	+12	+14	-1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKFCL Orioles · 27 PAwOBA .244 → .159 (−85)K% 29.6% → 43.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.63%	÷0.980	×1.440	—	—	43.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	25.93%	÷1.020	×0.620	—	×1.008	15.87%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷0.997	×0.820	—	×1.008	13.81%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.033	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .244 → .159; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .167 → .138. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 77 PAwOBA .199 → .136 (−62)K% 39.0% → 48.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	38.96%	÷0.977	×1.220	—	—	48.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.99%	÷0.964	×0.700	—	×1.008	9.50%
HBP% /PA	5.19%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	3.66%
Singles /BIP	10.00%	÷1.067	×0.680	—	×1.008	6.42%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷0.988	×0.600	—	×1.008	4.08%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.988	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 113, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .199 → .136; ISO .033 → .020; BABIP .156 → .098. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).