Samuel Arroyo — OGILVIE

Samuel ArroyoC DSL Red Sox Blue

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 159 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.9 · 2033

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .264 / .286

PA45

HR0

K%32

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.9peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.8	$27M	+$26M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.9	$29M	+$28M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.9	$29M	+$28M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.8	$29M	+$24M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+2.6	$28M	+$19M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+2.4	$27M	+$15M
Totals		$28M		$168M	+$140M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	51	44	3	2	0	0	6	23	1	1	0	.068	.196	.114	.310	.045	.143	45	12	.151	-26	-7	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	BOS	45	42	7	1	0	0	3	14	0	1	0	.167	.222	.190	.413	.024	.291	31	7	.252	51	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	BOS	118	106	23	4	1	2	10	35	1	2	0	.217	.291	.330	.621	.113	.299	30	8	.282	74	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	21	MLB 28%	BOS	268	240	54	9	2	6	23	77	3	6	1	.225	.301	.354	.655	.129	.300	29	9	.297	85	-4	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.9
2029	22	MLB 48%	BOS	382	339	78	13	3	10	35	106	5	9	2	.230	.311	.375	.686	.145	.301	28	9	.306	92	-3	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.6
2030	23	MLB 71%	BOS	460	409	95	16	3	13	43	125	5	11	2	.232	.313	.381	.694	.149	.301	27	9	.313	98	-1	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.2
2031	24	MLB	BOS	511	451	107	18	4	15	49	137	6	12	2	.237	.320	.395	.715	.157	.302	27	10	.318	101	+1	+2	+0	+9	+14	2.7
2032	25	MLB	BOS	520	458	109	18	4	16	51	139	6	12	2	.238	.322	.400	.722	.162	.302	27	10	.321	104	+2	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2033	26	MLB	BOS	520	457	109	18	4	16	52	139	6	12	2	.239	.324	.400	.725	.162	.303	27	10	.323	105	+3	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.9
2034	27	MLB	BOS	520	456	109	18	4	16	53	139	6	12	2	.239	.326	.401	.728	.162	.303	27	10	.323	105	+3	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.9
2035	28	MLB	BOS	520	456	109	18	4	16	53	140	6	11	2	.239	.326	.401	.728	.162	.302	27	10	.322	104	+3	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.8
2036	29	MLB	BOS	520	456	107	18	3	16	53	142	6	10	1	.235	.322	.393	.715	.158	.302	27	10	.320	103	+2	+2	-1	+9	+15	2.6
2037	30	MLB	BOS	520	455	105	17	3	15	54	144	6	9	1	.231	.320	.380	.701	.149	.300	28	10	.316	100	+0	+1	-2	+9	+15	2.4
2038	31	MLB	BOS	504	441	101	17	3	14	52	141	6	6	0	.229	.319	.376	.695	.147	.299	28	10	.313	97	-1	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.1
2039	32	MLB	BOS	487	428	96	16	3	13	50	139	6	4	0	.224	.314	.367	.681	.143	.297	29	10	.308	94	-3	+1	-4	+9	+14	1.7
2040	33	MLB	BOS	445	392	87	14	3	12	45	130	5	2	0	.222	.310	.365	.675	.143	.296	29	10	.302	90	-5	+0	-4	+8	+13	1.2
2041	34	MLB	BOS	389	343	74	12	2	10	39	117	4	1	0	.216	.303	.350	.653	.134	.294	30	10	.296	85	-7	+0	-5	+7	+11	0.7
2042	35	MLB	BOS	330	291	61	9	2	8	33	103	3	0	0	.210	.297	.337	.633	.127	.292	31	10	.288	79	-8	+0	-6	+6	+9	0.2
2043	36	MLB	BOS	269	237	49	7	2	6	27	87	3	0	0	.207	.296	.329	.625	.122	.289	32	10	.280	72	-8	+0	-6	+5	+8	-0.2
2044	37	MLB	BOS	209	185	36	5	1	4	20	69	2	0	0	.195	.280	.297	.577	.103	.285	33	10	.270	65	-8	+0	-7	+4	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7588	6686	1519	250	51	208	751	2146	86	121	17	.227	.313	.373	.686	.146	.300	28	10	.308	94	-50	+17	-38	+136	+215	28.5
/ 162G	—			650	573	130	21	4	18	64	184	7	10	1	.227	.312	.372	.683	.145	.299	28	10	.308	94	-4	+2	-3	+12	+18	2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	51	40	4	3	0	0	10	16	1	1	0	.100	.294	.175	.469	.075	.167	31	20	.244	45	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Samuel Arroyo (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	.199/.264/.286	.087	.291	0	1	32%	7%	51	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cristian Olivo 2018 · A	19	37	38→40	49→45	29	.176/.214/.257	.081	.304	5	7	43%	4%	21	-3.7	.171/.208/.249	.078	.335	5	8	48%	4%	17	-4.0	.088/.108/.144	.056	.214	4	7	60%	2%	-57	-2.2
✕Nicanor Alvarado 2015 · A	21	37	37→30	49→30	30	.169/.221/.241	.072	.314	4	5	45%	5%	21	-3.7	.180/.242/.252	.072	.334	3	5	44%	5%	33	-2.9	.124/.199/.176	.052	.256	0	0	47%	3%	-6	-1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)