Wilmer BlancaOF DSL Blue Jays Red
Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 178 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA
wRC+75
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .303 / .306
PA67
HR1
K%26
BB%8
ISO93
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -1.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +1.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.20.40.50.60.70.80.80.60.40.3+$36M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.8$2M+$1M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.8$2M+$1M
2035Arb-1$1M+0.6$1M+$0.7M
2036Arb-2$1M+0.4$0.7M+$0.3M
2037Arb-3$1.0M+0.3$0.5M+$0.2M
Totals $6M $8M +$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202518 ROKDSL Blue Jays Red 6955 7201 8166 00 127304218523 91158 2312 229 33
202518 ROKDSL Blue Jays Red 6951 8201 12116 00 157377255632 98179 1617 318 102
▸ 2026 Season
202619 MLB 6759 12201 6172 10 203299288587 85290 259 283 75 -2 +0 +0 -0 +2 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLB 34% 157139 31612 13404 10 223308324631 101292 258 291 81 -3 +0 +0 -1 +4 0.0
202821 MLB 48% 299263 591125 26758 21 224313338652 114293 259 296 85 -5 +0 +0 -2 +8 0.2
202922 MLB 54% 404355 801527 3510011 31 225314338652 113294 259 300 87 -6 +0 +0 -2 +11 0.4
203023 MLB 57% 475418 961839 4111813 42 230318352669 122295 259 302 89 -6 +0 +0 -3 +13 0.5
203124 MLB 57% 521457 10620310 4512914 42 232320354674 123295 259 304 90 -6 +0 +0 -3 +15 0.6
203225 MLB 57% 549481 11121310 4813515 52 231320349669 119296 259 304 91 -6 +0 +0 -3 +16 0.7
203326 MLB 56% 564495 11421311 4913915 52 230318352670 121295 259 305 91 -5 +0 +0 -3 +16 0.8
203427 MLB 55% 569499 11522311 5014115 52 230319353672 122295 259 305 91 -5 +0 +0 -3 +16 0.8
203528 MLB 55% 567497 11321311 5014115 42 227317348665 121295 259 304 91 -6 +0 -1 -3 +16 0.6
203629 MLB 53% 560490 11121310 5014015 42 227317343660 116294 259 302 89 -7 +0 -1 -3 +16 0.4
203730 MLB 53% 550481 10820310 4913915 41 225316341657 116292 259 299 87 -8 +0 -2 -3 +16 0.3
202720 MLB 34% 5447 10201 5142 00 213315319634 106292 269 291 81 -1 +0 +0 -0 +2 0.0
202821 MLB 48% 145128 28512 12364 10 219306320626 102293 258 296 85 -3 +0 +0 -1 +4 0.1
202922 MLB 54% 219192 43814 19546 21 224313339652 115294 259 300 87 -3 +0 +0 -1 +6 0.2
203023 MLB 57% 269237 541025 23677 21 228315350665 122295 259 302 89 -3 +0 +0 -2 +8 0.3
203124 MLB 57% 295260 591125 25738 21 227314342656 115295 258 304 90 -3 +0 +0 -2 +8 0.3
203225 MLB 57% 310272 631226 27768 31 232319357676 125296 259 304 91 -3 +0 +0 -2 +9 0.4
203326 MLB 56% 319279 641226 28799 31 229320351671 122295 259 305 91 -3 +0 +0 -2 +9 0.4
203427 MLB 55% 315275 641226 28789 31 233324356680 124295 259 305 91 -3 +0 +0 -2 +9 0.4
203528 MLB 55% 311272 631226 28778 21 232321357678 125295 259 304 91 -3 +0 -0 -2 +9 0.3
203629 MLB 53% 299262 601126 27758 21 229320355675 126294 259 302 89 -4 +0 -1 -2 +8 0.2
203730 MLB 53% 289253 581125 26738 21 229321348668 119292 259 299 87 -4 +0 -1 -2 +8 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 28252477 5661061852 24870277 229 229318349667 120296 259 302 89 -34 +1 -2 -17 +80 2.9
/ 162G 650570 13024412 5716218 52 228318347665 119296 259 302 89 -8 +0 -1 -4 +18 0.7
Career 53514689 10632002998 4701330148 4217 227317344661 118293 259 301 88 -70 +2 -4 -32 +152 4.8
/ 162G 650570 12924412 5716218 52 226316346662 119293 259 301 88 -9 +0 -1 -4 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202518 ROKDSL Blue Jays Red 6951 8201 12116 00 157377255632 98179 1617 318 102 +0 +0 +2 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Gabe Grosslast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA
71,6824022239330385-14+115.15.1
