Michell Ojeda

2B FCL Pirates

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 158 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKDSL Pirates B…	113	.256/.445/.341	0	8	68	—	.191/.345/.258
2025	18	ROKPIT	122	.185/.279/.306	3	4	7	—	.125/.197/.205
2026	19	ROKPIT	23	.250/.348/.500	1	2	54	—	.190/.261/.429
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBPIT	133	.203/.275/.290	1	3	61	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBPIT	27	.208/.280/.304	0	1	67	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Speed67

ISO63

Z-Con%26

wRC+24

BB%24

K%23

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .273 / .288

PA25

HR0

K%30

BB%8

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	113	82	21	5	1	0	24	17	4	8	0	256	445	341	787	85	313	15	21	365	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	122	108	20	2	1	3	12	34	2	4	3	185	279	306	584	120	239	28	10	270	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	23	20	5	0	1	1	2	6	1	2	1	250	348	500	848	250	308	26	9	371	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	113	89	17	4	1	0	17	21	4	8	0	191	345	258	604	67	217	19	15	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	122	112	14	1	1	2	8	49	2	4	3	125	197	205	402	80	189	40	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	23	21	4	0	1	1	1	9	1	2	1	190	261	429	689	238	242	39	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	113	89	17	4	1	0	17	21	4	8	0	191	345	258	604	67	243	19	15	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	113	82	21	5	1	0	24	17	4	8	0	256	445	341	787	85	313	15	21	365	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	122	112	14	1	1	2	8	49	2	4	3	125	197	205	402	80	197	40	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	122	108	20	2	1	3	12	34	2	4	3	185	279	306	584	120	239	28	10	270	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	23	21	4	0	1	1	1	9	1	2	1	190	261	429	689	238	273	39	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	23	20	5	0	1	1	2	6	1	2	1	250	348	500	848	250	308	26	9	371	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	113	91	17	4	1	0	17	21	4	8	0	187	345	253	598	66	217	19	15	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	122	111	14	1	1	2	8	49	2	4	3	126	197	207	404	81	189	40	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	23	21	4	0	1	1	1	9	1	2	1	190	261	429	689	238	242	39	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	113	91	17	4	1	0	17	21	4	8	0	187	345	253	598	66	217	19	15	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	122	111	14	1	1	2	8	49	2	4	3	126	197	207	404	81	189	40	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	23	21	4	0	1	1	1	9	1	2	1	190	261	429	689	238	242	39	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	133	120	24	4	1	1	10	39	2	3	1	203	275	290	566	87	286	29	8	259	61	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	79	72	15	2	1	1	6	23	1	2	1	208	281	306	587	98	288	29	8	267	67	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	27	25	5	1	0	0	2	8	0	1	0	208	280	304	584	96	288	30	7	266	67	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	27	25	5	1	0	0	2	8	0	1	0	200	259	240	499	40	294	30	7	266	46	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	602	120	24	0	0	48	193	0	24	0	199	258	239	498	40	293	30	7	266	46	-26	+5	+0	+2	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	362	317	54	8	4	4	34	109	8	17	5	170	267	259	526	88	243	30	9	236	46	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	96	14	7	7	61	196	14	31	9	169	266	255	520	86	241	30	9	236	46	-27	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Pirates · 23 PAwOBA .362 → .248 (−113)K% 26.1% → 37.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.09%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	37.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.70%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	5.43%
HBP% /PA	4.35%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	3.15%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.008	17.70%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Triples /BIP	7.14%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	5.18%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	5.61%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .362 → .248; ISO .250 → .168; BABIP .308 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Pirates · 122 PAwOBA .263 → .178 (−85)K% 27.9% → 39.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.87%	÷1.006	×1.440	—	—	39.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.84%	÷0.998	×0.620	—	×1.022	6.25%
HBP% /PA	1.64%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	1.21%
Singles /BIP	18.92%	÷1.022	×0.820	×0.998	×1.022	15.50%
Doubles /BIP	2.70%	÷1.119	×0.720	×0.998	×1.022	1.77%
Triples /BIP	1.35%	÷0.950	×0.720	×0.998	×1.022	1.05%
Home runs /BIP	4.05%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	3.23%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 124, 3B 90, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .263 → .178; ISO .120 → .081; BABIP .239 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Pirates Black · 113 PAwOBA .364 → .269 (−95)K% 15.0% → 18.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.04%	÷0.994	×1.220	—	—	18.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.24%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.022	15.20%
HBP% /PA	3.54%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	2.53%
Singles /BIP	23.08%	÷1.002	×0.680	×1.023	×1.022	16.38%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷0.968	×0.600	×1.023	×1.022	4.99%
Triples /BIP	1.54%	÷1.009	×0.600	×1.023	×1.022	0.96%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 102, K 99, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .364 → .269; ISO .085 → .061; BABIP .313 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).