Manuel BaezC
DSL Mariners
Age 21
R/R
5'9" / 192 lbs
ROK
HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 1.8 · 2032
wRC+†51
AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .264 / .285
PA51
HR1
K%32
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.8peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.8 | $17M | +$16M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.7 | $17M | +$16M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.5 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +1.3 | $14M | +$11M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.0 | $11M | +$8M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.6 | $3M | +$0.8M |
| Totals | $11M | $77M | +$66M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 28 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .040 | .143 | .040 | .183 | .000 | .167 | 68 | 4 | .104 | -62 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 42 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .088 | .262 | .118 | .380 | .029 | .200 | 45 | 12 | .206 | 16 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | SEA | 51 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .217 | .294 | .326 | .620 | .109 | .291 | 31 | 8 | .253 | 51 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | SEA | 135 | 123 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .203 | .269 | .301 | .569 | .098 | .293 | 30 | 7 | .274 | 68 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | SEA | 264 | 237 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 77 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .219 | .294 | .350 | .644 | .131 | .294 | 29 | 8 | .287 | 78 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | SEA | 358 | 321 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 102 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .221 | .296 | .355 | .651 | .134 | .295 | 28 | 8 | .296 | 84 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | SEA | 415 | 372 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 117 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .226 | .301 | .368 | .669 | .142 | .296 | 28 | 9 | .301 | 89 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 77% | SEA | 450 | 402 | 90 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 40 | 127 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .224 | .302 | .366 | .668 | .142 | .297 | 28 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +13 | 1.7 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | SEA | 466 | 416 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 132 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .226 | .305 | .373 | .677 | .147 | .297 | 28 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +13 | 1.8 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 472 | 421 | 95 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 135 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .226 | .305 | .371 | .675 | .145 | .296 | 29 | 9 | .303 | 90 | -5 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +13 | 1.7 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 469 | 418 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 135 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .225 | .305 | .371 | .676 | .146 | .296 | 29 | 9 | .301 | 88 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +13 | 1.5 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 463 | 413 | 91 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 42 | 135 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .220 | .300 | .358 | .658 | .138 | .294 | 29 | 9 | .297 | 86 | -7 | +1 | -2 | +8 | +13 | 1.3 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 438 | 390 | 85 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 40 | 130 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .218 | .299 | .354 | .653 | .136 | .293 | 30 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -8 | +0 | -3 | +8 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 