/162664169-5.7+4.42.0pk7: 5
#2Ricky Ledeelast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,897 PA
71,8975221239323404-8-65.05.0
/162664187-2.9-2.11.7pk7: 5
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA
72,1983552238326354-4-34.34.3
/1626641116-1.3-0.81.3pk7: 4
#5Shane Halterlast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA
51,7444111247305396-6+83.93.9
/162664164-2.1+3.01.5pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
72,8935323229315348-17+03.02.7
/162664125-4.0+0.00.7pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Wilmer Blanca (OGILVIE) 19 214/303/306 92290 11 26% 8% 75 -0.0
Austin Dean
2013 · A
19 40→50 39→55 44→45 45 192/263/277 85266 55 28% 8% 49 -1.8 227/283/320 93296 76 24% 6% 68 -0.5 250/302/41216330018623%6%97+1.2
Tirso Ornelas
2019 · A
19 43→53 40→50 50→45 45 206/273/299 93288 75 30% 8% 59 -1.1 190/254/266 76279 55 31% 8% 41 -2.3 249/309/38313430716723%7%92+1.1
Davis Schneider
2018 · A
19 40→43 41→60 48→50 50 195/275/298 102255 86 26% 9% 59 -1.1 195/268/291 96304 87 35% 8% 55 -1.4 212/321/41420227025930%13%108+1.7
Albert Hernandez
2008 · A
19 43 39→40 49→45 46 207/270/299 92260 67 22% 7% 57 -1.2 226/286/317 91285 67 22% 6% 68 -0.5 230/289/314842916622%6%66-0.2
Endy Rodríguez
2019 · A
19 43→52 40→50 46→40 46 204/275/297 92279 66 28% 8% 59 -1.1 216/284/329 113282 86 25% 7% 71 -0.3 241/302/39615530713325%7%92+0.7
Juan Rodriguez
2015 · A
20 45 38→45 46→55 41 217/264/301 85288 58 26% 6% 54 -1.4 241/278/336 95291 614 18% 5% 69 -0.4 280/305/38610631862214%4%89+0.4
Jordy Lara
2010 · A
19 40→50 40→50 48→40 51 190/286/284 94270 69 30% 11% 62 -0.9 177/249/292 115259 125 34% 8% 47 -1.9 235/283/38114729715125%5%81+0.4
Jorge Bonifacio
2012 · A
19 43→51 42→55 47→45 38 209/257/320 111296 78 31% 5% 56 -1.3 219/264/318 99297 75 27% 5% 59 -1.1 245/310/40015531817327%8%97+1.1
Buddy Kennedy
2019 · A
20 45→51 39→50 51→50 44 216/267/304 89283 56 25% 6% 56 -1.3 213/269/323 110284 117 28% 7% 63 -0.9 233/314/37614327015619%8%93+0.8
Rigoberto Rangel
2008 · A
19 43 39→45 47→40 43 203/273/294 91290 56 30% 7% 57 -1.2 199/264/278 79273 45 27% 6% 50 -1.8 181/246/244632493327%6%33-0.8
Efrain Contreras
2006 · A
19 43 37→45 49→55 41 202/261/275 74285 49 29% 6% 47 -1.9 224/289/333 109269 1013 20% 5% 74 -0.1 225/291/340115260121518%5%76+0.0
Robinson Medrano
2016 · A
20 44 39→45 47→45 44 214/270/300 86276 67 24% 6% 56 -1.3 205/260/294 89290 67 29% 6% 51 -1.7 149/198/231822324436%5%7-1.0
Yairo Muñoz
2015 · A
20 41→51 38→50 48→55 43 198/255/280 82264 57 26% 6% 46 -2.0 218/253/322 104271 109 23% 4% 55 -1.4 262/304/399137319151722%5%91+0.7
Jesus Ugueto
2010 · A
19 43 37→45 45→50 43 203/265/278 75297 46 31% 7% 50 -1.8 221/273/309 88288 68 24% 6% 60 -1.0 231/284/34611529491124%6%73-0.1
David Bote
2013 · A
20 42→48 38→55 50→45 43 198/270/283 85290 48 31% 8% 53 -1.5 186/260/267 81263 56 29% 7% 45 -2.1 236/310/40016530120627%8%96+1.1
Tim Kennelly
2007 · A
20 44→52 40 48→40 45 212/274/310 98278 77 25% 7% 61 -1.0 221/278/314 93301 56 26% 7% 64 -0.8 241/301/332913014420%6%75+0.0
Diego Rincones
2019 · A
20 44→51 39→50 46→30 46 213/270/298 85257 64 20% 6% 56 -1.3 239/291/349 110282 102 18% 5% 79 +0.3 241/289/36612527415018%4%80+0.2
Elehuris Montero
2018 · A
19 40→50 40→55 41→30 43 194/257/285 90258 73 26% 6% 48 -1.9 218/265/342 124296 123 29% 5% 66 -0.6 217/278/39317627324130%6%85+0.6
Hendry Mendez
2023 · A
19 45→53 37→45 42→45 50 213/288/285 72271 56 22% 9% 61 -1.0 229/295/318 89286 75 21% 8% 72 -0.2 257/332/37011331111720%9%99+1.0
Freddy Valdez
2021 · A
19 42 42→45 49→45 43 206/266/314 107272 97 27% 7% 59 -1.1 192/261/274 82285 55 32% 7% 47 -1.9 153/244/216632420033%10%25-0.7