Kenyon Simmons — OGILVIE

Kenyon SimmonsSS DSL Red Sox Red

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 150 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA

wRC+49

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .264 / .273

PA73

HR1

K%32

BB%7

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.8M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-3	$1M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.1M
Totals		$8M		$8M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	96	85	8	1	0	0	8	45	2	3	0	94	189	106	295	12	195	47	8	147	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	96	79	13	3	0	0	14	29	2	3	0	165	305	203	508	38	255	30	15	251	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	79	67	10	2	0	1	4	27	5	6	2	149	250	224	474	75	220	34	5	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	79	63	13	3	0	1	8	18	5	6	2	206	342	302	644	95	261	23	10	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	—	—	73	67	13	2	0	1	5	23	1	1	0	194	260	269	529	75	288	32	7	249	49	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	—	34%	164	148	30	5	1	2	12	50	3	3	1	203	276	291	567	88	290	30	7	261	58	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	—	48%	304	274	58	10	2	5	22	90	5	5	1	212	282	318	600	106	291	30	7	270	65	-12	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.0
2029	22	MLB	—	54%	408	368	78	14	2	7	30	119	7	7	1	212	284	318	602	106	292	29	7	276	70	-14	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.3
2030	23	MLB	—	57%	477	430	94	17	3	9	36	138	8	8	2	219	291	335	626	116	293	29	8	280	73	-15	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.5
2031	24	MLB	—	57%	523	470	102	18	3	10	39	151	9	9	2	217	290	332	621	115	294	29	7	283	74	-15	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.6
2032	25	MLB	—	57%	550	494	108	19	3	11	42	159	9	9	2	219	292	336	628	117	294	29	8	284	76	-15	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.7
2033	26	MLB	—	56%	565	507	112	20	3	12	43	163	10	9	2	221	295	343	638	122	294	29	8	285	76	-15	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.8
2034	27	MLB	—	55%	569	510	112	20	3	12	44	165	10	9	2	220	294	341	636	122	294	29	8	285	77	-15	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.8
2035	28	MLB	—	55%	568	509	111	19	3	12	44	165	10	9	2	218	293	338	631	120	294	29	8	284	76	-16	+1	-1	+6	+16	0.7
2036	29	MLB	—	53%	560	502	108	19	3	11	44	164	9	8	2	215	290	331	621	116	293	29	8	283	74	-16	+1	-1	+6	+16	0.5
2037	30	MLB	—	53%	550	493	106	18	3	11	43	162	9	7	2	215	290	331	621	116	292	29	8	280	73	-17	+1	-2	+6	+16	0.3
2027	20	MLB	—	34%	56	51	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	196	268	294	562	98	290	30	7	261	58	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	—	48%	147	133	28	5	1	2	11	44	2	2	1	211	281	308	589	98	291	30	7	270	65	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2029	22	MLB	—	54%	221	199	43	8	1	4	16	65	4	4	1	216	288	327	614	111	292	29	7	276	70	-8	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.1
2030	23	MLB	—	57%	270	244	53	9	2	5	20	78	4	4	1	217	287	332	619	115	293	29	7	280	73	-8	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2031	24	MLB	—	57%	296	267	58	10	2	6	22	86	5	5	1	217	289	337	626	120	294	29	7	283	74	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.4
2032	25	MLB	—	57%	311	279	61	11	2	6	24	90	5	5	1	219	292	337	629	118	294	29	8	284	76	-9	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2033	26	MLB	—	56%	319	287	63	11	2	7	24	92	5	5	1	220	291	345	636	125	294	29	8	285	76	-9	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2034	27	MLB	—	55%	315	283	63	11	2	7	24	91	5	5	1	223	295	350	645	127	294	29	8	285	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2035	28	MLB	—	55%	312	280	61	11	2	6	24	91	5	5	1	218	291	336	627	118	294	29	8	284	76	-9	+1	-0	+3	+9	0.4
2036	29	MLB	—	53%	299	269	58	10	2	6	23	88	5	4	1	216	290	335	624	119	293	29	8	283	74	-9	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.3
