Juan Garcia — OGILVIE

Juan GarciaC FCL Orioles

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.9 · 2033

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .265 / .288

PA43

HR1

K%32

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.9peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.8	$27M	+$26M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.9	$29M	+$28M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.9	$29M	+$28M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.8	$29M	+$24M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+2.6	$28M	+$19M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+2.4	$27M	+$15M
Totals		$28M		$168M	+$140M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	77	64	3	1	0	0	6	45	4	2	0	.047	.176	.062	.238	.016	.143	58	8	.127	-45	-13	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.9
2025	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	27	23	1	0	0	0	4	12	0	0	1	.043	.185	.043	.229	.000	.091	44	15	.157	-22	-4	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	BAL	43	40	8	1	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	.200	.256	.300	.556	.100	.291	33	7	.254	53	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	BAL	132	118	26	4	1	3	11	40	2	2	1	.220	.298	.347	.645	.127	.299	30	8	.283	75	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2028	21	MLB 28%	BAL	279	249	57	10	2	7	25	80	3	6	1	.229	.307	.369	.676	.141	.300	29	9	.298	86	-4	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.0
2029	22	MLB 48%	BAL	390	346	79	13	3	10	36	109	5	9	2	.228	.310	.370	.680	.142	.301	28	9	.307	93	-3	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.6
2030	23	MLB 65%	BAL	465	412	95	16	3	13	44	128	6	11	2	.231	.314	.379	.692	.148	.301	28	9	.313	98	-1	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.2
2031	24	MLB 82%	BAL	514	453	106	18	3	15	50	140	6	12	2	.234	.318	.386	.705	.152	.301	27	10	.318	101	+1	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.7
2032	25	MLB	BAL	520	456	108	18	3	16	52	140	7	12	2	.237	.324	.395	.719	.158	.302	27	10	.321	104	+2	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2033	26	MLB	BAL	520	456	108	18	3	16	52	140	7	12	2	.237	.324	.395	.719	.158	.303	27	10	.323	105	+3	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.9
2034	27	MLB	BAL	520	455	107	18	3	16	53	141	7	12	2	.235	.324	.393	.718	.158	.303	27	10	.323	105	+3	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.9
2035	28	MLB	BAL	520	455	107	18	3	16	54	142	6	11	2	.235	.324	.393	.718	.158	.302	27	10	.322	104	+2	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.8
2036	29	MLB	BAL	520	455	107	18	3	16	54	143	6	10	1	.235	.324	.393	.718	.158	.301	28	10	.319	103	+2	+2	-1	+9	+15	2.6
2037	30	MLB	BAL	520	455	104	17	3	15	54	145	6	9	1	.229	.318	.378	.696	.149	.300	28	10	.316	100	+0	+1	-2	+9	+15	2.4
2038	31	MLB	BAL	504	441	101	17	3	15	52	143	6	7	0	.229	.319	.383	.702	.154	.299	28	10	.313	97	-2	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.1
2039	32	MLB	BAL	487	428	97	16	3	14	50	140	6	4	0	.227	.316	.376	.692	.150	.297	29	10	.308	94	-3	+1	-4	+9	+14	1.7
2040	33	MLB	BAL	445	391	87	14	3	12	46	131	5	2	0	.223	.312	.366	.678	.143	.296	29	10	.302	90	-5	+0	-4	+8	+13	1.2
2041	34	MLB	BAL	389	342	74	12	2	10	40	118	4	1	0	.216	.306	.351	.657	.135	.294	30	10	.296	85	-7	+0	-5	+7	+11	0.7
2042	35	MLB	BAL	330	290	62	10	2	8	33	103	4	0	0	.214	.303	.345	.648	.131	.292	31	10	.288	79	-8	+0	-6	+6	+9	0.2
2043	36	MLB	BAL	269	237	48	7	2	6	27	87	3	0	0	.203	.292	.325	.617	.122	.289	32	10	.279	72	-9	+0	-6	+5	+8	-0.2
2044	37	MLB	BAL	209	185	35	5	1	4	20	70	2	0	0	.189	.275	.292	.567	.103	.285	33	10	.270	65	-8	+0	-7	+4	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7680	6751	1520	251	46	213	766	2211	95	123	19	.225	.313	.371	.683	.145	.299	29	10	.307	93	-60	+17	-38	+137	+218	27.9
