Kenyon Simmons — OGILVIE

Kenyon SimmonsSS DSL Red Sox Red

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 150 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA

wRC+56

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .266 / .274

PA6

HR0

K%31

BB%7

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	96	79	13	3	0	0	14	29	2	3	0	165	305	203	508	38	255	30	15	251	56	-5	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	79	63	13	3	0	1	8	18	5	6	2	206	342	302	644	95	261	23	10	295	86	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	96	85	9	2	0	0	8	43	2	3	0	106	200	129	329	24	189	45	8	154	-10	-13	+1	—	—	+2	-1.0
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	79	66	10	2	0	1	5	27	5	6	2	152	263	227	490	76	194	34	6	207	26	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	96	85	9	2	0	0	8	43	2	3	0	106	200	129	329	24	209	45	8	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	96	79	13	3	0	0	14	29	2	3	0	165	305	203	508	38	255	30	15	251	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	79	66	10	2	0	1	5	27	5	6	2	152	263	227	490	76	225	34	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	79	63	13	3	0	1	8	18	5	6	2	206	342	302	644	95	261	23	10	295	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	96	86	9	2	0	0	8	43	2	3	0	105	200	128	328	23	189	45	8	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	79	69	10	2	0	1	5	27	5	6	2	145	263	217	481	72	194	34	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	96	86	9	2	0	0	8	43	2	3	0	105	200	128	328	23	189	45	8	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	79	69	10	2	0	1	5	27	5	6	2	145	263	217	481	72	194	34	6	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		288	33	0	250	56	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	164	148	30	5	1	2	12	49	3	3	1	203	276	291	567	88	290	30	7	263	64	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	48%	304	273	58	10	2	5	23	89	5	5	1	212	286	319	604	106	291	29	8	272	70	-11	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	—	54%	408	367	78	14	2	7	31	118	7	7	1	213	286	319	605	106	292	29	8	278	74	-13	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	—	57%	477	430	94	17	3	9	36	136	8	8	2	219	291	335	626	116	293	29	8	281	77	-13	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	523	469	102	18	3	10	40	149	9	9	2	217	292	333	624	115	294	28	8	284	78	-14	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	550	494	108	19	3	11	42	156	9	9	2	219	292	336	628	117	294	28	8	285	79	-14	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	565	507	112	20	3	12	43	161	10	9	2	221	295	343	638	122	294	28	8	286	80	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	569	510	112	20	3	12	44	162	10	9	2	220	294	341	636	122	294	28	8	287	80	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	568	508	112	20	3	12	45	163	10	9	2	220	297	343	639	122	294	29	8	286	80	-14	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.5
2036	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	560	502	108	19	3	11	44	162	9	8	2	215	290	331	621	116	293	29	8	284	78	-14	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	550	492	107	19	3	11	44	160	9	7	2	217	294	335	629	118	292	29	8	281	77	-15	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	537	480	103	18	3	10	43	158	9	6	1	215	291	327	618	113	290	29	8	278	74	-17	+1	-3	+6	+12	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	56	51	11	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	216	286	314	599	98	290	30	7	263	64	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	48%	147	133	28	5	1	2	11	43	2	2	1	211	281	308	589	98	291	29	7	272	70	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	—	54%	221	198	43	8	1	4	17	64	4	4	1	217	292	328	621	111	292	29	8	278	74	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	—	57%	270	243	53	9	2	5	21	77	4	4	1	218	291	333	624	115	293	29	8	281	77	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	296	266	58	10	2	6	23	84	5	5	1	218	293	338	631	120	294	28	8	284	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	311	279	61	11	2	6	24	88	5	5	1	219	292	337	629	118	294	28	8	285	79	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	319	287	63	11	2	7	24	91	5	5	1	220	291	345	636	125	294	29	8	286	80	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	315	282	63	11	2	7	25	90	5	5	1	223	298	351	649	128	294	29	8	287	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	312	279	61	11	2	6	25	89	5	5	1	219	