409 | 365 | 78 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 123 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .293 | .342 | .636 | .129 | .291 | 30 | 9 | .289 | 79 | -10 | +0 | -4 | +7 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 370 | 330 | 69 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 114 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .209 | .289 | .336 | .625 | .127 | .290 | 31 | 9 | .284 | 75 | -10 | +0 | -4 | +7 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 319 | 285 | 58 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 101 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .204 | .282 | .323 | .604 | .119 | .288 | 32 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -11 | +0 | -5 | +6 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2040 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 263 | 236 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 86 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .199 | .276 | .309 | .585 | .110 | .286 | 33 | 9 | .270 | 65 | -11 | +0 | -6 | +5 | +7 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5412 | 4834 | 1047 | 174 | 34 | 134 | 479 | 1609 | 61 | 54 | 6 | .217 | .295 | .350 | .645 | .133 | .293 | 30 | 9 | .292 | 81 | -114 | +8 | -25 | +97 | +153 | 12.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 581 | 126 | 21 | 4 | 16 | 58 | 193 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .217 | .296 | .349 | .646 | .133 | .293 | 30 | 9 | .292 | 81 | -14 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | 1.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 28 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .083 | .214 | .083 | .298 | .000 | .182 | 46 | 7 | .167 | -14 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 42 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .161 | .381 | .226 | .607 | .065 | .278 | 31 | 19 | .311 | 96 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Manuel Baez (OGILVIE) | 21 | — | — | — | — | .198/.264/.285 | .087 | .291 | 1 | 1 | 32% | 7% | 51 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Aristides Aquino 2014 · A |
20 | 33→40 | 40→65 | 41→50 | 35 | .169/.216/.258 | .090 | .248 | 7 | 6 | 34% | 5% | 24 | -3.6 | .200/.238/.338 | .138 | .266 | 14 | 10 | 30% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .218/.283/.452 | .234 | .267 | 35 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
✕Randy Reyes 2014 · A |
21 | 38 | 35→55 | 43→50 | 40 | .184/.227/.240 | .056 | .243 | 3 | 7 | 25% | 5% | 23 | -3.6 | .203/.240/.313 | .110 | .288 | 10 | 12 | 32% | 4% | 47 | -1.9 | .224/.250/.382 | .158 | .309 | 16 | 16 | 33% | 2% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Daniel Montano 2021 · A |
22 | 34→44 | 39→45 | 48→50 | 36 | .173/.212/.259 | .086 | .242 | 6 | 10 | 31% | 4% | 21 | -3.7 | .209/.270/.309 | .100 | .318 | 8 | 8 | 34% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.277/.309 | .107 | .311 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 9% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Mike McDade 2009 · A |
20 | 37→47 | 37→50 | 47→30 | 36 | .183/.223/.256 | .073 | .265 | 5 | 3 | 32% | 5% | 24 | -3.5 | .217/.257/.343 | .126 | .305 | 14 | 2 | 33% | 4% | 63 | -0.9 | .240/.281/.378 | .138 | .316 | 17 | 1 | 29% | 4% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Max White 2015 · A |
21 | 36→43 | 38→45 | 52→60 | 31 | .166/.221/.246 | .080 | .322 | 6 | 14 | 48% | 6% | 23 | -3.6 | .197/.258/.306 | .109 | .335 | 9 | 24 | 41% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .199/.265/.315 | .116 | .316 | 10 | 30 | 38% | 7% | 56 | -0.9 |
|
✕Micker Adolfo 2017 · A |
20 | 37 | 40→55 | 44→45 | 27 | .176/.217/.265 | .089 | .323 | 8 | 4 | 46% | 4% | 25 | -3.5 | .198/.251/.323 | .125 | .332 | 14 | 3 | 42% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .190/.251/.345 | .155 | .317 | 19 | 3 | 44% | 6% | 59 | -0.5 |
|
✕Erick Gonzalez 2011 · A |
20 | 39 | 35→40 | 43→50 | 42 | .184/.245/.241 | .057 | .272 | 2 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 31 | -3.0 | .208/.293/.279 | .071 | .271 | 3 | 10 | 22% | 10% | 62 | -0.9 | .214/.322/.287 | .073 | .261 | 2 | 14 | 16% | 13% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Tyler Massey 2010 · A |
21 | 39→46 | 36→45 | 44→50 | 34 | .191/.220/.258 | .067 | .271 | 4 | 8 | 31% | 3% | 23 | -3.6 | .185/.219/.262 | .077 | .263 | 5 | 9 | 30% | 4% | 24 | -3.5 | .219/.259/.328 | .109 | .276 | 12 | 16 | 25% | 4% | 56 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jose Paniagua 2014 · A |
20 | 34 | 37→50 | 42→55 | 38 | .170/.223/.241 | .070 | .253 | 4 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 21 | -3.7 | .193/.248/.293 | .100 | .278 | 8 | 10 | 31% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .195/.250/.314 | .119 | .272 | 10 | 13 | 31% | 6% | 49 | -0.7 |
|
✕Carlos Franco 2012 · A |
20 | 34→44 | 37→45 | 51→45 | 39 | .171/.228/.241 | .071 | .257 | 5 | 8 | 34% | 6% | 24 | -3.5 | .198/.256/.269 | .071 | .282 | 5 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .213/.270/.322 | .108 | .305 | 12 | 3 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -0.9 |
|
✕Brian Navarreto 2016 · A |
21 | 36 | 38→45 | 47→30 | 37 | .179/.218/.254 | .075 | .247 | 6 | 3 | 30% | 4% | 22 | -3.7 | .186/.225/.255 | .069 | .249 | 5 | 2 | 27% | 4% | 25 | -3.5 | .204/.253/.334 | .130 | .247 | 17 | 1 | 25% | 5% | 56 | -0.5 |
|
✕Roberto Perez 2009 · A |
20 | 33 | 38→45 | 44→30 | 39 | .169/.231/.243 | .074 | .249 | 7 | 3 | 34% | 6% | 27 | -3.3 | .197/.264/.302 | .105 | .260 | 11 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .189/.266/.312 | .123 | .228 | 15 | 1 | 24% | 8% | 60 | -0.4 |
|
✕Matt Dean 2013 · A |
20 | 41→50 | 38→45 | 48→40 | 31 | .185/.232/.268 | .083 | .334 | 5 | 6 | 44% | 5% | 32 | -3.0 | .219/.262/.328 | .109 | .336 | 9 | 5 | 36% | 4% | 60 | -1.0 | .220/.264/.336 | .116 | .328 | 11 | 3 | 35% | 4% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jake Gatewood 2017 · A |
21 | 35→39 | 41→50 | 42→45 | 31 | .181/.214/.277 | .096 | .277 | 9 | 5 | 38% | 4% | 27 | -3.3 | .189/.231/.314 | .125 | .300 | 14 | 5 | 40% | 5% | 44 | -2.1 | .174/.220/.305 | .131 | .281 | 16 | 5 | 43% | 5% | 36 | -2.0 |
|
✕Rainer Nunez 2021 · A |
20 | 37→47 | 38→45 | 39→30 | 41 | .183/.231/.259 | .076 | .230 | 6 | 4 | 23% | 5% | 30 | -3.1 | .221/.267/.349 | .128 | .291 | 15 | 2 | 28% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .232/.273/.351 | .118 | .312 | 15 | 1 | 30% | 5% | 68 | -0.4 |
|
✕Randy Claxton 2007 · A |
21 | 36 | 35→30 | 47→45 | 40 | .174/.237/.232 | .059 | .248 | 3 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 26 | -3.4 | .192/.278/.252 | .060 | .261 | 2 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 50 | -1.8 | .184/.298/.226 | .042 | .243 | 0 | 2 | 21% | 10% | 53 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ranyelmy Alberto 2015 · A |
21 | 33 | 39→45 | 42→45 | 36 | .169/.218/.251 | .082 | .260 | 7 | 6 | 37% | 6% | 22 | -3.7 | .185/.234/.280 | .095 | .289 | 9 | 8 | 37% | 6% | 37 | -2.7 | .181/.229/.270 | .089 | .277 | 9 | 8 | 36% | 5% | 29 | -1.4 |
|
✕Gerrion Grim 2017 · A |
23 | 34 | 41→55 | 45→40 | 31 | .170/.217/.262 | .092 | .293 | 9 | 7 | 44% | 5% | 24 | -3.5 | .195/.232/.344 | .149 | .278 | 21 | 5 | 37% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .185/.216/.361 | .176 | .229 | 28 | 2 | 34% | 3% | 47 | -1.3 |
|
✕Xavier Hernandez 2006 · A |
20 | 38 | 36→40 | 49→30 | 36 | .177/.237/.239 | .061 | .295 | 4 | 5 | 39% | 6% | 27 | -3.3 | .200/.259/.278 | .078 | .293 | 7 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .201/.260/.275 | .074 | .277 | 8 | 0 | 29% | 6% | 48 | -0.7 |
|
✕David Medina 2009 · A |
20 | 36→43 | 36→45 | 44→40 | 41 | .170/.245/.234 | .064 | .277 | 3 | 5 | 37% | 8% | 30 | -3.1 | .199/.259/.293 | .094 | .310 | 8 | 4 | 36% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .203/.254/.313 | .110 | .300 | 9 | 2 | 34% | 6% | 50 | -0.9 |