/ 162G	—			650	571	128	21	4	18	65	187	8	10	2	.224	.312	.370	.682	.145	.297	29	10	.307	93	-5	+1	-3	+12	+18	2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	77	60	5	2	0	0	10	30	4	2	0	.083	.257	.117	.373	.033	.156	39	13	.197	9	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	27	20	2	0	0	0	7	8	0	0	1	.100	.333	.100	.433	.000	.167	30	26	.248	48	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Garcia (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	.199/.265/.288	.089	.291	1	1	32%	7%	53	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Aristides Aquino 2014 · A	20	33→40	40→65	41→50	35	.169/.216/.258	.090	.248	7	6	34%	5%	24	-3.6	.200/.238/.338	.138	.266	14	10	30%	4%	53	-1.5	.218/.283/.452	.234	.267	35	9	33%	7%	98	+1.0
●Balbino Fuenmayor 2009 · A	19	39→49	38→55	41→30	31	.184/.229/.260	.077	.310	5	3	41%	4%	29	-3.2	.199/.228/.291	.092	.309	8	2	37%	3%	37	-2.7	.274/.306/.446	.172	.311	25	1	20%	4%	109	+1.6
✕Mike McDade 2009 · A	20	37→47	37→50	47→30	36	.183/.223/.256	.073	.265	5	3	32%	5%	24	-3.5	.217/.257/.343	.126	.305	14	2	33%	4%	63	-0.9	.240/.281/.378	.138	.316	17	1	29%	4%	80	+0.3
✕Carlos Franco 2011 · A	19	33→43	38→45	46→45	39	.167/.231/.242	.075	.255	6	5	36%	7%	26	-3.4	.186/.246/.254	.068	.275	4	9	31%	7%	35	-2.8	.213/.270/.322	.108	.305	12	3	33%	7%	59	-0.9
✕Jose Paniagua 2013 · A	19	38	37→50	39→55	35	.186/.227/.259	.073	.283	5	6	35%	5%	27	-3.3	.183/.238/.271	.088	.267	6	9	32%	6%	37	-2.7	.174/.233/.274	.100	.247	8	10	31%	6%	32	-1.1
✕Max White 2014 · A	20	35→43	38→45	45→60	33	.168/.224/.245	.077	.301	6	11	44%	6%	23	-3.6	.184/.243/.282	.098	.336	8	20	44%	6%	41	-2.3	.199/.265/.315	.116	.316	10	30	38%	7%	56	-0.9
✕Roberto Perez 2009 · A	20	33	38→45	44→30	39	.169/.231/.243	.074	.249	7	3	34%	6%	27	-3.3	.197/.264/.302	.105	.260	11	4	27%	7%	56	-1.3	.189/.266/.312	.123	.228	15	1	24%	8%	60	-0.4
✕Rainer Nunez 2021 · A	20	37→47	38→45	39→30	41	.183/.231/.259	.076	.230	6	4	23%	5%	30	-3.1	.221/.267/.349	.128	.291	15	2	28%	5%	69	-0.4	.232/.273/.351	.118	.312	15	1	30%	5%	68	-0.4
✕Jimmy Paredes 2008 · A	19	41→51	37→50	46→55	37	.199/.231/.275	.076	.255	4	6	24%	3%	33	-2.9	.214/.244/.296	.082	.271	4	12	22%	3%	43	-2.2	.255/.284/.386	.131	.349	13	15	30%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Randy Reyes 2014 · A	21	38	35→55	43→50	40	.184/.227/.240	.056	.243	3	7	25%	5%	23	-3.6	.203/.240/.313	.110	.288	10	12	32%	4%	47	-1.9	.224/.250/.382	.158	.309	16	16	33%	2%	69	-0.2
✕Wascar Rodriguez 2014 · A	19	35	38→45	42→40	33	.167/.223/.241	.074	.300	6	4	44%	6%	22	-3.7	.180/.249/.271	.091	.333	6	4	44%	7%	42	-2.3	.155/.238/.257	.102	.293	7	2	45%	7%	32	-1.2
✕David Washington 2010 · A	19	41→37	35→55	49→45	33	.185/.236/.244	.058	.322	3	6	41%	6%	27	-3.3	.192/.248/.293	.101	.310	9	5	38%	6%	46	-2.0	.196/.256/.360	.164	.317	22	5	43%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Jake Gatewood 2016 · A	20	36→39	40→50	43→45	31	.176/.219/.263	.087	.300	8	7	42%	5%	26	-3.4	.189/.226/.301	.112	.294	11	5	38%	4%	39	-2.5	.187/.225/.314	.127	.282	14	4	38%	4%	40	-2.0
✕David Medina 2009 · A	20	36→43	36→45	44→40	41	.170/.245/.234	.064	.277	3	5	37%	8%	30	-3.1	.199/.259/.293	.094	.310	8	4	36%	7%	51	-1.7	.203/.254/.313	.110	.300	9	2	34%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Xavier Hernandez 2006 · A	20	38	36→40	49→30	36	.177/.237/.239	.061	.295	4	5	39%	6%	27	-3.3	.200/.259/.278	.078	.293	7	4	32%	6%	46	-2.0	.201/.260/.275	.074	.277	8	0	29%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Reymond Nunez 2009 · A	18	39→40	36→45	41→30	34	.187/.234/.250	.063	.298	4	3	37%	5%	28	-3.2	.204/.253/.308	.104	.284	11	4	31%	5%	53	-1.5	.195/.234/.288	.094	.275	10	2	32%	3%	36	-1.2
✕Tyler Massey 2010 · A	21	39→46	36→45	44→50	34	.191/.220/.258	.067	.271	4	8	31%	3%	23	-3.6	.185/.219/.262	.077	.263	5	9	30%	4%	24	-3.5	.219/.259/.328	.109	.276	12	16	25%	4%	56	-1.0
✕Carlos Quintana 2007 · A	20	41	35→40	43→40	33	.188/.237/.244	.056	.326	3	6	41%	5%	28	-3.2	.209/.272/.282	.073	.298	4	6	29%	7%	53	-1.5	.214/.278/.283	.069	.296	4	8	27%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Edgar Lara 2007 · A	18	44	38→50	46→30	28	.165/.226/.241	.076	.400	6	7	56%	6%	24	-3.6	.178/.232/.290	.112	.333	12	4	47%	6%	39	-2.5	.167/.221/.292	.125	.279	15	1	44%	6%	33	-1.0
✕Luis Chaves 2015 · A	20	33	39→45	51→45	31	.164/.214/.257	.093	.286	6	6	43%	5%	22	-3.7	.163/.210/.238	.075	.276	4	6	40%	5%	15	-4.1	.116/.158/.161	.045	.198	1	5	41%	4%	-29	-1.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)