294	337	631	118	294	29	8	286	80	-8	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	299	268	58	10	2	6	24	86	5	4	1	216	293	336	629	119	293	29	8	284	78	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	289	259	56	10	1	6	23	84	5	4	1	216	293	332	625	116	292	29	8	281	77	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	280	251	52	9	1	5	22	82	5	3	1	207	284	311	595	104	290	29	8	278	74	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3115	2796	607	107	18	61	243	895	51	47	11	217	292	334	625	117	294	29	8	282	75	-84	+5	-4	+33	+67	1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	127	22	4	13	51	187	11	10	2	218	293	336	629	118	295	29	8	282	75	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5956	5337	1144	203	32	113	460	1735	105	98	22	214	290	328	617	114	293	29	8	279	75	-158	+10	-7	+62	+125	3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	124	22	3	12	50	189	11	11	2	213	287	323	610	110	291	29	8	279	75	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.8	3,190	61	50	217	288	333	+34	+21	3.9	3.6
/162	664	13	10	+7.1	+4.4	0.8	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kenyon Simmons (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	197/266/274	77	288	1	1	31%	7%	56	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	49→50	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	205/251/277	72	282	5	10	28%	5%	49	-2.4	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→48	36→50	49→40	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	49	-2.4	204/277/280	76	276	6	5	26%	8%	61	-1.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	192/236/269	77	243	5	3	22%	4%	41	-3.0	240/309/375	135	295	17	3	24%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	40	38→50	49→45	43	195/258/270	75	266	5	11	28%	7%	51	-2.3	202/252/306	104	278	9	7	29%	5%	57	-1.8	161/223/251	90	239	8	7	35%	7%	32	-1.1
✕Eguy Rosario 2019 · A	19	41→51	40→55	47→55	39	198/251/292	94	281	7	13	31%	6%	53	-2.1	220/268/333	113	304	9	16	29%	6%	69	-0.9	224/286/367	142	294	14	21	28%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	42→52	39→45	53→55	42	202/258/287	85	283	6	12	30%	7%	54	-2.0	216/266/306	90	282	7	10	24%	6%	61	-1.5	234/311/308	74	302	5	10	22%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	37	38→45	46→50	37	179/239/262	83	292	6	10	38%	7%	42	-2.9	183/273/286	103	276	11	8	35%	9%	62	-1.4	165/268/271	106	240	13	6	34%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	41	38→45	46→30	41	199/261/275	76	260	5	5	25%	5%	53	-2.1	211/261/303	92	278	8	4	26%	4%	59	-1.6	185/229/266	80	254	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→43	41→50	51→50	44	205/270/309	104	282	7	12	28%	7%	64	-1.3	200/251/288	88	282	6	11	30%	6%	52	-2.2	208/265/349	141	264	16	14	28%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Castro 2018 · A	19	41	42→55	47→50	39	203/257/313	110	287	8	5	31%	6%	60	-1.6	193/233/321	128	274	13	5	34%	5%	53	-2.1	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	42	37→40	53→50	38	197/250/268	71	300	4	9	34%	6%	47	-2.5	215/278/290	75	306	3	10	28%	7%	63	-1.4	221/291/292	71	306	2	12	26%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Isan Díaz 2015 · A	19	34→41	39→55	47→45	39	169/233/258	89	267	6	8	37%	7%	39	-3.1	207/271/343	136	302	13	8	34%	8%	73	-0.6	206/286/370	164	268	21	5	30%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	40	-3.0	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	74	-0.6	220/275/339	119	277	13	9	24%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Jose Sibrian 2018 · A	19	42	36→50	48→30	42	200/260/265	65	267	3	5	25%	6%	51	-2.3	194/250/265	71	274	4	5	29%	5%	47	-2.6	202/260/295	93	255	9	0	24%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	42→40	39→45	46→50	40	196/273/280	84	306	6	9	35%	7%	59	-1.6	206/288/309	103	298	10	7	32%	9%	72	-0.7	199/290/309	111	287	11	5	32%	10%	72	-0.3
✕Rey Duran 2008 · A	19	41	39→50	49→40	44	194/268/278	84	288	7	6	33%	8%	57	-1.8	201/256/316	115	261	13	5	27%	6%	61	-1.5	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	39→48	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/281	91	262	7	9	29%	6%	49	-2.4	189/246/285	96	287	9	8	35%	7%	50	-2.3	206/266/327	121	281	14	11	31%	7%	64	-1.1
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	39	39→45	47→50	45	192/256/277	84	251	7	8	26%	7%	52	-2.2	210/290/338	128	295	14	8	31%	9%	79	-0.2	177/254/299	122	259	13	14	35%	8%	55	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps