Alberto Rios

C Tri-City Dust Devils
Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 203 lbs A+ K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422A+/INTL2 orgs246.266/.342/.3533482—.217/.278/.255
202523A+/A2 orgs231.173/.272/.2593213—.142/.219/.206
202624A+LAA90.288/.395/.3561170—.247/.326/.312
2027PROJMLE25MLBLAA200.199/.270/.27923570.0
2028PROJ30% MLB26MLBLAA30.201/.272/.2880061-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Chase%92
Whiff%83
K%77
BB%73
wRC+63
wOBA53
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .268 / .277
PA60
HR1
K%27
BB%8
ISO81
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 AInland Empire 66ers — 145127 23423 14372 72 181273315588 134225 2610 266 29 — — — — — —
202422 A+Tri-City Dust Devils — 115103 26500 10322 22 252330301631 49366 289 295 49 — — — — — —
202422 INTLSydney Blue Sox — 131115 32503 13290 21 278352400752 122337 2210 332 111 — — — — — —
202523 A+Tri-City Dust Devils — 7362 6100 8161 00 97211113324 16130 2211 166 -24 — — — — — —
202523 AInland Empire 66ers — 158135 28323 16402 20 207301326627 119269 2510 279 30 — — — — — —
202624 A+Tri-City Dust Devils — 9073 21201 13170 10 288395356752 68357 1914 333 70 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 A MLEInland Empire 66ers — 145131 20323 10502 72 153224275499 122203 347 211 29 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLETri-City Dust Devils — 115106 23400 7422 22 217278255533 38358 376 241 49 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLETri-City Dust Devils — 7364 6100 6211 00 94183109292 16121 298 133 -24 — — — — — —
202523 A MLEInland Empire 66ers — 158140 23222 11542 20 164235250485 86231 347 213 30 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLETri-City Dust Devils — 9077 19201 9230 10 247326312637 65304 2610 271 70 — — — — — —
202321 A MLEInland Empire 66ers — 145131 20323 10502 72 153224275499 122212 347 211 29 — — — — — —
202321 A RAWInland Empire 66ers — 145127 23423 14372 72 181273315588 134225 2610 266 29 — — — — — —
202422 INTL MLE2 teams — 246226 49900 15912 43 217272257528 40355 376 241 49 — — — — — —
202422 INTL RAW2 teams — 246218 581003 23612 43 266342353695 87350 259 314 49 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 231204 28322 17753 20 137214201415 64203 327 188 13 — — — — — —
202523 A RAW2 teams — 231197 34423 24563 20 173272259531 86223 2410 243 13 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLETri-City Dust Devils — 9077 19201 9230 10 247326312637 65333 2610 271 70 — — — — — —
202624 A+ RAWTri-City Dust Devils — 9073 21201 13170 10 288395356752 68357 1914 333 70 — — — — — —
202321 A MLEInland Empire 66ers — 145132 20323 10502 72 152224273497 121203 347 211 29 — — — — — —
202422 INTL MLE2 teams — 246227 49900 15912 43 216272256527 40358 376 241 49 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 231209 28322 17753 20 134214196410 62196 327 188 13 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLETri-City Dust Devils — 9081 19201 9230 10 235326296622 62304 2610 271 70 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 INTL MLE2 teams — 246227 49900 15912 43 216272256527 40358 376 241 49 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 231209 28322 17753 20 134214196410 62196 327 188 13 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLETri-City Dust Devils — 9081 19201 9230 10 235326296622 62304 2610 271 70 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLELAA 0% 200180 36712 16532 31 199270279549 81267 268 252 57 -10 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLELAA 30% 10191 17301 8271 10 202273291564 88268 278 258 61 -5 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.1
202826 MLB CTXLAA 30% 3028 5100 280 00 201272288561 88266 277 257 61 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3028 5100 280 00 179233214448 36250 277 257 40 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650607 1092200 431730 00 180234216450 36251 277 257 40 -30 +0 +0 +12 +14 -0.5
Career— MLE — 873783 1442248 642829 165 184254253506 69271 327 228 40 -8 +0 +0 +3 +3 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 1071636 482107 124 184254252506 69271 327 228 40 -32 +2 +0 +12 +14 -0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 90 PAwOBA .329 → .271 (−58)K% 18.9% → 25.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.89%÷1.000×1.350——25.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.44%÷1.000×0.710—×0.98810.13%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.810—×0.9880.00%
Singles /BIP32.14%÷1.000×0.910×0.959×0.98827.72%
Doubles /BIP3.57%÷1.000×0.830×0.959×0.9882.81%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.820×0.959×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP1.79%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9881.46%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .329 → .271; ISO .068 → .057; BABIP .357 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AInland Empire 66ers · 158 PAwOBA .274 → .213 (−60)K% 25.3% → 34.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.32%÷1.008×1.360——34.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.13%÷1.011×0.690—×0.9906.84%
HBP% /PA1.27%—×0.780—×0.9900.98%
Singles /BIP21.05%÷1.066×0.920×1.023×0.99018.39%
Doubles /BIP3.16%÷1.065×0.830×1.023×0.9902.49%
Triples /BIP2.11%÷0.997×0.910×1.023×0.9901.95%
Home runs /BIP3.16%÷1.036×0.800—×0.9902.41%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 113, 2B 113, 3B 99, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .274 → .213; ISO .119 → .093; BABIP .269 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 73 PAwOBA .163 → .133 (−30)K% 21.9% → 29.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.92%÷1.019×1.350——29.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.96%÷0.975×0.710—×0.9987.97%
HBP% /PA1.37%—×0.810—×0.9981.11%
Singles /BIP10.87%÷1.019×0.910×1.050×0.99810.17%
Doubles /BIP2.17%÷0.975×0.830×1.050×0.9981.94%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.820×1.050×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .163 → .133; ISO .016 → .014; BABIP .130 → .121. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 115 PAwOBA .287 → .241 (−47)K% 27.8% → 36.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.83%÷1.018×1.350——36.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.70%÷1.018×0.710—×1.0126.14%
HBP% /PA1.74%—×0.810—×1.0121.43%
Singles /BIP29.58%÷0.969×0.910×1.043×1.01229.32%
Doubles /BIP7.04%÷0.950×0.830×1.043×1.0126.49%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.820×1.043×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.916×0.830—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 94, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .287 → .241; ISO .049 → .040; BABIP .366 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AInland Empire 66ers · 145 PAwOBA .263 → .211 (−52)K% 25.5% → 34.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.52%÷1.000×1.360——34.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.66%÷0.970×0.690—×1.0156.97%
HBP% /PA1.38%—×0.780—×1.0151.09%
Singles /BIP15.56%÷1.026×0.920×1.021×1.01514.45%
Doubles /BIP4.44%÷1.016×0.830×1.021×1.0153.76%
Triples /BIP2.22%÷1.049×0.910×1.021×1.0152.00%
Home runs /BIP3.33%÷0.897×0.800—×1.0153.02%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 110, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .263 → .211; ISO .134 → .110; BABIP .225 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .