Alberto RiosC
Inland Empire 66ers
Age 24
R/R
5'10" / 203 lbs
A
HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.6 · 2029
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .266 / .309
PA179
HR3
K%31
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
35→35
SPD
40→40
EYE
44↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.0M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $-4M | -$8M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 145 | 131 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 50 | 2 | 7 | 2 | .145 | .217 | .252 | .469 | .107 | .200 | 34 | 7 | .211 | 20 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL | 2 teams | 246 | 228 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 94 | 2 | 4 | 3 | .197 | .247 | .232 | .479 | .035 | .328 | 38 | 5 | .220 | 27 | -20 | -0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 23 | A | 2 teams | 231 | 205 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 75 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .141 | .214 | .220 | .434 | .078 | .203 | 32 | 7 | .187 | 2 | -26 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | -1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 179 | 162 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 55 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .204 | .271 | .309 | .580 | .105 | .280 | 31 | 7 | .263 | 59 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 10% | SEA | 235 | 212 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 70 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .208 | .279 | .325 | .604 | .118 | .282 | 30 | 8 | .272 | 66 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 25% | SEA | 312 | 282 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 92 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .213 | .282 | .340 | .622 | .128 | .284 | 29 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 42% | SEA | 351 | 316 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 102 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .212 | .284 | .339 | .623 | .127 | .284 | 29 | 8 | .280 | 72 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 52% | SEA | 376 | 339 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 110 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .209 | .282 | .330 | .612 | .121 | .284 | 29 | 8 | .280 | 72 | -12 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 63% | SEA | 384 | 346 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 113 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .208 | .281 | .327 | .607 | .118 | .283 | 29 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 72% | SEA | 388 | 350 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 116 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .206 | .278 | .323 | .601 | .117 | .282 | 30 | 8 | .275 | 68 | -14 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 81% | SEA | 368 | 331 | 68 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 111 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .205 | .279 | .320 | .600 | .115 | .280 | 30 | 8 | .271 | 66 | -14 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 342 | 308 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 105 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .201 | .274 | .312 | .586 | .110 | .279 | 31 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -15 | +1 | -4 | +6 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 307 | 276 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 96 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .199 | .273 | .308 | .581 | .109 | .277 | 31 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -15 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +9 | -0.4 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 260 | 234 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 84 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .192 | .267 | .286 | .554 | .094 | .275 | 32 | 8 | .255 | 53 | -14 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +7 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4124 | 3720 | 742 | 132 | 20 | 77 | 318 | 1273 | 44 | 51 | 12 | .199 | .270 | .308 | .578 | .108 | .278 | 31 | 8 | .262 | 59 | -193 | +5 | -20 | +74 | +117 | -1.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 586 | 117 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 201 | 7 | 8 | 2 | .200 | .271 | .307 | .578 | .108 | .279 | 31 | 8 | .262 | 59 | -30 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | -0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 145 | 127 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 37 | 2 | 7 | 2 | .181 | .273 | .315 | .588 | .134 | .225 | 26 | 10 | .266 | 61 | -6 | +1 | — | — | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 115 | 103 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 2 | .252 | .330 | .301 | .631 | .049 | .366 | 28 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -2 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | 131 | 115 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .278 | .352 | .400 | .752 | .122 | .337 | 22 | 10 | .332 | 112 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 73 | 62 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .097 | .211 | .113 | .324 | .016 | .130 | 22 | 11 | .166 | -15 | -9 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 158 | 135 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 40 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .207 | .301 | .326 | .627 | .119 | .269 | 25 | 10 | .279 | 72 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +4 | -0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Alberto Rios (OGILVIE) | 24 | 30 | 35 | 40 | 40 | .200/.266/.309 | .109 | .280 | 3 | 3 | 31% | 7% | 59 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .183/.260/.264 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .205/.286/.296 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.301/.305 | .094 | .293 | 5 | 13 | 27% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Joseph Odom 2016 · A |
24 | 37 | 43→45 | 42→30 | 41 | .190/.247/.301 | .111 | .262 | 11 | 4 | 32% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .216/.257/.326 | .110 | .293 | 10 | 3 | 29% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .181/.241/.287 | .106 | .308 | 12 | 2 | 43% | 6% | 39 | -1.0 |
|
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA |
25 | 39 | 43→45 | 43→45 | 46 | .192/.280/.301 | .108 | .265 | 11 | 7 | 30% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .198/.277/.336 | .138 | .251 | 16 | 10 | 27% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .186/.266/.336 | .150 | .221 | 18 | 12 | 25% | 7% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A |
24 | 37→39 | 46→45 | 43→45 | 37 | .192/.258/.321 | .130 | .283 | 14 | 3 | 36% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.276/.318 | .116 | .274 | 12 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .195/.276/.303 | .107 | .255 | 12 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A |
25 | 40 | 41→40 | 44→45 | 43 | .198/.262/.299 | .100 | .269 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .191/.246/.291 | .100 | .279 | 10 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .147/.198/.242 | .094 | .211 | 11 | 0 | 36% | 5% | 8 | -1.4 |
|
✕Payton Henry 2021 · A |
24 | 39→31 | 43→45 | 42→30 | 32 | .188/.252/.291 | .103 | .318 | 11 | 3 | 42% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .221/.284/.326 | .105 | .332 | 11 | 3 | 35% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .246/.293/.382 | .135 | .322 | 19 | 1 | 29% | 4% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Greg Thissen 2006 · A |
25 | 39 | 43→45 | 41→45 | 39 | .198/.247/.307 | .109 | .266 | 11 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .203/.268/.298 | .095 | .268 | 8 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .198/.275/.281 | .083 | .259 | 7 | 7 | 25% | 9% | 54 | -0.6 |
|
✕Tate Blackman 2019 · A |
24 | 37→33 | 45 | 43→40 | 40 | .191/.258/.310 | .119 | .281 | 14 | 5 | 36% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .178/.247/.269 | .091 | .312 | 9 | 5 | 43% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .128/.208/.178 | .050 | .259 | 5 | 1 | 48% | 8% | 1 | -2.8 |
|
✕Gavin Collins 2019 · A |
24 | 40 | 46→45 | 42→40 | 39 | .205/.253/.335 | .130 | .264 | 13 | 4 | 28% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .209/.262/.323 | .114 | .257 | 11 | 4 | 23% | 5% | 60 | -1.0 | .199/.271/.323 | .124 | .239 | 17 | 1 | 24% | 6% | 62 | -0.3 |
|
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A |
24 | 38 | 44→50 | 45→30 | 40 | .187/.254/.308 | .121 | .292 | 11 | 6 | 38% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .202/.276/.338 | .136 | .333 | 13 | 4 | 40% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .191/.269/.325 | .133 | .318 | 14 | 1 | 41% | 9% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Rylan Sandoval 2012 · A |
24 | 39 | 40 | 45 | 37 | .190/.256/.282 | .091 | .284 | 8 | 5 | 34% | 5% | 47 | -1.9 | .206/.258/.300 | .094 | .302 | 8 | 6 | 33% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .213/.261/.298 | .086 | .310 | 7 | 6 | 32% | 5% | 48 | -0.7 |
|
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A |
24 | 37→44 | 42→45 | 42→50 | 40 | .183/.254/.294 | .110 | .274 | 9 | 8 | 35% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .203/.278/.295 | .092 | .278 | 9 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .202/.282/.286 | .084 | .266 | 9 | 14 | 26% | 8% | 57 | -0.7 |
|
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A |
24 | 37 | 42→45 | 46→50 | 44 | .189/.258/.292 | .104 | .257 | 10 | 6 | 30% | 8% | 51 | -1.7 | .190/.260/.311 | .121 | .275 | 14 | 11 | 34% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .170/.250/.285 | .115 | .250 | 14 | 17 | 36% | 9% | 43 | -0.9 |
|
✕Connor Justus 2019 · AA |
24 | 39→37 | 38→40 | 42→45 | 46 | .188/.273/.266 | .078 | .268 | 6 | 8 | 30% | 8% | 51 | -1.7 | .174/.249/.243 | .069 | .257 | 5 | 8 | 32% | 7% | 35 | -2.8 | .148/.220/.200 | .051 | .226 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 9 | -2.7 |
|
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A |
24 | 33→40 | 43→45 | 47→45 | 44 | .172/.252/.279 | .107 | .245 | 11 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .191/.275/.301 | .110 | .267 | 11 | 5 | 30% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .177/.269/.279 | .102 | .246 | 10 | 3 | 30% | 10% | 50 | -0.8 |
|
✕Adam Donachie 2009 · AA |
25 | 39 | 43→45 | 41→30 | 46 | .197/.264/.301 | .104 | .263 | 12 | 3 | 29% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .188/.255/.282 | .094 | .263 | 9 | 3 | 30% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .169/.240/.257 | .088 | .234 | 9 | 0 | 30% | 8% | 33 | -1.3 |
|
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A |
23 | 38 | 42→40 | 47→40 | 41 | .187/.266/.294 | .107 | .282 | 9 | 8 | 35% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .206/.282/.301 | .095 | .307 | 7 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.285/.293 | .087 | .311 | 6 | 2 | 32% | 7% | 60 | -0.6 |
|
✕Austin Rei 2018 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 37→40 | 39 | .180/.254/.270 | .090 | .268 | 6 | 4 | 33% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .192/.267/.288 | .096 | .285 | 8 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .180/.262/.271 | .091 | .263 | 9 | 2 | 32% | 8% | 45 | -0.7 |
|
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA |
24 | 42→35 | 44→50 | 48→45 | 44 | .203/.282/.321 | .118 | .296 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.293/.355 | .159 | .317 | 19 | 5 | 41% | 10% | 83 | +0.6 | .180/.284/.345 | .165 | .293 | 21 | 3 | 42% | 11% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Kole Cottam 2021 · A |
24 | 42 | 43→45 | 45→30 | 41 | .203/.270/.318 | .115 | .299 | 10 | 4 | 34% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .213/.279/.338 | .125 | .346 | 12 | 3 | 39% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .206/.275/.329 | .123 | .341 | 11 | 0 | 40% | 7% | 64 | -0.4 |