2037	30	MLB	—	53%	289	259	56	10	1	6	23	85	5	4	1	216	293	332	625	116	292	29	8	280	73	-9	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2835	2551	554	98	17	56	215	827	46	44	10	217	290	335	625	118	296	29	8	282	74	-85	+5	-2	+30	+80	2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	127	22	4	13	49	190	11	10	2	217	290	335	625	118	296	29	8	282	74	-19	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	5486	4924	1050	184	29	104	416	1621	97	93	21	213	287	326	613	113	293	30	8	277	70	-184	+10	-4	+59	+155	3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	124	22	3	12	49	192	11	11	2	213	286	322	608	110	292	30	8	277	70	-22	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	96	79	13	3	0	0	14	29	2	3	0	165	305	203	508	38	255	30	15	251	51	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	79	63	13	3	0	1	8	18	5	6	2	206	342	302	644	95	261	23	10	295	84	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,910	56	47	217	287	332	+31	+21	2.9	2.8
	/162	664	13	11	217	287	332	+7.1	+4.8	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kenyon Simmons (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	195/264/273	77	288	1	1	32%	7%	49	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	40	38→55	49→45	43	195/258/270	75	266	5	11	28%	7%	44	-2.1	205/253/318	113	280	11	7	30%	5%	55	-1.4	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→41	40→55	51→50	44	201/267/302	101	282	7	12	30%	7%	56	-1.3	197/248/287	90	281	7	11	31%	5%	44	-2.1	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	34	-2.8	189/233/266	77	239	5	3	22%	4%	32	-3.0	238/307/375	137	291	17	3	24%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	44	39→50	50→55	35	205/259/286	81	318	6	10	36%	5%	49	-1.8	217/276/316	99	313	9	18	32%	6%	64	-0.8	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	39	39→45	45→55	38	193/252/278	85	266	7	8	29%	5%	44	-2.1	196/255/289	93	278	8	10	31%	6%	48	-1.9	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Eguy Rosario 2019 · A	19	40→50	41→50	47→55	38	197/248/296	99	280	8	13	32%	5%	46	-2.0	223/270/347	124	311	11	16	30%	5%	69	-0.4	219/282/363	144	293	15	21	29%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	42→52	39→45	53→55	42	202/258/287	85	283	6	12	30%	7%	48	-1.9	215/267/306	91	282	7	10	25%	6%	56	-1.3	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Rodolfo Castro 2018 · A	19	41→40	42→55	47→50	39	203/257/313	110	287	8	5	31%	6%	55	-1.4	192/232/317	125	275	12	5	34%	4%	45	-2.1	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2021 · A	19	45→47	37→50	49→50	43	209/275/287	78	306	4	12	31%	8%	56	-1.3	231/269/358	127	281	13	15	22%	4%	72	-0.2	227/264/372	145	291	16	11	28%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Jose Caguana 2021 · A	19	41	40→55	49→45	35	194/247/288	94	316	8	8	39%	6%	44	-2.1	195/255/292	97	405	9	8	50%	7%	49	-1.8	178/254/336	158	260	23	7	39%	8%	60	-0.4
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	42	37→40	53→50	38	197/250/268	71	300	4	9	34%	6%	40	-2.4	215/278/290	75	306	3	10	28%	7%	58	-1.2	221/291/292	71	306	2	12	26%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	37	38→45	46→50	37	179/239/262	83	292	6	10	38%	7%	34	-2.8	183/273/286	103	276	11	8	35%	9%	57	-1.2	165/268/271	106	240	13	6	34%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Johan Mieses 2014 · A	19	43→33	36→55	45→50	42	203/266/272	69	296	3	9	31%	7%	48	-1.9	202/250/339	137	273	14	14	30%	5%	59	-1.1	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	33	-2.9	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	70	-0.3	221/275/340	119	279	13	9	25%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Franklin Barreto 2015 · A	19	43→48	41→55	49→50	37	205/257/317	111	296	7	9	32%	5%	56	-1.3	231/268/343	112	307	10	14	27%	4%	67	-0.5	217/273/384	168	316	20	13	36%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Rey Duran 2008 · A	19	41	39→50	49→40	44	194/268/278	84	288	7	6	33%	8%	51	-1.7	201/256/316	115	261	13	5	27%	6%	56	-1.3	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Brendan Rodgers 2016 · A	19	42→50	40→50	46→45	39	203/253/296	93	299	7	7	33%	6%	49	-1.8	219/263/330	111	288	12	6	27%	4%	62	-0.9	236/292/359	123	281	13	0	20%	6%	80	+0.2